Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part 1 | July 12 2023 | 99% on Rotten Tomatoes! | 290M budget so far, Cruise holding Paramount hostage for more money

[Ryan Reynolds]

6 minutes ago, Austin said:

I wouldnt say $100M 5-day is anywhere near locked yet but its a definite possibility.

i think closer to 80m unless ticket sales explode once reviews hit , people were originally expecting a finale to the series, now its just another mission , that has nothing new to offer

[Algebra]

21 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

that has nothing new to offer

Majority of the initial reactions calling it an incredible thrill ride and calling the climatic train sequence the best such sequence in history...all of that just to be boiled down to this?

[Issac Newton]

As long as International delivers, I will freely ignore Domestic numbers. We are seeing most violent ERs at Asia (And talking about China, 2nd Weekend will be difficult because of a Big Local Film release)

 

But, I still do believe in Cruise! Already working on Comps!

Spoiler

05/27			05/28
時間	販売数	消化率	時間	販売数	消化率	時間	販売数	消化率
09:00	-	-	09:00	10,587	5.5%	09:00	-	-
09:17	12,072	8.1%	09:19	18,145	9.4%	09:18	20,045	8.9%
09:36	20,701	13.0%	09:39	27,585	14.2%
09:56	24,586	15.3%	09:58	32,065	16.6%
10:15	27,410	17.0%	10:17	34,200	17.8%
10:35	29,272	18.2%	10:37	36,146	18.6%
10:54	30,270	18.9%	10:56	38,193	19.6%
11:14	31,803	19.8%	11:16	40,693	20.6%
11:34	34,961	21.7%	11:36	44,842	22.4%
11:53	41,822	25.8%	11:55	55,558	27.3%
12:13	47,862	30.0%	12:15	62,941	31.4%
12:32	54,789	34.1%	12:34	70,906	35.2%
12:51	57,621	36.0%	12:53	74,908	36.9%
13:11	60,550	37.9%	13:13	79,028	38.6%
13:30	62,376	38.9%	13:32	82,483	39.7%
13:50	63,972	39.9%	13:52	85,768	40.9%
14:00	65,223	-	14:00	87,500	-
14:12	66,352	41.5%	14:14	89,107	42.3%
14:31	69,763	44.0%	14:33	97,256	45.2%
14:51	75,951	48.5%	14:53	108,979	49.9%
15:10	80,198	52.4%	15:12	117,714	54.4%
15:30	84,455	55.7%	15:32	124,543	56.9%
15:49	86,100	57.3%	15:51	127,763	58.4%
16:09	87,716	58.8%	16:10	130,596	59.7%
16:28	88,567	59.5%	16:30	131,639	60.1%
16:48	89,741	60.5%	16:50	133,756	61.0%
17:08	91,358	62.6%	17:09	136,886	62.9%
17:27	94,325	65.7%	17:29	142,127	66.1%
17:46	98,455	69.7%	17:48	149,143	70.4%
18:06	102,640	72.9%	18:08	155,788	74.1%
18:25	106,348	75.2%	18:27	159,764	75.9%
18:45	109,562	76.7%	18:47	162,154	77.2%
19:00	111,481	-	19:00	162,956	-
19:07	111,905	77.7%	19:09	163,073	77.6%
19:26	112,506	78.0%	19:28	163,701	77.9%
19:46	116,256	79.3%	19:48	167,278	79.3%
20:05	125,666	83.3%	20:07	177,290	83.3%
20:25	133,618	86.3%	20:27	188,270	87.9%
20:44	146,991	91.7%	20:46	199,329	92.5%
21:04	155,858	95.4%	21:06	207,564	95.7%
21:23	160,858	97.3%	21:25	211,129	97.2%
21:43	162,248	97.9%	21:44	212,417	97.7%
22:02	163,065	98.3%	22:04	213,110	98.1%
22:21	163,294	98.4%	22:23	213,334	98.2%
22:41	163,404	98.4%	22:43	213,427	98.3%
23:00	163,429	98.5%	23:02	213,515	98.4%
23:20	163,610	98.6%	23:22	213,865	98.6%
23:39	163,837	98.7%	23:41	213,914	98.6%
24:00	163,982	100.0%	24:00	214,000	100.0%
着席率	28.2%		着席率	38.5%

 

[emoviefan]

36 minutes ago, Algebra said:

Majority of the initial reactions calling it an incredible thrill ride and calling the climatic train sequence the best such sequence in history...all of that just to be boiled down to this?

And don't forget Haley Atwell is being shoved down our  throats also. His takes on this movie.

[Maggie]

huh i saw plenty of !mediocre reviews. I think the best it can hope is in the 80 RT. I wouldn't expect incredible reviews

[TomThomas]

27 minutes ago, Maggie said:

huh i saw plenty of !mediocre reviews. I think the best it can hope is in the 80 RT. I wouldn't expect incredible reviews

It's gonna be in 90s, at least like Rogue Nation. The only negative review I saw is from Scott Mendelson, all other range from positive to super positive.

[Maggie]

3 minutes ago, TomThomas said:

It's gonna be in 90s, at least like Rogue Nation. The only negative review I saw is from Scott Mendelson, all other range from positive to super positive.

Nah, no chance it's in the 90s

 

 

 

 

[Algebra]

25 minutes ago, Maggie said:

huh i saw plenty of !mediocre reviews. I think the best it can hope is in the 80 RT. I wouldn't expect incredible reviews

Using Letterboxd as an indicator, it has 3.6 stars.

Further breaking it down, there are 5 reviews under 3*, 7 reviews - 3*, 20 reviews - 3.5*, 54 reviews - 4*, 35 reviews - 4.5*, 16 reviews - 5*

 

Obviously some of these could be mega fans and trolls and a few reviews don't have ratings, and so I didn't count them.

 

So, out of 137 reviews with ratings, 12 are <3*..or if this were RT, the score would be 91%

[JustLurking]

Not really sure where people are seeing an 100M 5-days as likely right now but alright

 

Considering China will likely drop (but not as disastrously as some are saying) and that ERs across the world are pretty shit right now (especially in one of its biggest OS market in Japan where they are downright terrible), this will most likely be a bit down from fallout, especially since legs will be weaker in PLF-heavy markets for obvious reasons

 

part2 will probably increase and if it releases in a better overall climate maybe that one could toy with a billy, but this one? no way

Edited July 3, 2023 by JustLurking

[Mr Roark]

This film had a really troubled production because of Covid. Even positive early reactions sometimes point out about some pacing issues. I don’t think WOM will be as good as the last one but hopefully I’m wrong.

[TomThomas]

2 hours ago, Maggie said:

Nah, no chance it's in the 90s

 

 

 

 

They are both positive, just not super positive. Those are still gonna be fresh reviews.

[The Dark Alfred]

A couple of things. @maggie stop trolling, please. A review saying it's not as good as FALLOUT or pointing out that a film has flaws it's not automatically a bad review. It's gonna have lesser RT rating than FALLOUT. That's clear. Even the 80s would be good. Look, GOTG3 had 82% and that film is faring rather well. The audience score will be higher, because they won't care as much about a villain's weak backstory.

 

So when you guys are saying 80m 5-day, you do realize that the maligned INDIANA JONES is doing 80m 5-day. You are saying that MI:DR will open below FLASH for 3-day? 

 

And finally, yes, MI:DR WW tally will be at 225-250m WW by Sunday.

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, The Dark Alfred said:

A couple of things. @maggie stop trolling, please. A review saying it's not as good as FALLOUT or pointing out that a film has flaws it's not automatically a bad review. It's gonna have lesser RT rating than FALLOUT. That's clear. Even the 80s would be good. Look, GOTG3 had 82% and that film is faring rather well. The audience score will be higher, because they won't care as much about a villain's weak backstory.

 

So when you guys are saying 80m 5-day, you do realize that the maligned INDIANA JONES is doing 80m 5-day. You are saying that MI:DR will open below FLASH for 3-day? 

 

And finally, yes, MI:DR WW tally will be at 225-250m WW by Sunday.

I honestly can not understand Maggie. She pretends like she is a fan of these movies but seems to look for anything she perceives as negative about it. Very passive aggressive and weird. She did this for TG Maverick also. 

[emoviefan]

7 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

I honestly can not understand Maggie. She pretends like she is a fan of these movies but seems to look for anything she perceives as negative about it. Very passive aggressive and weird. She did this for TG Maverick also. 

And as said if Indy can do 80 million for 5 days Mission is gonna certainly do it and more with much more favorable conditions to its advantage and it will do much more internationally. 

[Ryan Reynolds]

4 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said:

A couple of things. @maggie stop trolling, please. A review saying it's not as good as FALLOUT or pointing out that a film has flaws it's not automatically a bad review. It's gonna have lesser RT rating than FALLOUT. That's clear. Even the 80s would be good. Look, GOTG3 had 82% and that film is faring rather well. The audience score will be higher, because they won't care as much about a villain's weak backstory.

 

So when you guys are saying 80m 5-day, you do realize that the maligned INDIANA JONES is doing 80m 5-day. You are saying that MI:DR will open below FLASH for 3-day? 

 

And finally, yes, MI:DR WW tally will be at 225-250m WW by Sunday.

Indy has 5 day opening and everyday is a weekend or a holiday . If MI7 had that release date, i would agree at 100m 5 day.

[GOGODanca]

Fallout had a 97/88 on RT/MC, its damn near impossible for any blockbuster to get those kind of raves, DR PT 1 could be a 92/75 but it looks poor in comp, doesn't mean the movie won't slap

[Maggie]

75-80% on RT and 65 on metacritic is my prediction from reading through some reviews on Letterboxd.

 

About the box office. As @Ryan Reynolds said, Indy had lots of advantages and it opened to 60M. I go back to the tracking prediction of 90M for five days. It would need spectacular reviews to beat this tracking number considering most movie this year went under tracking. And i don't think it will get those spectacular reviews. Just my opinion, doesn't mean i want it to have a bad RT score, just what i gathered through reading some reviews on Letterboxd which make the movie sound mid. Don't need to be mad about my opinion or bury your hand in the sand to avoid the inevitable

[The Dark Alfred]

What matters is the audience score. GP had 76% and had decent legs. RN had 87% and had decent legs. FALLOUT had 88%. So this talk about whether it's getting 80s or 90s RT is redundant. As long as the audience score is above 80, the film will do fine.

 

And the fact that some of you think it's going to INDY numbers for its 5 days OW (holiday or non-holiday) is simply a hilariously bad take. This is not a sequel to CRYSTAL SKULL, a sequel FALLOUT, a revered summer blockbuster.

 

Franchise best domestic start is GUARANTEED. LOCKED. ASSURED. UNQUESTIONED. COVENANTED.

[Issac Newton]

5 minutes ago, Maggie said:

75-80% on RT and 65 on metacritic is my prediction from reading through some reviews on Letterboxd.

[Maggie]

Just now, Issac Newton said: