BO Germany/Austria: Deadpool&Wolverine #1

[IndustriousAngel]

It's actually a very good hold since there's fine weather in most parts of Germany, so BO is generally weak this weekend.

[IndustriousAngel]

Saturday trend:Ex2 175kStepUp4 115kTed 85kheiter bis wolkig 65kCabin 65kTR 50kTo Rome 45kRabeSocke 45kThe Watch 40kObviously The Watch doesn't connect with German audiences, will barely make the Top10. CGI films got hit hard (IA4, Brave under 30k, horrible drops from last week)

[lab276]

CGI films got hit hard (IA4, Brave under 30k, horrible drops from last week)

Are kids back at school?

[IndustriousAngel]

In most areas, yes - but that shouldn't deflate the weekend that much (quite the contrary actually), it's mainly the fine weather - and since IA4 and Brave are down to afternoon shows in most theaters, they get hit the hardest by families discovering the great outdoors.

[lab276]

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany + Austria Top 12 September 6-9

TW	LW	Movie	Studio	Weekend	Change	Gross	Week
1	2	Step Up Revolution	Constantin	$ 2.179.954	-40,5	7.337.113	2
2	1	Expendables 2	Splendid/Fox	$ 2.134.881	-50,8	8.656.867	2
3	3	Ted	UPI	$ 1.002.116	-47,1	34.284.330	6
4	4	Total Recall	Sony	$ 596.945	-52,4	5.537.467	3
5	7	To Rome with Love	Tobis/Const.	$ 579.918	-44,5	2.152.502	2
6	N	The Watch	Fox	$ 573.130	-	589.484	1
7	N	Heiter bis wolkig	Constantin	$ 548.792	-	715.306	1
8	N	Cabin in the Woods	Universum	$ 490.304	-	670.765	1
9	6	Brave	Disney	$ 479.552	-54,9	13.901.490	6
10	5	Ice Age 4	Fox	$ 473.331	-59,7	72.296.378	10
11	8	Prometheus	Fox	$ 403.469	-54,9	14.385.844	5
12	9	The Dark Knight Rises	WB	$ 396.355	-49,8	37.622.542	7

Bad drops all over the map. Fun fact: While in Germany+Austria accumulated, the three big openers ended up very close on ranks 6, 7 and 8, there were big differences between Austria and Germany. In Austria, Watch was nr.3, CitW 5th and Hbw 9th; in Germany: Hbw 5th, Watch 7th, CitW 10th. Also, in Austria Ex2 was in front $-wise too, not just admissions like in Germany.

The coming weekend should hopefully see low drops; the only major opener will be "The Bourne Legacy" which will be nr.1 and hurt Ex2 and TR. The 3rd Bourne film had about double the admissions of Ex1; even without Matt Damon this should be able to at least match Ex2.

[ecstasy]

Germany + Austria Top 12 September 6-9 TW LW Movie Studio Weekend Change Gross Week 1 2 Step Up Revolution Constantin $ 2.179.954 -40,5 7.337.113 2 2 1 Expendables 2 Splendid/Fox $ 2.134.881 -50,8 8.656.867 2 3 3 Ted UPI $ 1.002.116 -47,1 34.284.330 6 4 4 Total Recall Sony $ 596.945 -52,4 5.537.467 3 5 7 To Rome with Love Tobis/Const. $ 579.918 -44,5 2.152.502 2 6 N The Watch Fox $ 573.130 - 589.484 1 7 N Heiter bis wolkig Constantin $ 548.792 - 715.306 1 8 N Cabin in the Woods Universum $ 490.304 - 670.765 1 9 6 Brave Disney $ 479.552 -54,9 13.901.490 6 10 5 Ice Age 4 Fox $ 473.331 -59,7 72.296.378 10 11 8 Prometheus Fox $ 403.469 -54,9 14.385.844 5 12 9 The Dark Knight Rises WB $ 396.355 -49,8 37.622.542 7

Bad drops all over the map. Fun fact: While in Germany+Austria accumulated, the three big openers ended up very close on ranks 6, 7 and 8, there were big differences between Austria and Germany. In Austria, Watch was nr.3, CitW 5th and Hbw 9th; in Germany: Hbw 5th, Watch 7th, CitW 10th. Also, in Austria Ex2 was in front $-wise too, not just admissions like in Germany.

The coming weekend should hopefully see low drops; the only major opener will be "The Bourne Legacy" which will be nr.1 and hurt Ex2 and TR. The 3rd Bourne film had about double the admissions of Ex1; even without Matt Damon this should be able to at least match Ex2.

How far do you see Bourne going? It needs a breakout.

Edited September 12, 2012 by ECSTASY

[IndustriousAngel]

If it does the same as Bourne3 that would be sensational. If it does half it would be poor. My expectations lie halfway inbetween, so I really don't smell a breakout, just a decent run. Especially with Ex2 and TR still in theaters and later in September RE:R and german TilSchweiger-actioner "Schutzengel" opening and eating into the target demographic.

Edited September 12, 2012 by IndustriousAngel

[ecstasy]

If it does the same as Bourne3 that would be sensational. If it does half it would be poor. My expectations lie halfway inbetween, so I really don't smell a breakout, just a decent run. Especially with Ex2 and TR still in theaters and later in September RE:R and german TilSchweiger-actioner "Schutzengel" opening and eating into the target demographic.

Okay Ultimatum did 14m in Germany. That would be fantastic.

[IndustriousAngel]

Hmmm ... if the first weekend trend is not completely off, B:L opens on the poor side of expectations and it will be difficult to reach 1mil admissions whil Ex2 has a good hold and stays on track to maybe 1.2million.

[Fake]

Most European markets including UK, Spain and Italy have dropped more than 50% in admissions, so I would have been surprised if it did hit 1 mil.I expect $7-9 from Germany.

[ecstasy]

Hmmm ... if the first weekend trend is not completely off, B:L opens on the poor side of expectations and it will be difficult to reach 1mil admissions whil Ex2 has a good hold and stays on track to maybe 1.2million.

How much money is 250,000 admissions?

[Rudolf]

How much money is 250,000 admissions?

How much money is 250,000 admissions?

depends on movie for 2D (THG for examle) 1 admission = $9.72for 3D (TA) 1 admission = $ 13.85for kids 3D movie (IA4) 1 admission = $9.90 Edited September 14, 2012 by Rudolf

[ecstasy]

depends on movie for 2D (THG for examle) 1 admission = $9.72for 3D (TA) 1 admission = $ 13.85for kids 3D movie (IA4) 1 admission = $9.90

Well we know this isn't a kid's movie or 3D. So I'll go with the 9.72 and multiply from there.So is it 250k admissions for the opening day? Edited September 14, 2012 by ECSTASY

[Fake]

Well we know this isn't a kid's movie or 3D. So I'll go with the 9.72 and multiply from there.So is it 250k admissions for the opening day?

Nope. It's for the 4-day weekend.About half the opening of TBU.

[Fake]

TBU got 17.3M from Germany+Austria.8-9M looks likely for TBL looking at that projection.

Edited September 14, 2012 by Fake

[ecstasy]

Nope. It's for the 4-day weekend.About half the opening of TBU.

[IndustriousAngel]

Saturday trend even lowers the expectations ... 240k admissions fot the 4-day-weekend is really on the lowest side of expectations. Nearly a disaster. Other numbers:Ex2: 135kSU4: 100kTed: 75kToRome: 60kSo, not a bad weekend, but very weak opening for Bourne Legacy.

[ecstasy]

Saturday trend even lowers the expectations ... 240k admissions fot the 4-day-weekend is really on the lowest side of expectations. Nearly a disaster. Other numbers:Ex2: 135kSU4: 100kTed: 75kToRome: 60kSo, not a bad weekend, but very weak opening for Bourne Legacy.

Why are people rejecting Bourne Legacy? Is it because they don't recognize the star? Is it getting bad reviews? I don't understand why it would underperform like that.

[lab276]

Why are people rejecting Bourne Legacy? Is it because they don't recognize the star? Is it getting bad reviews? I don't understand why it would underperform like that.

Losing Damon I guess. Renner just isn't as recognisable.