zackzack Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 ^^GRAVITY is still around? That's longevity in Russian box office. I still think the movie could've made even more.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cosmonaut Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 30m would be a huge jump over THG, THG3 could reach 45m, maybe 50m I doubt there will be big increase next year, especially if CF will do well this year. Catching Fire will lose steam on December 12th with the release of Frozen. It'll lose it much earlier, even though there is no decent competitor, there is huge number of wide releases, 3 ~1K copies movies coming out before Frozen, all local. We should wait at least for OD result to start thinking about legs. December 19th 18th, actually(preview ). Hobbit had 2128 screens last year, it is uncertain whether it's going to pull up that number this year. 55m for The Hobbit 2 (yes I believe in it) With much stronger competition(~10 really strong wide releases to compete with), even 45m will be a break through. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 I doubt there will be big increase next year, especially if CF will do well this year. It'll lose it much earlier, even though there is no decent competitor, there is huge number of wide releases, 3 ~1K copies movies coming out before Frozen, all local. We should wait at least for OD result to start thinking about legs. 18th, actually(preview ). Hobbit had 2128 screens last year, it is uncertain whether it's going to pull up that number this year. With much stronger competition(~10 really strong wide releases to compete with), even 45m will be a break through. Or Hobbit 2 will crush this competition given how big it is, not necessarily the other way around Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 (edited) Kinometro expects $11.5m OW for Catching Fire. I predicted $12m OW. I'm not rusty The first one ($12.2m) could be beat in 4 days with some luck ^^ Edited November 21, 2013 by Sonic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cosmonaut Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 (edited) The first one ($12.2m) could be beat in 4 days with some luck ^^ You keep forgetting that first one earned 13,4m Don't know when to go see CF, tomorrow with crowd, or on Monday without and half the price... Edited November 21, 2013 by Cosmonaut Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 agree w/ kinomertro close to my 10 mil prediction 11. The Counselor 293,044 - 5,308,494 3 5 mil milestone! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 You keep forgetting that first one earned 13,4m I remember about $12.2m, they probably modified this number given exchange rates or something Or mzybe I'm wrong but it's not easy to admit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cosmonaut Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 (edited) I remember about $12.2m, they probably modified this number given exchange rates or something Or mzybe I'm wrong but it's not easy to admit http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&country=R2&id=hungergames.htm Exchange rate was better, not the other way around. So even $25m for CF will be more than double. It would be better if we just added all currency's in one number, crazy, i know, but more precise. According to ekinobilet HG:CF earned ~$15k yesterday)) Edited November 21, 2013 by Cosmonaut Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&country=R2&id=hungergames.htm Exchange rate was better, not the other way around. So even $25m for CF will be more than double. It would be better if we just added all currency's in one number, crazy, i know, but more precise. According to ekinobilet HG:CF earned ~$15k yesterday)) So I was wrong, really weird Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cosmonaut Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Fire is not that good for OD, anything beyond $2m would be fantastic, but WOM is great, 8,5/10 on KP right now, i expect growth throughout the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Fire is not that good for OD, anything beyond $2m would be fantastic, but WOM is great, 8,5/10 on KP right now, i expect growth throughout the weekend. It's way too soon to say that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cosmonaut Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 It's way too soon to say that. Why so?)) I'm monitoring and comparing situation to Thor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Because the OD number will reflect the whole day, so it's not significant. And CF won't beat Thor 2, nobody expected it. The Avengers effect is difficult to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cosmonaut Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 (edited) Because the OD number will reflect the whole day, so it's not significant. And CF won't beat Thor 2, nobody expected it. The Avengers effect is difficult to beat. OD is not significant? Thor didn't had the proper OD, so in order to pull up 30m+ CF needs to at least match Thor's formal OD. Edited November 21, 2013 by Cosmonaut Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 OD is not significant? Thor didn't had the proper OD, so in order to pull up 30m+ CF needs to at least match Thor's formal OD. Don't forget : I said $25m for CF, so that would go my way, even if I deliberately chose a low range in order to be not disappointed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 (edited) we'll see who's right conservative or positive take soon enough I dont pay attn to ratings that early but wom is def good from what little Ive read on forums/twitter so Im optimistic my screening already doesnt have vacant seats in the middle Not that i care. I usually prefer to sit somewhere on the side anyway checked some other cinemas & there are really great presales for the evening showings Edited November 21, 2013 by Leyla 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 we'll see who's right conservative or positive take soon enough I dont pay attn to ratings that early but wom is def good from what little Ive read on forums/twitter so Im optimistic my screening already doesnt have vacant seats in the middle Not that i care. I usually prefer to sit somewhere on the side anyway checked some other cinemas & there are really great presales for the evening showings Great Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 BY THE WAY Leyla, did you like the first one? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 yeah I really liked it aside from shakycam Soooo CF was def not the film with 95 RT score for me im afraid to post my review in the general CF thread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 yeah I really liked it aside from shakycam Soooo CF was def not the film with 95 RT score for me im afraid to post my review in the general CF thread Do you like CF better than THG? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...