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03/08/19 (Saturday)

 

1 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 130.159 18.735
2 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 108.394 15.326
3 HOTEL ARTEMIS 01/08/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 73.535 12.906
4 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 39.452 5.618
5 ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING) 01/08/2019 CAN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 33.761 4.776
6 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 32.031 4.758
7 DOLCISSIME 01/08/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 22.421 3.421
8 MIDSOMMAR - IL VILLAGGIO DEI DANNATI 25/07/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 20.023 2.706
9 EDISON - L'UOMO CHE ILLUMINO' IL MONDO (THE CURRENT WAR) 18/07/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 18.770 2.704
10 UNA FAMIGLIA AL TAPPETO (FIGHTING WITH MY FAMILY) 01/08/2019 GBR EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 14.431 2.222

 

I don't even know why I'm posting these. 60K admissions will be enough for MIB to win the weekend. All holdovers set for 55/80%+ drops.

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WEEKEND RESULTS (1st-4th AUGUST)

 

RANK MOVIE WEEKEND GROSS HOLD TOTAL GROSS PROJECTED GROSS (M)
1 Men in Black: International 427.710 -61% 1.875.976 2.40
2 Spider Man: Far From Home 368.810 -63% 10.762.951 11.20
3 Hotel Artemis 243.233 NEW 243.233 0.70
4 Serenity 125.033 -67% 1.133.549 1.40
5

Toy Story 4

113.793 -65% 5.764.296 6.00
6 The Wantinf 112.408

NEW

112.408 0.25
7 Dolcissime (It) 79.538 NEW 79.538 0.20
8 Midsommar 70.294 -68% 383.382 0.50
9 The Current War 61.918 -72% 909.198 1.00
10 Fighting With My Family 48.586 NEW 48.586 0.10

 

The weekend was up a mere 8.07% from the same weekend last year. 2019 is now up from 2018 by 9.60%.

The week was so bad that we even managed an overall 0.03% loss from last year, where Ocean's 8 was #1 over the 4-day frame with less than 600K euros (90K admissions or so). Considering Meg and Ant Man 2 combined for 10M euros last year, I guess we may have to wait for TLK to see an yearly gain above 10%.

 

Men in Black got the best drop in the top 10, but it was kind of a given considering that the 2nd weekend drops are usually stronger here. It should have kept the drop in the 50's - with Hobbs & Shaw opening in a couple of days, it should finish under Dark Phoenix's 2.6M total. Still above the colossal failure that was Godzilla.

 

Spider Man's drop was in line with expectations (a little on the low end of them). It's 4K euros away from passing Aquaman. Its target remains Civil War at 11.29M - not too likely, but still possible with a little bit of help from the weather.

 

Out of the top 10 we have Annabelle at #12 with 34K and a 3.41M total (basically flat from Annabelle 2), Pets and Aladdin with 21K each (73% and 59% drop respectively).

 

This Thursday it's Hobbs & Shaw turn. F7 opened with 7.13M, F8 with 6.16M, both in April. This one should drop sizeably on OW but probably get slightly better legs. I'd go with 3.5M OW and 8.5M total.

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08/08/2019 (THURSDAY)

 

1 FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW) 08/08/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 574.635 83.705
2 BRING THE SOUL: THE MOVIE 07/08/2019 KOR NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 65.198 5.494
3 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 41.522 6.748
4 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 41.466 6.672
5 THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET) 08/08/2019 NOR ALTRE STORIE € 16.497 3.039
6 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 15.369 2.579
7 ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING) 01/08/2019 CAN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 12.589 1.940
8 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 12.177 1.925
9 HOTEL ARTEMIS 01/08/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 9.521 1.635
10 MIDSOMMAR - IL VILLAGGIO DEI DANNATI 25/07/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 6.318 922

 

So the true OD wasn't that exciting despite the promising previews.

A few comparisons:

F6 > 1.600.000 (estimate - Wednesday) > 5.7M 4-day OW

F7 > 1.356.780 (Thursday) > 7.1M 4-day OW

F8 > 1.450.045 (Thursday) > 6.2M 4-day OW

 

All the previous titles opened in April or May, so this makes Hobbs & Shaw number even less exciting. I see around 550K/850K/750K in the following days for an opening just above 3M (meaning a 50% drop from Fast 8).

 

Spider Man is less than 10K away from 11 millions. 300K away from Civil War.

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09/08/19 (Friday)

 

1 FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW) 08/08/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 433.496 62.251
2 BRING THE SOUL: THE MOVIE 07/08/2019 KOR NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 56.779 4.788
3 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 41.561 6.396
4 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 39.939 6.220
5 THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET) 08/08/2019 NOR ALTRE STORIE € 16.872 3.089
6 ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING) 01/08/2019 CAN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 12.997 2.010
7 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 12.538 1.936
8 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 12.137 1.983
9 HOTEL ARTEMIS 01/08/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 10.102 1.655
10 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 6.632 1.237

 

Well, this is getting hilarious. H&S dropped 25% from its neat Thursday.

Sub-3M opening previews included is now possible. We already have a strong candidate for the title of "biggest disappointment of the 19/20 season".

Edited by Omni
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10/08/19 (Saturday)

 

1 FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW) 08/08/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 485.195 64.909
2 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 56.858 8.032
3 BRING THE SOUL: THE MOVIE 07/08/2019 KOR NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 56.480 4.733
4 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 53.014 7.530
5 THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET) 08/08/2019 NOR ALTRE STORIE € 24.525 4.112
6 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 23.335 3.451
7 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 20.242 2.848
8 ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING) 01/08/2019 CAN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 15.974 2.247
9 HOTEL ARTEMIS 01/08/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 14.376 2.184
10 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 8.840 1.439

 

A 12% Saturday rise for Hobbs & Shaw. Can it get any worse?

Looking at a 2M opening (previews excluded). 2nd biggest failure of the year after Slop 2.

 

10 days till Lion King opens. Come on!

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11/08/19 (Sunday)

 

1 FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW) 08/08/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 483.412 65.335
2 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 63.388 9.100
3 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 59.990 8.685
4 BRING THE SOUL: THE MOVIE 07/08/2019 KOR NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A. € 52.985 4.459
5 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 30.336 4.472
6 THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET) 08/08/2019 NOR ALTRE STORIE € 27.011 4.408
7 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 19.919 2.807
8 ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING) 01/08/2019 CAN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 17.484 2.452
9 HOTEL ARTEMIS 01/08/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 15.244 2.311
10 BIRBA - MICIO COMBINAGUAI (CATS AND PEACHTOPIA) 18/07/2019 CHN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 10.774 1.730

 

Weekend recap later. But H&S missed the 2M mark by a bit more than 1K admissions.

And Spider Man did good!

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WEEKEND RESULTS (8th-11st AUGUST)

 

RANK MOVIE WEEKEND GROSS HOLD TOTAL GROSS PROJECTED GROSS (M)
1 Hobbs & Shaw 1.991.292 NEW 2.331.275 5.20
2 Bring the Soul - The Movie 231.760 NEW 363.595 0.60
3 Spider Man: Far From Home 200.744 -46% 11.149.931 11.50
4 MIB: International 199.336 -54% 2.246.673 2.50
5

Skjelvet (Nor)

85.861 NEW 85.861 0.25
6 Toy Story 4 81.576

-29%

5.905.712 6.10
7 Serenity 65.301 -48% 1.250.647 1.40
8 The Wantinf 59.877 -46% 236.351 0.35
9 Hotel Artemis 49.771 -79% 392.892 0.45
10 Dolcissime (It) 30.408 -62% 152.624 0.20

 

The weekend was unexpectedly DOWN, though by just 1.71% from the same weekend last year. Despite that, 2019 has increased its lead to 9.79%, mainly thanks to the H&S previews and BtS' relatively strong OD.

I just can't believe the weekend was down from 2018's, when The Meg opened with 1.68M. Thought H&S would comfortably beat that, but it did by less than 20%.

 

Hobbs & Shaw was...A DISASTER! Its 4-day opening beat the ODs (!) of the previous 3 chapters by just 25/30%. Its total will finish below the OWs of all of them. It was also very frontloaded. The heatwave certainly played a role in this, but it's not like holdovers were really hurt by that (the overall drops are totally fine), so this is mostly due to lack of interest. With no bad weather on the horizon, H&S will just barely beat The Meg (5.00M total) and compete with Slop 2 for the title of biggest failure of the year.

 

Bring the Soul did pretty well, but it was heavily frontloaded, so it will likely drop to the bottom of the chart as soon as next weekend. Also, to be honest. before the movie opened I didn't even know the band existed. :sweat:

 

Spider Man: FFH is the winner of this weekend. Sub-50% drop despite the great weather, meaning the absolute certainty to beat Civil War in the sh rankings.

 

10) Suicide Squad > 12,11

11) Hancock > 12,00

12) The Amazing Spider-Man > 11,77

13) Spider Man: Far From Home > 11.50 (projection)

14) Captain America – Civil War > 11,29

15) Aquaman > 10,77

16) Batman V Superman – Dawn of the Justice > 10,55

 

The Spider Man movies used to be bigger, but at least it's a big improvement over Homecoming's depressing result (lowest SM movie with <9M).

 

Toy Story 4 held surprisingly well and has now beaten The Grinch among this year's animated titles. Makes the disappointing result less abominable.

 

No idea what happened to Hotel Artemis...

 

Outside the top 10, Aladdin increased over last weeknd (from 21K to 23K) and is now very likely to pass the 2.4M admissions mark.

 

 

This week...basically nothing except Crawl. Nobody wants to release a movie the week before TLK and in which pretty much everyone is on vacation.

 

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12/08/19 (Monday)

 

1 FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW) 08/08/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 358.511 54.711
2 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 51.022 8.792
3 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 46.963 7.718
4 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 18.786 3.209
5 THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET) 08/08/2019 NOR ALTRE STORIE € 18.678 3.451
6 ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING) 01/08/2019 CAN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 16.853 2.611
7 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 14.662 2.260
8 HOTEL ARTEMIS 01/08/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 12.221 2.025
9 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 7.033 1.313
10 MIDSOMMAR - IL VILLAGGIO DEI DANNATI 25/07/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 6.460 938

 

So, there was some rain here and there, and that's the result.

Drops from Sunday:

H&S > -26%

FFH > -21%

MIB Int > -22%

TS4 > -38%

Serenity > -26%

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GENERAL UPDATE:

 

Spoiler

TUESDAY 13/08

1. FAST & FURIOUS: HOBBS & SHAW - € 288.358 - 45.356
2. SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME - € 44.037 - 8.886
3. MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL - € 43.145 - 7.305
4. TOY STORY 4 - € 18.862 - 3.317
5. THE QUAKE - € 17.741 - 3.360
6. SERENITY - € 13.778 - 2.269
7. THE WANTING - € 12.928 - 2.099
8. HOTEL ARTEMIS - € 11.557 - 2.005
9. DOLCISSIME - € 6.460 - 1.142
10. MIDSOMMAR - € 5.997 - 925

 

WEDNESDAY 14/08

1. FAST & FURIOUS: HOBBS & SHAW - € 261.005 - 38.360
2. SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME - € 45.484 - 7.181
3. MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL - € 43.419 - 6.880
4. TOY STORY 4 - € 25.788 - 4.235
5. THE QUAKE - € 18.326 - 3.343
6. SERENITY - € 14.517 - 2.316
7. THE WANTING - € 14.309 - 2.150
8. HOTEL ARTEMIS - € 11.493 - 1.925
9. DOLCISSIME - € 6.766 - 1.100
10. CATS AND PEACHTOPIA - € 6.110 - 1.068

 

THURSDAY 15/08

1. FAST & FURIOUS: HOBBS & SHAW - € 190.269 - 25.278
2. CRAWL: INTRAPPOLATI - € 73.741 - 10.558
3. MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL - € 37.994 - 5.442
4. SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME - € 37.166 - 5.282
5. THE NEST (IL NIDO) - € 33.706 - 4.719
6. TOY STORY 4 - € 19.444 - 2.897
7. THE QUAKE - € 12.612 - 2.245
8. SERENITY - € 10.776 - 1.605
9. KIN - € 7.792 - 1.550
10. THE CURRENT WAR - € 5.089 - 750

 

FRIDAY 16/08 (taken from different site)

1 – FAST & FURIOUS – HOBBS & SHAW: 224.285 euro (32.602 spettatori)

2 – CRAWL – INTRAPPOLATI: 73.404 euro (11.293 spettatori)

3 – SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME: 38.461 euro (5.938 spettatori)

4 – MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL: 35.899 euro (5.576 spettatori)

5 – THE NEST (IL NIDO): 32.217 euro (5.000 spettatori)

6 – TOY STORY 4: 18.387 euro (3.135 spettatori)

7 – THE QUAKE – IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO: 12.384 euro (2.396 spettatori)

8 – SERENITY: 10.564 euro (1.589 spettatori)

9 – KIN: 8.454 euro (1.749 spettatori)

10 – THE WANTING: 5.740 euro (887 spettatori)

 

SATURDAY 17/08

1 – FAST & FURIOUS – HOBBS & SHAW: 244.596 euro (32.921 spettatori)

2 – CRAWL – INTRAPPOLATI: 81.079 euro (11.572 spettatori)

3 – MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL: 47.084 euro (6.700 spettatori)

4 – SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME: 43.387 euro (6.129 spettatori)

5 – THE NEST (IL NIDO): 40.212 euro (5.686 spettatori)

6 – TOY STORY 4: 21.350 euro (3.246 spettatori)

7 – THE QUAKE – IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO: 14.793 euro (2.635 spettatori)

8 – SERENITY: 13.392 euro (1.871 spettatori)

9 – KIN: 11.415 euro (2.323 spettatori)

10 – THE WANTING: 8.329 euro

 

18/08/19 SUNDAY

1 FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW) 08/08/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 241.967 32.845
2 CRAWL - INTRAPPOLATI 15/08/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 77.243 11.075
3 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 46.559 6.658
4 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 44.244 6.425
5 THE NEST 15/08/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 39.584 5.636
6 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 24.709 3.686
7 THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET) 08/08/2019 NOR ALTRE STORIE € 13.889 2.516
8 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 12.045 1.678
9 KIN 15/08/2019 USA INDIPENDENTI REGIONALI € 11.405 2.352
10 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 8.014 1.154

 

Edited by Omni
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WEEKEND RESULTS (15th-18th AUGUST)

 

RANK MOVIE WEEKEND GROSS HOLD TOTAL GROSS PROJECTED GROSS (M)
1 Hobbs & Shaw 908.770 -54% 4.173.752 5.40
2 Crawl 307.855 NEW 307.855 0.75
3 Spider Man: Far From Home 167.045 -17% 11.460.092 11.70
4 MIB: International 166.235 -17% 2.549.631 2.80
5

The Nest - Il Nido (It)

146.641 NEW 146.641 0.30
6 Toy Story 4 84.345

+3%

6.057.858 6.20
7 Skjelvet 53.903 -37% 196.599 0.30
8 Serenity 47.075 -28% 1.341.399 1.40
9 Kin 39.089 NEW 39.089 0.10
10 The Wanting 25.501 -57% 307.243 0.35

 

The weekend was down 27.88% from the same weekend last year. As a result, 2019 has lowered its lead under 9%, to 8.92%.

Despite the very solid weekdays and great overall holds, the week cost 2019 almost a full percentage point. In 2018 The Meg was a slightly weaker performer, but thanks to Ant Man 2 the week received some serious (at least for August standards) boost.

 

Hobbs & Shaw dropped in line with expectations, but I'm upping its projected total a little due to the strong weekdays.

 

Wonderful holds for Spider Man, MIB and Toy Story 4. Far From Home has now a small chance of beating The Amazing Spider Man, currently #12 in thye superhero chart with 12.77 millions, and the highest grossing non-Raimi Spider Man ever (not like there are many...). MIB will finish 30% above Godzilla,  and 20/25% below Pets 2. In May, nobody thought that would translate into a sub-3M gross. Toy Story 4 is saving some face thanks to some great late legs - considering it's getting close to 1M admissions and will certainly get past that once SIAE releases the actual number, the movie has moved from failure territory to big disappointment.

 

And in 2 days...The Lion King. I'm expecting a 8M 4-day opening (10M+ 5-day) for a total around right between Alice in Wonderland (30.4) and BatB (20.5). It has a bigger potential...but bad weather is nowhere to be seen.

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16 hours ago, Omni said:

WEEKEND RESULTS (15th-18th AUGUST)

 

 

And in 2 days...The Lion King. I'm expecting a 8M 4-day opening (10M+ 5-day) for a total around right between Alice in Wonderland (30.4) and BatB (20.5). It has a bigger potential...but bad weather is nowhere to be seen.

Over Alice 

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