Ezen Baklattan Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 Exactly what it says on the tin. Part 1 has an hour left but we can go ahead an open this up now! @Xillix will be doing actual this year. So predict Silent Hill numbers for Voicemail and he'll be sure to return the favor. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 Predict Silent Hill numbers for Voicemail and I think you're crazy. I'll be grateful, but still. Crazy. Also as a reminder predictions are being weighted into a formula for actuals this year so that I don't completely crush everyone's hopes on my own. So remember - the fewer predictions people make the more weight my own numbers have. You've been warned. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 January 7th: Broadway Selects: The Band’s Visit - tracking: $5-7M OW - prediction: $6.3M/$14.1M 14th: All Kinds of Bull - tracking: $10M-$12M OW/$13M-$15M four day - prediction: $11.1M/$13.9M/$28.2M Espionage Project - tracking: $30M-$35M OW/$38M-$42M four day - prediction: $34.2M/$40.2M/$108.2M Making Waves - tracking: $6M-$9M OW/$10M-$12M four day - prediction: $7.5M/$11.8M/$24.4M 21st: Walking with You - tracking: $18M-$22M OW - prediction: $20.3M/$71.6M 28th: The Power of Love - tracking: $35M-$40M - prediction: $41.2M/$110.6M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 @Xillix I will send you the holdovers for last year's actuals sometime over the weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 February: Dog Models: $14.6M/$44.2M VR Troopers: $17.8M/$48.06M Norris/Nesson 2: $35.7M/$105.1M Down and Dirty: $7.15M/$18.9M Thomas Was Alone: $8.5M/$26.8M Pok3mon: $124.8M/$151.2M/$331.4M Meme Thief: $7.7M/$11.3M/$21.9M Little Black Bugs: $19.7M/$46.7M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 Going to finish my requests before I start doing predicts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 (edited) March 4th: Rapsitiie: $3.45M/$7.11M Spark: A Hero’s Promise: $265M/$665M 11th: AJR: $4.5M/$9.7M Fairly Odd Parents: $23.8M/$70.1M 18th: Thermal: $47.3M/$134.2M 25th: Irreplaceable: $22.3M/$45.6M The Con Gone Wrong: $25M total Edited October 30, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted September 26, 2019 Share Posted September 26, 2019 So FYI, here's how actuals work this year since I'm leashing myself for y'alls sake with math. The wide OW of each film will be calculated based on a simple formula. My numbers, which will obviously not be made public before actuals happen (and which I won't be coming up with until reviews are more or less done), will be weighted in so that, if everyone who posted a finished film this year (other than me) makes a prediction, my numbers and your predictions will have equal influence. This means that if MORE people predict for a given film than submitted this year, my numbers will have less than 50% influence. If FEWER people predict than submitted films, mine will have more than 50% influence. In effect, since eight other people wrote movies for Y6, my numbers will go into the average eight times regardless of how many people make a prediction. So say UserMcBobFace predicts a $20 million OW for his movie, and no one else makes a prediction, and my number is $2 million. That means the actual OW will be the average of $20m, $2m, $2m, $2m, $2m, $2m, $2m, $2m, and $2m, i.e., $4 million. But if ten people all predicted $20m and I still thought it should be $2m, it'd come out to $12 million. Because it's not practical to set a definite end number and then try to work backwards, predictions for totals/legs will be used as looser guidelines. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted September 26, 2019 Share Posted September 26, 2019 @Xillix I’m upping my Irreplaceable prediction to: $22.3M/$45.6M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted September 27, 2019 Share Posted September 27, 2019 @SLAM! are you dropping some predictions? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted September 27, 2019 Share Posted September 27, 2019 26 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: @SLAM! are you dropping some predictions? Perhaps I should. JANUARY Broadway Selects: The Band's Visit -- $6.18M OW / $19.2M Total All Kinds of Bull -- $14.53M OW / $42M Total Espionage Project -- $20M OW / $64M Total Making Waves -- $9.04M OW / $31.96M Total Walking With You -- $23.29M OW / $67.55M Total The Power of Love -- $30.04M OW / $117.38M Total 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted September 27, 2019 Author Share Posted September 27, 2019 (edited) JANUARY BWS: The Band's Visit - $7.2M/$19.5M All Kinds of Bull - $13.6M/$48.1M Espionage Project - $33.8M/$102.5M Making Waves - $11.3M/$40.7M Walking with You - $25.6M/$83.9M The Power of Love - $35.8M/$127.8M FEBRUARY Dog Models - $9.6M/$32.2M VR Troopers - $18.7M/$53.8M CNaLN2 - $42.7M/$108.5M Down and Dirty - $6.3M/$16.7M Thomas Was Alone - $5.9M/$18.6M Meme Thief - $8.2M/$22.1M Pokemon 3 - $137.1M/$338.9M Little Black Bugs - $17.3M/$41.6M MARCH RSK: A Bunny's Tale - $1.9M/$3.2M Sp4rk - $267.2M/$680.4M AJR: Neotheatre - $4.1M/$9.8M Fairly Oddparents - $27.6M/$88.9M The Cone Gone Wrong - $21.6M Thermal - $46.8M/$133.7M Irreplaceable - $24.8M/$49.1M Edited October 30, 2019 by Spaghetti 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted September 27, 2019 Share Posted September 27, 2019 April Super Mario Bros. $104.7M/$325.2M Children of Eden $68.2M/$200.1M Pandas: $7.63M/$24.8M Home Invasion Part II: Abduction: $25.7M/$58.4M Pixies: $14.3M/$45.6M Jane and Tony: $16.2M/$43.9M The Thin, The Fat and The Felon: $29.3M/$102.8M The Blushing: $12.4M/$28.8M Nights Into Dreams: $17.7M/$56.4M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted September 28, 2019 Share Posted September 28, 2019 (edited) Eh, whatever, might as well. The Band's Visit - $5.67m All Kinds of Bull - $14.33m Espionage Project - $27.85m / $33.05m Making Waves - $12.67m Walking with You - $25.01m The Power of Love - $45.84m Dog Models - $9.05m VR Troopers - $12.02m Chuck Norris & Liam Neeson vs. the Current Hollywood Landscape - $33.11m Down and Dirty - $6.70m Thomas Was Alone - $8.76m Meme Thief - $5.15m / $6.50m Pokémon: The Cinnabar Conspiracy - $148.10m / $175.20m Little Black Bugs - $24.53m Spark: A Hero's Promise - $251.74m Super Mario Bros. - $103.33m Mass Effect: Ascension - $135.06m Edited September 28, 2019 by cookie 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted September 28, 2019 Share Posted September 28, 2019 OW predicts I assume, @cookie? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted September 28, 2019 Share Posted September 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, Xillix said: OW predicts I assume, @cookie? I don't do legs predicts and when I did the actuals I paid less attention to that than OW predicts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted September 28, 2019 Share Posted September 28, 2019 Also, holy shit June Y6 looks even more embarrassing than November Y2. I didn't think that'd be possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted September 28, 2019 Author Share Posted September 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, cookie said: Also, holy shit June Y6 looks even more embarrassing than November Y2. I didn't think that'd be possible. Kinda hoping Forgiveness can break out because of that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted September 28, 2019 Share Posted September 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, cookie said: Also, holy shit June Y6 looks even more embarrassing than November Y2. I didn't think that'd be possible. All the more room for plus one and he-Man to give lance Garrett the summer he deserves 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted September 29, 2019 Share Posted September 29, 2019 Doings my predictions on Monday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
