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keysersoze123

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Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. keysersoze123
    Onward Advance/Marathon Shows(T-5) MTC1 - overall 112 shows 4079/17892 66464.27 65744.47 MTC2 - overall 104 shows 7275/11669 71359.25 61679.50 Very good numbers at MTC2. I wonder if they will increase show count otherwise my prediction for advance/marathon shows is the same. MTC1 Prev - overall 1119 shows 5962/229987 107963.91 90160.99 MTC2 Prev - overall 1123 shows 2472/193065 31901.79 22789.48 MTC1 OD - overall 2564 shows 4679/534511 82315.72 69852.22 post 6PM 1304 shows 3398/274668 62438.39 52450.99 MTC2 OD - overall 2471 shows 4051/442639 47109.84 37477.80 post 6PM 981 shows 2164/178689 28481.38 20361.09 Preview sales are affected because of Advance shows. So the numbers wont increase big time until next week.
  2. keysersoze123
    Invisible Man(T-3) MTC1 prev - overall 780 shows 6577/165436 112571.11 92922.75 +1787 MTC2 prev - overall 773 shows 1552/144197 19499.63 14124.18 +336 MTC1 OD - overall 1686 shows 4986/379469 87920.24 74292.28 post 6PM 928 shows 3786/211673 67568.36 56452.30 +2118 MTC2 OD - overall 1686 shows 2573/326768 29468.77 23369.60 post 6PM 719 shows 1572/141336 20194.84 14711.92 +581 No change in PS narrative. I am thinking this is looking at 2m previews. Gemini Man did 1.6m with MTC1 premium shows dominating its PS as well. I am hoping this movie does better overall with better reviews. I will wait till wednesday before fine tuning OW prediction based on ratio of OD PS vs Previews PS. At least trend from past 2 days is towards OD PS and that is good news.
  3. keysersoze123
    Take care man. I hope you have stocked up food and stay indoors. I hope the situation is under control soon. For that we need people to behave in a responsible manner than government putting in draconian measures. Dont know if that is possible in Italy.
  4. keysersoze123
    Still Mulan tickets are not even listed on AMC. May not happen today at this rate. Probably sometime this week as MTC2 has listed shows but not on sale as well.
  5. keysersoze123
    Call of the wild did way worse than What I projected. MTC could have over indexed a bit. Sonic was on the dot. Anyway Sonic did not have good enough 2nd weekend to make a play for 200m with onward opening in 2 weeks. Call of the wild did better than expectations before release but unlikely to come close to 100m. Birds of Prey has had a mediocre run after a mediocre OW. I hope Box office picks up in March, but I am concerned about impact due to COVID-19. Let us hope things dont get out of control.
  6. keysersoze123
    As a father of girl with special needs, I loved Dory. The scenes with Dory and her parents resonated big time. The octopus character was brilliant as well and the world building was great. Of course climax was weak but none of these movies are perfect. Incredible 2 also had great moments and Jack-Jack character was brilliant. It had great parenting moments as well and bird is a brilliant director at keeping us engaged. I loved Toy Story 4 as well. Great characters and wonderful climax and Woody's arc is complete. Toy Story 3 was even better and Inside Out was best of last decade. I liked coco a lot(especially brilliant climax) but that was mid tier otherwise. Weakest movies of last decade are Cars 2, Brave and Good Dinosaur. Cars 2 was plain bad while Brave was meh. Good Dinosaur had potential but it was messed up production. Monsters University was mid tier but it was hard movie to crack being a prequel to a movie that was not warranted.
  7. keysersoze123
    Based on MTC data Sonic ~12m and Call of the Wild ~ 10.8. Neither movies are that interesting so I will take a break. Will look at Invisible man next week and hope Onward picks up and Mulan/Bond also have interesting PS runs.
  8. keysersoze123
    Things have really slowed down. MTC1 is at 17193 and MTC2 is at 7550. I will check again in a month's time. Real action will only happen close to release.
  9. keysersoze123
    Invisible Man(T-5) MTC1 Prev - overall 777 shows 4790/165078 82655.61 68333.44 +1610 MTC2 Prev - overall 771 shows 1216/143892 15170.40 10997.94 +269 MTC1 OD - overall 1332 shows 2868/303925 51384.58 43612.07 post 6PM 724 shows 2137/167551 38869.78 32582.63 MTC2 OD - overall 1676 shows 1992/325327 22540.29 18068.60 post 6PM 714 shows 1136/140703 14656.86 10685.42 It has done well in few IMAX/Dolby shows at plexes in large cities. Otherwise it has done nothing. Looking at OD PS does not show any sign of backloaded run. Its going to be driven by reviews/WOM than huge buzz.
  10. keysersoze123
    it was not exactly at same time and so there is variability but around 120% at that point. MTC2 was closer to 150%. But it wont keep that pace till end of the day. Let us see where things are tonight.
  11. keysersoze123
    40-50% increase from yesterday from trends so far. Let us see where things are in the evening.
  12. keysersoze123
    Early trends for Sonic is showing it up over 100% from yesterday at MTC1 and even more at MTC2. Its going to have a big saturday for sure. I believe it will win the weekend.
  13. keysersoze123
    Brahms: Boys II MTC1 - overall 1409 shows 28917/188856 349217.49 271360.05 post 6PM 729 shows 21962/99687 271140.93 207395.21 MTC2 - overall 1261 shows 28027/171411 287148.67 212465.16 post 6PM 511 shows 20154/68665 222363.46 153276.02 Probably ~ 1.9m true friday. This is behaving in line with tracking. Not worth tracking anymore.
  14. keysersoze123
    Call of the Wild OD MTC1 - overall 2143 shows 83298/354954 1059359.40 876765.71 post 6PM 1074 shows 43196/176766 605290.39 484782.16 MTC2 -overall 2129 shows 89186/316363 854720.25 700705.94 post 6PM 872 shows 37516/129357 436030.09 307580.26 It did slow down in the end. Based on MTC1/2 split and overall numbers I would say 6.75m true friday.
  15. keysersoze123
    Nope. Both of them have similar amount of shows(very tiny edge to dolittle). Split across matinees are also similar.
  16. keysersoze123
    At least Call of the Wild is opening better than Dolittle. I am surprised despite seeing OD PS trending good. Its PS numbers were below dolittle but probably did better with older crowd because of ford.
  17. keysersoze123
    I doubt it will be close as Sonic will have much bigger Sat increase. So for Call of the Wild to take it, OD needs to hit 8m+ and Sonic to be on par or below estimates. I dont see that happening for now. Let us see how things go.
  18. keysersoze123
    I dont see shows at MTC1. MTC2 have some listings but they are not on sale. Probably will start on Monday. Then give it a day of PS before I will check. This is not going to be a PS monster. So early numbers tend to underwhelm.
  19. keysersoze123
    Call of the Wild is also on a tear. Thinking 6m+ true friday. That should ensure 20m+ OW.
  20. keysersoze123
    Sonic is up like 190% at similar point to yesterday at MTC. This will come down but its definitely increasing more than 110-120%.
  21. keysersoze123
    Onward Advance/Marathon Shows(T-8) MTC1 - overall 110 shows 2771/17628 MTC2 - overall 104 shows 3721/11669 36939.75 32284.25 Not sure the advance screening will make a big dent. Probably will do 0.5m or so. MTC1 Prev - overall 1115 shows 4756/229214 86698.84 72495.69 MTC2 Prev - overall 1123 shows 1908/192893 24569.14 17480.08 MTC1 OD - overall 2083 shows 2885/436131 51155.73 43531.30 MTC2 OD - overall 2458 shows 3134/441362 36434.56 29110.42 Will not see these numbers are great but it has another 13 days to go. It could go either way at this point.
  22. keysersoze123
    WOW. it did better than my projections. From MTC perspective it did slightly less than Dolittle but actual number is higher. May be it will sell more adult tickets than Dolittle. Good enough for 20m OW.
  23. keysersoze123
    I will look at it tomorrow. But I dont expect real acceleration until final week. Until then there will some demand for advance shows.
  24. keysersoze123
    The Call of the Wild Previews Final MTC1 - overall 831 shows 17059/132152 257120.41 206699.12 MTC2 - overall 881 shows 14035/122716 161085.89 112795.03 Good walkups again. it almost did dolittle numbers on MTC1 while finished 11% behind on MTC2. I am thinking 0.9m previews. MTC1 OD - overall 2099 shows 21336/350588 292847.45 245281.12 post 6PM 1050 shows 11563/174555 176349.81 143367.31 MTC2 OD - overall 2123 shows 20400/315754 199869.01 162237.46 post 6PM 866 shows 8867/128751 104376.07 73160.44 Awesome final day of PS sales. OD PS looks like 1.7-2m by the time shows start tomorrow. I wonder if it can hit 6m friday and increase by 50% on saturday. I would say 18m OW for now. But wont rule out 20m.
  25. keysersoze123
    Brahms: Boys II Previews Final MTC1 - overall 533 shows 7484/70614 94528.79 72336.73 MTC2 - overall 522 shows 6083/65711 68794.93 47604.67 Very good walkups. At MTC2 almost 90% of ticket sales happened today and tripled the number at 3PM PST. I would say 0.4m previews. I had checked OD PS couple of hours ago. MTC1 - overall 1385 shows 3738/186518 47315.79 37336.89 MTC2 - overall 1258 shows 3082/171129 31437.60 23720.28 Very poor PS. Though with good walk ups like today it could hit 2-2.5m OD including previews. 5-6m OW.
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