IndustriousAngel Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 final numbers a bit higher, FB2 in front. In Austria, Grinch won the weekend (FB2 has much steeper drops in Austria than in Germany) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Fantastic Beasts 2 384.673 700 550 2.521.128 25.725.034 -39 3 2 The Grinch 332.918 656 507 406.419 3.394.259 - 1 3 Bohemian Rhapsody 134.763 721 187 1.821.543 16.921.763 -37 5 4 The Nutcracker 57.154 566 101 826.463 7.113.836 -42 5 5 25 km/h 43.563 563 77 703.258 5.819.841 -43 5 6 Müslüm 30.978 88 352 128.365 1.172.143 -13 3 7 Der Vorname 30.885 490 63 929.545 7.892.647 -38 7 8 A Simple Favor 30.615 304 101 375.409 3.118.257 -43 4 9 Night School 25.007 224 112 162.285 1.315.125 -38 3 10 Elliot: The Littlest Reindeer 19.698 377 52 101.500 653.343 -33 4 11 Peppermint 19.418 219 89 35.718 256.324 - 1 12 Crooked House 16.274 213 76 19.186 161.756 - 1 13 The Girl in the Spider's Web 14.983 400 37 90.873 725.386 -66 2 14 Johnny English 3 13.972 261 54 935.486 7.403.771 -50 7 15 First Man 12.773 181 71 213.295 1.972.546 -57 4 16 The Incredibles 2 12.757 393 32 2.150.419 17.694.054 -59 10 17 Zimna Wojna 11.919 110 108 41.401 325.027 -36 2 18 Smallfoot 11.451 439 26 614.519 4.189.723 -67 8 19 A Star Is Born 8.989 181 50 900.289 8.039.402 -39 9 20 Halloween 7.801 228 34 1.077.505 9.509.126 -58 6 Not too good, this weekend - the openers weaker than expected and hard drops. Fantastic Beasts 2 held ok considering the other drops … Next weekend: A lot of releases, christmas season is starting strong and one can only hope the multiple movies don't cannibalise each other. Tabaluga is for the youngest kids, Unknown User 2 for the horror crowd (as is, a little bit, Anna and the Apocalypse), Widows for the thriller-addicted (and women), Lindgren biopic Astrid for the educated, and for comedy lovers the latest Fitz/Schweighöfer coproduction 100 Dinge which might win the weekend. Add some smaller but attractive releases (Noe's Climax is the most interesting one) and we might see a strong weekend with no standout release but overall high admissions. 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 6, 2018 Author Share Posted December 6, 2018 after Crooked House last week, we seem to have the next flop with Widows ... donestic comedy 100 Dinge might win the weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said: after Crooked House last week, we seem to have the next flop with Widows ... donestic comedy 100 Dinge might win the weekend The Grinch will be number 1. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 7, 2018 Author Share Posted December 7, 2018 10 hours ago, efialtes76 said: The Grinch will be number 1. seems you're right, first estimates from insidekino.de have Grinch at 275k, FB2 225 and 100Dinge 225 incl. previews, so #3 for the weekend 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted December 7, 2018 Share Posted December 7, 2018 (edited) Some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt: Film): The new releases: 100 Dinge (a German comedy, released in 600 theaters): 23k, had already 40k admissions on Wednesday, would mean 185k over the four days Tabaluga - Der Film (a German animation film, 568): 11k → 125k admissions OW in the first trend Unfriended: Dark Web (345, the predecessor had 700k total admissions): 6.3k → 70k OW Widows (316): 5.5k → 45k OW Astrid (104): 4.5k → 32.5k OW, seems that Mark_G is pretty conservative here With the exception of Astrid, the films start a little bit under the expectations. OTOH it could have become worse. The holdovers: Fantastic Beasts 2: 27k (actuals last Thursday 42k) The Grinch: 26k (20k) - it increased! Edited December 7, 2018 by el sid 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 (edited) 2nd Trend: Grinch 300k (-10% ecluding previews/ -26% incl.) FB2 240k (-38%) Around 2,86M after Sunday FB1 4th WE: 264k (-32%) 2,55M 100 Dinge 220k BR 120k (-11%) May be able to cross 2M this WE Tabaluga 110k Unknown User 65k Widows 45k Nutcracker 42,5k (-25%) Edited December 8, 2018 by Aristis 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Great hold by the Grinch. Where do you see it finishing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, KP1025 said: Great hold by the Grinch. Where do you see it finishing? Mark_G's (insidekino.de) first prediction was 3M admissions. Then after Grinch opened with 406k admissions (incl. previews) last weekend, he changed it to 2.5M admissions. But with that nice hold it could go up again. So it looks like it will reach 2.5M+ admissions, maybe 3M are still possible, but that depends on the holiday holds of course. Edited December 8, 2018 by el sid 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 (edited) 3. Trend:Der Grinch (350T), Phantastische Tierwesen - Grindelwalds Verbrechen (260T), 100 Dinge (225T), Bohemian Rhapsody (115T), Tabaluga (120T), Unknown User - Dark Web (67,5T), Der Nussknacker und die vier Reiche (50T), Widows - Tödliche Witwen (47,5T), 25 km/h (30T), Astrid (27,5T). insidekino.com Edited December 9, 2018 by abra 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miketheavenger Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 Amazing for Grinch and good for the other movies, too. November and December will make up at least a little bit for an overall atrocious year at the german box office. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted December 9, 2018 Share Posted December 9, 2018 At this point it feels likely that FB2 will win the year, or at least top Infinity War should another movie surprise and beat them both. Talking admissions of course, money should likely stay in favour if IW. IW's lead should be down to about 60k after this weekend. With the latest weekdays being in favour of FB2 100k+ to 87k, and the third weekend going to FB2 260k to 185k. IW's upcoming weekdays stayed about flat, and the movie actually went up slightly from 4th to 5th weekend, but the combined total of those two weekends still only amounts to about 150k, something that FB2 could best just with its 4th weekend as it would need to drop 40%+ to drop below that total. Though even if it were slightly below that, the 5th weekend alone should still make up the entire difference between the two movies. With the holidays coming up, FB2's legs should be better than what IW could offer, even with plenty of new movies arriving. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 10, 2018 Author Share Posted December 10, 2018 Very good weekend even if there were not 6 releases with >100k admissions as some hoped ... Sunday must have been really strong because most releases' actuals went up from last estimates. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 And even The Grinch increased again.These are the Monday updates of the Top 12 movies: #1 The Grinch 360k/825k #2 FB2 265k/2.85M #3 100 Dinge 197.5k/235k #4 BR 115k/1.99M #5 Tabaluga 100k/120k #6 Unfriended2 60k/72.5k #7 Nutcracker 52.5k/895k #8 Widows 42.5k/50k #9 25km/h 32.5k/755k #10 Astrid 30k #11 Der Vorname 22.5k/965k #12 Elliot 22.5k/130k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted December 10, 2018 Share Posted December 10, 2018 (edited) 8 hours ago, el sid said: #1 The Grinch 360k/825k #2 FB2 265k/2.85M That's great for the Grinch, up 8% from the OW (excluding previews). That should indicate a long run through Christmas - maybe we can even dream of 3M (just dream yet of course ). And FB2 is holding great, last two WE it mirrored FB1. 3,5M should be the least it'll do Germany is doing its Job on this Franchise (other than UK... ) Edited December 10, 2018 by Aristis 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 11, 2018 Author Share Posted December 11, 2018 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 The Grinch 360.983 674 536 827.732 6.789.567 +8 2 2 Fantastic Beasts 2 265.169 700 379 2.886.762 29.364.781 -31 4 3 100 Dinge 198.494 600 331 237.428 2.063.350 - 1 4 Bohemian Rhapsody 116.367 764 152 1.990.530 18.441.707 -14 6 5 Tabaluga 100.085 570 176 121.630 831.988 - 1 6 Unknown User 2 60.015 344 174 73.148 607.670 - 1 7 The Nutcracker 51.938 567 92 891.761 7.617.462 -9 6 8 Widows 41.544 316 131 48.655 424.959 - 1 9 25 km/h 33.415 512 65 753.564 6.221.289 -23 6 10 Astrid 29.678 105 283 35.093 291.521 - 1 11 Der Vorname 24.311 432 56 968.136 8.245.300 -21 8 12 Elliot: The Littlest Reindeer 22.312 440 51 128.175 813.686 +13 5 13 Müslüm 18.517 87 213 155.550 1.414.945 -40 4 14 A Simple Favor 17.054 223 76 400.664 3.336.326 -44 5 15 Night School 12.094 147 82 178.996 1.454.419 -52 4 16 Augsburger Puppenkist 9.512 331 29 15.594 94.049 +68 2 17 Hedefim Sensin 8.797 39 226 8.797 80.352 - 1 18 Smallfoot 8.513 303 28 624.516 4.249.131 -26 9 19 Johnny English 3 7.690 191 40 945.789 7.480.507 -45 8 20 The Incredibles 2 7.655 263 29 2.159.286 17.755.941 -40 11 Good weekend with a lot of attractive releases, no sellout situations (except the Lord-of-the-Rings-triplefeatures) but nice business nontheless. The Grinch seems to have gained some momentum and will see a healthy run over the holidays, 3mil might be possible! Next weekend: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse is difficult to predict - Spidey is still one of the most popular heroes but animation gets usually buried in the afternoon shows. A six-digit opening should be a safe bet but will it be closer to 100k or 300k? No idea … the same goes for Mortal Engines which is not a well-known property but has Peter Jackson attached - again, 100k should be easy but 300k seem pretty high. Since there's no new competition for family films, those should see fine holds (or increases) again - The Grinch might win a second weekend! 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 12, 2018 Author Share Posted December 12, 2018 well according to presales at my theater, the "easy" 100k won't be that easy, neither for Spider-Verse nor Mortal Engines ... let's hope for holdovers 😟 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 13, 2018 Author Share Posted December 13, 2018 with late bookings and walkins, SPider-Verse is now about double as "strong" as Mortal Engines but both don't make much of a splash Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 (edited) 1st Trend: Grinch 275k (-24%) 1,16M after the WE FB2 150k (-43%) 3,1M+ 100 Dinge 150k (-24%) Motral Engines 120k Spiderverse 85k BR 75k (-35%) Tabaluga 75k (-25%) Hopefully there will be some corrections up over the WE... FB2 would be around the same as FB1 again, 150k vs 157k, 3,1M+ vs 2,84M Edited December 14, 2018 by Aristis 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted December 14, 2018 Author Share Posted December 14, 2018 wow, real baaad weekend #1: Grinch - 275k (-24%) #2/3: FB2 - 100Dinge with 150k each (43% drop for FB2) #4: ME - 120k #5: Spider - 85k with two supposedly big openers, this should have been much better - and bad drops despite the underperforming openers, seems people got better things to do than go to the movies this weekend ... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...