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sfran43

Weekend Thread: Estimates ~ CRA 25.235M, The Meg 21.15M, M22 13.62M, M:I-F 10.5M, Alpha 10.5M, DCR 8.862M, BK 7M, SM 4.965M, HT3:SV 3.675M, MM!HWGA 3.385M

By sfran43, in Numbers and Data

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MikeQ Box Office Gold

MikeQ

Posted
Posted

Terrific for Crazy Rich Asians. The strong pattern of increases and decreases over its 5-day opening (especially that incredibly soft Sunday drop) seem to suggest strong WOM and a potentially very leggy run. Will be interesting to see if it can pull off that really special king of leggy run (a la The Help, as has been mentioned).

 

Summer RT Update:

 

The summer box office season is coming to a close soon. Summer 2018 seems to have bested Summer 2016 in terms of films with strong critical reception, with already more films 80% or higher and more films with an 8+ average rating (and currently a 50/50 split of Fresh/Rotten). By the end of August, we'll see how this summer compares to last summer overall. According to BOM, there are 5 more wide-release films this month.

 

2018 — 40 wide-release films (so far)

  • 20 fresh, 20 rotten
  • 80% or higher: 11 films
  • 8.0+ rating: 3 films (BlacKkKlansman, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, and Hereditary)

 

2018 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August)

  1. Mission: Impossible - Fallout — 97% — 8.3 rating
  2. BlacKkKlansman — 96% — 8.2 rating
  3. Incredibles 2 — 93% — 7.9 rating
  4. Crazy Rich Asians — 93% — 7.7 rating
  5. Teen Titans Go! To the Movies — 91% — 7.1 rating
  6. Hereditary — 89% — 8.2 rating
  7. Ant-Man and the Wasp — 88% — 6.9 rating
  8. Tully — 86% — 7.6 rating
  9. Upgrade — 85% — 7.1 rating
  10. Alpha — 85% — 6.7 rating
  11. Deadpool 2 — 83% — 7.0 rating
  12. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again — 79% — 6.3 rating
  13. Adrift — 73% — 6.2 rating
  14. Solo: A Star Wars Story — 71% — 6.4 rating
  15. Christopher Robin — 70% — 6.1 rating
  16. Ocean’s 8 — 67% — 6.2 rating
  17. Uncle Drew — 65% — 6.0 rating
  18. Sicario: Day of the Soldado — 64% — 6.4 rating
  19. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation — 61% — 5.4 rating
  20. Dog Days — 62% — 5.1 rating
  21. Unfriended: Dark Web — 59% — 5.6 rating
  22. Hotel Artemis — 58% — 5.8 rating
  23. Tag — 55% — 5.4 rating
  24. Book Club — 53% — 5.3 rating
  25. Bad Samaritan — 52% — 5.6 rating
  26. The First Purge — 52% — 5.4 rating
  27. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom — 51% — 5.7 rating
  28. Equalizer 2 — 51% — 5.6 rating
  29. Superfly — 51% — 5.4 rating
  30. The Meg — 48% — 5.5 rating
  31. Skyscraper — 48% — 5.1 rating
  32. The Spy Who Dumped Me — 45% — 5.2 rating
  33. Life of the Party — 38% — 5.0 rating
  34. Overboard — 26% — 4.2 rating
  35. Breaking In — 25% — 4.2 rating
  36. Mile 22 — 20% — 3.9 rating
  37. Action Point — 20% — 3.6 rating
  38. The Darkest Minds — 18% — 4.2 rating
  39. Show Dogs — 17% — 3.2 rating
  40. Slender Man — 11% — 3.4 rating

 

2017 — 42 wide-release films

  • 18 fresh, 24 rotten
  • 80% or higher: 14 films
  • 8.0+ rating: 4 films (Dunkirk, The Big Sick, War for the Planet of the Apes, Baby Driver)

2016 — 42 wide-release films

  • 20 fresh, 22 rotten
  • 80% or higher: 9 films
  • 8.0+ rating: 1 film (Kubo and the Two Strings)

Peace,

Mike

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted (edited)
4 (2) Mission: Impossible—Fallout Paramount Pictures      $10,773,347       -44%    3,482 $3,094   $181,012,068    4

 

should hit 3x multi on Tuesday

Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Week
2018/07/27 1 $61,236,534   4,386 $13,962   $61,236,534 1
2018/08/03 1 $35,323,815 -42% 4,395 $8,037   $124,811,186 2
2018/08/10 2 $19,352,090 -45% 3,888 $4,977   $161,319,374 3
2018/08/17 4 $10,773,347 -44% 3,482 $3,094   $181,012,068 4
Edited by a2k
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MagnarTheGreat Indie Sensation

MagnarTheGreat

Posted
Posted (edited)

Ant-Man and the Wasp already has the highest sequel multiplier in the MCU (2.75), above Winter Soldier's 2.73 (though AMatW was released in the more advantageous month of July versus April for Winter Soldier as seen below for some context.) JW:FK adds another day in stamina to 90% of its gross as did Incredibles 2 and AMatW jumped by three days.

 

Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018) (last week's table):
 

Spoiler

 

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018) 		90% of
Gross
on Day 		Multiplier
(DG ÷ FW) 		Domestic
Gross 		First
Weekend 		Box Office
Position
Batman v Superman: DoJ (Mar. 2016) 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M #8 (2016)
Justice League (Nov. 2017) 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M #10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War (May 2016) 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M #3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec. 2017) 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M #1 (2017)
Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 2018)* 24 2.53 $213.5M $84.4M #6 (2018)
Furious 7 (Apr. 2015) 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M #5 (2015)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (Dec. 2016) 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M #1 (2016)
Avengers: Age of Ultron (May 2015) 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M #3 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul. 2018)* 27 2.75 $208.4M $75.8M #7 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun. 2018)* 27 2.78 $411.8M $148.0M #4 (2018)
It (Sep. 2017) 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M #7 (2017)
Spectre (Nov. 2015) 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M #10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok (Nov. 2017) 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M #8 (2017)
Deadpool 2 (May 2018)* 29 2.54 $318.3M $125.5M #5 (2018)
Finding Dory (Jun. 2016) 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M #2 (2016)
Suicide Squad (Aug. 2016) 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M #9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 2017) 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M #5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War (Apr. 2018)* 30 2.63 $678.6M $257.7M #2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec. 2015) 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M #1 (2015)
Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 (Nov. 2015) 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M #7 (2015)
Minions (Jul. 2015) 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M #6 (2015)
Deadpool (Feb. 2016) 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M #6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast (Mar. 2017) 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M #2 (2017)
Incredibles 2 (Jun. 2018)* 31 3.25 $594.1M $182.7M #3 (2018)
Jurassic World (Jun. 2015) 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M #2 (2015)
Cinderella (Mar. 2015) 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M #9 (2015)
Sing (Dec. 2016) 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M #10 (2016)
Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul. 2017) 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M #6 (2017)
Despicable Me 3 (Jun. 2017) 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M #9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets (Jul. 2016) 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M #4 (2016)
Black Panther (Feb. 2018) 38 3.47 $700.1M $202.0M #1 (2018)
Inside Out (Jun. 2015) 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M #4 (2015)
The Jungle Book (Apr. 2016) 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M #5 (2016)
Wonder Woman (Jun. 2017) 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M #3 (2017)
The Martian (Oct. 2015) 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M #8 (2015)
Zootopia (Mar. 2016) 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M #7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle (Dec. 2017) 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M #4 (2017)
average of table 31 3.37      
median of table 30 2.86      
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters
 
display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of August 19, 2018

 

 

 

Release
Month 		Average
Multiplier 		Median
Multiplier 		Release
Month 		Average
Multiplier 		Median
Multiplier
January 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22
February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00
March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75
April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75
May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23
June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76
all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93
excludes 2018 releases
highest month in blue; lowest month in red
 
numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018
Edited by MagnarTheGreat
adjusted formatting
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