john2000 Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 Just now, Menor said: Depends on what the expected PSm is. I'm not too experienced with the market so maybe summer has more walkup heaviness like it does in USA. as potus have said, in summer satur sees a smaller increase than usual, around a 15-20 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 Just now, john2000 said: as potus have said, in summer satur sees a smaller increase than usual, around a 15-20 % Yeah but CM had a very low Sat bump already due to holiday boosted Friday, so the comp should be more favorable to Spidey than yesterday if anything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 Just now, Menor said: Yeah but CM had a very low Sat bump already due to holiday boosted Friday, so the comp should be more favorable to Spidey than yesterday if anything. again idk, plus its around 12:30 am there Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Menor said: Sat PS only 54 million right now. Bigger deficit to CM than OD had despite CM OD being holiday boosted. Yeah right. Currently seeing only ¥230-240mn going by the pre-sales. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Yeah right. Currently seeing only ¥230-240mn going by the pre-sales. hope it picks up then, what ow then we could be looking at if true ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 Just now, john2000 said: hope it picks up then, what ow then we could be looking at if true ? Idk, Ant-Man 2 jumped only 4% and then dropped just 14%. That would be better than how Cap Marvel trended. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 Just now, Charlie Jatinder said: Idk, Ant-Man 2 jumped only 4% and then dropped just 14%. That would be better than how Cap Marvel trended. Sunday presales have been strong. The drop should be soft so the trend will be better than CM. Question is does it have enough to cross 100 million. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 (edited) It need 688mn for $100mn. With 247mn in bank, need ¥441mn more. Can't afford Saturday lower than ¥245mn for that. Edited June 28, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said: It need 688mn for $100mn. With 247mn in bank, need ¥441mn more. Can't afford Saturday lower than ¥245mn for that. at least the movie will probably have good legs , but yeah fingers crossed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Yeah right. Currently seeing only ¥230-240mn going by the pre-sales. You have to believe it like there's no tomorrow Edited June 28, 2019 by fabiopazzo2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 (edited) maybe lets see what @POTUS 2020 has to say, Edited June 28, 2019 by john2000 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 21 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Yeah right. Currently seeing only ¥230-240mn going by the pre-sales. TF5 managed to bump 10% in late june 17 and it sucked. It should get over 250m maybe 260m based on that. 4.5 PSm not out of the question. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 1 minute ago, POTUS 2020 said: TF5 managed to bump 10% in late june 17 and it sucked. It should get over 250m maybe 260m based on that. 4.5 PSm not out of the question. i hope so, but the presales indicate charlies range right now no ? even though yeah we still have a long way to go before we know for sure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: 4.5 PSm not out of the question. Yeah, and seeing how Spirited Away overperformed the regular PSm last Saturday, that's my hope. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 1 minute ago, john2000 said: i hope so, but the presales indicate charlies range right now no ? even though yeah we still have a long way to go before we know for sure He's going with 4.5 PSm. That gives 256m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Durden Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 6 hours ago, lorddemaxus said: Black Widow looks way too small scale to hit 1 billion. I think The Eternals is more likely to hit a billion if anything. I'm not betting 1b WW for Black Widow, but we really don't know the scale of the film. And the spy flick has no problem to do huge numbers (MI; 007), especially OS. And obviously, Marvel, the big plus. Personally, i see 900m as the ceiling. 300m/600m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 Last Weekend Spirited Away Friday: 3.4x Saturday: 5.3x Toy Story 4 Friday: 3.5x Saturday: 4.9x Far From Home Friday: 3.53x 5.3x gives 286mn while 4.9x will give 265mn. Let's hope it's latter atleast. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, Durden said: I'm not betting 1b WW for Black Widow, but we really don't know the scale of the film. And the spy flick has no problem to do huge numbers (MI; 007), especially OS. And obviously, Marvel, the big plus. Personally, i see 900m as the ceiling. 300m/600m I don't think it's good to say a ceiling or floor this far out. Btw Black Widow has 36k want to see in Maoyan which is higher than what CM had even after CM first trailer 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 Is Black Widow even officially announced. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted June 28, 2019 Share Posted June 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Is Black Widow even officially announced. Not for another 3 weeks or so 🤣 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...