China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[ChiefBrody]

7 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Final. Market no longer favours Hollywood Films.

 

Leaving only the Avatar Series for Probable $100M+

 

We will see again once Pre-sales starts

When do pre sales start? The MonsterVerse has done very well in China hasn’t it?

[Issac Newton]

3 minutes ago, ChiefBrody said:

When do pre sales start? The MonsterVerse has done very well in China hasn’t it?

Usually a week before release

 

Godzilla vs Kong - ¥1,232M / $173M

Godzilla KotM - ¥937M / $132M

Godzilla 2013 - ¥481M / $68M

 

Dollar at current price 

[Issac Newton]

 

One of record we have taken down is the number of shows - 3.81M Shows against 2022 (3.15M)

 

2024 Spring Festival still have an additional day to take down All-Time Record of 2021 (¥7.842B / 160M Admits)

 

Current Numbers as of 16:11 Local Time

 

¥7.245B / 146M Admits (3.81M Shows)

[peludo]

Article 20 is having the best legs. Today, final CNY period day, will beat the OD figure. It has been increasing day after day (excepting on San Valentine). If the trend continues, it will beat first Pegasus 2 and then Yolo in daily grosses sooner than later.

[Issac Newton]

10 minutes ago, peludo said:

Article 20 is having the best legs. Today, final CNY period day, will beat the OD figure. It has been increasing day after day (excepting on San Valentine). If the trend continues, it will beat first Pegasus 2 and then Yolo in daily grosses sooner than later.

Well, this time CNY is ending on Saturday. Making it a 8-Days Holiday instead of 7-Days Holidays (Posted the Data above)

 

We are ofc breaking the all-time record of 2021. And yeah Article 20 is really performing well. Also, this year CNY Movies are so equally distributed like four are sure to exceed ¥2.0B!

[Issac Newton]

 

Movie Emperor has withdrawn from Spring Festival and moved to a new date (TBD)

[Issac Newton]

 

Huang Pi has too withdrawn from Spring Festival. A New Release Date to be determine

[Issac Newton]

Friday

1. YOLO - ¥276.30M / ¥2,569.35M
2. Pegasus 2 - ¥249.60M / ¥2,250.51M
3. Article 20 - ¥195.20M / ¥1,188.07M
4. Boonie Bear: Time Twist - ¥151.00M / ¥1,293.76M
5. Movie Emperor - ¥4.20M / ¥81.54M
6. Johnny Keeps Walking! - ¥350K / ¥1,290.64M
7. BA JIE - ¥300K / ¥3.06M
8. Aquaman &The Lost Kingdom - ¥160K / ¥464.37M
9. Talyor Swift: The ERAS Tour - ¥110K / ¥95.89M
10. Rob N Roll - ¥60K / ¥236.06M

Estimates - ¥878M / 18.32M Admits (475K Shows)

 

Day 8 Forecast (+ Final)

 

R.	Title	Maoyan	Final	TTP	Final
1.	YOLO	¥226.00M	¥4,031M	¥235.00M	¥4,099M
2.	Pegasus 2	¥212.00M	¥3,598M	¥216.00M	¥3,326M
3.	Article 20	¥174.00M	¥2,463M	¥174.00M	¥2,401M
4.	Boonie Bears: Time Twist	¥140.00M	¥2,243M	¥140.00M	¥2,213M
5.	The Movie Emperor	¥2.91M	¥96.5M	¥3.87M	¥96.5M
6.	BA JIE	¥244K	¥4.55M	¥285K	¥5.03M
7.	Huang Pi	¥50K	¥1.15M	¥104K	¥1.19M

 

Maoyan - ¥758M &Taiopaopao - ¥770M

 

[Issac Newton]

 

BA JIE has withdrawn from Spring Festival &a new release date is to be determined 

 

Leaving only 4 films in the schedule

 

1. YOLO

2. Pegasus 2

3. Boonie Bears: Time Twist

4. Article 20 

[Issac Newton]

 

As for the breaking news - We have crossed 2021 gross with ¥7.843B! (159M Admits) as of 13:51 CST! Admission of 2021 (160M) will be crossed soon!

[Issac Newton]

 

Valentine Day really gave the grip to overtake 2021 Numbers!

 

 

Also not to forget the ATP being down by 6.1% LY - ¥49.1 which rose admission numbers by 26.4% LY - 163M Admits!

[titanic2187]

Valentine Day aside, How is it an apple-to-apple comparison when they take 8 days for 2024 but only 6 days for 2023 and 2022? The two extra days + VD gave it an optical boost.

[Issac Newton]

 

Daily Performance of 2024 Works &Interestingly Douban Scores of Top 4 Works is all-time High (same for Maoyan too!)

 

 

Box Office Share of Tier 1 &2 Cities rose to 37.5% &21.4% Respectively! while among Ticket Purchases 20.5% watch one movie while 53.1% watch two movies (dropped in 5-Years) &26.4 watched 3 or more movies !

[Issac Newton]

2 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Valentine Day aside, How is it an apple-to-apple comparison when they take 8 days for 2024 but only 6 days for 2023 and 2022? The two extra days + VD gave it an optical boost.

Who said six days? 

 

It has always been 7-Days. 

 

[titanic2187]

Just now, Issac Newton said:

Who said six days? 

 

It has always been 7-Days. 

 

Clearly the data distortion is working here.

It is effectively 6 days because before 2024, the holiday window started from new year eve (neither the starting date listed here are the first day of new year), which is a day where BO is the the lowest and almost negligible. 

 

But in 2024, they strip out New year eve from the holiday period, thereby removing the lowest day at the BO from holiday period. On top of that, they added another day (8 days in total). So effectively, they added two extra days to the holiday window. Therefore, 2021 record still stands, if by apple-apple comparison.    

[titanic2187]

10 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Who said six days? 

 

It has always been 7-Days. 

 

If we adjusted the holiday in accordance to the calendar methodology before 2024, i.e. New year eve until sixth day of CNY, the total BO should have been ¥6.47bn, it is actually slightly lower than 2023. 

[Issac Newton]

Spring Festival Works 

1. YOLO - ¥2,724M
2. Pegasus 2 - ¥2,403M
3. Boonie Bears: Time Twist - ¥1,392M
4. Article 20 - ¥1,342M
5. Viva La Vida - ¥93.329M
6. Movie Emperor - ¥82.317M
7. BA JIE - ¥3.186M
8. Huang Pi - ¥843.3K

5~8 Position Films has withdrawn from Festival later. Starting with "Viva La Vida" from 15 to finally "Huang Pi"

 

Box Office Shares in Each Tier Cities

 

Box Office Shares in Each Geographic Region

[Issac Newton]

 

Viva La Vida - Single Visitors (37.1%)

Pegasus 2 - Visitors in Pairs (55.4%)

YOLO - 3 or more! Its a Family Film (29.5%)

 

Top 10 Theatres at the Festival.

 

One of the surprise of the Festival is Boonie Bear Series which has outperforming each film in series! The New Film "Boonie Bear: Time Twist" did ¥1,392M / 29.08M Admits during the Festival and soon will be the new ATG taking down last year record of "Boonie Bear: Guardian Code" (¥1,495M / 32.29M Admits)

[Issac Newton]

Article 20 will start leading No.1 from Monday!

[xieh tie]