Chasmmi's Winter Game - Grey Ghost is the WINNER!

[WrathOfHan]

[JJ-8]

8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

 

[chasmmi]

1 hour ago, JJ-8 said:

SOTM 1 Scores

 

 

User	Choice Taken	Ratings				Bonus Score	TOTAL Score
		The Martian	Sicario	The Walk	Pan
Wrath	Abstain						2000
Grey Ghost	Abstain						2000
MovieMan89	Total Gross	A	B	D	D	0	-16000
WrathofHan	#Weekends	B	A+	A+	A+	5000	29000
DAJK	Total Gross	A	A+	D	D	0	-8000
bcf26	Abstain						2000
thatoneguy	Total Gross	A+	B	A	D	0	2000
avi	Total Gross	B	B	D	D	0	-20000
Mikekaye42	Total Gross	A	D	D	D	0	-26000
Kalo	Total Gross	A+	B	D	C	0	-6000
Telemachos	Total Gross	A	D	D	B	0	-16000
Blankments	Total Gross	B	B	D	D	0	-20000
Jajang	Total Gross	A+	B	C	D	0	-6000
kayumanggi	Total Gross	A+	C	D	D	0	-16000
Filmovie	Abstain						2000
Chasmmi	Total Gross	A+	A+	A+	D	0	14000
Exxdee	Total Gross	A	A+	C	D	0	-2000
misafeco	Total Gross	A	B	C	A	0	4000
darkelf	Total Gross	A	A+	D	C	0	-2000
Infernus	Total Gross	A	A	D	C	0	-6000
DamienRoc	Abstain						2000
Tree	Total Gross	A	A+	D	D	0	-8000

 

DAMN YOU PAN!!! DAMN YOU TO HADES!!!

[Infernus]

It sucks. I keep doing well in the weeklies and yet keep moving down the list. Currently I've got the second highest points in the weeklies, only behind Exxdee, but that -77k in the SOTMs........  

Edited February 1, 2016 by Infernus

[Wrath]

1 hour ago, Infernus said:

It sucks. I keep doing well in the weeklies and yet keep moving down the list. Currently I've got the second highest points in the weeklies, only behind Exxdee, but that -77k in the SOTMs........  

 

There's a trick to the SOTM's, you know. Unlike you, I blow donkeys at the the weeklies, yet this trick gives me a decent score overall. Really, its magic trick. Well, not so much a magic TRICK as a magic WORD.

 

That word, of course, is "Abstain". As far as this competition goes, its the best word in the English language. If you can crush it on the weeklies, you just want to not shoot yourself in the foot elsewhere. Pick the SOTMs that you are absolutely sure you can get points on, and abstain on everything else. Its the easy guide to life. The downside, of course, is that you'll never win. On the other hand, I have no illusions of being able to win and I'm quite pleased to be in 6th.

[Infernus]

15 minutes ago, Wrath said:

 

There's a trick to the SOTM's, you know. Unlike you, I blow donkeys at the the weeklies, yet this trick gives me a decent score overall. Really, its magic trick. Well, not so much a magic TRICK as a magic WORD.

 

That word, of course, is "Abstain". As far as this competition goes, its the best word in the English language. If you can crush it on the weeklies, you just want to not shoot yourself in the foot elsewhere. Pick the SOTMs that you are absolutely sure you can get points on, and abstain on everything else. Its the easy guide to life. The downside, of course, is that you'll never win. On the other hand, I have no illusions of being able to win and I'm quite pleased to be in 6th.

 

Ah, well. This was my first time. And just like every first timer I couldn't hold my excitement  . But no worries, I will return in the winter of 2017-18, wiser and more learned, to finally conquer what was rightfully mine  

Spoiler

The second position  

 

[Wrath]

Summer, man!  Summer awaits! Sounds like the pre-season Summer questions will probably show up in just a couple months.

[WrathOfHan]

Several questions changed with actuals (Marked in green):

 

 

On 1/31/2016 at 11:27 AM, WrathOfHan said:

Estimated answers:

 

1. Will Kung Fu Panda open to at least $35M? Yes

2. Will Kung Fu Panda open to at least $42.5M? 3000 No

3. Will Kung Fu Panda open to at least $50M? No

4. Will 50 shades of Black open to within 25% of Jack Black's weekend total (yes this technically includes Goosebumps  ) No

5. Will Alvin drop more than 62% this weekend? No

6. Will the Finest Hours Open ahead of the Revenant? 2000 No

7. Will Star Wars' weekend total be at least $2M ahead of the 6th placed film? Yes

 

8. Will Norm of the North stay above the Big Short? No

9. Will Dirty Grandpa remain ahead of both the Boy and 5th wave next weekend? 3000 Yes

10. Will Jane got a Gun make at least $1.5M this weekend? No

11. Will 13 hours cross 40M by the end of the weekend? Yes

12. Will at least 3 Oscar Nominated films (any category, any position) increase this weekend? Yes

13. Will Star wars have a higher PTA than Revenant? 2000 Yes

14. Will the 5th wave have made half its budget ($38M according to BOM) back by the end of the weekend? Yes

 

15. Will ride along 2 remain in the top 6 this weekend? Yes

16. Will any non-animated film increase at least 85% on Saturday? Yes

17. Will The Hateful 8 have a bigger Sunday drop than The Forest? 3000 No

18. Will Spotlight finish 16th or higher this weekend? Yes

19. Will Carol finish above the Danish Girl this weekend? 2000 Yes

20. Will Daddy's Home drop more than 53%? No

21. Did you know there was apparently an Ip Man 1 and 2 that happened at some point? Yes

 

14/21 - 2000

15/21 - 3000

16/21 - 4000

17/21 - 5000

18/21 - 6000

19/21 - 8000

20/21 - 10000

21/21 - 15000

 

Part 2

 

1. What will Kung Fu Panda's OW be? $41,282,042

2. What will be the combined Saturday of 50 shades and finest hours $6,728,872

3. What will be the total weekend gross of ALL the films reported on BOM with a one word title? $6,938,423

 

Part 3

 

2. The Revenant

5. Ride Along 2

7. The Boy

9. 13 Hours

12. Daddy's Home

15. Spotlight

 

3/6 - 2000

4/6 - 5000

5/6 - 8000

6/6 - 12000 

 

So I lost my 2k points from Part 3 but gained 4k from Part 1 and had my bonus upgraded to 4k for a total of 28k   

[WrathOfHan]

KFP's OW was mostly successful, quite a few within 2.5M and 5M: 

 

[WrathOfHan]

Some observations for OW predictions:

 

The following will not earn a bonus 50k for calling the Top 3 in order unless Deadpool makes 70M: bcf26 Chasmmi, DamienRoc, Filmovie, glassfairy, grey ghost, laguy03, misafeco 

 

Assuming Deadpool cracks the Top 7, the following users will have 5/7 movies correct and earn 75k: Alfred, bcf26, Blankments, DamienRoc, darkelf, grey ghost, laguy03, MikeKaye42, misafeco, MovieMan89, Tree, Wrath, WrathOfHan

 

Assuming Deadpool cracks the Top 7, the following users will have 6/7 movies correct and earn 100k: Chasmmi, DAJK, Exxdee, Filmovie, Infernus, Jajang, Kalo, kayumanggi, Panda, sakskidz, ThatOneGuy

 

The following will not earn a Top 5-7 bonus: Baumer, Telemachos

[chasmmi]

54 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

 

 

The following will not earn a Top 5-7 bonus: Baumer, Telemachos

 

And in one quote,  all became right in the world again

[That One Girl]

WOOO!!! THATONEGUY FOR 100K!!!! YEAH...

 

...I really am desperate...

[Dementeleus]

29 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

 

And in one quote,  all became right in the world again

 

 

[BadAtGender]

I just keep telling myself that all I have to worry about is beating Tele. That's my only goal after the Summer game performance.

 

Not going to cry... at all... about not being able to catch up with the leaders.

[CJohn]

Is Tele winning this thing? He must not win. Unless he corrects himself and learns to love Birdman, Revenant and Jurassic World. 

[BadAtGender]

3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Is Tele winning this thing? He must not win. Unless he corrects himself and learns to love Birdman, Revenant and Jurassic World. 

 

Probably not? He's currently in 12th place, over 200k points behind the leader.

 

He's also over 100k points behind me, which is the only important thing to track.

[Dementeleus]

15 minutes ago, DamienRoc said:

 

Probably not? He's currently in 12th place, over 200k points behind the leader.

 

He's also over 100k points behind me, which is the only important thing to track.

 

Preseason predictions, gents.

[CJohn]

13 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

Preseason predictions, gents.

 

[BadAtGender]

21 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

Preseason predictions, gents.

 

Right. Sorry.

 

Taking that into account, you're probably at least 400k points behind the leader.

 

(I might be as well. I'm just hoping I have a big enough buffer to stay ahead of you.)

[Wrath]

There is no buffer big enough when it comes to preseason questions.