Mexico Box Office | Inside Out 2 opens to mind-blowing $30.2M, 2nd highest 4-day lc OW ever!

[Purple Minion]

Updated USD total for Mario: $82.5M. ER is still great, it has a small chance to reach $85M.

[Flamengo81]

When does Spider-verse presales start over there? It started today in Brazil.

[Carlangonz]

1 minute ago, Flamengo81 said:

When does Spider-verse presales start over there? It started today in Brazil.

Wed or Thu. Shows are already up; no previews nor midnights and full Thu opening.

[Flamengo81]

11 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

Wed or Thu. Shows are already up; no previews nor midnights and full Thu opening.

Apparently it's having Tuesday shows over here 🙄

[Carlangonz]

On 5/12/2023 at 11:17 PM, Carlangonz said:

Fast X Previews (T-5 Days)

 

5,098 sold / 17,153 total available (+28.41% from T-7) 

 

x0.87 of Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (T-0 Days) 

 

Going with high 20s and low 30s atm. This weekend is key but allocation may be an issue if more shows aren't added. 

FAST X Previews - (T-2 Days)

 

6,500 sold / 17,153 total available (+27.5% from T-5)

 

x1.11 from Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (T-6 Hours) - $26.4M 

 

This shall be a good test on how expanding the sample works because the previous two comps are underperforming compared to the average and each one is running just a bit ahead of Guardians at the same point before release and signaling o/u $20M in previews. 

 

$30M+ opening would put it in a position to reach $250M+ across the weekend which is well above F9's $216M. Current ER is stronger than both F9's and F8's so a $14M+

[Carlangonz]

On 5/12/2023 at 10:00 PM, Carlangonz said:

THE LITTLE MERMAID - FIRST 36 HOURS

 

449 sold / 11,662 total available

THE LITTLE MERMAID - T-10 DAYS

 

778 sold / 15,285 total available

 

This already includes three theatres, 15 shows and 3,623 seats that were added during the weekend.

Otherwise is still a nice 58% increase from Friday on same locations.

Edited May 17, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, Flamengo81 said:

Apparently it's having Tuesday shows over here 🙄

Jezz. Is there any holiday? ITSV had a 6-Day as well but it opened during holidays.

bwt are you getting IMAX or 4DX for Little Mermaid? It's just getting PLFs in here and really don't know if FX is keeping them or just an exhibitor's issue.

[Flamengo81]

23 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

Jezz. Is there any holiday? ITSV had a 6-Day as well but it opened during holidays.

No, there is no national holiday until 08/06 which is one week later.

 

24 minutes ago, Carlangonz said:

bwt are you getting IMAX or 4DX for Little Mermaid? It's just getting PLFs in here and really don't know if FX is keeping them or just an exhibitor's issue.

Yes, there is IMAX and 4DX shows for it. But the allocation is very low, there is no wednesday previews and sales are really bad across the board.

[Mickiland16]

I wonder what this market grown is going to mean for Toy Story 5, The Kang Dinasty and Secret Wars. They're probably the strongest contenders to the first $100M movie for the country if Mario doesn't do it. 

[Purple Minion]

1 hour ago, Mickiland16 said:

I wonder what this market grown is going to mean for Toy Story 5, The Kang Dinasty and Secret Wars. They're probably the strongest contenders to the first $100M movie for the country if Mario doesn't do it. 

Mario won't reach $100M. If the ER remains stable by its time of release, Toy Story 5 could be the one.

[Purple Minion]

The Fast Saga

 

	OW lc	OW aud	Total lc	Total aud
FF7	236,081,504	4,295,462	779,293,817	15,534,041
FF8	228,031,830	4,435,792	676,815,295	14,210,175
FF9	180,968,800	2,539,396	521,855,080	8,054,350
FF6	160,750,186	3,366,157	456,249,278	10,162,231
H&S	125,006,850	2,122,600	336,934,826	6,311,539
FF5	82,691,058	1,758,509	304,510,156	6,958,966
FF4	49,756,239	1,163,228	174,674,923	4,390,119
FF2	19,141,719	514,996	79,290,410	2,450,856
FF3	16,866,765	405,090	59,961,796	1,627,497
FF1	7,479,443	218,750	31,620,328	1,074,783

Edited May 16, 2023 by Purple Minion

[Purple Minion]

And in Mojo's USD, as a comparison to see how the ER has fluctuated.

 

FF1    $3,336,146
FF2    $7,542,828
FF3    $5,350,594
FF4  $13,210,004
FF5  $25,942,449
FF6  $35,860,202
FF7  $51,682,039
FF8  $36,309,142
FF9  $26,260,884

 

Hobbs and Shaw  $17,306,109

 

[Issac Newton]

4 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

And in Mojo's USD, as a comparison to see how the ER has fluctuated.

 

FF1    $3,336,146
FF2    $7,542,828
FF3    $5,350,594
FF4  $13,210,004
FF5  $25,942,449
FF6  $35,860,202
FF7  $51,682,039
FF8  $36,309,142
FF9  $26,260,884

 

Hobbs and Shaw  $17,306,109

 

Unless I looked into again and again I thought F9 did the best in Series

[Purple Minion]

9 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Unless I looked into again and again I thought F9 did the best in Series

No, the Pandemic hit it hard. F7 has all records except most attended OW, which was F8. At some point F7 became the #3 all-time movie in lc, behind Avengers and Ultron.

[Mickiland16]

5 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Mario won't reach $100M. If the ER remains stable by its time of release, Toy Story 5 could be the one.

If Toy Story 5 doesn't do it, how long may Toy Story 4 admits record last? Tom Holland Spider-Man 4 is gonna be a hit but far from No Way Home hype and I think a Mario sequel will be a similar situation. Also not sure if the MCU overall still have the same hype that lead to Endgame but we'll find out in a couple of years I guess. 

[Carlangonz]

I'm not sure MCU is going to be able to pull it off from a single character movie. Perhaps Secret Wars with all the hype and sense of epicness they may try to replicate.

If there's another animated saga is Shrek. It's been enough time from the last one, it has grew on its audience from back then and like Toy Story it still connects with younger audiences who never experienced Shrek in theatres.

[Carlangonz]

MAY 11TH-14TH WEEKEND

 

1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 - $129.1M/$440.1M. 

2. Super Mario Bros - $27.4M/$1,491.8M

3. ¿Cómo Matar a Mamá? - $11M/$16M

4. The Offering - $6.7M

5. Evil Dead Rise - $6.4M/$112.8M

6. Love Again - $5.5M

7. The Pope's Exorcist - $3M/$165.9M

8. Panama - $2.1M

9. Goodbye Monster - $1.6M

10. Mirando al Cielo - $1.6M/$2.2M

 

Great 40% drop for Guardians removing Wed previews. Fierce non-stop competition from tomorrow and until mid August so it's likely falling short of Wakanda Forever but still reaching $650M+ surpassing Love & Thunder and The Batman. Both lc and admissions going 80% and 36% respectively ahead of Vol 2.

 

Solid for Super Mario which is coming to an end by now having as final milestones surpassing $1.5B and 22M admissions both which are going to happen at some point during the weekend. Highest grossing animation ever in lc, 3rd in admissions -37% over 4th biggest- and largest hit ever in both lc and admits for Universal. It'll remain as well as No.1 of the year even on presales! Not bad at all. Looking at a finish o/u $1.515B

 

Both Evil Dead and Pope's Exorcist are a relief for their respective studios delivering them necessary hits and leaving a clear path for upcoming horror slate like Boogeyman, The Ring and Insidious.

 

Pretty much everything from No. 4 up to No. 10 are dissapearing starting Thursday with Evil Dead and Pope's Exorcist keeping one or two shows per day at most complexes. We're in for a wild summer, I think not even 2019 or 2018 were like this one. I think schedule was a miss: June is crowded with too many family releases and July doesn't have a single one of it.

 

I don't think Rise of Beasts is coming out well from this one as both Elemental and Ruby Gillman may be better suited for families and The Flash offers a bigger spectacle. Oppenheimer and Dead Reckoning aren't moving from their July spots so they both can co-exist with MI taking a bigger slice of cake although may be at the expense of Indy 5.

Barbie is just there in the meantime waiting for a good reception to explode at least on opening weekend.

[Carlangonz]

Thursday has sold so far 2,235 (T-2 Days) compared to 3,211 from Guardians at 6PM the day before opening and one hour before previews. Just for future reference, I don't think we can get much out of it at this moment.

 

Across the Spiderverse tickets go on sale tomorrow.

[Flamengo81]

I am very interested in seeing Spiderverse sales in Mexico. It's inital sales in Brazil are terrible and I am curious if this will not increase internationally like it will domestic. I personally don't think Mexico will follow Brazil though.

[Carlangonz]

15 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said:

I am very interested in seeing Spiderverse sales in Mexico. It's inital sales in Brazil are terrible and I am curious if this will not increase internationally like it will domestic. I personally don't think Mexico will follow Brazil though.

One screen per theatre initially so even if it's strong isn't blowing up because only Sony knows what they're doing.