It's an unknown property and it was only really taking off in the US so some of those predictions didn't make any sense. Brand recognition is a huge thing for OS audiences. It was always obvious that it would do ok numbers OS and increase with the sequel. New Moon already had brand recognition with OS audiences from the first film so comparing THG to a sequel is asking too much. It's going to beat the first Twilight's numbers OS. Catching Fire's OS numbers should be compared to New Moon's.
She will bump that number to 32M and then 2 hours later she will drop it to 19.2M.Nikki and her sources were about as accurate as blind monkeys trying to hit a fucking dart board yesterday.
Cameron said Avatar 2 would take three years to make. It's less than three years until December 2014 and he is still diving. Not happening. He doesn't even have a completed script yet and won't devote his full attention to that until he is finished with this diving stuff.
Some of these predictions from variety and Nikki have been farcical over the past two weekends. Who knows what the estimate will be in the morning. I'm just waiting for BOM, period. There's no point participating in a farce where predictions are changing by several million every couple of hours.