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keysersoze123

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Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. keysersoze123
    Would the preference be given to Chinese movies before hollywood ones. After all even some CNY movies will open on big screen. I dont see DC3 open directly on streaming. I could see Bond/BW/F9 all open on the same weekend 🙂
  2. keysersoze123
    From $ drop its around 28% but Canada will drop harder. So overall I would say 11.5m monday for Sonic.
  3. keysersoze123
    Fast and Furious 9 (T - 94) MTC1 - overall 954 shows 16769/208629 288634.02 MTC2 - overall 1945 shows 7210/316826 95594.69 I am impressed by how well its doing at MTC1. It sold almost 10K tickets in under 3 weeks. Still its almost impossible to predict how big its previews will be. Only thing I am sure it will be way higher than Hobbs and Shaw.
  4. keysersoze123
    I think this is from someone in Japan I think based on the post. I was just quoting it. It could be that Disney is releasing F2 on Home Video/Streaming and so the screening is stopped. i think something like this happened for the 1st movie as well if I am not wrong.
  5. keysersoze123
    From ticket sales perspective Sonic is already at 72% of yesterday at MTC. It generally slows down quite a bit in the evening. but it should hit the estimates for sure.
  6. keysersoze123
    from KJ(not corpse)
  7. keysersoze123
    Sonic sold 283K at MTC1 and 244K at MTC2. I think its dropping low 20's at worst. 16-16.5m sunday.
  8. keysersoze123
    Onward Advanced Screening(2/29) MTC1 - 1450/17212 5283.16 (98 shows) MTC2 - 2678/11378 24908.25 (101 shows) Marathon shows have sold 51 tickets at MTC1(3 shows) and 48 tickets at MTC2(2 shows). I hope the showcount goes up. Otherwise the numbers are small probably looking at 500K gross with advanced screenings. Edit: I would ignore $ value as some of the shows returned ticket price as $0 at MTC1.
  9. keysersoze123
    Sure will do. i did not see lots of shows earlier. Let me check and revert back. Edit: it seems there are 2 different kind of shows in 29th. Advance screening and a marathon show. I had earlier checked for Marathon and there are very few shows for that. Anecdotally the advance screenings are doing good. But let me get the numbers.
  10. keysersoze123
    For those who have not seen RTH's previous post on OS markets.
  11. keysersoze123
    Invisible Man(T-11) MTC1 - overall 661 shows 1833/139882 32306.93 26808.86 MTC2 - overall 766 shows 773/143200 9577.42 6989.71 I have been hearing that this movie could breakout. But no signs from PS perspective.
  12. keysersoze123
    Sonic ticket sales is at 245K at 1050PM. yesterday it was at 290K at 1030ish. So around 20% down.
  13. keysersoze123
    Even then hollywood is a small casualty. something like 30 movies releases and only half a dozen does well. Chinese movie market will lose lots more. CNY week alone is like Yuge loss. I am sure some hollywood movies like BW, F9, Bond will release late if situation returns to norm in 6 months. Otherwise tough luck to those movies. They can obviously do direct to streaming in those markets for bigger value than post theatrical release.
  14. keysersoze123
    I am sorry. DIsaster for chinese folks. Who cares about few bucks lost by hollywood. Here millions are impacted and the economy has stopped in those locations. How about places like Beijing/Shanghai. I heard Tesla factory opened and so is it controlled in those locations or fingers crossed until things go to hell over there as well. I am amazed Stock market is discounting this news. Even chinese stocks like BABA and TCHY are not down !!!!
  15. keysersoze123
    Sonic finished D2 with 333K at MTC1 and 297K at MTC2. Increase in gross is about 17-18%. But MTC1/2 tend to under index on saturdays when other chains tend to increase more. So Charlie's numbers should be almost on point. Photograph sold 78.5K at MTC1 and 50K at MTC2. So it dropped hard. I would say 30% drop nationally from its VD OD. Fantasy Island sold slightly more than 58K at MTC1 and more than 55K at MTC2 when I last checked aroun 830PM PST. So it held much better than Photograph. Probably would have dropped 20% from friday nationally. I will only track Sonic starting Day 3. PS for Day 3 is very robust. I am expecting it to have a strong hold(20-25% ish).
  16. keysersoze123
    Based on hype, it seems bigger than spectre. But I am concerned by impact due to COVID-19. So will not predict until week to release. We should know either the virus is controlled or we have a pandemic. Second scenario would lead to delay as Bond movies perform very well on asian markets.
  17. keysersoze123
    You are right. More than few school disctricts are off next week. We will know based on wednesday drop relative to monday. Which means weekdays will be boosted as well. But it should better than Lego 2 which faced Dragon 3 and some of the other movies were late in its run. May be 135% like Lego Batman.
  18. keysersoze123
    Call of the Wild(T-5) MTC1 - overall 447 shows 1870/78532 31754.56 26153.97 MTC2 - overall 568 shows 1200/76207 13780.30 9488.87 Almost non existent PS but real action for these movies will be from wednesday onwards. I hope it does enough to hit mid teens OW.
  19. keysersoze123
    Why on earth would Sonic just increase 100% on friday !!! I know some schools have a break next week(my kids are out in bay area). But its almost negligble. I would say at least 200% friday increase would happen. Family audience would drive its BO. Also next week releases are irrelevant and so negligible thursday impact. I could see it stay flat and drop in mid 40's next week and another week of good holds before onward releases when it will drop a bit.
  20. keysersoze123
    From tickets perspective Sonic is already ahead of yesterday. In gross MTC1 is down 9%(345PM PST) and MTC2 is down 12%(at 315PM PST) but end of day it could grow by 20-30%% from true friday. its targeting 650K+ tickets between 2 chains. I think 21m saturday should happen.
  21. keysersoze123
    Onward(T-18) MTC1 - overall 1059 shows 3065/219745 56591.19 47425.04 MTC2 - overall 1109 shows 1389/188372 17702.39 12576.35 Not great but I have seen worse. This was Sonic's numbers on 1/28 Sonic MTC1 - overall 678 shows 2554/115554 40881.61 33458.37 Sonic MTC2 - overall 992 shows 2200/156128 27271.63 19133.01 So Onward is ahead of Sonic at MTC1 by 20% and it has another 2 days of PS for equivalent comp. So there is still hope for PS to ramp up once we have reviews early. Early screenings on 2/29 should also help.
  22. keysersoze123
    Unlikely. Ticket sales for Photograph seem to be well off yesterday(like 40% or more). I am sure walk ups will improve but its looking at a big drop today. Birds of Prey will hold better than that for sure. I wont be surprised to see Fantasy Island finish ahead of Photograph. Photograph also over indexed big time at MTCs yesterday.
  23. keysersoze123
    Sonic ticket sales for D2 already upto 295K between 2 MTC at 1030AM PST. I think 15% increase can happen.
  24. keysersoze123
    Sonic finished at 275K at MTC1 and 250K at MTC2. That should be good for 18m true friday. Very good walk ups overall. Photograph did 113K at MTC1 and 72K at MTC2. That should be good for 7.5m True Friday Fantasy Island did just under 80K at MTC1 and 66K at MTC2. Overperformed at MTC2 but looking at 5.25m True Friday. Sonic D2 PS was at 160K few hours earlier(85K MTC1 and 75K MTC2). I think by morning it should be at 90% of day 1 but with better walk ups it should increase tomorrow. Let us see how the day goes.
  25. keysersoze123
    20m true friday looks tough to me. needs insane evenings. I would say 16-17m. But its hard to for me to be very accurate. I would know for better in the evening.
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