filmlover Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 It's time! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted March 19, 2023 Share Posted March 19, 2023 Willem Dafoe, Poor Things Robert DeNiro, Flower Moon Ryan Gosling, Barbie Samuel L. Jackson, The Piano Lesson Jesse Plemons, Flower Moon 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted June 1, 2023 Share Posted June 1, 2023 1. Ryan Gosling, Barbie 2. Robert DeNiro, Flower Moon 3. John Magaro, Past Lives 4. Samuel L. Jackson, The Piano Lesson 5. Teo Yoo, Past Lives (guessing they push him Supporting?) Weird category so far. Ruled out Dafoe after the release date announcement Watch out for: Austin Butler, Dune 2 Matt Damon, Oppenheimer Glenn Howerton, Blackberry Charles Melton, May December Paul Mescal, Strangers 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted June 1, 2023 Share Posted June 1, 2023 I don't know if Piano Lesson makes it this year, didn't it just finish filming? One of the Saltburn guys will make it IMO and probably Domingo for Color Purple. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted June 1, 2023 Author Share Posted June 1, 2023 1 hour ago, Cmasterclay said: I don't know if Piano Lesson makes it this year, didn't it just finish filming? One of the Saltburn guys will make it IMO and probably Domingo for Color Purple. Still is, I think. FWIW Fences (fellow August Wilson adaptation) began filming in late April and wrapped by mid June of that year and made it to a year-end release so it's possible it makes it to this year but between Netflix already having a lot on their plate (Maestro, May December, Rustin) and the inevitable production backlog from the strike extending to Netflix (no matter how much they claim they're good to last the strike for as long as can be), I wouldn't be surprised to see it end up in next year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted July 10, 2023 Share Posted July 10, 2023 Growing increasingly confident in Gosling taking this Major and/or previously nominated/unrewarded Leading star going scene-stealing Supporting in a major hit ala Brad Pitt. (Other comps would be Christian Bale, George Clooney though major might be pushing it). But comedic performances tend to do better in Supporting: Janney, Whoppi, Tomei, Sorvino, Gielund, Kline, Palance, Cuba Gooding Jr.. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 RDJ is getting raves for Oppenheimer. He has a comeback narrative brewing and goodwill. The SAG strike will hinder his campaign chances (he would be incredible during promotion and charismatic) but he seems very good for the nomination atm 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 19, 2023 Author Share Posted July 19, 2023 Not going to say what's possible or not since it's July and we have no idea how long the strike will last and what its impact will be but I wouldn't be surprised if in the event Oppenheimer truly takes off and becomes a Top 5 contender that a narrative forms around RDJ that will make him hard to beat. Vibes similar to Brad Pitt and a Movie Star Oscar Moment, and a solid feel good tale considering he returned from a series of career-derailing personal issues to becoming arguably one of the biggest stars in the world. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 11 minutes ago, filmlover said: Not going to say what's possible or not since it's July and we have no idea how long the strike will last and what its impact will be but I wouldn't be surprised if in the event Oppenheimer truly takes off and becomes a Top 5 contender that a narrative forms around RDJ that will make him hard to beat. Vibes similar to Brad Pitt and a Movie Star Oscar Moment, and a solid feel good tale considering he returned from a series of career-derailing personal issues to becoming arguably one of the biggest stars in the world. I don't think RDJ's role/performance is as actor friendly as Pitt's at all. That was a classic QT character. I'm thinking the scenario would be Gosling gets the SAG and RDJ gets the BAFTA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 19, 2023 Author Share Posted July 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: I don't think RDJ's role/performance is as actor friendly as Pitt's at all. That was a classic QT character. I'm thinking the scenario would be Gosling gets the SAG and RDJ gets the BAFTA. After Jamie Lee Curtis just won an Oscar for that wacky character that was as far removed from what usually wins, "actor friendly" seems rather subjective lol. A potential RDJ/Gosling/De Niro showdown is quite exciting! Hopefully the studios get their shit together and get the industry back up and running well before the time comes when they will need to begin making their FYCs. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted July 19, 2023 Share Posted July 19, 2023 11 minutes ago, filmlover said: After Jamie Lee Curtis just won an Oscar for that wacky character that was as far removed from what usually wins, "actor friendly" seems rather subjective lol. A potential RDJ/Gosling/De Niro showdown is quite exciting! Hopefully the studios get their shit together and get the industry back up and running well before the time comes when they will need to begin making their FYCs. Jamie Lee Curtis was in the Best Picture winner that also won 2 other acting awards and SAG Ensemble. The industry and especially actors loved that film and she campaigned heavily which a lot of actors will suffer from this year. She was at least wacky and did stunts and cried in the movie. Of course Oppenheimer can emerge as a major contender but I don't think it'll have the same level of broad support, especially from actors. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cap Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 My only horse in this race is they campaign Gosling for Best Supporting Actor and not Best Actor, because we all know that Ken is not a Lead. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Robert Downey Jr.- Oppenheimer, Ryan Gosling - Barbie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 18, 2023 Author Share Posted September 18, 2023 First official stab at predictions: Matt Damon, Oppenheimer Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer Ryan Gosling, Barbie Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things Have a feeling the sheer power of Oppenheimer is gonna will it into being a double nominee in this category. Alternative is Dominic Sessa pulling a Lucas Hedges if The Holdovers really does become a major contender. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 Give it to Charles Melton pls. Such a devastating performance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 On 12/7/2023 at 5:06 AM, Maggie said: Give it to Charles Melton pls. Such a devastating performance. Saw may December. He's a lock Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 11 Author Share Posted January 11 Updated predictions: Willem Dafoe, Poor Things Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer Ryan Gosling, Barbie Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things Think Poor Things will have enough strength for double nominations here unless The Holdovers ends up a top contender to the point that Dominic Sessa enters the field. Charles Melton feels pretty much done after missing both SAG and the BAFTA shortlist and Sterling K. Brown's SAG nomination is giving "random nomination that ultimately doesn't make the cut" vibes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
