baumer Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 I'm all over the map right now. I hope Titanic and American REunion have huge Fridays and THG has a weak one, but that isn't going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Very possible. I'm just predicting it to do better than you. Simple as that. I have it around 32-33m for the weekend.And i have it dropping 50%. So that would be about 29 mill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggestgeekever Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Everyone is looking at last year's numbers, but if you look at 2010, which is pretty similar to when Easter falls this year, the Friday increases are much smaller. So there is a possibility it increases less than 100%.http://boxofficemojo...ns10.htm&p=.htmThen again if you look at 2009, the jumps were like 2011http://boxofficemojo...09-04-10&p=.htm2011 and 2009 are probably much better comparisons, since Clash is so much bigger than either opener. I think we'll see a sneak-in effect too since American Reunion is R rated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claire of Themyscira Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 I'm all over the map right now. I hope Titanic and American REunion have huge Fridays and THG has a weak one, but that isn't going to happen.Well I hope THG has an astronomical Friday, and AR has a great Friday, and Titanic with a weak Friday. Mkay? Mkay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 And i have it dropping 50%. So that would be about 29 mill.Not that far off from each other. I'm tired of arguing. Let's hit the peace pipe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Not that far off from each other. I'm tired of arguing. Let's hit the peace pipe. I'm all over the peace pipe today. It's all good.....as you know, Jesus died today, and to quote my wife, "No I'm not going to a movie with you today. Jesus died today you know."I'm not really sure if this fits into our truce, but it's funny nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Everyone is looking at last year's numbers, but if you look at 2010, which is pretty similar to when Easter falls this year, the Friday increases are much smaller. So there is a possibility it increases less than 100%.http://boxofficemojo...ns10.htm&p=.htmThen again if you look at 2009, the jumps were like 2011http://boxofficemojo...09-04-10&p=.htmThe only 2 films that had small Friday increases were The Last Song which just opened on the Wednesday and Alice in Wonderland which lost 3D screens (and that was a much bigger deal then when there were fewer 3D screens). A lot of movies farther down had small increases too but that was due to hefty theater count losses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Everyone is looking at last year's numbers, but if you look at 2010, which is pretty similar to when Easter falls this year, the Friday increases are much smaller. So there is a possibility it increases less than 100%.http://boxofficemojo...ns10.htm&p=.htmThen again if you look at 2009, the jumps were like 2011http://boxofficemojo...09-04-10&p=.htmI just checked each film in qustion that increases badLast Song = OpenerAlice = Lost 3DShe's Out of My Legue = ridiculous theater loss Shutter Island = ridiculous theater loss, over half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Nikki friday http://www.deadline.com/2012/04/titanic-3d-opens-to-surprisingly-strong-matinees/Titanic and AR both between 8-10m friday for 25m weekends Posted back on page 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Nikki is overestimating so we are in for disappointment again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Nikki friday http://www.deadline....trong-matinees/Titanic and AR both between 8-10m friday for 25m weekendsPosted back on page 10bad link, good increase for Titanic, hopefully it can gain momentum throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 If both make less than 10m than THG will bust em, 3 wks soon to be 4 at #1 yo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Sorry, here is the proper link:http://www.deadline.com/2012/04/titanic-3d-opens-to-surprisingly-strong-matinees/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 As long as AR isn`t #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 She's extrapolating Friday numbers from early East Coast matinees. There's just such a large margin for error there that it's hard to take them seriously at all. I can't put any stock in those numbers right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 I hope THG can keep #1 for all 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 She's extrapolating Friday numbers from early East Coast matinees. There's just such a large margin for error there that it's hard to take them seriously at all. I can't put any stock in those numbers right nowshe nailed it last wk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 She's extrapolating Friday numbers from early East Coast matinees. There's just such a large margin for error there that it's hard to take them seriously at all. I can't put any stock in those numbers right nowAgreed. That's why it's good to wait until the 9 or10 pm EST update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 she nailed it last wk.Only once, then she was all over the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 She's extrapolating Friday numbers from early East Coast matinees. There's just such a large margin for error there that it's hard to take them seriously at all. I can't put any stock in those numbers right nowI don`t trust her either. You bet that those $8-10 mio for Titanic will turn out to be $5-6 mio. I wish first version is the right one but it`s Nikki. $24 mio Friday for HG second week, nuff said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...