JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Issac Newton]

Conan 2023 upto ¥9.73B // Will break ¥10B tomorrow ~ 23rd Day Of Release!

[JustLurking]

34 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie

 

¥860M FRI / ¥5.03B Total

 

2nd FRI is so far the Biggest Day Of The Run!

 

Currently - 

2nd FRI > THU > WED > SAT > SUN > MON > TUE > FRI

I'm not sure here. Corpse said children day is lower atp.

[Issac Newton]

Mario SAT PS Track

 

2023/05/06 (土) 
24 TC/68 Shows　[×28　△40　○－]　UNITED
*8 TC/29 Shows　[×22　△*6　○*1]　AEON
*9 TC/34 Shows　[×*7　△21　○*6]　KORONA
12 TC/31 Shows　[×27　△*4　○－]　TOHO
*9 TC/25 Shows　[×17　△*8　○－]　109
*8 TC/16 Shows　[×10　△*3　○*3]　Sunshine
*5 TC/12 Shows　[×－　△*7　○*5]　UScinema
*1 TC/*3 Shows　[×*3　△－　○－]　Tjoy

 

— Total

76 TC/218 Shows　[×114 △89　○15]

 

Comps-

FRI - 76 TC/218 Shows　[×121 △81　○16]

THU - 76 TC/198 Shows　[×92　△85　○21]

WED - 75 TC/195 Shows　[×73　△92　○30]

Edited May 5, 2023 by Issac Newton

[Issac Newton]

8 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

I'm not sure here. Corpse said children day is lower atp.

CNP &Mr. Taroi went up. I don't have a doubt either 

[Issac Newton]

$3.8M (¥510M) up to FRI for GOTG3

[Issac Newton]

Guardian Of The Galaxy Vol 3

 

$1.75M OD

 

From Disney - 2nd Highest OD for any Disney film since the start of the pandemic. Opening day was +143% ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2.

 

Vol 2 - $718K OD

[Issac Newton]

Top Partial Admission Track (Post July 12, 2022)

 

*1　434204　2023/04/15(土)　Conan 2023
*2　414336　2022/08/06(土)　ONE PIECE FILM RED（excl. UNITED）
*3　410196　2023/04/16(日)　Conan 2023
*4　391049　2022/08/07(日)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
*5　305504　2023/04/14(金)　Conan 2023
*6　302580　2022/08/13(土)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
*7　299463　2022/11/23(祝)　Suzume
*8　281767　2023/05/03(祝)　Mario（excl. UNITED）
*9　278797　2023/05/05(祝)　Mario（excl. UNITED）
10　274002　2022/11/13(日)　Suzume
11　269748　2022/12/03(土)　THE FIRST SLAM DUNK
12　257385　2022/11/12(土)　Suzume
13　257055　2023/05/04(祝)　Mario（excl. UNITED）
14　245704　2022/08/27(土)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
15　244094　2022/11/20(日)　Suzume
16　241076　2022/08/14(日)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
17　231415　2022/08/11(木)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
18　229469　2022/08/08(月)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
19　226450　2023/04/29(土)　Mario（excl. UNITED）
20　225779　2023/04/30(日)　Mario（excl. UNITED）
21　225777　2022/08/10(水)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
22　219503　2022/08/15(月)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
23　215771　2022/12/04(日)　THE FIRST SLAM DUNK
24　210191　2022/08/12(金)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
25　207873　2022/11/19(土)　Suzume
26　190972　2022/08/28(日)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
27　182202　2023/05/03(祝)　Conan 2023（excl. UNITED）
28　182189　2022/11/11(金)　Suzume
29　182000　2022/08/09(火)　ONE PIECE FILM RED
30　179768　2022/07/30(土)　Jurassic World: Dominion

 

※40% of Nationwide Numbers

[Issac Newton]

31 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Guardian Of The Galaxy Vol 3

 

$1.75M OD

 

From Disney - 2nd Highest OD for any Disney film since the start of the pandemic. Opening day was +143% ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2.

 

Vol 2 - $718K OD

Per Deadline - $2.5M through THU //

[Issac Newton]

Mario FRI TC Breakdown 

 

134,467/206,238 | TOHO

    36,435/62,383 | KINEZO

    31,588/50,613 | 1 0 9

  55,538/106,599 | MOVIX

    20,769/51,917 | UNITED 

[JustLurking]

United looks fixed today. Fingers crossed it stays that way, lol.

[JustLurking]

Seems flatish or a bit down last sat. That will be ~2.2-2.4b range 2nd weekend. 2nd best all-time but a very distant 2nd.

 

Attendance has been stabilising a lot and spillover effect will be gone after this weekend. So next week will be crucial. Still at this point 12-13b should be the floor.

[Issac Newton]

2 hours ago, JustLurking said:

United looks fixed today. Fingers crossed it stays that way, lol.

14:00 Update -

 

67,692/101,446 | TOHO

  17,943/29,598 | KINEZO

  16,604/23,737 | 1 0 9

  25,881/49,605 | MOVIX

  13,898/32,819 | UNITED

 

Talking about Capacity at 14:00 UNITED

MON 5/1 - 52,049 

TUE 5/2 - 41,546

 

Well, seems partial track of UNITED to me. Because we have lot means lot higher seats on SAT then on MON &TUE.

[JustLurking]

5 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

14:00 Update -

 

67,692/101,446 | TOHO

  17,943/29,598 | KINEZO

  16,604/23,737 | 1 0 9

  25,881/49,605 | MOVIX

  13,898/32,819 | UNITED

 

Talking about Capacity at 14:00 UNITED

MON 5/1 - 52,049 

TUE 5/2 - 41,546

 

Well, seems partial track of UNITED to me. Because we have lot means lot higher seats on SAT then on MON &TUE.

Hmm. Interesting. But total seats are well above even yesterday's for the update and the ratio looks good to come around full today so I'm not sure what's going on.

[Issac Newton]

Anyways, I don't want to pressurise myself thinking UNITED for the day. I will check on 19:00 Update and so ~ (They mysterious add up more on 19:00)

 

But, till date, Nintendo's "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" somehow managed to go par with Toei's "One Piece: Film Red" 

 

Anything up or down but ¥2000M+ 2nd Weekend FSS is already a big achievement. 

 

OPR 2nd WKend FSS - ¥2.107B

Conan 2023 WKend FSS - ¥1.615B

[Issac Newton]

No sure but after OPR &Suzume success, I feel like August &November are a lot safer months for WOM pulling works - lesser traffic than GW &Summer Days. 

[KP1025]

Just now, Issac Newton said:

No sure but after OPR &Suzume success, I feel like August &November are a lot safer months for WOM pulling works - lesser traffic than GW &Summer Days. 

 

What's the next biggest film in terms of competition for Mario? I think it should have a pretty open run unless The Little Mermaid breaks out.

[Issac Newton]

15 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Conan 2023 upto ¥9.73B // Will break ¥10B tomorrow ~ 23rd Day Of Release!

By Evening/Night Shows - Conan 2023 will break ¥10B. 

 

— 2nd Film of 2023 to break ¥10B.

— 6th Japanese Film to break ¥10B since 2019

— Overall, 7th Film to break ¥10B since 2019

 

Mario will be 3rd, How Do You Live? will 4th. 

 

I wonder what could be 5th, MI7 or Indiana Jones?

[Issac Newton]

5 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

 

What's the next biggest film in terms of competition for Mario? I think it should have a pretty open run unless The Little Mermaid breaks out.

Local Line-up aren't strong until June/July. 

 

Eh, can't say anything about "The Little Mermaid" ~ Industry believe that it could do "Beauty and The Beast" numbers now it's up to reception and acceptance. Anything could happen.

[JustLurking]

48 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

No sure but after OPR &Suzume success, I feel like August &November are a lot safer months for WOM pulling works - lesser traffic than GW &Summer Days. 

Yeah, I'm a bit cautious still. I think 15b is totally possible though. But 20b is really tough still. This is going to face a lot more competition than OPR which felt almost like an open run up until Suzume 3 months later. Good news though is that may is fairly weak and June only really has TLM (which should at minimum do 5b, otherwise Disney is absolutely dead here).

 

But july is really brutal and could really hit Mario's late legs. Starting from june 30 there's a big film opening almost every week. June 30 has indiana jones, then july 14 has How do You Live which I expect will be a huge breakout, then mission impossible the week after, and then kingdom 3 the week after that. Plus elementals should have a spot in here somewhere either  right before or right after in august.

 

A lot of films start taking a big hit in July when the big releases start dropping one after the other, which is why I've insisted a lot on how it will take atleast 3 months to say if Mario has 20b potential.

Edited May 6, 2023 by JustLurking

[Agafin]

I know that Japan is a leggy market but we really shouldn't be concerned about July movies affecting Mario's legs. That's two months away. Mario would have mostly done over >95% of its potential run by then, even in the leggy Japanese market.