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baumer

Tuesday Numbers (THG 10.2)

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Isn't spring break pretty much over for the majority of folks?

Maybe college kids, but I would imagine the K-12 schools are spread out. Here in Milwaukee spring break doesn't occur until after Easter
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Since when though?I had discount Tuesday in 2010. Don't think I was the only one.

Yes discount Tuesday was there in 2010 but its effect was pretty minimal.Nowadays it has very big effect. For example, 'John Carter' jumped 10.5% on its first Tuesday.
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I don't think 400m was ever on the table.

Agree. My post was aimed at those who still believe somehow that it will get 3x multiplier and reach 450M. If I had said that even 375M is now in jeopardy, they would have jumped at my throat. :P
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Discount Tuesday begin to factor in starting the 2nd week, especially after a 150m+ opening, I'm assuming increases in weekday numbers the first week is rare.

They are rare I don't know why people were expecting an increase. Neither DHII, TDK, or Spider-Man 3 saw increases during the first week of weekdays and two of those movies opened in the middle of July.
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THG opened so massively that it will erode over the week. Nothing alarming about it, it's just the way it is. I just think and always have thought that this will end up with a 2.3-2.5 multiplier. Again, nothing wrong with that.

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My projections (I am being a bit kind here)Wednesday: 7.6M (-25%)Thursday: 7.2M (-5%)Friday: 17M (+135%)Saturday: 24.5M (+45%)Sunday: 17.6M (-28%)2nd weekend: 59M ($247.4M cume)

I like your numbers but I think it might do a bit less on Friday....maybe 110% increase.
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My projections (I am being a bit kind here)Wednesday: 7.6M (-25%)Thursday: 7.2M (-5%)Friday: 17M (+135%)Saturday: 24.5M (+45%)Sunday: 17.6M (-28%)2nd weekend: 59M ($247.4M cume)

A 135% jump on Friday will probably disappoint a ton of people. I'm hoping for at least a 150% jump Friday,
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