Wrath Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 In a hurry, so less time-wasting banter than usual. Please provide your 8/19-21 Opening Weekend predicts for, Ben-Hur Kubo and the Two Strings War Dogs Deadline this week will be Thursday afternoon (US Eastern time), whenever I get to it. Note that we will be using our median predict rather than our mean predict going forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted August 15, 2016 Author Share Posted August 15, 2016 Ben-Hur 18.5M Kubo and the Two Strings 14.3M War Dogs 17.8M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup23 Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 Ben-Hur 19.3 million Kubo and the Two Strings 17.2 million War Dogs 23.7 million Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 Ben-Hur- 10M Kubo- 13M War Dogs- 23M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 Ben-Hur: $21 million Kubo: $20 million War Dogs: $11 million Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 15, 2016 Share Posted August 15, 2016 (edited) War Dogs: 17M Kubo: 14M Ben Hur: 13M Edited August 18, 2016 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 Ben-Hur - 17.444M Kubo and the Two Strings - 14.368M War Dogs - 13.121M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Viceversa Posted August 18, 2016 Share Posted August 18, 2016 War Dogs: 18.45M Kubo: 16.48M Ben Hur: 13.58M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted August 19, 2016 Share Posted August 19, 2016 Kubo - 15.6M Ben Hur - 13.12M War Dogs - 18.7M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted August 26, 2016 Author Share Posted August 26, 2016 Huge Ratio for Ben-Hur, meaning we were not in the slightest confident about our slightly optimistic and higher than everyone else (except the lovably nutty MovieWeb.com) prediction. Kubo, on the other hand, we were slightly pessimistic on, but extremely confident about it for an OW at that level. War Dogs we were optimistic on, with roughly an average level of confidence. As usual, I totaled all predicts (13 for everything) and here are the results: Ben-Hur Mean: 14.1M Median: 13.12M StnDev: 4.29M (revised StnDev: 3.94M) Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 32.70% High: 21M Low: 8M BO.com 13M Deadline 11.5M MovieWeb 19.6M ShowBuzzDaily 12.5M Variety 12.5M Kubo and the Two Strings Mean: 15.1M Median: 14.368M StnDev: 1.92M (revised StnDev: 1.83) Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 13.37% High: 20M Low: 13M BO.com 15M Deadline 13.5M MovieWeb 16.1M ShowBuzzDaily 15.7M Variety 12M War Dogs Mean: 17.5M Median: 17M StnDev: 3.92M (revised StnDev: 3.60) Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 23.06% High: 23.7M Low: 11M BO.com 16M Deadline 13.5M MovieWeb 17.4M ShowBuzzDaily 15.2M Variety 13M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted August 26, 2016 Author Share Posted August 26, 2016 Ben-Hur Prediction: 13.12M +/- 4.29M (1 standard deviation) Actual: 11.2M (off by 1.9M, so 0.45 stndev) This would have been a weak predict (and was the weakest of the sites), but we correctly called that we had no idea what we were talking about, had a huge Ratio and ended up with a decent predict after all. There's plenty of ways to skin a cat! Best predict was MaxMoser3 at 11M. abcabcabc abcabcabc Kubo and the Two Strings Prediction: 14.368M +/- 1.92M (1 standard deviation) Actual: 12.61M (off by 1.8M, so 0.92 stndev) Not a great predict, especially thanks to the unusually low Ratio, but not terrible and we managed to be slightly lower (and thus better) than average. MaxMoser3 again is the closest, but this time he tied with Ethan Hunt at 13M. abc abc abc abc War Dogs Prediction: 17M +/- 3.92M (1 standard deviation) Actual: 14.69M (off by 2.3M, so 0.59 stndev) Mediocre but not bad, though we were worse than most other sites as our optimism proved unwarranted. Filmlover was the closest predict at 15M, as MaxMoser3 merely comes in a close second (14M) and fails to sweep the week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...