Weekend Estimates: Lego Batman 55.6M, 50 Shades 46.7M, John Wick 2 30M

[cannastop]

Even I'm slightly dissapointed in that Batman number.

 

There's still a chance it has a really big Saturday. Gets past $65m.

[GiantCALBears]

13 minutes ago, Fifty Shades Rth said:

 

FSD 21-22, LBM 15, JW2 11

Not a surprise to see FSD adjust slightly higher. Going to drop like a rock though but their fanbase can celebrate tonight.

[YM!]

1 minute ago, cannastop said:

Even I'm slightly dissapointed in that Batman number.

 

There's still a chance it has a really big Saturday. Gets past $65m.

How big we talking?

Edited February 11, 2017 by YourMother

[GiantCALBears]

1 minute ago, cannastop said:

Even I'm slightly dissapointed in that Batman number.

 

There's still a chance it has a really big Saturday. Gets past $65m.

 

Why exactly? The expectations were pretty nuts on here (shocker).

Edited February 11, 2017 by GiantCALBears

[cannastop]

Just now, YourMother said:

How be we talking?

Something like $25m

[MrPink]

Slightly disappointed in Lego Batman, felt it could match first Lego Movie's opening at least. Good for JW2 and  good for 50 Shades.

[cannastop]

Just now, GiantCALBears said:

 

Why exactly? The expectations were pretty nuts on here (shocker).

$75m wasn't nuts, in my opinion. Only looks nuts now data is coming in.

[Daxtreme]

What are we looking at for JW2? 

 

Flat saturday, -40% sun for $28M?

[franfar]

Just now, YourMother said:

How big we talking?

The original LEGO Movie increased by 80% over Saturday. Assuming this movie has the same increase...

 

Friday 15m

Sat 27m

[GiantCALBears]

Just now, cannastop said:

$75m wasn't nuts, in my opinion. Only looks nuts now data is coming in.

Some had it $80n-$100m lol not saying you did but pointing it out.

[MrPink]

Just now, franfar said:

The original LEGO Movie increased by 80% over Saturday. Assuming this movie has the same increase...

 

Friday 15m

Sat 27m

 

Won't get any further past 60m though.

[franfar]

1 minute ago, Daxtreme said:

What are we looking at for JW2? 

 

Flat saturday, -40% sun for $28M?

The original dropped on Sat, and the film was more novel then

 

JW2 could drop on Sat

[cannastop]

Just now, GiantCALBears said:

Some had it $80n-$100m lol not saying you did but pointing it out.

I think I might have indulged in those fantasies a few months before release. Still, just like Moana, I could see that a mega opening wasn't in the cards once the release date came up.

[franfar]

Just now, MrPink said:

 

Won't get any further past 60m though.

Well, the original LEGO dropped by 31.4% on Sat. That would give the sequel ~18.8m, which would be enough to tip it over the edge of 60m

 

Not sure if that'll happen though. The huge Sat increase was probably repeat views/audiences who were brought in from excellent WOM and novelty

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, franfar said:

The original LEGO Movie increased by 80% over Saturday. Assuming this movie has the same increase...

 

Friday 15m

Sat 27m

I think being a quasi-sequel/spinoff makes the huge jump a bit more unlikely. I think the 2014 movie also didn't have Thursday previews.

 

The latest Spongebob movie is probably the best comparison here, and that rose by about 60%.

[franfar]

1 minute ago, cannastop said:

I think I might have indulged in those fantasies a few months before release. Still, just like Moana, I could see that a mega opening wasn't in the cards once the release date came up.

Does release date matter that much though? If the movie has appeal, audiences will come

 

Ride Along 

[YM!]

Lego Batman OW prediction/projection

$15M Friday

$25M-$27M Saturday (Assuming Lorax/Lego Movie jump)

$17.5M-$18.9M Sunday (assuming average 30% drop for animated films)

($57.5M-$61M OW)

($195.5M-$207M Domestic total)

Edited February 11, 2017 by YourMother

[cannastop]

Just now, franfar said:

Does release date matter that much though? If the movie has appeal, audiences will come

 

Ride Along 

I didn't mean it like that. I meant that once the movie was close to release, I could tell there wasn't buzz there, and presales were not knocking it out of the park.

[franfar]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

I think being a quasi-sequel/spinoff makes the huge jump a bit more unlikely. I think the 2014 movie also didn't have Thursday previews.

 

The latest Spongebob movie is probably the best comparison here, and that rose by about 60%.

Ofc. However, the newest Spongebob film came out a decade after the original (pent-up demand), and had the style from the newer version of the show. So that was likely an anomaly

 

Just looked it up, can't believe that made 160m.... Totally forgot that movie existed

Edited February 11, 2017 by franfar

[franfar]

1 minute ago, cannastop said:

I didn't mean it like that. I meant that once the movie was close to release, I could tell there wasn't buzz there, and presales were not knocking it out of the park.

Ah, my bad