China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[GOXOG]

Just now, Lordmandeep said:

As long as it's 200 we good

the more the better  but yep 200 and we good

[jiangsen]

6 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Chinese math can make one that way 

Nothing to do with Chinese math...just stop analyzing the real-time BO sites and wait for estimates at the end of the day. Most Chinese know that those sites aren't accurately updated.

[fmpro]

12 minutes ago, jiangsen said:

Tuesday Estimates

Captain America: Civil War - 50.1M/737M (-14%)

Book of Love - 12.7M/664M

The Jungle Book - 2.32M/965M

 

I can live with that number

[movieboner]

Looks like it'll be over 800 mil yuan before the weekend.

[fmpro]

7 minutes ago, movieboner said:

Looks like it'll be over 800 mil yuan before the weekend.

 

It will cross 800mill sometime thursday

[Infernus]

220m$/1400m Yuan seems like a likely total at this point provided nothing out of the ordinary happens.

Edited May 10, 2016 by Infernus

[fmpro]

1 minute ago, Infernus said:

220m$ seems like a likely total at this point provided nothing out of the ordinary happens.

 

I still feel that 200 mill is touch and go..

[moviesRus]

What's coming out in the next 2 weeks? Angry Birds?

[jiangsen]

11 minutes ago, moviesRus said:

What's coming out in the next 2 weeks? Angry Birds?

2016-5-12

幻体：续命游戏 Self/less(2015)

2016-5-13

超脑48小时 Criminal(2016)

再见，在也不见 Distance(2016)

2016-5-20

分歧者3：忠诚世界 The Divergent Series: Allegiant(2016)

愤怒的小鸟 The Angry Birds Movie(2016)

[fmpro]

Are AB known in China?

[moviesRus]

1 minute ago, fmpro said:

Are AB known in China?

 

When I was there last year, there was a lot of Angry Birds merchandise in stores.

[kswiston]

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

Are AB known in China?

 

Is that all that relevant? Everyone in North America knows what Angry Birds are but we are still unsure how the film will do. The real question is whether anyone in China still cares about Angry Birds. The film really should have come out 3-4 years ago. 

Edited May 10, 2016 by kswiston

[POTUS 2020]

10 hours ago, jiangsen said:

Nothing to do with Chinese math...just stop analyzing the real-time BO sites and wait for estimates at the end of the day. Most Chinese know that those sites aren't accurately updated.

Let's just shut down the thread and wait for Sunday estimates from BOM like a few years ago.. wait. Let's shut down the whole fucking Internet and catch the report on the radio on Tuesday evening like 40 years ago. 

It's fun to analyze and get a feel sometimes,right sometimes wrong. 

By all means you are welcome to wait til 10pm BT, to look for yourself, which BTW is often off by 5-10%. Maybe you should check the thread 10am the next day.

 

Look at the weekend thread. 200 pages of people debating the numbers, will it still hit $200m, 190m? Oh 182 is OK, it came in at 179m. Go tell Baumer CJohn, tele and 100 others to stop analyzing and posting for 3 days and see what the response is.

Edited May 11, 2016 by No Prisoners

[POTUS 2020]

19 hours ago, jiangsen said:

Tuesday Estimates

Captain America: Civil War - 50.1M/737M (-14%)

Book of Love - 12.7M/664M

The Jungle Book - 2.32M/965M

Numbers were all over the place last night.

111 had 44m

Maoyan 49m

And you had 50m

Maoyan shows 48m now and even that number will change in a couple days.

That's down 18.5%. That's a big drop especially after a good Monday hold. I'm thinking piracy. Today will come in between 30 and 50m who knows. We can wait 24 hours or look at the run rate in the afternoon.

DoD   BvS%  SW7%   AM     CA3%  

S.     +21.5                 +41.7  +37.5    

S.      -33.6                  -22.2   -27.6

M.     -68.4     -64.3    -61.9   -67.1    HD copy hits web in PM

T.      -14.4     -17.1    -10.0   -17.5   bad WOM drop

W.     -15.3     -16.1    -13.2   -14.3    Based on 3pm #.  So so

T.      -13.5     -10.6      -9.0

 

BvS had a 72% sun-mon drop. The dailies have since adjusted. Even so, you can see the positive WoM score reflected in the percentages Sunday through Monday, Tuesday is either an anomaly or  sign of a piracy crash.

 

 

Edited May 11, 2016 by No Prisoners

[jiangsen]

45 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Let's just shut down the thread and wait for Sunday estimates from BOM like a few years ago.. wait. Let's shut down the whole fucking Internet and catch the report on the radio on Tuesday evening like 40 years ago. 

It's fun to analyze and get a feel sometimes,right sometimes wrong. 

By all means you are welcome to wait til 10pm BT, to look for yourself, which BTW is often off by 5-10%. Maybe you should check the thread 10am the next day.

 

Look at the weekend thread. 200 pages of people debating the numbers, will it still hit $200m, 190m? Oh 182 is OK, it came in at 179m. Go tell Baumer CJohn, tele and 100 others to stop analyzing and posting for 3 days and see what the response is.

My comment was directed at your ignorant comment about "Chinese math" and the fact it's making the thread "bipolar."

 

On the contrary, what's making it "bipolar" are your hourly updates of the real-time box office sites which aren't trusted resources by anyone in the local industry.

Edited May 11, 2016 by jiangsen

[POTUS 2020]

5 hours ago, jiangsen said:

My comment was directed at your ignorant comment about "Chinese math" and the fact it's making the thread "bipolar."

 

On the contrary, what's making it "bipolar" are your hourly updates of the real-time box office sites which aren't trusted resources by anyone in the local industry.

Im not hourly, that's a gross over staement, others are contributing as well. Feel free to put me on ignore.

"difficult as Chinese math" is an expression in a America for decades and i used it as a complimentary joke.

I don't find it ignorant or insulting.  Finding complexity in another culture and to use it as a metaphor for something arduous and difficult to figure out is a compliment.  Dumb as a "whatever culture" is an insult. If its now an insult i wont use it. 

Christ I can't keep up with the PC. 

Was called ignorant when I used "oriental" 15 years ago as I knew it to be my whole life.. Discovered Asian was the appropriate word. No one sent me the message. How "one that comes from the east" is now a bad word is beyond me. And no, dont compare it to the usage of the "N" word. It still groups the same but vastly different 20 countries into 1 people. But for some reason it's OK for rug stores to use it.  Most people now think Africa is bigger than Asia because they think Asia is only east of India. Lol. What continent they think the middle east, India and 2/3s of Russia is on, I don't know.

 

This whole website is bipolar, read the threads. The earth is as well for that matter. 

BTW people love rollercoasters. 

 

Edit. So funny. I ran into a Finnish friend in Kathmandu a few days ago. She was talking about heading to Thailand and Indonesia soon and I told her I'll be heading back there in a couple months. She just wrote me on FB.

"Nice to see you again, Im heading out, maybe I'll see you in Asia." 

My reply.  "You just did 3 days ago" 

Her reply. ???

Edited May 11, 2016 by No Prisoners

[fmpro]

CW down 14% at 3pm compared to yesterday

[POTUS 2020]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

At 3PM its at 21m. So what is the mid point for a week day. It needs to hit 26m at midpoint to be in line for 10% drop.

For members that don't want wait until 10pm to get an estimate that can still be 5-10% off....

 

CA3 is at XVIIIm down XIV% at this time

 

"It's as complicated as Roman Numerals" will now be the expression. 

[POTUS 2020]

23 minutes ago, fmpro said:

CW down 14% at 3pm compared to yesterday

if 14% drops is CA3s fate here's how it looks.. $200 not dead yet if it holds a little tighter. Considerably lower if 18% happens again and/or if it doesn't bump much when AB opens

	TF4						AOU					CA3
Day	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Comp TF4	Comp AOU
Tues						212			212	34							-34.3
Wed						123	-42.1%		335	54							-54.1
Thur						91	-26.0%		426	69	17			17			-68.8
Fri	195			195	32	127	40.0%		554	89	181			198	30	-1.6	-58.9
Sat	223	14.4%		418	69	236	85.2%		790	127	248	37.0%		446	69	0.0	-58.8
Sun	213	-4.6%		631	103	165	-29.9%		955	154	179	-27.8%		625	96	-7.3	-58.0
Mon	123	-42.1%		754	124	45	-72.6%		1001	161	59	-67.0%		684	105	-18.4	-56.2
Tues	112	-8.9%		866	142	41	-9.7%	-80.7%	1042	168	49	-16.9%		733	113	-29.3	-55.3
Wed	95	-15.7%		961	157	50	22.0%	-59.3%	1092	176	42	-14.3%		775	119	-38.3	-56.9	est
Thur	84	-11.0%		1045	171	31	-38.0%	-65.9%	1123	181	36	-14.3%		811	125	-46.6	-56.4	proj
Fri	87	3.4%	-55.3%	1132	186	42	35.5%	-67.0%	1165	188	54	50.0%	-70.2%	865	133	-52.6	-54.8	proj
Sat	130	48.8%	-41.9%	1262	207	78	85.7%	-66.9%	1243	200	108	100.0%	-56.5%	973	150	-57.2	-50.8	proj
Sun	118	-9.0%	-44.6%	1379	226	59	-24.4%	-64.3%	1302	210	77	-28.7%	-57.0%	1050	161	-64.7	-48.5	proj
Mon	54	-58.3%	-56.1%	1433	235	15.8	-73.2%	-65.2%	1317	212	23.0	-70.1%	-61.0%	1073	165	-70.0	-47.5	proj
Tue	53	-1.9%	-52.8%	1486	244	10.8	-31.6%	-73.7%	1328	214	19.6	-14.8%	-60.0%	1092	168	-75.7	-46.2	proj
Wed	43	-18.9%	-54.5%	1529	251	9.5	-12.0%	-81.0%	1338	216	16.8	-14.3%	-60.0%	1109	171	-80.1	-45.2	proj
Thu	39	-9.3%	-53.7%	1568	257	8.4	-11.6%	-72.9%	1346	217	14.4	-14.3%	-60.0%	1123	173	-84.3	-44.3	proj
Fri	42	7.7%	-51.8%	1610	264	11.9	41.7%	-71.7%	1358	219	20.0	38.9%	-63.0%	1143	176	-88.1	-43.1	AB INS open
Sat	62	47.6%	-52.2%	1672	274	26.0	118.5%	-66.7%	1384	223	40.0	100.0%	-63.0%	1183	182	-92.1	-41.2	proj
Sun	58	-6.45%	-50.8%	1730	284	24.0	-7.7%	-59.3%	1408	227	11.0	-72.5%	-85.7%	1194	184	-99.9	-43.4	proj
Mon	26	-55.2%	-51.9%	1756	288	25.0	4.2%	58.2%	1433	231	9.4	-14.5%	-59.1%	1204	185	-102.7	-45.9	proj
Tue	28	7.7%	-47.2%	1784	293	4.0	-84.0%	-63.0%	1437	232	8.1	-13.8%	-58.7%	1212	186	-106.1	-45.3	proj
Wed	23	-17.9%	-46.5%	1807	296	3.5	-12.5%	-63.2%	1441	232	7.0	-13.6%	-58.3%	1219	188	-108.8	-44.8	proj
Thu	18	-21.7%	-53.8%	1825	299	3.0	-14.3%	-64.3%	1444	233	6.0	-14.3%	-58.3%	1225	188	-110.8	-44.4	proj
				1900	319				1460	238				1285	198	-121.3	-40.3

 

 

[fmpro]

Is 50% increase really possible on a friday for CW?