Argentina Box Office - Minions: first movie ever to do $35m+!!!

[lor15]

OMG that huge numbers!! Loving this

[Hei25]

Avengers Infinity War Friday:

159.621 adm. (-4,5% From OD)

Total 326.781 adm., about 2.4-2-6M USD.

 

Strong hold for a huge Opening Day.

Edited April 28, 2018 by Hei25
Updated

[fabiopazzo2]

7 minutes ago, Hei25 said:

Avengers Infinity War Friday:

158.297 adm. (-5% From OD)

Total 325.457 adm., about 2.4-2-6M USD.

 

Strong hold for a huge Opening Day.

amazing 

[Hei25]

Also, today the weather in Greater Buenos Aires and Rosario City (70% of the business) is really horrible, that should push the ppl to indoor activities, so 220k-270k saturday for AIW may happend.

Tomorrow weather forecast also seems as today, so also 200k+ sunday is possible having in mind that monday is holiday also will help Sunday totals.

 

So if there's enought demand, 4 days weekend will be btw 730k-780k (5.5M-6M USD).

If it opens above 800k admissions it will become the 3rd movie to achieve that, and the first non Furious franchise.

In terms of revenue becoming the the 3rd biggest OW seems more locked because it will need somewhere btw 715k-730k to achive it since the avg. tkt price will be high thanks the ppl is attending to the more expensive formats (IMAX, 4D, XD, DBOX)

Edited April 28, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Avengers: Infinity War Saturday Estimates

246.678 adm. (+55 from Friday)

Totals = 573.459 adm. (3.9-4.2M USD)

 

Despite being below the saturday bumps (75%), AIW Saturday is just amazing.

If it falls leas than 10% on sunday, it will become just the 3rd movie un reach 800k+ adm in OW.

 

If there's any sustancial increase un actuals, I will update it.

Edited April 29, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

3 hours ago, Hei25 said:

Avengers: Infinity War Saturday Estimates

261.181 adm. (+65 from Friday)

Total = 587.962 adm. (4 -4.2M USD)

 

Despite being bit below the saturday bumps (75%), AIW Saturday Was huuuge.

Estimates updated (+15k adm.). 

Right now it's raining really hard so maybe it will start affect at some point. But 800k seems more likely than never.

Edited April 29, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Weekend (26th-29th April) Estimates: 

 

1. Avengers Infinity War 864.202 adm. *New. (6-6.2)M USD).

2. Nada á Perder 163.528 adm *New.

3. Perdida 53.090 adm. (-29%) Total = 149.565 adm.

4. Rampage 49.588 adm. (-50%) Total = 347.348 adm.

 

With a huge Sunday, over Saturday. AIW claimed an amazing OW, the 3rd best ever but with the big diferente with the first two ones, those openings were un Easter holidays.

Today is holiday (not for all a 40% of companies and shops will have normal activities) so AIW will become the second fastest movie to reach 1M admissions (Tied with F8). On Tuesday (labor day) many theaters won't open so it will have very little attendance, but wednesday (discount day) will easily be over 150k admissions again. So first week is looking for a total of 1.2-1.3 adm.

 

On the shadow of AIW, the brasilian faith based movie Nada á Perder has an amazing OW (over Rampage and RPO) but noone will care about it.

 

Thanks Avengers record breaking OW, this was the best weekend so far of the year, with 1.2M of tickets sold, Finally the Box Office wake up (with a bang), and now the things are looking very interesting with May looking for the best ever.

 

Edited May 7, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

TOP 30 ALL TIME OPENING WEEKENDS IN ADMISSIONS (SINCE 1997)

 

1 Furious 7 (*) 1.024.714  2015 2 Fate of the Furious (*) 969.198  2017 3 Avengers: Infinity War Pt. 1 864.202   2018 4 The Simpsons Movie (***) 769.543  2007 5 Despicable Me 3 742.377  2017 6 Minions 688.599  2015 7 Shrek the Third 683.250  2007 8 Beuty and the Beast (**) 654.827  2017 9 The Secret Life of Pets (***) 648.792  2016 10 It (2017) 648.708  2017 11 Captain America: Civil War  607.743  2016 12 Ice Age: Continental Drift 607.714  2012 13 Shrek Forever After 588.893  2010 14 Fast and Furious 6 581.583  2013 15 Ice Age: Collision Course 578.698  2016 16 Finding Dory 571.835  2016 17 Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted 556.000  2012 18 Ice Age: The Meltdown 549.401  2006 19 Harry Potter and The Deadly Hallows Pt 2 548.942  2011 20 Iron Man 3 508.013  2013 21 El Clan  504.419  2015 22 Batman Vs. Superman (**) 503.897  2016 23 Pirates of the Caribbean: On Strager Tides 501.663  2011 24 Marvel's Avengers 498.099  2012 25 Avengers: Age of Ultron 482.897  2015 26 Suicide Squad 482.884  2016 27 The Conjuring 2 477.506  2016 28 The Dark Knight Rises 474.221  2012 29 Toy Story 3 468.895  2010 30 Relatos Salvajes 445.542  2013

(*) = Holiday Weekend.

(**) = Weekend + Friday Holiday.

(***) Winter Holidays

Edited June 17, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

MCU TOP OPENERS IN ADMISSIONS AND MULTIPLIERS (Where AIW Could Land):

 

Marvel's Avengers (2012):

OW: 498.099 

Total: 2.675.356

Multi: x5.37

 

Iron Man 3 (2013):

OW: 503.013 

Total: 1.860.750

Multi: x3,70

 

Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015):

OW: 482.897

Total: 1.870.123

Multi: x3.87

 

Captain América Civil War (2016):

OW: 607.743

Total: 1.518.848

Multi: x2.5

 

Avengers Ininity War Pt. 1

OW: 860.977

xTA Multi = 4.623.446

xIM3 Multi = 3.185.614

xAoU Multi = 3.331.980

xCW Multi = 2.152.442

 

I expect a Multiplier closer to Civil War than any other movie, but if it canbest it even by a little this will be a huge win. Cross 2M admissions is a deal in Argentina more if we talk about CBM since the only movie to achive that is The Avengers in 2012. So my guess are 2.3-2.4M admissions.

Deadool 2 is an awaited movie in the country and it will push to reach 1M admissions in an OW over 300k adm.

Edited April 30, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

2018 TOP OW (100K+ ADM.):

1	Avengers Infinity War Pt. 1	864.202
2	Coco	409.717
3	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	268.215
4	Black Panther	247.154
5	Fifty Shades Freed	231.230
6	Nada A Perder	163.528
7	Rampage	137.500
8	Ready Player One	131.179
9	Ferdinand	117.045
10	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	101.091

 

 

 

2018 TOP ATTENDED MOVIES (300K+ ADM.):

 

1	Coco	3.111.280
2	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	1.308.397
3	Black Panther	934.758
4	Avengers Infinity War Pt. 1	864.202
5	Fifty Shades Freed	699.384
6	Ferdinand	370.610
7	Ready Player One	350.345
8	Rampage	347.348
9	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	303.273

Edited May 7, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Monday April 30th Avengers Infinity War Estimates:

243.403 adm. (1.8-1.9M USD)

Total = 1.104.380 adm. (8-8.2M USD)

2nd fastest movie ever to reach 1M admissions (5 days), behind F7 and tied with F8.

 

Today I was expecting that many Theaters chains were closed because of labor day. But I checked and Hoyts (most attended chain) will have all it's complexes closed, maybe little chains and independient screens also will be closed, then all other big chains will have it's theaters open. Si based on that and the rainy weather, 150k adm. is not impossible.

Also having that in mind, and wednesday tickets Avengers Infinity War will destroy F7 Opening Week record.

Edited May 1, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Tuesday May 1st (Labor Day):

 

Avengers Infinity War Pt. 1 116.836 adm. 

Total = 1.221.216 adm. 

 

Tuesday was a bit softer than I was expecting, I hope it update and get closer to 120k adm. at least. But with this result First Week record is not locked yet, it will need 110k today, something that could happend but could finish shy of it.

 

Edited May 2, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Weekly Estimates (27th April - 02nd May):

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Avengers Infinity War	New	1.338.585	621	-	1.338.585
2	Nada A Perder	New	243.008	153	-	243.008
3	Perdida	2nd	83.990	157	-13%	180.465
4	Rampage	3rd	83.435	176	-32%	381.195
5	A Quiet Place	4th	28.710	68	-20%	248.161
6	Truth or Dare	3th	27.088	91	-39%	127.874
7	Gnomes Alone	2nd	21.600	94	-9%	45.252
8	Peter Rabbit	6th	16.873	55	+32%	223.556
9	Madame	2nd	14.825	27	-27%	35.063
10	Ready Player One	5th	11.354	38	-60%	355.686

 

There's no much to say about AIW first week. Just amazing, but estimates fell short from the biggest first week ever (F7 = 1.346.671 adm), let's wait for Estimates and actuales to see if it can best it. But despite that this huge.

WOM seems great and as I know presales for the coming Weekend looks strong, also weather will still rainy. Let's wait Thursday numbers to have a better estimate for weekend, but if it can manage a fall btw 50-55%, will be a good sign. Right now best the frist Avengers movie starts to seem likely.

 

Nada A Perder had astrong second place to seal the best week of the year so far. Also despite the screen count for AIW (Biggest Ever) all movies thanks monday off work day and weather had solid holds.

 

P.S.: In other news, there was an anounce about 2 new Theaters Complex are on built in Neuquen City (Greater Neuquen 550k population) and Lujan City (with Mercedes City and other Little cities arround = 200k population)

 

Edited May 3, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Since yesterday ARS ER fell an awfull 13.6%, to it's worst ER ever. So it will afect a bit AIW in terms of revenue, thanksfully Argentina is an small market in terms of revenue.

Let's hope to ticket price and salaries get strong for the winter holidays for the upcoming animation blockbusters, movies where Argentina can make a top 12 market.

Edited May 3, 2018 by Hei25

[Stewart]

4 minutes ago, Hei25 said:

Since yesterday ARS ER fell an awfull 13.6%, to it's worst ER ever. So it will afect a bit AIW in terms of revenue, thanksfully Argentina is an small market in terms of revenue.

Let's hope to ticket price and salaries get strong for the winter holidays for the upcoming animation blockbusters, movies where Argentina can make a top 12 market.

Do you know why this happened and if it can recover?

[gfb]

Thanks for the updates. Just 8k short of F7's first week admissions. While AIW's OW was more than 150k admissions short. You have noted that F7 had a holiday weekend and Labour Day holiday should help AIW's weekdays over F7's. However you have also noted that many cinemas wouldn't open on Tuesday due to holiday and AIW had a significant drop on Tuesday as a result. So it doesn't seem like it actually benefited from holiday that much. Or did it? Was AIW's Monday evening advantage compansated for F7's OW holiday advantage sufficiently?

 

Because it seems like AIW closing the gap that much on F7's opening week admissions while being behind on opening weekend admissions quite significantly can only be explained by AIW covering its holiday advantage on weekdays. But due to Tuesday, I don't know much AIW benefited from that. So how AIW really caught up, was it expected for AIW to catch up? 

[Hei25]

7 minutes ago, gfb said:

Thanks for the updates. Just 8k short of F7's first week admissions. While AIW's OW was more than 150k admissions short. You have noted that F7 had a holiday weekend and Labour Day holiday should help AIW's weekdays over F7's. However you have also noted that many cinemas wouldn't open on Tuesday due to holiday and AIW had a significant drop on Tuesday as a result. So it doesn't seem like it actually benefited from holiday that much. Or did it? Was AIW's Monday evening advantage compansated for F7's OW holiday advantage sufficiently?

 

Because it seems like AIW closing the gap that much on F7's opening week admissions while being behind on opening weekend admissions quite significantly can only be explained by AIW covering its holiday advantage on weekdays. But due to Tuesday, I don't know much AIW benefited from that. So how AIW really caught up, was it expected for AIW to catch up? 

If Labor day were a holiday like Carnival (Mon & Tue) it easly would crushed F7 record, closing the week shy of 1.5M adm.

Yet with actuals AIW could best F7 record.

Presales for upcoming Weekend ate strong, but don't know if it can Match F7 masive 2nd week, or Minions 2nd (bigger than opening week and almost on par with F7 first week).

Tomorrow I Will make a post about it.

 

I'm updating my guess, and I see it falling short of 3M adm. 

[Hei25]

23 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Do you know why this happened and if it can recover?

Many things happend, Argentina ER is in constant fall so it won't recover. It may continue falling on upcoming weeks but I hope a bit soft.

The only way of box Office keep strong is with Tkt price and salaries increase, ER won't recover.

Edited May 3, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Thursday 3rd May Estimates:

1. Avengers Infinity War 56.907 adm. (-66%) Total = 1.396.472 adm.

2. Nada A Perder 25.294 adm. (-40%) Total = 268.532 adm.

3. Strangers: Pray at the Night 2.402 adm. OD.

4. Love, Simón 2.261 adm. OD.

 

Steep fall as expected for AIW, the day to see where's heading the weekend is today. But a fall around 60% looks likely.

[Hei25]

Best Opening Weeks Since 2010 (800k++ adm.)

 

Movie	Year	Opening Week	Total
Fate and Furious 7	2015	1.346.671	3.355.209
Avengers Infinity War Pt. 1 (*)	2018	1.339.565	------
Fate of the Furious	2017	1.279.306	2.738.840
Minions (**)	2015	1.177.091	4.933.196
Secret Life of Pets	2016	1.036.889	2.397.195
Despicable Me 3	2017	992.883	3.836.225
Monsters University	2013	988.035	3.338.556
Finding Dory	2016	897.294	2.955.607
Ice Age: Coliision Curse	2016	884.543	2.595.559
Ice Age: Continental Drift	2012	883.704	4.494.000
Shrek Forver After	2010	875.017	2.762.000
Harry Potter and The Deadly Hallows Pt 2	2011	874.327	1.823.000
It (2017)	2017	840.081	1.882.045
Captain America Civil War	2016	838.461	1.518.848
Beuty and the Beast	2017	834.993	2.048.409
Fast and Furious 6	2013	834.363	2.210.193
Marvel's Avengers	2012	829.500	2.675.356
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Strager Tides	2011	807.431	1.929.000

 

 

(*) = Actuals may push it to the top spot. I will upload if that happend.

(**) = Minions 2nd week was stronger than the first one 1.297.734 adm.) 3rd strongest week ever now.

Edited June 19, 2018 by Hei25