Krissykins Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 hour ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said: 9.5m for Venom https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2018/10/09/box-office-tom-hardys-venom-should-swing-past-100-million-today/#4dc77983c6a9 Venom notched another big win on Monday, earning around $9.533 million on its fourth day of release and bringing its four-day domestic cume to around $89.8m. I expected $12m with the same drop as ASIB so, Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 The gap between Venom and ASIB dailies has shrunk to $2.8m already from a $16.8m gap on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, Krissykins said: I expected $12m with the same drop as ASIB so, Meh. Family movie vs r rated will have a very different monday drop usually. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 9, 2018 Author Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Alright so why wasn't this considered a 4-day weekend? Aren't a bunch of American schools out for Monday aswell? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 14 minutes ago, Barnack said: Family movie vs r rated will have a very different monday drop usually. Venom isnt R rated but there is a difference in the audience Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 minute ago, junkshop36 said: Venom isnt R rated but there is a difference in the audience A star is born is the R rated movie with like an over 80% of it's audience that is over 25 year's old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Barnack said: A star is born is the R rated movie with like an over 80% of it's audience that is over 25 year's old. Sorry, the way it read it seemed like you were talking about Venom. My bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 9, 2018 Author Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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Krissykins Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, Barnack said: Family movie vs r rated will have a very different monday drop usually. Yeh I know, but thought because the Holiday and it’s not playing to families as much, 69% were males were they not? Edited October 9, 2018 by Krissykins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 (edited) Venom should fall less than 60% in the 2nd weekend imo. Conservatively, Tue-Thu 7.0 (-27%) 4.5 (-36%) 4.0 (-11%) FSS, 9.4 (+135%) 14.1 (+50%) 8.5 (-40%) = 32.0 (-60%); ~137.5 cume Then 2x the 2nd weekend more gives it 201.5 dom. Edited October 9, 2018 by a2k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Krissykins said: Yeh I know, but thought because the Holiday and it’s not playing to families as much, 69% were males were they not? Looking at thursday fan night event/friday night audience cinemascore will give a more male heavy and not has family (and not has elderly) statistics than a movie complete run or just taking the saturday/sunday days into account. I think it was already down to 59% male by the end of the weekend and 64% under 25. But you are right it is far from a clean 4 quadrant or a 35% family audience like a Tomorrowland, but it is a giant 80M OW, it does not require that big of a percentage to have had a bigger family audience than Wrinkle in Time family audience size. And it is compared to one of the movie that played the oldest for a big weekend ever in Star is Born. Under 25 audience ASIB: 14% (and not much of that 14% was under 18) Venom: 64% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 9, 2018 Author Share Posted October 9, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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kitik Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 26 minutes ago, a2k said: Venom should fall less than 60% in the 2nd weekend imo. You may be a bit too optimistic, I can't imagine it doing much better than that, but we'll see. WOM is obviously far better than anyone dreamed it would be 7 days ago. I just checked, and one of the XD screens in town is switching to First Man, but the other one is actually keeping Venom all next weekend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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