el sid Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 (edited) And the Thursday actuals (Blickpunkt:Film): The new releases: Sauerkrautkoma: 33k (the predecessor "Grießnockerlaffäre" had 22k OD) → 150k OW with previews The Meg: 30k - it went up! The Guernsey Literary And Potato Peel Pie Society: 5.2k → 45k OW Duck Duck Goose: 6.6k → 25k OW The holdovers: Missions: Impossible - Fallout: 36k (actuals last Thursday 50k) Hotel Transylvania 3: 32k whole day (42k whole day) Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 31k (41k) Edited August 10, 2018 by el sid 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 The second trend looks similar: #1 M: I6 175k #2 Sauerkrautkoma 170k #3 HT3 140k #4 MM2 140k #5 The Meg 125k #6 Ant-Man and the Wasp 80k #7 Deine Juliet 47.5k #8 The First Purge 25k #9 Duck Duck Goose 25k 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 11, 2018 Author Share Posted August 11, 2018 So, Sauerkrautkoma will definitely NOT be #1 this weekend; still a great number. The last entry in the series (Grießnockerlaffäre) opened a year ago to about 135k including previews, so once more the franchise is showing an upwards trend, not bad for the 5th entry. However, last year there followed an increase on 2nd weekend (bad weather) so let's see if Sauerkrautkoma can get near its predecessor's total (>800k) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted August 12, 2018 Share Posted August 12, 2018 The 3rd trend has almost everything increasing once more. #1 MI6: 200k #2: Sauerkrautkoma: 170k #3/4: HT3/MM2: 150k #5: Meg: 140k Also Ant-Man and the Wasp has now passed the first movie's total and continues the streak of every MCU sequel or threequel outperforming its predecessors. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 (edited) The Monday update, as often it looks a bit better for most movies: #1 M: I6 200k/600k (only -21% without previews) #2 HT3 167.5k/1.525M #3 Sauerkrautkoma 160k/180k (read that the 20k out of its previews were originated from only 20 screens!) #4 MM2 157.5k/1.430M #5 The Meg 155k - again an increase #6 Ant-Man and the Wasp 90k/585k #7 The First Purge 27.5k/570k #8 Deine Juliet 27.5k/52.5k #9 Duck Duck Goose 27.5k #10 JW2 22.5k/2.330M #11 Catch Me! 20k/125k Edited August 13, 2018 by el sid 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 14, 2018 Author Share Posted August 14, 2018 (edited) Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Mission: Impossible 6 201.085 635 317 601.280 6.676.277 -21 2 2 Hotel Transylvania 3 168.993 762 222 1.524.051 11.418.236 -4 4 3 Mamma Mia! 2 168.361 724 233 1.441.178 12.147.087 -6 4 4 Sauerkrautkoma 163.373 196 834 184.420 1.495.810 - 1 5 Meg 154.203 333 463 154.203 1.610.751 - 1 6 Ant-Man 2 91.298 556 164 587.374 6.018.610 -23 3 7 The First Purge 28.679 329 87 569.993 4.937.049 -5 6 8 The Guernsey Literary And … 28.213 315 90 52.087 421.261 - 1 9 Duck Duck Goose 27.635 373 74 27.635 187.241 - 1 10 Jurassic World 2 23.009 313 74 2.332.006 25.192.939 -26 10 11 Tag 20.191 264 76 123.954 978.134 -18 3 12 Adrift 16.918 298 57 271.927 2.208.208 -19 5 13 Ocean's 8 12.216 126 97 750.024 6.259.546 -56 8 14 303 11.474 125 92 83.281 695.217 +14 4 15 Papst Franziskus 11.250 293 38 403.974 3.099.891 +8 9 16 Jim Knopf & Lukas 10.157 337 30 1.702.899 11.541.129 -30 20 17 Meine teuflisch gute Freundin 9.991 335 30 250.996 1.681.575 -12 7 18 Skyscraper 8.100 206 39 332.227 3.384.150 -49 5 19 Three Billboards Outside … 7.417 35 212 767.150 6.105.663 +65 29 20 The Shape of Water 7.143 26 510 510.990 4.239.575 +84 26 Finally a weekend with overperforming openers (even if only slightly). Meg is selling better than expected, very good PTA. Sauerkrautkoma nearly doubles Meg's PTA but its potential for expansion is slim. Among holdovers, drops were mostly very soft, and thanks to open air shows some older releases have a comeback in the charts. Next weekend: The Equalizer 2 has potential to become #1, even if it will probably drop from the first one's >200k opening. Disney's Christopher Robin has all the makings of a movie nobody was waiting for, but a place in the Top5 might still be possible, thanks to Disney's marketing power (I hope, personally I haven't seen any push). This week's openers should expand a bit, with Meg profiting more than Sauerkrautkoma thanks to the wider appeal. Edited August 14, 2018 by IndustriousAngel 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 On 8/14/2018 at 12:05 PM, IndustriousAngel said: Finally a weekend with overperforming openers (even if only slightly). Meg is selling better than expected, very good PTA. Sauerkrautkoma nearly doubles Meg's PTA but its potential for expansion is slim. Among holdovers, drops were mostly very soft, and thanks to open air shows some older releases have a comeback in the charts. Being 20 WE in the Top20 is great for Jim Knopf - if the weather would have been worse it should have made it to 2M+ easily... I had hoped for much more, I really liked the movie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 15, 2018 Author Share Posted August 15, 2018 40 minutes ago, Aristis said: Being 20 WE in the Top20 is great for Jim Knopf - if the weather would have been worse it should have made it to 2M+ easily... I had hoped for much more, I really liked the movie With open airs still running for about two weeks, it might yet reach 1,8mil, one of the bestselling domestic children's book adaptions (sadly also one of the most expensive ...) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 Among openers at my theater, The Darkest Minds is an instant flop, as is Christopher Robin. Equalizer2 does a little better but is lagging behind M:I6 and MM2. Only sellout situation is the Elvis 68 Comeback Special which is playing only today and only one show. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 On 8/14/2018 at 6:05 PM, IndustriousAngel said: Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Mission: Impossible 6 201.085 635 317 601.280 6.676.277 -21 2 2 Hotel Transylvania 3 168.993 762 222 1.524.051 11.418.236 -4 4 3 Mamma Mia! 2 168.361 724 233 1.441.178 12.147.087 -6 4 4 Sauerkrautkoma 163.373 196 834 184.420 1.495.810 - 1 5 Meg 154.203 333 463 154.203 1.610.751 - 1 6 Ant-Man 2 91.298 556 164 587.374 6.018.610 -23 3 7 The First Purge 28.679 329 87 569.993 4.937.049 -5 6 8 The Guernsey Literary And … 28.213 315 90 52.087 421.261 - 1 9 Duck Duck Goose 27.635 373 74 27.635 187.241 - 1 10 Jurassic World 2 23.009 313 74 2.332.006 25.192.939 -26 10 11 Tag 20.191 264 76 123.954 978.134 -18 3 12 Adrift 16.918 298 57 271.927 2.208.208 -19 5 13 Ocean's 8 12.216 126 97 750.024 6.259.546 -56 8 14 303 11.474 125 92 83.281 695.217 +14 4 15 Papst Franziskus 11.250 293 38 403.974 3.099.891 +8 9 16 Jim Knopf & Lukas 10.157 337 30 1.702.899 11.541.129 -30 20 17 Meine teuflisch gute Freundin 9.991 335 30 250.996 1.681.575 -12 7 18 Skyscraper 8.100 206 39 332.227 3.384.150 -49 5 19 Three Billboards Outside … 7.417 35 212 767.150 6.105.663 +65 29 20 The Shape of Water 7.143 26 510 510.990 4.239.575 +84 26 Finally a weekend with overperforming openers (even if only slightly). Meg is selling better than expected, very good PTA. Sauerkrautkoma nearly doubles Meg's PTA but its potential for expansion is slim. Among holdovers, drops were mostly very soft, and thanks to open air shows some older releases have a comeback in the charts. Next weekend: The Equalizer 2 has potential to become #1, even if it will probably drop from the first one's >200k opening. Disney's Christopher Robin has all the makings of a movie nobody was waiting for, but a place in the Top5 might still be possible, thanks to Disney's marketing power (I hope, personally I haven't seen any push). This week's openers should expand a bit, with Meg profiting more than Sauerkrautkoma thanks to the wider appeal. for what event they bring back 3 billboard and the Shape of water??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 22 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: for what event they bring back 3 billboard and the Shape of water??? those are open air events (some of them with around 1.000 seats, so one sold out show may have quite an impact) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 (edited) The Thursday estimates for the whole country (last Thursday most estimates were below the actual numbers): The new releases:The Equalizer 2 (released in 501 theaters, the first movie had 207k admissions OW and a total of 862k): 48.5k - would be a very good number, looks almost too good Christopher Robin (498): 7.5k - evening only The Darkest Minds (306): 3.5k Breaking In (240): 2.5k Ein Dorf zieht blank/Normandie Nue (100): under 1k The holdovers: Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 28.5k (36k) - nice Sauerkrautkoma: 25k (33k) - also Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 16.5k (31k) The Meg: 10k (30k) - was strongly underestimated last week Ant-Man and the Wasp: 9k (estimated 13k) The Guernsey Literary And Potato Peel Pie Society: 3k (5.2k) Hotel Transylvania 3: 1k evening only (estimated 3k evening only, 32k whole day) Sadly we get no South-West-reports in the next weeks which would be urgently needed as control measurement. If the estimates are too far away from the actuals I have to think about something else or to pause. Mark_G from insidekino.de predicts 200k admissions for The Equalizer2 and 100k admissions for Christopher Robin. The holds should again be nice with only -25% for each movie of the Top Ten. Only The Meg (-40%) and Ant-Man and the Wasp (-50%) could drop harder. 63% of the federal republic have school holidays. Edited August 16, 2018 by el sid 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 17, 2018 Author Share Posted August 17, 2018 First estimates from insidekino.de for Germany's weekend: #1: Eq2 - 185k (>10% drop from the first one) #2: M:I6 - 105k (-48%) #3: MM2 - 100k (-40%) #4: SKK - 95k (-42%) #5: CR - 95k incl. previews 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 (edited) The Thursday actuals from Blickpunkt:Film (and sadly it just doesn't work with only one report, almost every bigger movie went down): The new releases: The Equalizer 2: 33k - the estimate looked too good . Still not bad, the first Equalizer had 32k OD and was released in October, a more favorable date Christopher Robin: 16k Breaking In: 3.5k → 27.5k OW The Darkest Minds: 4k → 20k OW Ein Dorf zieht blank/Normandie Nue: 1.4k → 7.5k OW The holdovers: Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 20k (actuals last Thursday 36k) Sauerkrautkoma: 20k (33k) HT3: no Thursday numbers but 75k OW predicted in the first trend, -56% The Meg: also no Thursday numbers, 70k OW predicted in the first trend, -55% Edited August 17, 2018 by el sid 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted August 18, 2018 Share Posted August 18, 2018 (edited) Few increases with the 2nd Trend: Eq2 195k MI6 115k -43% MM2 100k -40% SKK 95k -42%/-48% CR 95k Meg 85k -45% HT3 80k -53% AMATW 40k -56% Edited August 18, 2018 by Aristis 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 20, 2018 Author Share Posted August 20, 2018 Actuals tomorrow but numbers went up a bit once more! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 There are actuals for the first half of the year - and as expected they are bad. It had 51M admissions, down 15% from the year before. Only 1992 was worse (49M). That year only had 106M admissions (last year had 122M and already was a bad one)... So this year will probably be the worst since 26 years. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 21, 2018 Author Share Posted August 21, 2018 With weak line-up and the WorldCup I think that was never in question ... same as in Austria. But it's actually worse than expected, with even the few potential hits failing at the BO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted August 21, 2018 Author Share Posted August 21, 2018 Germany's Top20 last weekend: ttile admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 The Equalizer 2 166.279 500 333 190.023 1.799.211 - 1 2 Mamma Mia! 2 123.143 698 176 1.675.838 14.063.900 -27 5 3 Mission: Impossible 6 118.552 653 182 825.151 9.015.936 -41 3 4 Hotel Transylvaniea 3 104.106 757 138 1.735.548 12.922.436 -38 5 5 Sauerkrautkoma 103.077 236 437 404.136 3.225.547 -37 2 6 Meg 90.730 365 249 307.455 3.106.044 -41 2 7 Christopher Robin 82.634 501 165 93.654 714.510 - 1 8 Ant-Man 2 45.392 417 109 683.539 6.926.814 -50 4 9 Breaking In 22.866 240 95 33.923 254.678 - 1 10 The Darkest Minds 21.031 306 69 21.797 178.909 - 1 11 Duck Duck Goose 15.644 421 37 64.541 420.271 -43 2 12 Jurassic World 2 14.994 239 63 2.359.855 25.461.424 -35 11 13 The First Purge 13.701 255 54 592.854 5.136.005 -52 7 14 The Guernsey Literary … Society 12.865 303 42 86.742 704.110 -54 2 15 Papst Franziskus 7.527 245 31 421.844 3.2334.889 -33 10 16 Jim Knopf & Lukas 7.369 300 25 1.716.890 11.628.757 -27 21 17 303 7.352 129 57 98.578 820.646 -36 5 18 Adrift 6.802 220 31 289.794 289.794 -60 6 19 Meine teuflisch gute Freundin 6.434 288 22 264.817 1.771.174 -36 8 20 Normandie Nue 6.421 100 64 7.421 60.273 - 1 Five releases with >100k admissions but non above 200k, another sad weekend at the german BO. Sauerkrautkoma had the highest PTA again; thanks to the strong opening it's still ahead of last year's Grießnockerlaffäre even though that one increased in week 2. The Equalizer 2 did about what was expected, in fact better than I expected after the ridiculous first one. Next weekend: No real big opener except maybe Slender Man which has a chance to win the weekend with nothing else for the horror crowd. A lot of medium-sized openers with such different offerings as Blackkklansman (don't see much interest), Crazy Rich Asians (neither), Action Point (Johnny Knoxville has some dedicated followers so maybe good PTA in its few theaters) or Terrence Hill starrer My Name is Thomas which should lure older moviegoers. Overall no standout, but with weather turning cold and rainy, and with such a wide gamut of offerings, we might finally see something like a really good weekend! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) It's kind of funny, the new Terence Hill movie on its own will probably not interest many people at all, but combine it with a visit from Terence Hill himself and the roof blows off. I guess the chance to actually see a legendary actor / childhood hero is too unique to ignore. Reminds of the time when Bud Spencer visited bookshops to present his autobiography, you had people queueing up ten hours before he was supposed to arrive, clogging the whole area. I think in Berlin they even hadto shut things down because there were way too many people around, and they also ran out of books, even though they had more than 1000+ at the store. And this wasn't the usual hype-crowd, it was grown men and women of all ages, from the entire social spectrum. *Sigh* the good old days Edited August 23, 2018 by George Parr 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...