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Top ten films of 2016 predictions

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On 12/29/2015 at 2:06 PM, Gokai Red said:

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, 160/500 155.1/~535 (-3.1%/+7%)

Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice, 200/470 166/330.4 (-17%/-29.7%)

Captain America: Civil War, 185/470 179.1/408.1 (-3.2%/-13.2%)

Finding Dory, 130/450 135.1/486.3 (+3.9%/+8.1%)

Zootopia, 75/275 75.1/341.3 (+0.1%/+24.1%)

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, 110/270 74.4/~233 (-32.4%/-13.7%)

X-Men: Apocalypse, 100/260 65.8/155.4 (-34.2%/-40.2%)

Moana, 70/250 56.6/~244 (-19.1%/-2.4%)

Independence Day: Resurgence, 90/250 41/103.1 (-54.4%/-58.8%)

Doctor Strange, 80/220 85.1/~233 (+6.4%/+5.9%)

 

Green text signifies I got the prediction correct within 10%. Yellow text signifies I got the between 10 and 20% correct. Red text means I was off by over 20%. 

 

Of the 20 numbers I predicted (OW and DOM total), I got 9/20 mostly correct, 4/20 somewhat correct, and 7/20 completely off. Of my predicted Top 10, I got 5/10 in the Top 10, although only 2/10 in the correct placement. Overall, I think I did alright, because some of the movies in the actual Top 10 (Deadpool, Jungle Book, SLOP) were very large overperformers. Let's not say anything about my IDR prediction. Looking forward to seeing my 2017 predictions and how close (or far off) I got them!

 

Predictions for 2017 ranked by DOM total

1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, 220/770/1570

2. Beauty and The Beast, 140/450/1070

3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 160/400/1000

4. The Fate of the Furious, 130/305/1155

5. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 115/305/875

6. Justice League, 140/300/850

7. Despicable Me 3, 100/290/1040

8. Thor: Ragnarok, 100/260/810

9. Wonder Woman, 90/240/740

10. War for the Planet of the Apes, 80/215/715

 
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