Wrath Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 (edited) That's about as good as a second weekend gets, and I'm astounded at that Daddy's Home number so its a good time for a cooldown which this weekend is thoughtfully providing. Just one movie this weekend. That having been said, its a wide expansion rather than a new release, its a Thursday release, and its Hateful Eight. So at the very least its about as interesting as a single-movie weekend can be. I've waffled a bit in the past on this, but even though its a Thursday release/expansion on a major holiday we're going to stick with 3-day FFS predicts. Please provide your 1/1 - 3 Opening Weekend predicts for: Hateful Eight (BOM says 1,800) *3-day* Deadline is now going to be sometime between midnight Wednesday and Thursday midmorning (US Eastern time), depending on when I get to it. Edited December 28, 2015 by Wrath Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted December 28, 2015 Author Share Posted December 28, 2015 Also, WaterBottle gave me some advice on overcoming my technology incompetence, and I've set up a dropbox with the data I've collected thus far. That way if I get hit by a bus the data won't disappear with me. Link is here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/dc5zjt68cqgk6x6/Movie%20Data%21.xlsx?dl=0 in case anyone is interested. Rest assured, that's not the master copy. I'd prefer people not to screw with it, but if they do it won't be a problem for more than a few days. I'll try to update this at least semi-regularly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric is Quiet Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 The Hateful Eight: $30M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 The Hateful Eight - 26.376M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Hateful 8- 24M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Hateful Eight: 36M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
department store basement Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 I'm going conservative on this. Hateful Eight: 23.2m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted December 30, 2015 Author Share Posted December 30, 2015 Hateful Eight 24.7M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 Hateful Eight - $25.16M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 H8ful 8- 22.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 H8tful 8ight - 27m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted December 31, 2015 Author Share Posted December 31, 2015 I'm behind on a bunch of stuff because of the holiday, but I'll get to last week's results when I can. We didn't do terribly well, but Daddy's Home was a sight to see. This week's a wee bit quicker to get through. Unfortunately, most other predictors seem to have taken the week off what with the holiday and all. As usual, I went through the various predicts (10 for Hateful Eight, one of our quieter weekends in a while. Just one movie, and after a pair of interesting weekends so not surprising) and here's what we ended up with: Hateful Eight Mean: 27.4M Median: 25.8M StnDev: 4.78M Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 17.47% High: 36M Low: 22.4M BO.com 25M Deadline ScreenRant.com Variety Entertainment Weekly 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 Missed this but my prdiction is $16.7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted January 5, 2016 Author Share Posted January 5, 2016 Hateful Eight Prediction: 27.4M +/- 4.78M (1 standard deviation) Actual: 15.7M (off by 11.7M, so 2.44 stndev) Yikes, that was terrible. Only BO.com predicted Hateful Eight as well, and they did better, though they predicted 25M, so its not like they get a gold star either. This was one of those tragic weeks where the lowest prediction is the closest without actually being very close. That honor goes to Jayhawk who guessed 22.4M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted January 5, 2016 Author Share Posted January 5, 2016 On 12/31/2015 at 4:29 PM, TalismanRing said: Missed this but my prdiction is $16.7 Pity, you'd have been the closest by a considerable margin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted January 5, 2016 Share Posted January 5, 2016 1 hour ago, Wrath said: Hateful Eight Prediction: 27.4M +/- 4.78M (1 standard deviation) Actual: 15.7M (off by 11.7M, so 2.44 stndev) Yikes, that was terrible. Only BO.com predicted Hateful Eight as well, and they did better, though they predicted 25M, so its not like they get a gold star either. This was one of those tragic weeks where the lowest prediction is the closest without actually being very close. That honor goes to Jayhawk who guessed 22.4M. I'll take my bow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted January 5, 2016 Author Share Posted January 5, 2016 As well you should. I mean, your guess might not have been super close, but it was a lot closer than anyone else! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
