ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' stronger than predecessor

[Omni]

10/09/19 (Tuesday)

 

1	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 526.937	83.255
2	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 348.809	59.705
3	APOLLO 11	09/09/2019	USA	NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A.	€ 84.271	8.821
4	MIO FRATELLO RINCORRE I DINOSAURI	05/09/2019	ITA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 78.913	13.785
5	MARTIN EDEN	04/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 63.144	10.954
6	ATTACCO AL POTERE 3 (ANGEL HAS FALLEN)	28/08/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 56.623	9.703
7	FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW)	08/08/2019	USA	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 22.243	5.172
8	5 E' IL NUMERO PERFETTO	29/08/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 9.629	1.722
9	IL SIGNOR DIAVOLO	22/08/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 8.639	1.452
10	TEEN SPIRIT - A UN PASSO DAL SOGNO	29/08/2019	GBR	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 7.021	1.746

 

Didn't expect The Lion King not to drop from Monday.

With this kind of Tuesday hold, IT 2 may go sub-2M this weekend. We'll see if this is just a tricky day like Captain Marvel's first Tuesday.

[Omni]

11/09/19 (Wednesday)

 

1	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 481.856	82.284
2	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 356.680	64.083
3	MIO FRATELLO RINCORRE I DINOSAURI	05/09/2019	ITA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 88.922	16.408
4	APOLLO 11	09/09/2019	USA	NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A.	€ 83.842	8.762
5	MARTIN EDEN	04/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 70.466	13.604
6	ATTACCO AL POTERE 3 (ANGEL HAS FALLEN)	28/08/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 66.266	12.198
7	FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW)	08/08/2019	USA	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 19.513	3.536
8	5 E' IL NUMERO PERFETTO	29/08/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 11.102	2.122
9	IL SIGNOR DIAVOLO	22/08/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 9.920	1.771
10	GENITORI QUASI PERFETTI	29/08/2019	ITA	ADLER ENTERTAINMENT S.R.L.	€ 6.376	1.224

Kind of a weird pattern for The Lion King: it was supposed to drop each weekday due to schools starting, but it had minor increases on both Tuesday and Wednesday. If it doesn't at least get below 200K today, it's worth a WTF.

Anyways it passed the 34M mark and stands right 1M admissions above Endgame.

IT 2 continues its weak daily behaviour. It can still make like 320K today, 450K on Friday, 700K on both Saturday and Sunday for a respectable drop in the mid-50%, but I'm starting to be pessimistic about that.

 

[Omni]

12/09/19 (Thursday)

 

1	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 276.086	41.010
2	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 182.960	29.225
3	TUTTA UN'ALTRA VITA	12/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 62.503	10.569
4	ANGRY BIRDS 2: NEMICI AMICI PER SEMPRE (THE ANGRY BIRDS MOVIE 2)	12/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 56.179	9.552
5	MARTIN EDEN	04/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 46.636	7.822
6	MIO FRATELLO RINCORRE I DINOSAURI	05/09/2019	ITA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 46.035	7.739
7	ATTACCO AL POTERE 3 (ANGEL HAS FALLEN)	28/08/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 34.982	5.637
8	E POI C'E' KATHERINE (LATE NIGHT)	12/09/2019	USA	ADLER ENTERTAINMENT S.R.L.	€ 9.149	1.608
9	STRANGE BUT TRUE	12/09/2019	CAN	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 7.601	1.249
10	GRANDI BUGIE TRA AMICI (NOUS FINIRONS ENSEMBLE)	12/09/2019	FRA	BIM/M.I.	€ 6.478	1.152

 

IT 2 is down 80% from OD. Of course it will get a much better IM, but with the sunny weekend coming it may not be good enough to make it stay above 2M (59% drop). I still stubbornly think it will drop around 55% or better.

The Lion King had an expected big drop from Wednesday (-49%). It should multiply by 10 its Thursday number of the weekend, for a 50% drop.

Angry Birds 2 debuted with an obvious weak number. That said, it should get the bet Thu-to-weekend multiplier and finish the weekend at #3 with around 650/700K.

Hobbs & Shaw out of the chart after 5 weeks of release. More than enough after their week start.

[Omni]

13/09/19 (Friday)

 

1	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 340.443	48.082
2	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 245.149	37.830
3	TUTTA UN'ALTRA VITA	12/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 85.624	13.947
4	ANGRY BIRDS 2: NEMICI AMICI PER SEMPRE (THE ANGRY BIRDS MOVIE 2)	12/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 68.780	11.632
5	MIO FRATELLO RINCORRE I DINOSAURI	05/09/2019	ITA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 67.021	10.875
6	MARTIN EDEN	04/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 61.327	9.903
7	ATTACCO AL POTERE 3 (ANGEL HAS FALLEN)	28/08/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 56.296	8.511
8	E POI C'E' KATHERINE (LATE NIGHT)	12/09/2019	USA	ADLER ENTERTAINMENT S.R.L.	€ 17.252	2.824
9	STRANGE BUT TRUE	12/09/2019	CAN	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 11.896	1.944
10	FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW)	08/08/2019	USA	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 10.903	1.559

 

It 2 is a disaster. Being a horror movie it was supposed to get a better jump on Friday, especially to make up for the weak Thursday. A >60% drop this weekend is becoming pretty likely (it has to rise like 110%+ today in order to avoid it). I don't see how it could recover on a sunny SS.

Though the biggest problem with It 2 in not this drop, but the fact that it's due to its already disappointing opening being even inflated.

It stands at 7.21M right now. It should still reach the double-digit mark, though it will stop around there. Would be a 30% drop from the first chapter.

[Omni]

14/09/19 (Saturday)

 

1	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 474.129	62.019
2	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 417.355	60.110
3	TUTTA UN'ALTRA VITA	12/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 188.660	28.194
4	ANGRY BIRDS 2: NEMICI AMICI PER SEMPRE (THE ANGRY BIRDS MOVIE 2)	12/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 142.722	22.424
5	MARTIN EDEN	04/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 128.078	18.909
6	MIO FRATELLO RINCORRE I DINOSAURI	05/09/2019	ITA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 126.046	18.857
7	ATTACCO AL POTERE 3 (ANGEL HAS FALLEN)	28/08/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 96.139	13.302
8	E POI C'E' KATHERINE (LATE NIGHT)	12/09/2019	USA	ADLER ENTERTAINMENT S.R.L.	€ 40.794	5.994
9	GRANDI BUGIE TRA AMICI (NOUS FINIRONS ENSEMBLE)	12/09/2019	FRA	BIM/M.I.	€ 22.195	3.451
10	FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW)	08/08/2019	USA	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 20.554	2.697

 

Sub-40% rise for IT 2 and just a 60% one for The Lion King.

Not a problem for the latter, which already did gangbuster and has no other milestone left. But IT 2 is really trying hard to fail to reach 10M and a mere 2x multiplier. Currently at 7.86M.

 

 

[Omni]

15/09/19 (Sunday)

 

1	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 426.095	62.223
2	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 348.607	46.206
3	TUTTA UN'ALTRA VITA	12/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 193.555	29.367
4	ANGRY BIRDS 2: NEMICI AMICI PER SEMPRE (THE ANGRY BIRDS MOVIE 2)	12/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 162.606	25.402
5	MIO FRATELLO RINCORRE I DINOSAURI	05/09/2019	ITA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 121.278	18.441
6	MARTIN EDEN	04/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 115.376	17.177
7	ATTACCO AL POTERE 3 (ANGEL HAS FALLEN)	28/08/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 78.104	10.912
8	E POI C'E' KATHERINE (LATE NIGHT)	12/09/2019	USA	ADLER ENTERTAINMENT S.R.L.	€ 34.960	5.216
9	STRANGE BUT TRUE	12/09/2019	CAN	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 20.001	3.294
10	GRANDI BUGIE TRA AMICI (NOUS FINIRONS ENSEMBLE)	12/09/2019	FRA	BIM/M.I.	€ 19.791	3.151

 

The King back on the throne on an abysmal Sunday. IT 2's weekend gross on par with its opening day - atrocious.

 

 

WEEKEND RESULTS (12th-15th SEPTEMBER)

 

RANK	MOVIE	WEEKEND GROSS	HOLD	TOTAL GROSS	PROJECTED GROSS (M)
1	It: Chapter Two	1.447.353	-71%	8.037.317	9.80
2	The Lion King	1.275.084	-65%	35.295.623	37.20
3	Tutta un'Altra Vita (It)	532.594	NEW	535.273	1.40
4	Angry Birds 2	431.617	NEW	436.981	1.10
5	Mio Fratello Rincorre i Dinosauri (It)	362.994	-45%	1.264.555	1.80
6	Martin Eden (It)	352.762	-22%	1.035.503	6.50
7	Angel Has Fallen	266.211	-60%	2.665.522	2.90
8	Late Night	102.155	NEW	102.155	0.30
9	Strange but True	60.624	NEW	60.624	0.15
10	Nous Finirons Ensemble (Fr)	59.168	NEW	59.168	0.15

 

The weekend was up just 4.85% from the same weekend last year. 2019's lead on 2018 has now reached 14.05%.

Another small increase in the lead, but it should have been considerably higher. Sunny weather, dullness of openers and It's terrible frontloading - everything went wrong.

 

It 2 did awfully, good weather or not. It's confortably the steeper drop in the top 10, and keep in mind that in Italy the second weekend's hold tends to be stronger than the others. The movie did almost 50% less than what the first It did on its second weekend despite losing just 1/4 of the original's audience on OW. It was at 11.4 millions at the same point of the run, and finished with 14.5. Using the same multiplier It 2 would finish at 9.6M - so my 9.8 projection is even optimistic. A double digit total is less and less likely. That said, this kind of total remains incredibly high for a horror movie and it's still more than enough for a spot in the top 10 yearly chart.

 

The Lion King was expected to fall hard, but losing 2/3 of the audience is a little too much. Not like it matters: it's already way past Endgame, and became the only non-Cameron Hollywood movie in the all time top 10. With 6M admissions and 40M total both unreachable, it really has no milestone left.

 

Nobody probably cares, but Angry Birds 2 is a major failure. The first movie was a respectable 3.1M grosser, while this movie may just finish with 1/3 of that, especially since there's no rain next weekend either and the Dora+Shaun the Sheep combo is coming in 10 days.

 

Tolkien, Good Boys and Vox Lux all opened outside the top 10 in a kinda limited amount of theaters. Not a bad decision by the distribution, considering that even with few screens only Vox Lux managed a somehow decent PTA. Hobbs & Shaw dropped 76% and is now at 6.330.103. It should stop below 6.4M.

 

This week...Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. Tarantino + DiCaprio + Pitt = big money. The Wolf did 11.9M, Revenant 13.9 and Django 12.0 among comparable titles. Everything below The Wolf of Wall Street would be a disappointment. For now, let's go with a 4.0/4.5M OW and a 12.5/13.0M total.

 

 

Edited September 24, 2019 by Omni

[Omni]

18/09/19 (Wednesday)

 

1	C'ERA UNA VOLTA A...HOLLYWOOD (ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD)	18/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 855.045	120.608
2	CHIARA FERRAGNI: UNPOSTED	17/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 532.323	53.321
3	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 102.893	17.536
4	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 86.958	15.577
5	TUTTA UN'ALTRA VITA	12/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 47.152	9.052
6	VAN GOGH E IL GIAPPONE (VAN GOGH & JAPAN)	16/09/2019	GBR	NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A.	€ 44.332	5.050
7	MARTIN EDEN	04/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 32.814	6.236
8	MIO FRATELLO RINCORRE I DINOSAURI	05/09/2019	ITA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 29.599	5.672
9	ANGRY BIRDS 2: NEMICI AMICI PER SEMPRE (THE ANGRY BIRDS MOVIE 2)	12/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 27.383	5.222
10	ATTACCO AL POTERE 3 (ANGEL HAS FALLEN)	28/08/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 11.862	2.087

 

Huge opening for Tarantino. Django opened on a Thursday (weaker day) and without a few previews, but we're still talking about an 855k vs 405k difference. Django opened with 3.5M and got a great multiplier for around a 12M finish. Once will most likely be more frontloaded, but a 15M finish (and so Aladdin's 15.4M total) is certainly in play. Though far from locked.

 

At #2 we have an event movie about an Italian influencer. No comment.

 

Huge drops from last Wed for IT and LK. The former is still 1.6M away from the double-digit.

 

[fabiopazzo2]

1 milion  in 2 days for Ferragni? Lol What a fook? 🤦🏻‍♂️🤣

[Omni]

Back from 4 days of holidays.

 

Weekend analysis later. As of now:

 

Once Upon a Time did 775K on Thursday (crazy good drop from Wednesday), 888K on Friday (weak increase), 1.141M on Saturday (acceptable jump) and 1.701M on Sunday (wonderful rise). Bast Tarantino debut ever by a big margin.

It 2 did 79K on Thursday, 111k on Friday, 189K on Saturday, 207K on Sunday (even out of the top 5 in admissions that day)

The Lion King did 74K on Thursday, 109k on Friday, 244K on Saturday, 508K on Sunday

 

Once did very good. The King got a good drop. It 2 collapsed despite the weather help on Sunday.

 

And Toy Story 4 is back in the top 10 thanks to a theater count surge due to the absolute lack of kids products (LK is on its 5th weekend and Angry Birds failed - and there's nothing else for families).

[Omni]

WEEKEND RESULTS (19/22 SEPTEMBER)

 

RANK	MOVIE	WEEKEND GROSS	HOLD	TOTAL GROSS	PROJECTED GROSS (M)
1	Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood	4.541.214	NEW	5.412.793	13.20
2	The Lion King	938.234	-26%	36.557.053	37.70
3	It 2	591.374	-59%	8.998.513	9.60
4	Chiara Ferragni: Unposted (It)	544.901 (Thu only)	NEW	1.609.394	1.60
5	Tutta un'Altra Vita (It)	542.213	+2%	1.223.077	1.80
6	Angry Birds 2	432.220	+0%	954.088	1.30
7	Mio Fratello Rincorre i Dinosauri (It)	360.854	-1%	1.727.057	2.10
8	Martin Eden (It)	219.726	-38%	1.355.471	1.50
9	Angel Has Fallen	166.144	-38%	2.881.518	3.00
10	Toy Story 4	111.517	-	6.319.887	6.40

 

Despite Tarantino and the bad weather, the weekend was down 4.60% from the same weekend last year. 2019's lead on 2018 has however increased, thanks to stronger weekdays and the Chiara Ferragni event, to 14.38%.

Last year Incredibles 2 opened with 4.2 millions, so a little lower than Once, but the 2.4M OW of The Nun was almost as much as what the #2, 3, 4 and 5 movie of this weekend have been able to do combined.

 

Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood did very good, though it was able to slightly overtake my 4.0/4.5 OW range just thanks to the awful Sunday weather. The opening is the strongest Tarantino opening ever. Among recent titles we have:

* The Eightful Eight > 3.5M OW // 8.5M total

* Django > 3.6M OW // 12.0M total

* Inglorious Basterds > 2.0M OW (3-day) // 9.4M total

Considering that the opening was inflated by the bad weather and that competition is going to be tough, I'd put its multiplier closer to Eightful Eight's rather than Django's. A 13M+ finish would also mean the same legs of Incredibles 2, which (as mentioned above) opened on the same weekend of the year with around 90% of Once's opening and finished just a tad above 12M.

 

The Lion King got helped by the bad weather and jumped 100%+ on Sunday. The movie has now reached 5.543.136 admissions, including Monday's gross of 51.266 euros (8.555 adm). If not for Avatar 2, it could keep its #3 position on the all time Hollywood chart for one decade.

 

IT 2 is just plain embarassing. Can't believe this is going to get a sub-2x multiplier. And I can't believe it fell by almost 60% on a weekend when every holdover in the top ten drops less than 40%. A very disappointing performance.

 

Angry Birds 2 was helped a lot by the weather too (it did 2/3 of its business on Sunday), but it won't have a long life: with Dora and Shaun both coming this Thursday, there will be 2 more options for desperate kids.

 

Toy Story 4 is one hell of an anomaly. This is basically a re-release due to the lack of options for families (the two bigger chains even had Dora and Shaun previews on Sunday to fight that). It will likely drop 90% next weekend, but an extra 150K is still helpful anf gives it a small chance of overtaking Hobbs and Shaw (which will stop at 6.38 or so).

 

This week, a lot of movies:

* Ad Astra > 1.5M+ OW (First Man was a respectable 3M hit here, and Brad Pitt still has drawing power)

* Dora > 0.5/1.0M OW (might do decently thanks to the emptiness of the family market)

* Shaun: Farmageddon > 0.5M OW (same for Dora, but the potential is lower)

* Yesterday > no clue, probably around Dora numbers

* Rambo Last Blood > 1.5M+ (it's Rambo - the previous movie did 3.7M total)

* and 3 local titles!

Mid-40% drop for Tarantino.

 

So holdovers will get hurt a lot (and the smaller ones will be thanosed). And if Ad Astra opens well enough, we'll have Brad Pitt as leading actor in the #1 and #2 movie of the weekend.

 

 

[Omni]

501k for Tarantino on Monday and 470k on Tuesday. Decent hold.

 

Here's how the seasonal chart looks like after less than 2 months:

 

1	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 36.685.029	5.553.665
2	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 9.102.251	1.282.800
3	C'ERA UNA VOLTA A...HOLLYWOOD (ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD)	18/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 6.429.507	907.098
4	FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW)	08/08/2019	USA	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 6.373.729	925.972
5	ATTACCO AL POTERE 3 (ANGEL HAS FALLEN)	28/08/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 2.906.743	438.843
6	MIO FRATELLO RINCORRE I DINOSAURI	05/09/2019	ITA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 1.778.565	281.680
7	CHIARA FERRAGNI: UNPOSTED	17/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 1.609.044	160.868
8	MARTIN EDEN	04/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 1.391.693	221.012
9	MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL	25/07/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 1.379.629	216.886
10	SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME	10/07/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 1.353.105	212.124

 

The whole second half may disappear from the chart as soon as the end of next week (beaten by Ad Astra, Rambo, Joker - and probably one or two of this week's openers).

[Omni]

26/09/19 (Thursday)

 

1	C'ERA UNA VOLTA A...HOLLYWOOD (ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD)	18/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 341.981	51.936
2	RAMBO - LAST BLOOD	26/09/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 120.644	17.905
3	AD ASTRA	26/09/2019	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 89.889	14.521
4	YESTERDAY	26/09/2019	GBR	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 51.824	8.294
5	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 26.519	4.404
6	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 25.340	3.792
7	DORA E LA CITTA' PERDUTA (DORA AND THE LOST CITY OF GOLD)	26/09/2019	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 22.996	4.768
8	VIVERE	26/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 22.844	4.097
9	TUTTA UN'ALTRA VITA	12/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 20.762	3.578
10	SHAUN, VITA DA PECORA - FARMAGEDDON (A SHAUN THE SHEEP MOVIE: FARMAGEDDON)	26/09/2019	GBR	KOCH MEDIA S.R.L.	€ 17.754	3.117

 

6 movies of the top 10 are new entries.

However, all of them opened below expectations, especially Ad Astra and Dora (and Rambo, if it turns out to even be sligthly frontloaded). Vivere is the only local film that made it into the top 10, but 4k admissions on OD isn't exactly something to be proud of.

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood dropped on all its dailies, but the Thursday hold is good enough to make the number look perfectly acceptable. It's down about 55% from its first Thursday and will recover over the weekend. Tarantino now stands at 7.24M and should be able to pass It 2 (currently at 9.18) on either Sunday or Monday.

[Omni]

27/09/19 (Friday)

 

1	C'ERA UNA VOLTA A...HOLLYWOOD (ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD)	18/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 434.260	62.053
2	AD ASTRA	26/09/2019	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 145.470	22.444
3	RAMBO - LAST BLOOD	26/09/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 137.760	19.887
4	YESTERDAY	26/09/2019	GBR	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 77.816	12.114
5	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 47.966	7.487
6	DORA E LA CITTA' PERDUTA (DORA AND THE LOST CITY OF GOLD)	26/09/2019	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 43.679	7.502
7	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 39.797	5.545
8	VIVERE	26/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 36.140	6.096
9	TUTTA UN'ALTRA VITA	12/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 33.356	5.381
10	SHAUN, VITA DA PECORA - FARMAGEDDON (A SHAUN THE SHEEP MOVIE: FARMAGEDDON)	26/09/2019	GBR	KOCH MEDIA S.R.L.	€ 30.305	5.177

 

Great Friday jumps all around, especially (and unexpectedly) for kids films (all with increases just under 100%) - and except for Rambo, which was indeed frontloaded.

Once Upon a Time is down 50% from last Friday. Hoping for a 75%+ jump today to offset the much weaker Sunday hold.

Brad Pitt is #1 and #2.

 

[Omni]

28/09/19 (Saturday)

 

1	C'ERA UNA VOLTA A...HOLLYWOOD (ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD)	18/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 759.087	101.079
2	AD ASTRA	26/09/2019	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 318.995	45.513
3	RAMBO - LAST BLOOD	26/09/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 234.238	31.801
4	YESTERDAY	26/09/2019	GBR	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 182.887	26.321
5	DORA E LA CITTA' PERDUTA (DORA AND THE LOST CITY OF GOLD)	26/09/2019	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 155.357	24.423
6	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 127.995	18.652
7	SHAUN, VITA DA PECORA - FARMAGEDDON (A SHAUN THE SHEEP MOVIE: FARMAGEDDON)	26/09/2019	GBR	KOCH MEDIA S.R.L.	€ 107.498	16.591
8	VIVERE	26/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 100.602	15.372
9	TUTTA UN'ALTRA VITA	12/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 83.923	12.233
10	IT - CAPITOLO DUE (IT CHAPTER TWO)	05/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 76.354	9.904

 

74% rise for Tarantino, just a bit below what I was hoping for but still perfectly acceptable. It's down 32% from last Saturday, though it's totally unlikely that it will match last Sunday's crazy surge (+53%).

Pretty strong multiplier for Ad Astra so far, though not strong enough to overcome that bad OD. It needs a 40% Sunday increase or so to avoid a sub-1M opening, and without the help of the rain it's again pretty impossible.

Dora obviously got the biggest Saturday rise (higher than +300%).

IT 2 is, at this point, just material for a laugh.

 

[Omni]

29/09/19 (Sunday)

 

1	C'ERA UNA VOLTA A...HOLLYWOOD (ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD)	18/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 600.553	81.151
2	AD ASTRA	26/09/2019	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 255.754	37.153
3	RAMBO - LAST BLOOD	26/09/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 226.834	31.351
4	DORA E LA CITTA' PERDUTA (DORA AND THE LOST CITY OF GOLD)	26/09/2019	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 191.252	29.742
5	YESTERDAY	26/09/2019	GBR	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 155.592	22.786
6	IL RE LEONE (THE LION KING)	21/08/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 146.143	21.642
7	SHAUN, VITA DA PECORA - FARMAGEDDON (A SHAUN THE SHEEP MOVIE: FARMAGEDDON)	26/09/2019	GBR	KOCH MEDIA S.R.L.	€ 144.335	22.169
8	VIVERE	26/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 86.942	13.602
9	TUTTA UN'ALTRA VITA	12/09/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 60.607	9.080
10	ANGRY BIRDS 2: NEMICI AMICI PER SEMPRE (THE ANGRY BIRDS MOVIE 2)	12/09/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 57.253	8.874

 

Dysmal Sunday with lots of drops. Once Upon a Time is down 65% from last Sunday after being down 32% Sat-to.Sat. Crazy.

[Omni]

WEEKEND RESULTS (22/25 SEPTEMBER)

 

RANK	MOVIE	WEEKEND GROSS	HOLD	TOTAL GROSS	CONVERTED TO NA
1	Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood	2.154.427	-53%	9.054.596	43.10/ 181.10
2	Ad Astra	816.156	NEW	816.156	16.30/16.30
3	Rambo: Last Blood	727.757	NEW	732.684	14.60/14.70
4	Yesterday	482.787	NEW	482.787	9.60/9.60
5	Dora and the Lost City of Gold	417.097	NEW	417.097	8.30/8.30
6	The Lion King	352.095	-62%	37.101.566	7.00/742.00
6	Shaun the Sheep: Farmageddon	301.667	NEW	303.942	6.00/6.10
8	Vivere (It)	248.543	NEW	248.895	5.00/5.00
9	Tutta un'Altra Vita (It)	199.517	-63%	1.542.972	4.00/30.90
10	It - Chapter Two	194.529	-67%	9.345.205	3.90/186.90

 

The weekend was up a mere 1.92% from the same weekend last year. But 2019's lead on 2018 has for some reason dropped from +14.38% to 13.75%.

 

Not a good weekend at all.

Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood held much worse than Django, which had a sub-30% fall for a 2.6M 2nd weekend. Hollywood's lead is big enough (+1.60M) to avoid a result below that movie's 12M total. The dream of overtaking Aladdin (15.4M) is totally gone.

 

All the openers fell below expectations. Rambo's result is particularly disappointing as the 2008 movie opened 1M higher and finished with 3.5M. To finish below its predecessor's OW is really a disaster.

 

Brad Pitt won his battle against Stallone, but it can't be happy about that. One would think that if First Man can gross around 3M, Ad Astra should be good for more than that, but it's even doubtful it reaches the 2M mark.

 

Toy Story 4 lost pretty much all its showings and its run is now over. It will stop 30/40k below Hobbs & Shaw, but above it in admissions.

 

This weekend we have:

* Joker > Venom opened to 3.7M and the character is very popular here; also, its Venice win can only help and the reviews it's getting are mostly great; however, I'll remain conservative given it opens when Tarantino is still strong and it's not really as mainstream as Venom; let's say 3.0/3.5M OW

* Abominable > probably in line with the rest of the world, meaning 0.5+ OW and 1.0+ total (Smallfoot did 0.8/1.6)

*and 2 local comedies...

 

Note: instead of the pretty useless projected total, I thought I might use the last coloumn to show how the weekend would look like after adjusting the actual numbers to the North America ones. Of course itìs not an objective adjustement, but it gives you an idea.

Edited October 2, 2019 by Omni

[fabiopazzo2]

1

JOKER

03/10/2019

USA

WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.

€ 1.033.369

148.766

 

Very strong OD!

[keysersoze123]

13 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

1

JOKER

03/10/2019

USA

WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.

€ 1.033.369

148.766

 

Very strong OD!

Any comparisons to SS/BvS and even solo MCU movies.

[TalismanRing]

13 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Any comparisons to SS/BvS and even solo MCU movies.

On 3/7/2019 at 2:41 AM, ZeeSoh said:

Some recent OD comparisons I found on this thread

 

Infinity War - € 2.944.589 (holiday)

Aquaman - € 1.541.932 (holiday)

EP8  - € 1.233.026    

FB2 -  € 751.774

JW 2 - € 660.303

Venom - € 600.000

Ant Man 2 - € 502.395 (Summer)

Black Panther - € 470.000 (Valentine's day)

Justice League - € 440.000

CAPTAIN MARVEL     € 765.871  /    114.547 adm

SPIDER-MAN: FFH  € 1.462.343  /    213.177adm

BvS  €890.000 / 124.000 adm

[keysersoze123]

Then its very good as there was no holiday I presume.