The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey OS Thread: OVER 1B WW!

[Neo]

I think firedeep means 1B OS, not WW.

Look at Avatar didn't need a 300M OS OW.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Look at Avatar didn't need a 300M OS OW.

Are you serious ?? :mellow:Avatar is an original and had out of the world wom. (Avatar itself is an out of the world thing to be exactly.)Hobbit is the fourth installment of a huge well estiblished series, for which sub 3~3.5x multipliers from OWs are normal range.

[CJohn]

This will be huge over Christmas. And it was 19 days OS and DOM with no competiton. Daily numbers will be huge. 1B OS will happen.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

OVERSEAS TOTAL
ALL TIME OPENINGS

Rank	Movie Title	Opening	% of Total	Total Gross
1	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows (Part Two)	$314,000,000	33.2%	$947,100,000
2	Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (3D)	$260,400,000	32.4%	$802,800,000
3	Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince	$236,000,000	37.3%	$632,457,290
4	Spider-Man 3	$230,544,376	41.6%	$554,341,323
5	Transformers 3	$219,810,798	28.5%	$771,356,453
6	Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End	$216,000,000	33.0%	$654,000,000
7	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows (Part One)	$205,000,000	31.0%	$660,416,406
8	The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2	$199,500,000	44.6%	$447,800,000
9	Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix	$193,000,000	29.8%	$647,881,191
10	The Avengers (2012)	$185,100,000	20.8%	$888,400,000

 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

There you go.Top 3 all time OS OW is where Hobbit should be looking at.

[Fullbuster]

Without Russia and China The Hobbit won't beat the OS OW record.

[druv10]

Are you serious ?? :mellow:Avatar is an original and had out of the world wom. (Avatar itself is an out of the world thing to be exactly.)Hobbit is the fourth installment of a huge well estiblished series, for which sub 3~3.5x multipliers from OWs are normal range.

True but legs usually are great during Christmas period so it needs a 200M OW then it'll have a shot at 1B OS.Top 10 OW OS list you provided, none of them were released during Christmas/NY holidays. Edited December 7, 2012 by druv10

[CJohn]

There you go.Top 3 all time OS OW is where Hobbit should be looking at.

Ridiculous. 200M is more than enough since it will be looking at a 4-5.0x multiplier over the holidays.

[John Marston]

1 billion seems too high. 900m seems more realistic

[John Marston]

Pre-sale tickets haven't reached 10% of TDKR at the same point. In SK.

How does it compare to recent fantasy films like Pirates 4 or DH2?

[Neo]

There is no changing firedeep's mind on this, we'll let the numbers speak for themselves.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Ridiculous. 200M is more than enough since it will be looking at a 4-5.0x multiplier over the holidays.

This is ridiculous.

4-5.0x multiplier with this kind of reviews ?

Holidays asid, there is still a thing called frontload.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

200M OS OW will sentence death to 1B OS.250M OW makes it a shot.

[Fullbuster]

I expect :-75m in Russia-65m in France-65m in Germany-100m in UK$1B OS isn't impossible at all.

[druv10]

200M OS OW will sentence death to 1B OS.

250M OW makes it a shot.

Not really. I guess we'll agree to disagree and just wait for actual results.

This is ridiculous.

4-5.0x multiplier with this kind of reviews ?

Holidays asid, there is still a thing called frontload.

Movies really aren't frontloaded during the holidays.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Yes, it will be frontloaded. Question is how much.

[peludo]

I expect :-75m in Russia-65m in France-65m in Germany-100m in UK$1B OS isn't impossible at all.

IMHO, high for France, too low for Germany

[Fullbuster]

IMHO, high for France, too low for Germany

I guess it's too low for Germany indeed, we'll see

[peludo]

I guess it's too low for Germany indeed, we'll see

I am thinking in the same numbers than FOTR and TTT. About 75-80 million. But yes, we'll see.

[Rudolf]

Germany 90+