Reddroast Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 1 hour ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: Curious on the choice but will the pre load arrive tonight? It. Is up now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 (edited) Sight unseen (i.e., not knowing how good either it or its surrounding competition are), my very early domestic projection for Voltron: Reunion would be around $470 million. That's based on oodles of historical data about how third entries in a series actually perform when the second was a big improvement, financially, over the first. The third movie keeping the improvement going is an extreme anomaly reserved almost exclusively for concluding chapters of trilogies. I can post my spreadsheet if anyone feels like balking at me Edited January 4, 2019 by Xillix 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 4 hours ago, Xillix said: Sight unseen (i.e., not knowing how good either it or its surrounding competition are), my very early domestic projection for Voltron: Reunion would be around $470 million. That's based on oodles of historical data about how third entries in a series actually perform when the second was a big improvement, financially, over the first. The third movie keeping the improvement going is an extreme anomaly reserved almost exclusively for concluding chapters of trilogies. I can post my spreadsheet if anyone feels like balking at me I would like to see the spreadsheet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 9 hours ago, Reddroast said: It. Is up now. I got to ask: why is Woolie Madden writing the script? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: I got to ask: why is Woolie Madden writing the script? The reason is: Woolie is OBSESSED with the Kirby games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 4 minutes ago, Reddroast said: The reason is: Woolie is OBSESSED with the Kirby games. Yeah but does he have writing experience? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: Yeah but does he have writing experience? No. However i wanted someone who has passion for the source material to work on it and he was the first name to pop in my head. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, Reddroast said: No. However i wanted someone who has passion for the source material to work on it and he was the first name to pop in my head. I get it, you could’ve used https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Masahiro_Sakurai as well since he created Kirby, however I’m still excited to read it and am intrigued by the choices. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 25 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: I get it, you could’ve used https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Masahiro_Sakurai as well since he created Kirby, however I’m still excited to read it and am intrigued by the choices. I have Sakurai on as a producer. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted January 4, 2019 Author Share Posted January 4, 2019 My target for Voltron 3 is 175/500+. It's in line with a Transformers 3-style drop DOM and above that is gravy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 I’m the most curious about Scavenger Wars II and SkyRiders performance. I’m confident the former will have a healthy jump and a big OW but I’m curious on how much (that said I’m still guessing $400M-$550M range for it), and the latter is the first PG-13 animated action tentpole but if WOM is great, I see To The Moon numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 In a sane world the R rating and competitive December opening should mute the opening of TSW2 significantly. If it's great though it has an opportunity for an excellent hold. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 3 hours ago, Reddroast said: I would like to see the spreadsheet. https://www.dropbox.com/s/yr3jxrk20qfowfc/Third Installment Drops.xls?dl=0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 10 minutes ago, Xillix said: In a sane world the R rating and competitive December opening should mute the opening of TSW2 significantly. If it's great though it has an opportunity for an excellent hold. I’m actually feel that it’s more likely to increase, it was the best recieved space opera and had the same older skewing audience of say Odyssey, which although the finale factor helped the third installment was an R rated mega hit. Besides December will clear up as the schedule clear up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 (edited) 43 minutes ago, Xillix said: In a sane world the R rating and competitive December opening should mute the opening of TSW2 significantly. If it's great though it has an opportunity for an excellent hold. If you're looking for sane box office, you've come to the wrong place. Edited January 4, 2019 by 4815162342 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 There will be a touch of course correction Y6 in that regard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 14 minutes ago, Xillix said: There will be a touch of course correction Y6 in that regard Don’t kill Tintin. Actually I’m okay with a more traditional year as Y5 will be big. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 All I'll say about Y5 actuals is that I will be fair in judging the performance of each individual film. Also... Quote 1.) Voltron: Reunion: $220M/$600M 2.) The Eternal Storm: The Scavenger Wars II: $140M/$500M 3.) One Punch Man: $150M (five day)/$380M 4.) Two Lonely Bounty Hunters: $100M/$370M 5.) Pokémon: The Cinnabar Conspiracy: $160M/$350M 6.) Pillars of Eternity: Never Far From The Queen: $125M/$300M 7.) Who Recycled Roger Rabbit: $90M/$285M 8.) Phoenix: Rebirth: $85M/$260M 9.) The Secret Saturdays/Star Fox: $90M/$250M 10.) Dragon Ball: The Red Ribbon Saga: $100M/$250M $249M-$200M: (in no certain order) Children Of Eden, The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl, Medusa, American Dragon 3, DragonBorns, Green Lantern Corps: Hunted, SkyRiders, Countdown To Extinction, In The Valley, Scadanavia $199M-$150M: Kirby, Bartimaeus 2, Artifacts, Perfect Match, Bambi, Shiverin’ Gulch, Friday the 13th, Inspect Gadget, Lightspeed, Animated Space Musical, Heroes Within, Valkyries vs Galaxy, Olive, He-Man III, Episilon $149M-$100M: Rita, Yin, Everest, War movie, Galileo, Banana Fish, Earthsong II, Associates, Rock N Roll, and a few indies. I'm not gonna be this generous with giving out $100 million plus 😂 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 17 minutes ago, Rorschach said: All I'll say about Y5 actuals is that I will be fair in judging the performance of each individual film. Also... I'm not gonna be this generous with giving out $100 million plus 😂 I also admit I was a bit generous in my predictions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted January 4, 2019 Share Posted January 4, 2019 I think best case scenario for an R-rated Scavenger Wars would be staying flat if it's really excellent 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...