Argentina Box Office - Minions: first movie ever to do $35m+!!!

[Hei25]

23 hours ago, manny1234 said:

@Hei25 I have become posting Uruguay numbers in this thread since both Argentina and Uruguay are neighbors and similar culturally, do they also have similar box office tastes?

Yep, taste is almost the same. Maybe the little diference is that Argentinians have a higher average of times attending to the cinema, In Uruguay the average of times that ppl. attend to cinema is lower, that maybe is caused by the lack of screens or just because interest, so Uruguayan tend to be more selective with which movie assist.

But the real fact is that if you check during the year the weekly rankings of both countries, almost 100% of them will have the same order in the first five places. Even with Argentinian movies, if they are succesfull here in Argentina they will be also sucessful crossing the Rio de la Plata.

Also both are very diferent in the love of CBM compraed to other Latin America Countries as Colombia, Brazil, Chile or Mexico. In these countries CBM are sucessfull but aren't hits as can be in the territories mentioned before.-

 

Edited February 21, 2018 by Hei25

[manny1234]

4 minutes ago, Hei25 said:

Yep, taste is almost the same. Maybe the little diference is that Argentinians have a higher average of times attending to the cinema, In Uruguay the average of times that ppl. attend to cinema is lower, that maybe is caused by the lack of screens or just because interest, so Uruguayan tend to be more selective with which movie assist.

But the real fact is that if you check during the year the weekly rankings of both countries, almost 100% of them will have the same order in the first five places. Even with Argentinian movies, if they are succesfull here in Argentina they will be also sucessful crossing the Rio de la Plata.

Also both are very diferent in the love of CBM compraed to other Latin America Countries as Colombia, Brazil, Chile or Mexico. In these countries CBM are sucessfull but aren't hits as can be in the territories mentioned before.-

 

That nice and also later and I known you might be busy but was the 2017 admission numbers for Uruguay if you can find it and of course post it later.

[Hei25]

Weekly (15th - 21st February) Estimates:

 

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Black Panther	New	361.423	354	-	361.423
2	Coco	6th	200.049	265	-45%	2.464.766
3	Fifty Shades Freed	2nd	164.474	273	-59%	561.565
4	Darkest Hour	New	47.887	93	-	47.887
5	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	7th	33.861	84	-60%	1.249.664
6	The Post	3rd	28.827	64	-63%	191.182
7	15:17 to Paris	2nd	17.654	61	-70%	76.917
8	Woody Woodpecker	3rd	14.739	69	-66%	111.912
9	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	4th	12.270	38	-75%	295.695
10	The Vault	New	7.499	45	-	7.499

 

Strong first week for Black Panther, it's enthusiastic, I feel it will cross easily the 750.000 mark (5.3-5.5M USD), The next week it won't face any big opener that steal screens from it so holds will be good.

Coco despite coming from a very strong week thanks holidays and Valentine's day, managed to have great hold. Btw Friday or Saturday it should cross the 2.5M admissions milestone, and will enjoy it's last two weeks of school break, So 2.7 million admissions (15.5 - 15.7M USD) seems locked and the chance to outsell Inside Out's 2.823.678 is not impossible at this point.

Overall great hold for FSF, the franchise is very frontladed so having the 2nd best hold in the board is something.

 

Wide Releases Thursday 22th February:

-The Shape of Water (151 Screens)

-Get Out (Re-release)

-Call me by your Name

-Una Mujer Fantástica (Chilean movie, nominated in Best Foreign Movie Category)

-Early Man

 

The Shape of Water thanks to it's almost record nominations count, is likely to be a contender on the weekend, but Black Panther Should retain crown for the weekend even falling over 50%, I expecto a fall in mid 40s.

 

 

 

 

Edited February 22, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Thursday 22th February Estimates:

 

1. Black Panther 23.354 adm. (-59%) Total = 368.674 adm.

2. Coco 16.746 adm. (-18%) Total = 2.483.010 adm.

3. Fifty Shades Freed 10.264 adm. (-58%) Total = 572.908 adm.

4. The Shape of Water *New 9.336 adm.

5. Den of Thieves *New 3.425 adm. 

6. Early Man *New 3.108 adm.

 

So/so hold for Black Panther, despite being way better than other big openeres (JL -72% / TLJ -70%) it's a fall steeper than other movies in the genres, but it's admissions number is quite strong yet so I see it recovering it's % and falling close to 50%.

Coco is becoming one of the most scuccesfull movies of all time no doubt about it, entering it's 7th week it is just falling a mere 18%, this number is just behind Ferdinand OD. Yet I can see a clear roof to this animated adventure.

The Shape of Water had a decent OD but a bit disappointing, I expected something btw 13k-15k adm., for example La La Land had a 19.112 adm. OD. Let's see if WOM can help it to go higher and take at least the 3rd spot on the weekend.

And overall the newcomers all had poor start even some movies having over 100 screen count.

 

 

Edited February 23, 2018 by Hei25

[Olive]

@Hei25 how many movies made more than 3M?

[Hei25]

@Proxima Olive Just 9 movies made more than 3M admissions, 6 of them are animated movies (2 from Pixar, TS3 and Monsters University). Coco has a slightly chance to reach it, but it's very slightly. 

And as an own opinion, Coco is almost locked to be the most attended movie of the year. So if Coco couldn't reach it no other movie will this year.

Edited February 23, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Friday 23rd Update:

-Coco became the 22nd movie since 1997 to reach the 2.5 million Milestone. As of friday estimates is falling just 15%.

-Black Panther is set to win the weekend, and recovered from the steep fall on thursday, WoW hold is looking way better now, on the 43-47% loss range. Also I'm posting this while I wait to join the movie.

-The Shape of Water is being pushed by it's WOM and is likely to take the 3rd spot on the chart from FSF (which will have a better hold then the second entry of the Franchise)

Edited February 24, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

WEEKEND (22nd - 25th February) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Black Panther	2nd	150.119	335	-39%	513.439
2	Coco	7th	106.808	244	-7%	2.573.072
3	The Shape of Water	New	62.423	166	-	62.423
4	Fifty Shades Freed	3rd	52.509	171	-52%	615.153
5	Den of Thieves	New	25.749	125	-	25.749
6	Darkest Hour	2nd	21.732	75	-38%	69.763
7	Early Man	New	19.410	177	-	19.410
8	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	8th	15.480	58	-23%	1.265.375
9	The Post	4th	12.951	62	-37%	204.262
10	Call me by Your Name	New	8.447	45	-	8.447

 

• Black Panther: achieved an amazing hold, very strong for a CBM. It already outgrossed many MCU Origin movies, and it's on pace to outgroos all others (except GotG) before the next weekend is over. It grossed a 1-1.1M USD in the weekend and it's total estimate stands in a strong 3.6M USD.
• Coco: once again beating even the most optimistic forecast, and fell a mere 7% for a 0.6M USD weekend. With this weekend it's total cross stands in the 15.1 - 15.3M USD aprox. making Argentina it's 7th biggest OS market (will be 8th maybe depending on Japan). 
• The Shape of Water: had a decent opening, below my expectations (70-75k), but it can end somewhere near The Post adm. total (220.000) which is a solid result depending on WoM.
• Fifty Shades Freed: holded way better than Fifty Shades Darker on it's 3rd weekend, and it's pacing just 4% behind from it, if it can hold well again it has a shot on reach 700.000 adm. (4.4-4.6M USD)

Edited February 26, 2018 by Hei25

[manny1234]

 

Uruguay Weekend Box Office

#	Title	Seal	Public	Screens	Sem anti	% Variation	Accumulated
1	Black Panther	DISNEY	7.617	38	10.772	-29.29	23,754
2	Coconut	DISNEY	4,684	41	5,707	-17.93	99,662
3	Fifty Shades Released	UNIVE	3.177	35	6.222	-48.94	36,443
4	The curse of the Winchester house	JELSI	3.062	31	0	-	3.062
5	Jumanji: In the jungle	JELSI	2.315	27	3.078	-24.79	89,653
6	The ghost thread	UNIVE	2,252	2. 3	0	-	2,252
7	The Crazy Bird: The movie	UNIVE	1,851	35	1,633	13.35	11,099
8	The Post: The Dark Secrets of the Pentagon	UNIVE	1.673	25	2,446	-31.60	22,647
9	Playtime	DISNEY	1,647	31	0	-	1,647
10	The darkest hours	UNIVE	1,559	2. 3	1.512	3.11	16,566

 

[Hei25]

Weekly (22nd - 28th February) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Black Panther	2nd	222.162	345	-39%	585.482
2	Coco	7th	168.250	254	-17%	2.634.514
3	The Shape of Water	New	88.442	170	-	88.442
4	Fifty Shades Freed	3rd	77.912	178	-53%	640.641
5	Den of Thieves	New	35.990	130	-	35.990
6	Early Man	New	30.638	187	-	30.638
7	Darkest Hour	2nd	29.328	93	-39%	77.359
8	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	8th	24.460	63	-28%	1.274.355
9	The Post	4th	17.849	64	-38%	209.160
10	Call me by Your name	New	12.185	33	-	12.185

 

• Strong WoW hold for Black Panther, this weekend it will become the 11th highest grossing MCU movie. Some web pages in the country are talking to it's chances to reach 1M admissions, but I don't think that will happend, cross the 800.000 mark will be it's goal and a great result.
• Coco is starting to create the question if it has any chance to reach 3M admissions, on monday school is back, so let's see how it affect it's holds.
• The Shape of Water had a safe first week awaiting the Awards ceremony to see a bump or at least strong legs.
• Fifty Shades Freed, is holding well compared to previous entries and it already reached the best multiplier in the franchise. At this point still has some chances to reach 700.000 admissions, that will mean a 3-5% fall from the 2nd entry.

 

THURSDAY MARCH 1ST REALEASES:

-Winchester (140 Screens)

-Game Night (130 Screens)

-Red Sparrow (93 Screens)

-Dunkirk re-release (27 Screens)

 

P.S.: As mentioned before, school break will be over on friday and school will be back on monday, that will afect some movies holds, but this week already saw a downfall in advante for that fact.

[salvador-232]

@Hei25Right now, How likely is that Coco surpass Inside Out?

[Hei25]

1 hour ago, salvador-232 said:

@Hei25Right now, How likely is that Coco surpass Inside Out?

It's 189k adm. away at this point from IO. Coco will face it's worst WoW hold this week but thanks to the amazing WOM, after that it will hold very well again. And won't face any competition 'till Sherlock Gnomes in four weeks.

So based on those facts, it seems to be very likely to happen. 

[Hei25]

Thursday 1st March Estimates:

1. Black Panther 12.544 adm. (-47%) Total = 598.883 adm.
2. Coco 12.306 adm (-28%) Total = 2.648.413 adm.
3. Winchester 6.090 adm. *New 
4. Fifty Shades Freed 4.570 adm. (-56%) Total = 645.639 adm.
5. The Shape of Water 4.487 adm (-52%) Total = Total 93.302 adm.

Soft thursday numbers, almost al movies fell stronger than expected. Coco will fight Black Panther to return to the 1st spot in it's 8th weeekend.

Decent OD for Winchester, let's see if it can call more attention on next days. Disappointing hold for The Shape of Water.

[manny1234]

12 minutes ago, Hei25 said:

Thursday 1st March Estimates:

1. Black Panther 12.544 adm. (-47%) Total = 598.883 adm.
2. Coco 12.306 adm (-28%) Total = 2.648.413 adm.
3. Winchester 6.090 adm. *New 
4. Fifty Shades Freed 4.570 adm. (-56%) Total = 645.639 adm.
5. The Shape of Water 4.487 adm (-52%) Total = Total 93.302 adm.

Soft thursday numbers, almost al movies fell stronger than expected. Coco will fight Black Panther to return to the 1st spot in it's 8th weeekend.

Decent OD for Winchester, let's see if it can call more attention on next days. Disappointing hold for The Shape of Water.

It seems like Red Sparrow bombed.

[Hei25]

Weekend (1st - 4th March) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Black Panther	3rd	85.976	238	-43%	672.360
2	Coco	8th	80.707	252	-25%	2.716.914
3	Winchester	New	48.081	179	-	48.081
4	The Shape of Water	2nd	38.721	175	-38%	127.564
5	Game Night	New	30.912	157	-	30.912
6	Fifty Shades Freed	4th	24.389	102	-54%	665.458
7	Lady Bird	New	14.832	58	-	14.832
8	Red Sparrow	New	14.459	99	-	14.459
9	Darkest Hour	3rd	12.876	48	-41%	90.470
10	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	9th	8.960	42	-42%	1.283.469

 

• Another weekend ruled by Wakanda's King, with a decent hold. It's going to outpace many of MCU movies, the next steep is outgross both GotG entries.
• Coco had one if it's worst WoW holds despite that, it's hold% it's amazing. It already joined the Top 20 Attended movies and soon it will outgrosss Inside Out for the 13th place in the rank. After IO we will be lloking if if can reach Finding Dory's 2.96M adm.
• Winchester had a solid start, not so enthusiastic for the genre, but it's good.
• The Shape of Water after a steep drop on thursday (-52%) recovered and had a salid drop. Now is time to wait if the Award will help it's legs.

School break is over, so weekly holds will be hard, but not so hard because las week weekdays were a bit weak.

 

P.S.: March box office looks to be very quiet till the last weekend (Easter) since then won't be any movie making noise at least some movie surprise us.

[manny1234]

Uruguay Box Office Weekend:

1	Black Panther	DISNEY	4,923	41	7.891	-37.61	32,118
2	Game night	DISPEL	3.172	35	0	-	3.172
3	Coconut	DISNEY	3.091	43	4,908	-37.02	105,146
4	The curse of the Winchester house	JELSI	2,587	35	3,261	-20.67	7.067
5	Fifty Shades Released	UNIVE	1,887	25	3,385	-44.25	39,662
6	Operation Red Sparrow	LIFEFILMS	1,693	3. 4	0	-	1,693
7	The last suit	DISNEY	1.618	24	0	-	1.618
8	Jumanji: In the jungle	JELSI	1.424	27	2,393	-40,49	92,249
9	The ghost thread	UNIVE	1.277	2. 3	2,252	-43.29	4.184
10	The Post: The Dark Secrets of the Pentagon	UNIVE	1,262	24	1,705	-25.98	24.509

 

[Hei25]

Weekly (1st - 7th March) Estimates:

 

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Black Panther	3rd	118.843	239	-47%	705.227
2	Coco	8th	118.426	255	-30%	2.754.533
3	Winchester	New	67.773	180	-	67.773
4	The Shape of Water	2nd	62.572	179	-30%	151.415
5	Game Night	New	42.233	158	-	42.233
6	Fifty Shades Freed	4th	36.026	104	-54%	677.095
7	Red Sparrow	New	20.250	111	-	20.250
8	Lady Bird	New	19.457	60	-	19.457
9	Darkest Hour	3rd	17.692	48	-40%	95.286
10	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	9th	12.203	42	-50%	1.286.712

 

 

• Black Panther edged Coco by a tiny margin to win it's 3rd Week in a row. With Wednesday admissions it became 8th highest movie in the MCU.
• Coco as all the movies fell the return of the school semester but it managed a nice hold, and during the next week it shoul outsell Inside Out to be Pixar's 4th higest movie.
• The Shape of Water after had the best hold among the movies, and comparing last week weekdays to this one it fell just 8% thanks to it's Award.

 

Thursday 8th March:

- I, Tonya

- 12 Strong

- Death With

-Perfectos Desconocidos

 

P.S.: The Shape of Water will add 17 screens to this weekend, so it may may fight with Coco for the best hold. Coco also is set to claim the weekend in it's 9th week in release, simply amazing.

 

[Hei25]

Weekend (8th - 11th March) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Coco	9th	80.448	251	-1%	2.835.128
2	Black Panther	4th	59.177	190	-31%	764.496
3	The Shape of Water	3rd	48.895	204	+26%	200.518
4	Winchester	2nd	36.104	140	-20%	100.572
5	Perfectos Desconocidos	New	21.970	90	-	21.970
6	Game Night	2nd	16.313	93	-47%	58.587
7	12 Strong	New	14.221	134	-	14.221
8	Death Wish	New	12.183	90	-	12.183
9	Fifty Shades Freedr	5th	11.331	58	-54%	688.426
10	Darkest Hour	4th	10.222	47	-21%	105.518

 

• In a quiet weekend, Coco beat every expectation once again and fell just 1% in the estimates to return to the top in it's 9th weekend, and after 5 weekends. Also it topped Inside Out in term of admissions to become Pixar's 4th highest movie and now ranks 13th in the all time chart.
• Black Panther fell to the 2nd spot but it's hold is really strong for a CBM, and it's 7k admissions shy of GotG which is the highest Origin Movie in the MCU. Argentina's numbers doesn't look impressive, but believe me it's a impressive run, yet it has some tickets to sell and will sure outsell CA Winter Soldier (806k adm.) and also has a chance to beat Thor: The Dark World (832k adm.).
• The Shape of Water had an increase thanks to the Award, yet it's number is a bit low, let's see if legs can help it to reach a solid number over 300k adm.
• Then, the releases all failed to make any noise.

 

P.S.: Weekdays total will be afected by the soccer "Supercopa" Final btw the most popular teams Boca Juniors vs. River Plate on wednesday night.

Edited March 12, 2018 by Hei25
Estimates Update

[lor15]

URUGUAY box office this weekend

 

 

#	Título	Sello	Público	Pantallas	Sem ant	% Variación	Acumulado
1	Coco	DISNEY	4.923	48	3.356	46,69	111.684
2	Pantera negra	DISNEY	3.996	42	5.064	-21,09	37.934
3	La forma del agua	LIFEFILMS	3.374	45	1.220	176,56	18.655
4	Noche de juegos	DISPEL	3.012	33	3.214	-6,29	7.358
5	La maldición de la casa Winchester	JELSI	2.512	38	2.853	-11,95	10.838
6	3 anuncios por un crimen	LIFEFILMS	1.797	33	747	140,56	20.163
7	Deseo de matar	LIFEFILMS	1.767	22	0	-	1.767
8	Jumanji: En la selva	JELSI	1.629	31	1.494	9,04	94.257
9	El último traje	DISNEY	1.479	20	1.618	-8,59	3.575
10	Las horas más oscuras	UNIVE	1.373	30	1.037	32,40	20.101

 

 

It seems that we really feel the Oscar hype, crazy increases to 3B, SOW and COCO, and great hold for BP.

 

Just to note, COCO flat in Bolivia and Argentina, and with good increase in Uruguay and Paraguay, Latin America not counting Brazil loved that movie.

Edited March 12, 2018 by lor15

[Hei25]

Weekend (8th - 14th March) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Coco	9th	103.263	257	-13%	2.858.404
2	Black Panther	4th	74.917	195	-37%	780.572
3	The Shape of Water	3rd	61.475	208	-2%	213.246
4	Winchester	2nd	45.648	143	-29%	110.244
5	Perfectos Desconocidos	New	28.195	95	-	28.220
6	Game Night	2nd	20.127	98	-52%	62.469
7	12 Strong	New	18.038	136	-	18.038
8	Fifty Shades Freed	5th	15.389	61	-57%	692.384
9	Death Wish	New	15.289	93	-	15.289
10	Darkest Hour	4th	12.581	50	-29%	107.877

 

• Coco finished atop of the week, and has a steady peace to cross the 3M mark admissions. Now in it's sight stands Finding Dory to reach the 3rd spot in Pixar's rank.
• Black Panther, holded well again even afected by wednesday Soccer match. It outgrossed GotG for being the most attended Origin film in the MCU. It's heading to a finish around 850.000 adm.
• After a weekend with 26% increase, The Shape of Water end the week with a 2% fall. 300.000 seems to be reachable.-

 

Thursday 15th Wide Releases:

-Tomb Raider (Over 230 Screens)

-The Lodgers

-Luciferina

 

Tomb Raider will lead all openers, and may lead the weekend being the strongest release since Black Panther, let's see if it can manage to sell over 100.000 adm.