85th Academy Awards (24/2/13) Official Thread- TONIGHT!! NOMINEES IN THE FIRST POST

[The Futurist]

A Chastain upset would be all kind of glorious though.

[Jack Nevada]

A Chastain upset would be all kind of glorious though.

Oh yeah, I will masturbate from joy if that happens.

Edited February 23, 2013 by Jack Nevada

[RichWS]

Oh yeah, I will masturbate from joy if that happens.

 

 

Note: I have no idea what the hell this is.

[Jack Nevada]

I think this is one of the better speeches

 

Edited February 23, 2013 by Jack Nevada

[riczhang]

I want to predict LoP for BP for some odd reason....

[CloneWars]

I want to predict LoP for BP for some odd reason....

I'm not feeling the LoP love. I for sure don't see it winning BP, although it would be ironic seeing how Crash stole Lee's thunder when Brokeback was the frontrunner.

 

For that matter, I don't see Lee winning BD. I think it is between Spielberg and O'Russel and to a lesser extent Haneke.

Edited February 23, 2013 by CloneWars

[RichWS]

I want to predict LoP for BP for some odd reason....

 

I had that fleeting thought last night.

[Shawn Robbins]

I've long been thinking that LoP could be in that Crash-type upset position. The lack of acting nods and fact that it didn't win SAG goes against it, but, all bets are off this year. I don't care how many awards Argo has won recently, it's a four-film race IMO judging by what the Academy has done lately.

 

If not LoP, Silver Linings has an incredible chance at an upset. It has the acting nods to back it up and a lot more momentum going into Oscar night (partly including the box office run).

Edited February 23, 2013 by ShawnMR

[riczhang]

I'm not feeling the LoP love. I for sure don't see it winning BP, although it would be ironic seeing how Crash stole Lee's thunder when Brokeback was the frontrunner.

 

For that matter, I don't see Lee winning BD. I think it is between Spielberg and O'Russel and to a lesser extent Haneke.

 

 

My reasoning behind LoP, is that I can see Argo taking home only 1 Oscar which would be BP. That hasn't happened since 1932 in Grand Hotel, when that movie won on its only nomination. Sasha also brings up a good point. No film with that many noms has ever lost BP with 5 or more Oscar wins. I have it a 5. I can see it taking home 7 without BP. I think it could have a very good shot at winning. 

 

Directing could go Haneke I think. The turnout's up substantially this year, reportedly, more younger people, and more older people are voting. The younger, more cool and hip demographic could actually make this year fairly unpredictable. 

[RichWS]

I wanna see upsets in EVERY category.

[Shawn Robbins]

My reasoning behind LoP, is that I can see Argo taking home only 1 Oscar which would be BP. That hasn't happened since 1932 in Grand Hotel, when that movie won on its only nomination. Sasha also brings up a good point. No film with that many noms has ever lost BP with 5 or more Oscar wins. I have it a 5. I can see it taking home 7 without BP. I think it could have a very good shot at winning. 

 

Directing could go Haneke I think. The turnout's up substantially this year, reportedly, more younger people, and more older people are voting. The younger, more cool and hip demographic could actually make this year fairly unpredictable. 

 

That's a big positive for SLP, IMO.

[Jack Nevada]

I wanna see upsets in EVERY category.

I dont. There's only so much bitchiness I can handle

[Jack Nevada]

I want to predict LoP for BP for some odd reason....

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHAHAH

[riczhang]

That's a big positive for SLP, IMO.

 

See I don't see it that way. The younger demographic of the Academy couldn't really care less for a rom-com. they want to vote for the cool movies. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoos, the There Will Be Bloods, the Social Networks. And this year movies like Amour, Argo, , Beasts of the Southern Wild, and Life of Pi to lesser extents. There isn't really a movie this year that strikes me as the "it" movie. SLP, Lincoln, and others primarily strike me and probably struck academy members as traditional academy, "stuffy", "old", movies. 

 

And we also have to remember that the younger demographic of the academy really is anyone under the age of 50-55 years old. We're not talking about people in the late teens and early twenties that will fangirl or fanboy over SLP. These are people who've acquired some taste over the years but haven't developed a huge penchant for sentimentality yet. 

[riczhang]

Actually,  The Master is probably the cool movie of the year. But, that's not got a serious shot for anything, and that might actually be too cool for the AMPAS. 

[Ezen Baklattan]

Of the serious Oscar contenders throughout the year, my showing of The Master was surprisingly filled with lots of teens and college kids.

[Shawn Robbins]

See I don't see it that way. The younger demographic of the Academy couldn't really care less for a rom-com. they want to vote for the cool movies.

 

 

They played a part in nominating it for all four acting categories on top of Editing (crucial for a BP contender). I think it's hard to say that any demographic of the Academy could care less for SLP. Especially with a cast that includes Cooper and Lawrence who hold significant appeal with the younger demos. 

 

This isn't to say I think SLP is the favorite, but it seems to be more absent from the conversation (here and across the web) than I think it should be when it comes to possible upsets. I'd honestly give it better odds of winning than Lincoln or LoP.

Edited February 23, 2013 by ShawnMR

[Jack Nevada]

Of the serious Oscar contenders throughout the year, my showing of The Master was surprisingly filled with lots of teens and college kids.

Mine was filled with me and another guy, who was sleeping.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

I can't wait to watch the Master next week! I have been looking forward to that movie for years. 

[riczhang]

They played a part in nominating it for all four acting categories on top of Editing (crucial for a BP contender). I think it's hard to say that any demographic of the Academy could care less for SLP. Especially with a cast that includes Cooper and Lawrence who hold significant appeal with the younger demos. 

 

This isn't to say I think SLP is the favorite, but it seems to be more absent from the conversation (here and across the web) than I think it should be when it comes to possible upsets. I'd honestly give it better odds of winning than Lincoln or LoP.

 

 

You don't need the entire academy to go for you to get nominations. You need something like 70 votes at most to get BP. Something like 300-400 to get an acting. And that's assuming the entire membership votes for nominations. And, when we refer to the Academy's younger demographic, it isn't really a younger demographic in the traditional sense. These aren't you're 20 year olds, the Academy younger demographic is the 40 year olds give or take 5-10 years on either side. I don't believe Cooper and JLaw holds too much appeal over these people.