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January 25th-27th

 

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Creed 2 opens about a 20% higher than the first part, which did €3.65m and sold 560k admissions.

With similar legs, it should go over €4m.

 

Glass drop is decent. It should try to repeat "Multiple" numbers (€5.5m)

 

As I said last week, The favourite is unpredictable. It has probably increased because of Oscar nominations. Last week I said a x5 multiplier, what would mean €3m. That is already low. I think €4m are reachable with ease. Probably more. We'll see.

 

Aquaman is reaching €14m. Great run for a SH film. Spider-man 2 would be the next SH in the list (€14.8m), but I do not see reaching those heights.

 

Mary Poppins will not reach €10m. Probably €9.5m.

 

Bohemian Rhapsody still ranks #17, but on Sunday it will already be #16 (A monster calls, €26.2m), and maybe #15 (The sixth sense, €26.6m).

 

Taking into account its kind of run, I can not see it missing €28m, what would imply to rank #12 of all time, and trying top 10 (#11 POTC2, €28.3m; #12 Shrek 2, €28.2m). When it had done it, we will talk about outgrossing LOTR (#7, #8 and #9).

Edited by peludo
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The PTA for The House That Jack Built is abyssmal (624 euros per theater). It's going to lose a lot of screens this weekend. Beale Street isn't doing any much better (1.05k euros PTA). The Favourite is going to be affected by Green Book but it's not losing shows or screens across the country so expect it to outgross Glass this weekend. Green Book is coming with 1M OW for sure and Bajo el Mismo Techo would do good (it could be #1 this weekend).

Edited by ScareLol
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February 1st-3rd:

 

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Top spot, "Bajo el mismo techo", is a local comedy. Critics do not seem very good, but I guess that a 3.5-4 million is possible.

 

Green Book start is good. It could have a good run if it gets some award. Let's say 4-5 million.

 

Concerning Dragon Ball, I do not remember a better anime opening. It is true that Dragon Ball is very well known here, but I am surprised about the good data. Maybe 2.5-3 million.

 

Creed 2 holds well. Heading to over €5m, quite better than first part (€3.6m).

 

After increasing last week, The favourite has had a normal drop. Unpredictable. I said last week over €4m, but I do not have it so clear now...

 

Bohemian Rhapsody ranks #7 after 14 weeks. To compare, 8 apellidos vascos ranked #8. Just Avatar and I guess that Titanic too, ranked higher at the same point.

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Presales for tomorrow at my cinema as of now. They are all pretty low.

 

Second Act (5 Shows): 0 tickets sold

 

The Lego Movie 2 (7 shows):

2D 18:50: 3/212

2D 19:30: 7/330

 

Mary Queen Of Scots (7 shows):

2D VOSE 20:35: 2/212

 

The Prodigy (5 Shows):

2D 20:35: 2/90

Edited by ScareLol
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Top 5 provisional:

 

1. Green Book: €0.9m (-21%)

2. Bajo el mismo techo: €0.7m (-38%)

3. Lego movie 2: €0.7m (NEW)

4. Creed 2: €0.5m (-50%)

5. Mary, queen of Scots: €0.4m (NEW)

 

Poor numbers, but good drops, mainly for Green Book which started #2 and now it is on top.

 

Very bad for Lego movie. The first one did €5.3m. Let's see if the sequel is able to make half of that.

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February 8th-10th:

 

4cW0PeA.jpg

 

Great drop for Green Book, which wins the week. 5 or even 6 million could be the target for the moment.

 

Creed does not seem to stabilize. Barely over €5m.

 

Lego Movie fails. As I said on Monday, we will see if it is able to make half of the first part (€5.3m)

 

Glass should finish about €5.5m.

 

Dragon Ball collapses a huge 75%. It won't reach €2m.

 

Bohemian Rhapsody is slowing down. It could finally rank #13, between HP1 (€27.69m) and The Others (€27.25m).

 

And just to mention that after Goya's ceremony, the best picture (Campeones) and the most awarded (El Reino, 7 awards) are back into top 25.

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Presales for tomorrow at my cinema with 5 new films

 

Alita: Battle Angel (14 shows):

16:00 2D VOSE: 4/384

16:30 2D: 3/384

18:00 2D: 2/212

18:45 2D VOSE: 13/384

19:15 2D: 34/384

20:00 2D: 4/330

20:45 2D: 4/212

21:30 2D VOSE: 50/384

22:00 2D: 23/384

22:35 3D: 4/330

23:15 2D: 3/212

 

This has possibility to break out. The presales are big for an unknown property. Aquaman got 212 presales at my cinema and this got 144 (68% of Aquaman)

 

Capernaum (4 shows) - 0 tickets sold

 

Happy Death Day 2 U (5 shows) - 0 tickets sold. This will probably underperform

 

Perdiendo El Este (6 shows):

20:15 2D: 4/330

 

The Frontrunner (3 Shows) - 0 tickets sold

Edited by ScareLol
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Presales for tomorrow at my cinema with 5 new releases:

 

Can you Ever Forgive Me? (5 Shows) - 0 Tickets sold

 

Destroyer (6 Shows) - 0 Tickets sold

 

Holmes and Watson (5 Shows) - 0 Tickets sold

 

On The Basis Of Sex (5 Shows) - 0 Tickets sold

 

How To Train Your Dragon 3 (17 Shows)

16:00 2D - 9/384

16:45 2D VOSE - 4/231

17:00 2D - 2/384

18:20 2D - 45/384

18:30 2D - 21/212

19:20 2D - 9/384

20:10 2D - 16/231

20:40 2D - 7/384

21:40 2D - 9/384

23:00 2D - 2/384

 

HTTDY 3 has big presales for an animated movie (presales are low for this type of films). Alita got 144 last Friday while Dragon 3 has 124 so expect big numbers this weekend. I can see +2M for this and of the other 4 titles I think On The Basis Of Sex would be the winner. Holmes and Destroyer would flop for sure.

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33 minutes ago, ScareLol said:

Presales for tomorrow at my cinema with 5 new releases:

 

Can you Ever Forgive Me? (5 Shows) - 0 Tickets sold

 

Destroyer (6 Shows) - 0 Tickets sold

 

Holmes and Watson (5 Shows) - 0 Tickets sold

 

On The Basis Of Sex (5 Shows) - 0 Tickets sold

 

How To Train Your Dragon 3 (17 Shows)

16:00 2D - 9/384

16:45 2D VOSE - 4/231

17:00 2D - 2/384

18:20 2D - 45/384

18:30 2D - 21/212

19:20 2D - 9/384

20:10 2D - 16/231

20:40 2D - 7/384

21:40 2D - 9/384

23:00 2D - 2/384

 

HTTDY 3 has big presales for an animated movie (presales are low for this type of films). Alita got 144 last Friday while Dragon 3 has 124 so expect big numbers this weekend. I can see +2M for this and of the other 4 titles I think On The Basis Of Sex would be the winner. Holmes and Destroyer would flop for sure.

53 tickets(3 shows) at my cinema. 

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