DAJK Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Let's do this! 1. Finding Dory - $500M 2. Rogue One - $450M 3. Batman V. Superman - $415M 4. Civil War - $385M 5. Moana - $335M 6. Independence Day 2 - $300M 7. Fantastic Beasts - $290M 8. Suicide Squad - $285M 9. Warcraft - $260M 10. Secret Life of Pets - $250M 11. Dr. Strange - $240M 12. X-Men Apocalypse - $238M 13. Ghostbusters - $232M 14. Zootopia - $230M 15. Star Trek 3 - $220M 16. Bourne 5 - $210M 17. The Jungle Book - $200M 18. Alice In Wonderland 2 - $195M 19. BFG - $180M 20. Turtles 2 - $175M 21. Kung Fu Panda 3 - $175M 22. The Conjuring 2 - $140M 23. Trolls - $135M 24. Gambit - $132M 25. Ice Age 5 - $128M 26. Deepwater Horizon - $126M 27. Central Intellgence - $123M 28. Gods of Egypt - $121M 29. Deadpool - $119M 30. The Finest Hours - $115M Worldwide: 1. Rogue One - $1.35B 2. Civil War - $1.2B 3. Finding Dory - $1.1B 4. Batman v. Superman - $1.05B 5. Fantastic Beasts - $950M 6. Independence Day - $925M 7. Kung Fu Panda 3 - $880M 8. Moana - $865M 9. X Men - $780M 10. The Great Wall - $760M 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 ^^^ Dat overseas number for The Great Wall doe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 ^^^ Dat overseas number for The Great Wall doe I could see it doing 350 in china, and around 100 domestic. So 300OS sans china could happen. It may be a tad high but I think it could happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 I Wonder if Alice Through the looking Glass is being overlooked, I mean sure a lot of people hate the first movie, but I know a large amount of people who were obsessed with the first when it came out, even a Transformers 4 from 3 30% drop rate would put it at over $230m. then again a lot of people really hated it, and putting it against Apocalypse isn't a good Idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 I Wonder if Alice Through the looking Glass is being overlooked, I mean sure a lot of people hate the first movie, but I know a large amount of people who were obsessed with the first when it came out, even a Transformers 4 from 3 30% drop rate would put it at over $230m. then again a lot of people really hated it, and putting it against Apocalypse isn't a good Idea. I'm thinking 160-180M until I see some marketing to sway me to either side of that number (I like the first one by the way) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PierreHP Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Let's do this! 1. Finding Dory - $500M 2. Rogue One - $450M 3. Batman V. Superman - $415M 4. Civil War - $385M 5. Moana - $335M 6. Independence Day 2 - $300M 7. Fantastic Beasts - $290M 8. Suicide Squad - $285M 9. Warcraft - $260M 10. Secret Life of Pets - $250M 11. Dr. Strange - $240M 12. X-Men Apocalypse - $238M 13. Ghostbusters - $232M 14. Zootopia - $230M 15. Star Trek 3 - $220M 16. Bourne 5 - $210M 17. The Jungle Book - $200M 18. Alice In Wonderland 2 - $195M 19. BFG - $180M 20. Turtles 2 - $175M 21. Kung Fu Panda 3 - $175M 22. The Conjuring 2 - $140M 23. Trolls - $135M 24. Gambit - $132M 25. Ice Age 5 - $128M 26. Deepwater Horizon - $126M 27. Central Intellgence - $123M 28. Gods of Egypt - $121M 29. Deadpool - $119M 30. The Finest Hours - $115M Worldwide: 1. Rogue One - $1.35B 2. Civil War - $1.2B 3. Finding Dory - $1.1B 4. Batman v. Superman - $1.05B 5. Fantastic Beasts - $950M 6. Independence Day - $925M 7. Kung Fu Panda 3 - $880M 8. Moana - $865M 9. X Men - $780M 10. The Great Wall - $760M I think that you are overestimating Moana a bit.I mean we don't know anything about the movie yet and nobody seems to be interested at all.You are also underestimating Alice but overall your predictions seem good to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 I think that you are overestimating Moana a bit.I mean we don't know anything about the movie yet and nobody seems to be interested at all.You are also underestimating Alice but overall your predictions seem good to me. Thanks man! I expect a lot of these are going to be way off for sure, but I am going to do another set I predictions come October and then a final one Jan 1. Hopefully we get a better look at some of these movies by then so we (I) can make more accurate predictions 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Let's do this! 1. Finding Dory - $500M 2. Rogue One - $450M 3. Batman V. Superman - $415M 4. Civil War - $385M 5. Moana - $335M 6. Independence Day 2 - $300M 7. Fantastic Beasts - $290M 8. Suicide Squad - $285M 9. Warcraft - $260M 10. Secret Life of Pets - $250M 11. Dr. Strange - $240M 12. X-Men Apocalypse - $238M 13. Ghostbusters - $232M 14. Zootopia - $230M 15. Star Trek 3 - $220M 16. Bourne 5 - $210M 17. The Jungle Book - $200M 18. Alice In Wonderland 2 - $195M 19. BFG - $180M 20. Turtles 2 - $175M 21. Kung Fu Panda 3 - $175M 22. The Conjuring 2 - $140M 23. Trolls - $135M 24. Gambit - $132M 25. Ice Age 5 - $128M 26. Deepwater Horizon - $126M 27. Central Intellgence - $123M 28. Gods of Egypt - $121M 29. Deadpool - $119M 30. The Finest Hours - $115M Worldwide: 1. Rogue One - $1.35B 2. Civil War - $1.2B 3. Finding Dory - $1.1B 4. Batman v. Superman - $1.05B 5. Fantastic Beasts - $950M 6. Independence Day - $925M 7. Kung Fu Panda 3 - $880M 8. Moana - $865M 9. X Men - $780M 10. The Great Wall - $760M I think that you are overestimating Moana a bit.I mean we don't know anything about the movie yet and nobody seems to be interested at all.You are also underestimating Alice but overall your predictions seem good to me. You can't use the fact that no one is interested in a film with over a year left to release as a reason to doubt it. I mean, it's a Disney movie. You know there's going to be hype eventually 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PierreHP Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Thanks man! I expect a lot of these are going to be way off for sure, but I am going to do another set I predictions come October and then a final one Jan 1. Hopefully we get a better look at some of these movies by then so we (I) can make more accurate predictions You're welcome. Most 2016 films will start filming later this year so you can even more better predictions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PierreHP Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 You can't use the fact that no one is interested in a film with over a year left to release as a reason to doubt it. I mean, it's a Disney movie. You know there's going to be hype eventually I think so but it's curious that they haven't found the actress for Moana yet... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 I think they're looking for an unknown child actress. They don't typically announce those until later Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 You're welcome. Most 2016 films will start filming later this year so you can even more better predictions. Yea hopefully! But I do like it when a film does much better than anyone expected it to. For example I would prefer it if say Finest Hours did 300DOM rather than the 115 I predicted. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 (edited) Dp Edited July 19, 2015 by tribefan695 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 (edited) Maybe, maybe not, It's the first star wars spinoff ever, if SW7 is gigantic and well liked, it is very possible Rogue One could be the #1 film of the year.. either way I see $300m as the floor for it. $300 million is only the floor if SW7 does $550 million+ DOM and has phenomenal reviews. If it gets Hobbit-esque reception, I'd say Rogue One isn't even locked for $250 million DOM. I think Dory will be huge enough that Rogue One will have to settle for #2. Either way, Disney's happy they might even have the top 3 and #5 if BvS underperforms and Moana breaks out. the top 10 DOM for 2016 looks great (updating predicts): Finding Dory: $575 million (from a $140 million OW) Rogue One: $475 million (from a $115 million OW) Batman vs. Superman: $425 million (from a $180 million OW) Captain America - Civil War: $375 million (from a $145 million OW) Moana: $325 million (from a $80 million OW) The Secret Lives of Pets: $270 million (from a $70 million OW) X-Men - Apocalypse: $250 million (from a $100 million OW) Ghostbusters: $235 million (from a $65 million OW) Independence Day 2: $225 million (from a $75 million OW) Fantastic Beasts: $215 million (from a $85 million OW) Edited July 19, 2015 by mahnamahna Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
electric storm Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 (edited) Finding Dory is going to win the year imo, that's all I'll say for now though I think people are wildly overpredicting pretty much all the comic book properties as they seem to do every year. They're not all doing 300 million + and I don't see Captain and the new Snyder exceeding their predecessors by THAT much. Biggest wildcard of the year is Passengers which could do anything from 70 million to like, 400 million. Edited July 19, 2015 by electric storm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 $300 million is only the floor if SW7 does $550 million+ DOM and has phenomenal reviews. If it gets Hobbit-esque reception, I'd say Rogue One isn't even locked for $250 million DOM. I think Dory will be huge enough that Rogue One will have to settle for #2. Either way, Disney's happy they might even have the top 3 and #5 if BvS underperforms and Moana breaks out. the top 10 DOM for 2016 looks great (updating predicts): Finding Dory: $575 million (from a $140 million OW) Rogue One: $475 million (from a $115 million OW) Batman vs. Superman: $425 million (from a $180 million OW) Captain America - Civil War: $375 million (from a $145 million OW) Moana: $325 million (from a $80 million OW) The Secret Lives of Pets: $270 million (from a $70 million OW) X-Men - Apocalypse: $250 million (from a $100 million OW) Ghostbusters: $235 million (from a $65 million OW) Independence Day 2: $225 million (from a $75 million OW) Fantastic Beasts: $215 million (from a $85 million OW) My Predictions are right now for Rogue One to end at #4 actually, below BvS, CA: CW and Finding Dory, I just feel like it's the dark horse here, I also believe SW7 is locked for $500m at this point, even with middling reviews, I am very optimistic it will get excellent reviews and gross somewhere from $600-$700m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Finding Dory is going to win the year imo, that's all I'll say for now though I think people are wildly overpredicting pretty much all the comic book properties as they seem to do every year. They're not all doing 300 million + and I don't see Captain and the new Snyder exceeding their predecessors by THAT much. Biggest wildcard of the year is Passengers which could do anything from 70 million to like, 400 million. I didn't even really know about Passengers, but after looking it up, sci-fi, space, Lawrence and Pratt that's pretty much the definition of $$$... I mean paring the most bankable actor in hollywood at the moment with the most bankable actress, in their wheelhouse genres. I may need to update my predictions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Does Passenger have an official release date yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 (edited) Does Passenger have an official release date yet? No, it's still in preproduction too, my guess is it would release in the fall or holiday season, sounds very Gravity/The Martian like. Edited July 19, 2015 by Kalo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
electric storm Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 (edited) It's filming in September so the assumption is a release slot in 2016 similar to Gravity/Interstellar/The Martian. Edited July 19, 2015 by electric storm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
