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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Not only Europe but also Asia and Latin America. I wouldn't be shocked with 600-700M OS for Thor, as it made almost the same amount money OS as IM1. 

Thor had 3 years inflation and expansion of new big markets, and 3D relative to Iron Man 1.

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Thursday:

 

1. Wolverine --- 23.5m --- new --- 23.5m

2. NYSM --- 4.6m --- -42% --- 90m

3. Love Will Tear Us Apart --- 4.4m --- -32% --- 58.2m

4. YDD --- 3.8m --- -43% --- 574m

5. Out of Inferno --- 0.8m --- -55% --- 128m

 

Ranger died as Wolverine arrives.

 

YDD should cross 600m sometime next week.

 

Pretty good OD for Wolverine. Biggest opening day (and OW) in October history. But dont expect WOM/legs to be any good. 200M locked, $40m (240m) possible, thanks to less competition until Thor 2.

 

Love Will Tear Us Apart, a local rommance drama, has proved itself to be a sleeping hit.

 

Donnie Yen's Special ID, an action cop flick set in Shenzhen, opens on Friday and looks to be doing solid business.

Edited by firedeep
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Revised major release schedule through the end of 2013:

 

The Last Stand  ---- 10.24 ---- 2D ---- notable

Fly me to the Moon  ---- 10.25 ---- 2D ---- notable

Fall of Ming  ---- 10.25 ---- 2D ---- notable

Stalingrad  ---- 10.31 ---- IMAX/3D ---- notable

 

Hotel Transylvania ---- 11.1 ---- 3D ----- notable

Escape Plan ---- 11.1 ---- 2D ---- notable

Up in the Wind ---- 11 ---- 2D ---- notable

Thor the Dark World ---- 11.8 ---- IMAX/3D/C ---- blockbuster

Love you for loving me ---- 11.8 ---- 2D ---- notable

Red 2 ---- 11.8 ---- 2D ---- notable

Gravity  ---- 11.20 ---- IMAX/3D ---- big

Control  ---- 11.21 ---- 2D ---- big

Catching Fire ---- 11.21 ----IMAX/2D ---- big [bumped one day forward]

The Four 2  ---- 11.22 ---- 2D/3D ---- big

The White Storm  ---- 11.29 ---- 2D ---- big

RUSH  ---- 11 ---- 2D ---- notable

 

From 11.20 to 11.29, 5 big releases in 10 days, that is probably the most crowded slot of the year. Especially for 11.20~11.22, four big movies in 3 days, which is just crazy,  two of them are in IMAX, two in 3D, and two are sequels.

 

Snowpiercer ---- 12 ---- notable

No Man Land  ---- 12.3 ---- 2D ---- big

Firestorm  ---- 12.12 ---- 2D ---- big

Personal Tailor ---- 12.19 ---- 2D/IMAX ---- Super blockbuster

Police Story ---- 12.24 ---- 2D ---- blockbuster

As The Light Goes Out ---- 12.31 ---- 2D ---- big

 

Jack Ryan ---- 1 ---- 2D ---- big

From Vegas to Maca  ---- 1.31 ---- 2D ---- big

The White Haired Witch of Lunar Kingdom ---- 2 ---- 2D/3D ---- big

Monkey King ---- 2 ---- 2D/3D/IMAX ---- blockbuster

 

There are some other undated movies out there.

 

Notable: less than 100m potential

Big: 100~400m

Blockbuster: 400m+ potential

Super blockbuster: 1B+ potential

Edited by firedeep
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Friday estimates:

 

1. Wolverine --- 23m

2. Special ID --- 18m

3. NYSM --- 4.4m 

4. Love Will Tear Us Apart --- 3m 

5. YDD --- 2.6m 

 

Looks Wolverine just stayed flat on Fri. Strong OD for Special ID. WOM for the two are both decent at the best.

 

110M $18m OW for Wolverine should happen with a 60% Saturday increase.

Edited by firedeep
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Im happy with that wolvie number..That puts it in line to be the 2nd highest X-Men movie ever..Thats a succes!!!It will clearly be bumbed to 3rd next year when DOFP will blow past any other releases.. By far..If wolvie can do 280 mill alone i cant see why DOFP wont do 400 mill OS and 600 mill+ WW

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Thank you! Sorry for my stupid question. I would like to ask, that when will be the release of Rush? Hasn't it a concrate date yet? It will be in november something-th? Thank you for your help! 

Rush should be in Nov. but no accurate date yet. I think the info will be posted here as long as it is available.

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Saturday:

 

1. Wolverine --- 35.6m --- +58% --- 82.5m

2. Special ID --- 24.5m --- +17% --- 45.6m

3. NYSM --- 8m --- +81% --- 103m

4. Love Will Tear Us Apart --- 5.5m --- +19% --- 67m

5. YDD --- 4.4m --- +69% --- 581m

 

Right expected Saturday number for Wolverine. Close to 110M $17.9m 4-days opening, October record in bag. A possible $40m tally could really set a good basis for next year's X-MEN: Days of Future Past.

 

Strong 65M OW for Special ID. 150M total is possible. The cop action movie does really well in third/four-tier cities due to Donnie Yen's star power.

 

Weekly (10.14~10. 20) Top 5 will be like: 

 

 

1. Wolverine --- 110m --- NEW --- 110m

2. Special ID --- 65m --- NEW --- 65m

3. Love Will Tear Us Apart --- 57m --- +280% --- 72m

4. NYSM --- 49m --- -18% --- 109m

5. YDD --- 39m --- -65% --- 585m

 

LeVision's Love Will Tear Us Apart is really doing great, especially considering its genre, which is romantic drama with a sad story, not a romantic-comedy.

 

NYSM is holding Meh. $22m total is still happening though, which is not bad.

 

Typical 4th week drop for YDD. Should cross the 600M mark by next Sunday.

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