mexico Mexico Box Office | Longlegs on top

[Carlangonz]

On 7/1/2024 at 10:59 PM, Carlangonz said:

DESPICABLE ME 4 (OPENING DAY) - T-3 DAYS

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-5
Despicable Me 4	4374	56770	7.7%	+56.27%

 

Comps at the same point before release

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-6	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Little Mermaid	1949	17685	11.02%	+39.91%	224.42%	$52.96M
Inside Out 2	12154	56930	21.35%	+61.13%	35.99%	$37.79M
Spiderverse	13954	33397	41.78%	+42.43%	31.35%	$13.79M

DESPICABLE ME 4 (OPENING DAY) - T-17 HOURS

 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-3
Despicable Me 4	6939	56280	12.33%	+58.64%

 

Comps at the same point before release:
 

Title	Seats sold	Seats available	Occupancy	Growth from T-6	Comp in %	Comp in lc
Little Mermaid	3618	30163	11.99%	+85.63%	191.79%	$45.26M
Inside Out 2	21351	65448	32.62%	+75.67%	32.5%	$34.13M
Spiderverse	13954	33397	41.78%	+42,43%	49.73%	$21.88M

 

Decent finish but a bit lacking compared to the first two comps. We'll see if this turns out heavily backloaded or follows a path similar to presales. 

Shows were reduced because initially rollout was planned from 10:00AM but was delayed to 11:00AM; to be fair morning shows are looking pretty dire with a few exceptions for VIP shows. IMAX and PLFs sales are considerably lower than those for IO2; seems like audiences already spent too much on big formats for Pixar's pic.

Aiming a $40M OD; above both DM3 and Rise of Gru (Wed opening) and a 4-Day opening between $240M-$280M. Latter result would be a record for the franchise.

 

[Carlangonz]

Initial allocation from the sample for Deadpool & Wolverine is 17k+. Compared to other Wed night previews is higher than Fast X's 16k and The Flash's 12k.

Edited July 4 by Carlangonz

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, Carlangonz said:

Initial allocation from the sample for Deadpool & Wolverine is 17k+. Compared to other Wed night previews is higher than Fast X's 16k and The Flash's 12k.

Did you track MCU 2022 movies like Thor? 

[Carlangonz]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

Did you track MCU 2022 movies like Thor? 

Only a couple of theaters for Love and Thunder and Multiverse of Madness.

Just checked and allocation atm is lower compared to those two.

[Purple Minion]

$85.3M total for IO2, that means $1M Wednesday, about 18M lc.  It's literally a tupence behind No Way Home in USD!

[Carlangonz]

41 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

$85.3M total for IO2, that means $1M Wednesday, about 18M lc.  It's literally a tupence behind No Way Home in USD!

It will surpass No Way Home in lc as soon as this weekend. Expecting a $60M weekend.

 

I was going to take data for Deadpool & Wolverine first 12 hours but MTC is working very slowly so I'll wait for a 24 hour cycle.

 

As for rating all chains but Cinepolis have it listed as Rated-C. Cinepolis only displays a warning that is a potential Rated-C and won't refund or cancel previously purchased tickets.

 

C Rating is a restrictive one and doesn't allow anyone under 18 even accompanied by an adult and over 18 audience can be asked to prove it with an ID.

 

Highest grosser with this rating in lc is Logan with $271M and in admissions is The Passion of Christ with 6.1M admissions.

[Carlangonz]

Pretty strong first day for Deadpool & Wolverine; excluding musical events (BTS, The Eras Tour) is perhaps the best since Multiverse of Madness: 8411/19378 - 43.4% occupancy

Sales for previews are already higher than GOTG3 previews and The Marvels opening day combined at T-0. 3.2x of Barbie's first 30 hours.

We'll see later on how rating affects it but doesn't feel like it would be as strong as if it would've released 7-10 years ago like Logan.

[Purple Minion]

Brilliant. Wouldn't it be nice if 2024 becomes the first year with three billion lc movies?

 

[Purple Minion]

$12.6M OW for DM4, sbout 228M lc... lower than expected, in line with DM3. May not reach Minions 2 total.

[Purple Minion]

Boom. $90.2M total for Inside Out 2, #1 movie ever in lc and USD.

[charlie Jatinder]

So ~$90M 4th weekend aka 1.3M admits. FSS might be 1.1Mish I guess. 

 

TS4 did 1.6M and another 4.7M after that. It had to face TLK after 2 weeks when it dropped 65%, that shouldn't happen here, so may be it can add 3.75-4M aka ~$250M ($13.5M) for $1900M+ final.

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:

$12.6M OW for DM4, sbout 228M lc... lower than expected, in line with DM3. May not reach Minions 2 total.

Yeah, will be closer to first Minions. 

 

6 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

Boom. $90.2M total for Inside Out 2, #1 movie ever in lc and USD.

Great hold all things considered. With kids off school by next weekend and rating limiting D&W's screen count, could still go strong throughout August. Should be over 22M admissions as well by now; above Infinity War and very close to Mario.

Edited July 7 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

16 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

So ~$90M 4th weekend aka 1.3M admits. FSS might be 1.1Mish I guess. 

 

TS4 did 1.6M and another 4.7M after that. It had to face TLK after 2 weeks when it dropped 65%, that shouldn't happen here, so may be it can add 3.75-4M aka ~$250M ($13.5M) for $1900M+ final.

 

I'm eating my emotions even if IO2 even crosses $1800M lc. Never anticipated such a great hold against the Minions and was certainly not expecting a R rating for DvW!

Edited July 8 by Purple Minion
Bad grammar, bad.

[Purple Minion]

$8.9M total for Quiet Place Day One.

 

From Deadline: Despicable Me 4 had a very strong start on Thursday with $2.5M, the 3rd highest opening day for the franchise and the 4th biggest opening Thursday ever for an animation. Note that around 52 sites were impacted this weekend by Hurricane Beryl. The 4-day $12.6M opening is in line with Minions, DM3 and above MTROG and DM2. 

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:

I'm eating my emotions if IO2 even crosses $1800M lc. Never anticipated such a great hold against the Minions.

Agree with @charlie Jatinder, unless it plummets all of a sudden it should take it there, even an I2 scenario which includes really bad late legs takes it to $1.8B. Both TS4 and Mario scenarios go around $1.9B. 

There may even be a case for 26M admissions. This weekend was everything.

 

Quote

certainly not expecting a R rating for DvW!

Censors have some serious beef with Wolverine. Still a large part of his audience can make it; part of Logan's fractured gross was that a huge part of the audience was still 16-17 at the time but they're now well over 20.

Thinking 8M-9M admits combined with a high ATP and lc in the $700M range.

Edited July 7 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

14 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Agree with @charlie Jatinder, unless it plummets all of a sudden it should take it there, even an I2 scenario which includes really bad late legs takes it to $1.8B. Both TS4 and Mario scenarios go around $1.9B. 

There may even be a case for 26M admissions. This weekend was everything.

 

Censors have some serious beef with Wolverine. Still a large part of his audience can make it; part of Logan's fractured gross was that a huge part of the audience was still 16-17 at the time but they're now well over 20.

Thinking 8M-9M admits combined with a high ATP and lc in the $700M range.

 

Waaah, I put the "even" in the wrong place! I meant that I am totally gobsmacked by IO2's performance and I will be eating my hat when it crosses 1.8B lc and $100M, and probably choke again if it reaches 1.9B lc and 25M tickets.

[Purple Minion]

No Way Home's reign ends after 19 months. Cool infographic by Edgar Apanco (@elapanco in Twitter) with all the gross (lc) record holders:

 

Hombre Araña = Spider-Man, Era de Hielo = Ice Age

 

Will Inside Out 2 grab the audience record as well? Can't wait to see the official figures later today.

 

Edited July 8 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

Improving a bit from estimates ($88M vs $91M); Inside Out - $1.655B. Admissions up to 22.4M

 

Despicable Me 4 also a bit up to $229.6M across the 4-Day

[Purple Minion]

Based on those figures, average ER for IO2 is about 18.35. It's now below 18, that can only help!!!!

[Sophia Jane]

funny to see more and more Hollywood movie become more popular in Mexico than in United States itself.(actually a lot of America media is bigger oversea)

Edited July 8 by Sophia Jane