grim22 Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 (edited) So which question is the decider now? If Wolverine increases from Friday minus Midnights, everyone loses. Else, it comes down to RED2's Saturday increase. Edited July 27, 2013 by grim22 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 So which question is the decider now? A) Will Wolverine score at least an A cinemascore? Will Wolverine increase on Saturday (taking away Thurs gross) C) Will at least 6 out of 10 films have a Thursday increase? D) Will RED2 have a Saturday increase of more than 43.5%? Stingray, Dex, and MovieMan all correctly said NO to A and C. They also all said NO to B. (Which seems likely to be correct.) Stingray said NO to D, but Dex and MovieMan said YES. Unless Wolverine has a bad Saturday, the bonus will actually be awarded this week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 So which question is the decider now? Wolverine increasing on Saturday minus the preview/mid and Red 2 increasing over 43.5% on Sat? Wolverine will decide it as remaining 3 said no so anything more than 17M today and they lose 8K points. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 No, wait a minute, I'm looking at that wrong, aren't I? If Wolverine makes $17M on Saturday, then everybody loses again, right? Am I reading that right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Wolverine increasing on Saturday minus the preview/mid and Red 2 increasing over 43.5% on Sat? Wolverine will decide it as remaining 3 said no so anything more than 17M today and they lose 8K points. Yeah, I was reading that wrong. Unless Wolverine has a bad Saturday and goes under $17M, everybody loses. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Ask, and you shall be answered to, 3 times even. I love this forum :wub:Thanks guys Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Yeah, I was reading that wrong. Unless Wolverine has a bad Saturday and goes under $17M, everybody loses. Pretty much. They need 17M or less or they lose 8K. I learned my lesson last week, the risk just isn't worth it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 (edited) So Tele, will you go for bonus 3 next week? Edited July 27, 2013 by druv10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted July 27, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted July 27, 2013 For even more of an accuracy bonus, if you can call any film within 5 million of the actual gross, you will receive a bonus of 20,000. If you can call the gross within 2 million, you get a bonus of 25,000. It's too bad the points aren't scaled. I'm liking my odds of coming within $2m for MoS but won't get much of a reward for it versus the $5m bonus. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 It's too bad the points aren't scaled. I'm liking my odds of coming within $2m for MoS but won't get much of a reward for it versus the $5m bonus. Yeah meanwhile you have like 3-4 predictions in red to lose points. Just saying! BTW, you lowballed the shit out of every movie! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted July 27, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted July 27, 2013 (edited) Yeah meanwhile you have like 3-4 predictions in red to lose points. Just saying! BTW, you lowballed the shit out of every movie! I think you may be looking at someone else's list. In bold are pretty close, red are too high. IM3 and DM2 are the only ones I was low on, the former of which isn't that bad. I won't lose points for it, thankfully. 1. Iron Man 3 - $375m 2. Despicable Me 2 - $311m 3. Star Trek Into Darkness - $310m 4. Man of Steel - $290m 5. Monsters University - $275m 6. Fast & Furious 6 - $226m 7. Pacific Rim - $225m 8. The Hangover Part III - $182m 9. The Heat - $150m 10. The Wolverine - $145m 11. Grown Ups 2 - $116m 12. The Smurfs 2 - $115m 13. White House Down - $114m 14. The Lone Ranger - $110m 15. This Is the End - $95m Now, granted, I didn't have Gatsby on here either. That's the one that will kill me, in tandem with PR. Edited July 27, 2013 by ShawnMR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 27, 2013 Author Share Posted July 27, 2013 Well if u guys dont like the scoring points this year then make suggestions in the off season as to what changes u would like. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted July 27, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted July 27, 2013 Actually, 2 Guns and Elysium are the big wild cards for me now. I left both off my top 15. I think I forgot about 2 Guns opening in August, but with Elysium that was definitely a "play it safe" movie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Okay, Hail Mary by my defense attorney: technically, "smallest drop" shouldn't include actual increases, since it should be restricted to negative numbers only. Therefore FRUITVALE and TWWB don't count. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Okay, Hail Mary by my defense attorney: technically, "smallest drop" shouldn't include actual increases, since it should be restricted to negative numbers only. Therefore FRUITVALE and TWWB don't count.No Tele, you already lost points for this week, you don't count anymore :PAbout your argument though, B did count increases as "smallest drops" in past questions, so if there's any changes or exceptions, he would have informed us specifically. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 (edited) Well if u guys dont like the scoring points this year then make suggestions in the off season as to what changes u would like.It seems pretty good so far, although I haven't been through the craziness of scoring the preseason top 15. Special super-accuracy bonuses seem kinda cool, though, both for domestic and international.Maybe tie it to percentages instead of millions of dollars, that way there won't be greater leeway at the lower ends: say, maybe within 0.5% domestic and 1% WW? Edited July 27, 2013 by Telemachos 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted July 27, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted July 27, 2013 Okay, Hail Mary by my defense attorney: technically, "smallest drop" shouldn't include actual increases, since it should be restricted to negative numbers only. Therefore FRUITVALE and TWWB don't count. I think it's a valid argument but I barked up that tree a few years ago to no avail. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Founder / Operator Shawn Robbins Posted July 27, 2013 Founder / Operator Share Posted July 27, 2013 (edited) It seems pretty good so far, although I haven't been through the craziness of scoring the preseason top 15. Special super-accuracy bonuses seem kinda cool, though, both for domestic and international.Maybe tie it to percentages instead of millions of dollars, that way there won't be greater leeway at the lower ends: say, maybe within 0.5% domestic and 1% WW? I very much like that idea, along with scaled point rewards. For example (just throwing out numbers): If within 20m or 15% of the gross, you get 10,000 pts. If within 10m or 10% of the gross, you get 20,000 pts. If within 5m or 5% of the gross, you get 40,000 pts. If within 1m or 1% of the gross, you get 200,000 pts. That's perfectly scaled (relative to the gross, not the percentage persay), so maybe something more reasonable like 100,000 pts for being within 1m of the gross. But it's just an example. Edited July 27, 2013 by ShawnMR 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...