POTUS 2020 Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 5 hours ago, picores said: Very respectable for Scorch Trials. How much did the first one and where will fall this? should clear $30m, looks like itll keep half its show next weekend, possibly 35m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 KFP is going to have to make its money in 10 days. 4 big releases on the 8th, wont have many shows left <10% after the 8th Are there any holidays during the week from feb 1-5? It could have a 635/$100m OW(3 day) and hold 50% the following weekend after making 40-50m during the week (if there aren't holidays). 200m possible by the 8th, I don't see it making much more with that schedule. I say 250m max as well 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Peachy Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 12 hours ago, firedeep said: 12/24 Mr. Six 老炮 Huayi ¥1,000 $156.3 China 12/24 Breakup Guru 2 恶棍天使 Enlight ¥800 $125.0 China Interesting that you're predicting more for Mr. Six. Breakup Guru 2 stars Deng Chao and his wife, who are both really popular (individually and as a couple) plus it's a comedy film so I think it will definitely have the edge that Mr. Six (although the obviously superior movie) doesn't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted November 6, 2015 Share Posted November 6, 2015 1 hour ago, No Prisoners said: KFP is going to have to make its money in 10 days. 4 big releases on the 8th, wont have many shows left <10% after the 8th Are there any holidays during the week from feb 1-5? It could have a 635/$100m OW(3 day) and hold 50% the following weekend after making 40-50m during the week (if there aren't holidays). 200m possible by the 8th, I don't see it making much more with that schedule. I say 250m max as well Good point. Better if does $200-250M in China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 3 hours ago, No Prisoners said: KFP is going to have to make its money in 10 days. 4 big releases on the 8th, wont have many shows left <10% after the 8th Are there any holidays during the week from feb 1-5? It could have a 635/$100m OW(3 day) and hold 50% the following weekend after making 40-50m during the week (if there aren't holidays). 200m possible by the 8th, I don't see it making much more with that schedule. I say 250m max as well There're at least 6-7 local movies will release on Feb. 8. Those 4 have confirmed. Not sure if Ning Hao's Crazy Nian & Most anticipated film Da Hai will make a move. Both animated movies are expected to do well. I think 1 of them will make a chance. Jet Li's fantasy Fengshan Bang move to Oct. golden week, along with Jackie Chan's action comedy Kung Fu Yoga. Maybe 2 big local romantic movies will open Feb. 14. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 3 hours ago, No Prisoners said: KFP is going to have to make its money in 10 days. 4 big releases on the 8th, wont have many shows left <10% after the 8th Are there any holidays during the week from feb 1-5? It could have a 635/$100m OW(3 day) and hold 50% the following weekend after making 40-50m during the week (if there aren't holidays). 200m possible by the 8th, I don't see it making much more with that schedule. I say 250m max as well If that's the case why not release it 1 week earlier. Problem solved.and it can potentially make 300M+. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 25 minutes ago, druv10 said: If that's the case why not release it 1 week earlier. Problem solved.and it can potentially make 300M+. Distributor is very confident that KFP3 can defy the competition. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 4 minutes ago, The Good Olive said: Distributor is very confident that KFP3 can defy the competition. That's dumb. It could kick everybody's ass and make 400M+ but why risk getting it's legs cut by potential strong comp. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 5 hours ago, No Prisoners said: KFP is going to have to make its money in 10 days. 4 big releases on the 8th, wont have many shows left <10% after the 8th Are there any holidays during the week from feb 1-5? It could have a 635/$100m OW(3 day) and hold 50% the following weekend after making 40-50m during the week (if there aren't holidays). 200m possible by the 8th, I don't see it making much more with that schedule. I say 250m max as well Exactly. Agree with this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 4 hours ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said: Good point. Better if does $200-250M in China. Yea I think 250 is ths most realistic for KFP3 With this, its WW will be: 250m China 450-500m OS elswwhere 750m OS 175m DOM 925-940m WW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 7, 2015 Author Share Posted November 7, 2015 7 hours ago, Peachy said: Interesting that you're predicting more for Mr. Six. Breakup Guru 2 stars Deng Chao and his wife, who are both really popular (individually and as a couple) plus it's a comedy film so I think it will definitely have the edge that Mr. Six (although the obviously superior movie) doesn't. Mr. Six number was wrong. messed up the chart ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 12/18 The Ghouls 鬼吹灯之寻龙诀 Enlight ¥1,500 $234.4 China 12/18 Surprise 万万没想到：西游篇 Bona ¥500 $78.1 China Surprise will surprise box office. Internet hits, 2b views on Youku, was adapted to the big screen. I expect more for Mojin-The Lost Legend (aka The Ghouls). Hope Wuershan will break record again (He did it once in 2012, Painted Skin 2). 2/8 The Man from Macao 3 澳门风云3 Bona ¥1,500 $234.4 China 2/8 The Monkey King 2 西游记之孙悟空三打白骨精 Anshi Yingna ¥700 $109.4 China It's too high for Macau 3 IMO. I still believe TMK : White Bone Spirit do better than TMK 2014 (aka a bad movie). Did not see its trailer but Gong Li give me a hope. Wish its special effects is good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 48 minutes ago, firedeep said: Mr. Six number was wrong. messed up the chart ... so, it's only me who expect Mr. Six do better than BG 2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 7, 2015 Author Share Posted November 7, 2015 36 minutes ago, Lihongkim said: 12/18 The Ghouls 鬼吹灯之寻龙诀 Enlight ¥1,500 $234.4 China 12/18 Surprise 万万没想到：西游篇 Bona ¥500 $78.1 China Surprise will surprise box office. Internet hits, 2b views on Youku, was adapted to the big screen. I expect more for Mojin-The Lost Legend (aka The Ghouls). Hope Wuershan will break record again (He did it once in 2012, Painted Skin 2). 2/8 The Man from Macao 3 澳门风云3 Bona ¥1,500 $234.4 China 2/8 The Monkey King 2 西游记之孙悟空三打白骨精 Anshi Yingna ¥700 $109.4 China It's too high for Macau 3 IMO. I still believe TMK : White Bone Spirit do better than TMK 2014 (aka a bad movie). Did not see its trailer but Gong Li give me a hope. Wish its special effects is good. Surprise is seen as a JianbingMan wannabe. Its competitors are too strong and December is no holiday, unlike summer. Still, 500m is being conservative. I see some guys calling 1B+ for it. But I am not very confident in its quality. The Ghouls could be HUGE. I think it would easily beat SW7 if SW7 were released neck and neck. White Bone Spirit wont be any better than its predecessor, quality wise, I am afraid. Bad WOM on TMK will likely drag it down, especially against Mermaid and Macao 3. Macao 3 might not reach 1.5B but I am confident with at least 1B. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 7, 2015 Author Share Posted November 7, 2015 41 minutes ago, Lihongkim said: so, it's only me who expect Mr. Six do better than BG 2. Honestly, that is impossible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 5 hours ago, The Good Olive said: Distributor is very confident that KFP3 can defy the competition. Well, it depends on how much and how far they market this. 5 hours ago, druv10 said: That's dumb. It could kick everybody's ass and make 400M+ but why risk getting it's legs cut by potential strong comp. But let's not forget the important factor...what if the competitors are shit.....and could disappoint a lot of people? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 No matter how bad a movie is, all showings will be sold-out on CNYD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 Saturday Estimates Exfiles2 42M/73M Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials 38.5M/107M Everest 15.7m/60.6m The Last Woman Standing 14.8M/27.7M The Witness 12.5M/188M Snoopy 9.1m/11.8M Hotel Transylvania II 6M/96M ANT-MAN 2.7M/666M GOODBYE MR. LOSER 2M/1433M 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 2 hours ago, The Good Olive said: Saturday estimates Exfiles2 42M/73M Maze Ru7nner: The Scorch Trials 38.5M/107M Everest 15.7m/60.6m The Last Woman Standing 14.8M/27.7M The Witness 12.5M/188M Snoopy 9.1m/11.8M Hotel Transylvania II 6M/96M ANT-MAN 2.7M/666M GOODBYE MR. LOSER 2M/1433M Pretty good for Ant-man. Should get close to 670M yuan by the end. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted November 7, 2015 Share Posted November 7, 2015 Wow, China doesn't give a SHIT about Peanuts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
