Baumer's Summer Game - Darkelf #1, Grim22 #2, laguy03 #3..final words from baumer pg 95

[baumer]

 

Week 16

 

avi:  14,000+0 for indivds

Ethan:  12,000

Alpha:  10,000+0 for indivds+5000 bonus 1

exdee:  13,000+5000 bonus 2

glassfairy:  6000

blank:  8000

movieman:  7000

chas:  13,000

dajk:  14,000+0 for indivds

simionski:  15,000

cedar:  15,000

geraldino:  15,000

wrath:  14,000

kayu:  8000

tele:  7000

damienroc:   13,000

darkelf:  13,000+5000 bonus 4

Numbers:  13,000+5000 bonus 3

dipper:  10,000

24lost:  9000

empire: 13,000

cmaster:  10,000

darthsnoopy:  10,000

laguy:  17,000

mattrek:  13,000

goffe:  7000

chewy:  10,000

grim:  9000

[Mattrek]

Hey B sent you a pm when you get a chance.

[Mattrek]

Speculation time

This is what the top 15 looks like currently (more or less)

1. Jurassic World - $611,228,810

2. Avengers: Age of Ultron - $455,998,417

3. Inside Out - $306,247,046

4. Minions - $261,000,000

5. Pitch Perfect 2 - $183,436,380

6. San Andreas - $151,244,307

7. Mad Max: Fury Road - $150,986,661

8. Spy - $106,598,725

9. Ant-Man - 106,000,000

10. Tomorrowland - $91,755,697

11. Terminator: Genisys - $85,642,314

12. Ted 2 - $78,359,250

13. Trainwreck - $61,000,000

14. Magic Mike XXL - $60,584,009

15. Insidious Chapter 3 - $51,903,851

Contenders to get on to this list are Vacation, Rogue Nation, Fantastic Four, UNCLE, Compton. Don't think anything else in the rest of summer has a shot at grossing 50M or now. Ted 2 will almost surely miss out on the top 15 as Rogue Nation and Fantastic Four will most likely hit 80M. If Vacation pulls off a We Are The Millers, it will end up on the list as well. Compton will open well (maybe mid-30s), legs will be the question. UNCLE will open decently (maybe 30) and will rely on legs, both movies have little time though.

Right now, the top 15 prediction will be:

Locks:

Jurassic World

Avengers

Inside Out

Minions

PItch Perfect 2

San Andreas

Mad Max

Ant-Man

Almost locks:

Spy

Trainwreck

Fighting for the final 5 spots (as of today):

Tomorrowland

Genisys

Rogue Nation

Vacation

Fantastic Four

UNCLE

Compton

Extremely outside shot:

Ted 2 (if literally everything flops)

Despite their horrible underperformance, we may end up with both Tomorrowland and Genisys in the top 15 if 2 of the remaining 5 movies disappoint.

Literally everything flopped, Ted 2 is in

[Wrath]

*Ahem* SOC

ALMOST everything flopped.

Edited August 18, 2015 by Wrath

[Dementeleus]

If baumer's getting 14/15 right, then he gets himself a 600,000 bonus.

 

[baumer]

Thats kinda nice lol.

[Wrath]

Its pretty much a lock unless SoC ends up with a 1.3 or so mult.

[MovieMan89]

Damn Baumer, you got kinda brutal with a lot of those week 16  questions.      All of these were like right on the cusp of yes or no:

 

6) Will any film in the top 10 fall less than 30%? NO (by 0.7% for Ant-Man. Grr....)

7) Will any film in the top 10, excluding FF, fall more than 45%? YES (by 0.1 freakin percent for The Gift. Shit Mother Fucker!!!)

8) Will Minions make more than Ant-Man? NO (by 350k)

10) Will FF have a Saturday increase of more than 40%? NO (by 2.8%)

11) Will Jurassic World make more than 10 million WW according to Rentrak? YES (by 147k. )

12) Will Pixels drop less than 38.5%? YES (by 0.4%. )

[baumer]

Damn I'm good sometimes.  lol

 

I'll have week 16 done by tomorrow night...going to see Compton again tonight with a buddy.

 

I'll have about 5 SOTM questions scored by the weekend.  Standings are going to change big time.

[sakskidz]

btw did Tele love Mad Max and did baumer love Jurassic World?

[Avatree]

btw did Tele love Mad Max and did baumer love Jurassic World?

Oh, you do not spend enough time on these boards...

[sakskidz]

well theres a lot of box office games its tough to remember every comment on every board

[4815162342]

well theres a lot of box office games its tough to remember every comment on every board

 

Yeah but this was huge permeation. You couldn't walk five feet without tripping over a post about how Tele loved MM and baumer loved JW

[sakskidz]

ok, i mustve not really been on the board over that time ive really only been doing the actual sotm and weekly questions and didnt really check this board since theyre in separate boards

[Dementeleus]

A far trickier question would've been if I loved JW and baumer loved FURY ROAD.

[BadAtGender]

A far trickier question would've been if I loved JW and baumer loved FURY ROAD.

 

I don't think that's tricky to answer, either.

[Avatree]

ok, i mustve not really been on the board over that time ive really only been doing the actual sotm and weekly questions and didnt really check this board since theyre in separate boards

dude don't worry, we aren't being too serious, don't take it personally.

 

 

A far trickier question would've been if I loved JW

Yeah, I don't think you have made that clear to anyone yet Tele...

[4815162342]

I don't think that's tricky to answer, either.

 

Well at the time we had no idea that Tele would loathe JW with the fury of a thousand suns

[Dementeleus]

I don't think that's tricky to answer, either.

Well, I meant back in April!

[BadAtGender]

Well, I meant back in April!

 

Okay, fair.

 

Actually, given how much Baumer goes for 80s-era stuffs, it's a bit surprising he's lukewarm on MMFR.