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keysersoze123

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Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. Update MTC1 - overall 4150 shows 87380/833923 1330621.05 post 6PM 2204 shows 55894/438376 900163.28 MTC2 - overall 3974 shows 58791/651393 635332.52 post 6PM 1725 shows 30542/278299 385902.88 I would say MTC1 would finish around 140-150K while MTC2 is looking at 85-90K. Comparisons. Bad Boys OD Finish MTC1 End - overall 2947 shows 258762/575718 3556367.70 post 6PM 1718 shows 198194/334720 2818159.49 MTC2 End - overall 2732 shows 189437/428177 2016271.00 post 6PM 1260 shows 125336/192744 1487326.00 So Deadline should be on the mark with early projections.
  2. That is not true. What I hear from south east asian markets like Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore etc have definite impacts. Box office would be subdued until it becomes a non issue. Not sure when that would happen.
  3. Sonic the hedgedog(T-6) MTC1 - overall 879 shows 9788/146750 151718.61 122952.67 MTC2 - overall 1030 shows 6327/162641 78505.58 55860.29 I think the numbers are very good considering the genre. I am feeling this is gonna break out like 4 day around 50m.
  4. Morning PS numbers for Birds of Prey OD. MTC1 - overall 4173 shows 61980/843826 979589.69 MTC2 - overall 3967 shows 33094/650664 382820.18 Numbers look grim to me. its doing well in NYC/LA but otherwise there is no interest. I wonder how bad this could get. Worst case high 20's OW. Most probably in low 30's and best case mid to high 30's. HUGE DISAPPOINTMENT. I will track till day 2 and then stop. Hopefully Sonic breaks out next weekend(40m+ over 4 days).
  5. Birds of Prey Previews Final MTC1 - overall 1796 shows 77886/352462 1217652.40 MTC2 - overall 1940 shows 49496/305116 611317.96 Ticket sales did not move much after 730PM. I would say ~ 4.4m previews. Average ticket price would be higher as MTC1 gross is dominated by NYC/LA numbers. Empire 25 closed at 1895/7802 38785.55(Joker sold slightly over 4000 tickets). but that is a disappointment as after OD it was close to 80% of Joker. I will update OD little bit later(or tomorrow morning) but its close to 80K tickets between 2 MTC(50K MTC1 + 30K MTC2). I am thinking high 30's OW which is a huge disappointment. Let us see if walkups and WOM takes it higher.
  6. I will post final numbers in couple of hours but walkups have been good. It has crossed 75K+ at MTC1 and 45K+ at MTC2. Probably looking at 75% of Bad Boys previews (around 4.75m). More important it has good showcount for tomorrow and I will update OD PS soon but that is doing good as well. Let us see how the Previews to OW gross goes with very soft previews.
  7. I think next Quinn movie needs Joker or Batman for a small role. Or even Green Arrow.
  8. Birds of Prey OD MTC1 - overall 3997 shows 32785/817317 549283.37 post 6PM 2110 shows 24749/428477 425409.57 +9073 MTC2 - overall 3856 shows 17528/636917 207667.53 post 6PM 1672 shows 11900/272097 153745.77 +4190 Its at 4K shows at both MTC and that could still go up a bit. SO it has the show count to have a good OW. Its all down to walk ups.
  9. Birds of Prey (T-1) MTC1 - overall 1737 shows 41791/346533 696200.23 +9332 MTC2 - overall 1925 shows 17800/304753 228047.27 +5282 if it doubles these numbers tomorrow(not an easy target but possible with walkups) it will hit 5m. I would say ~ 4.5m just to play it safe but it could go lower as well if walkups are bad. I will say overall its first time I am seeing previews so skewed towards NYC/LA for movies other than very small openers(Only other movie that skewed so much was Gemini Man). Overall WB dropped the ball or as few others mentioned its a movie that is a hard sell as there is little interest. At least strong reviews could potentially help with better than norm legs for the genre. I will update day 1 numbers as well soon.
  10. WB is beyond stupid releasing this in south east asia this week. it does not make sense at all.
  11. This movie could have benefited from more spread out release as well. Going for day and date globally is terrible considering this lacked huge marketing push. But let us hope for good legs. We only got limited OS data so far. if i have to guess at this point its looking at sub shazam OS which wont be good. But let us wait and see how UK/Aus/Latin America goes.
  12. if you put a gun on my head I would say lower probably around 5m previews. but with late embargo and muted buzz real action will start tomorrow. It needs a huge couple of days for sure. I will be surprised if that does not happen.
  13. Birds of Prey OD MTC1 OD -3368 shows 23712/721671 402822.19 post 6PM 1753 shows 18014/375526 314034.64 +5892 MTC2 OD - 3914 shows 13388/639023 159698.32 post 6PM 1686 shows 8858/272832 115489.70 +3563 Better day for OD PS than Presales and ratio between MTC1/2 is almost normal. As I said in my previews update, this could be a late bloomer.
  14. Birds of Prey(T-2) MTC1 - overall 1618 shows 32459/332628 550232.04 +4835 MTC2 - overall 1869 shows 12518/297325 161516.58 +2291 WB really messed up by delaying reviews so late that they have left too much to do for final 2 days. May be they are hoping this to play more WOM driven than buzz driven. let us see how things go. I will update OD numbers once soon but its doing good and show count has gone up big time as well. I am expecting preview showcount to bump up tomorrow as well as they firm up thursday showtimes.
  15. Birds of Prey OD MTC1 - overall 2926 shows 17820/647118 307468.40 MTC2 - overall 2904 shows 9825/507473 118700.00 This is as of late night yesterday. So MTC1 about 60% of previews(and going up as well) while MTC2 OD is on par with preview sales. So its definitely not frontloaded. I expect previews to OW multi better than Joker.
  16. Let me get back tomorrow on OD numbers. Last I check on saturday, OD PS at MTC1 was slightly over half of previews while MTC2 was on part with previews. But MTC2 has underperformed big time for previews. Ratio between MTC1/2 should have been like 3/2. Instead its like slightly over 1/3rd of MTC1. But its PS started late and so I expect most of the action to happen on wed/thu. But it looks like WB dropped the ball on marketing this late in the game. I as said above should have gone with SB spot as its just 4 days before previews. At least reviews should have released today. Keeping things till late for a movie without insane buzz is not good. If WOM is not top notch like Joker had, it could have mediocre run.
  17. Birds of Prey (T-3) MTC1 - overall 1466 shows 27625/310617 473736.46 +5854 MTC2 - overall 1515 shows 10227/254709 132523.97 +2374 It needs to triple the numbers for 5m previews. Should do that barring toxic reviews. I think 4x this number is possible if it gets big boost post reviews. WB normally does not do SB spot but this movie releasing week after SB should have had a spot.
  18. I found 4 shows for fantasy island previews at AMC and is sold WHOOPING 13 tickets(just under $175) and so beware all other movies. Blockbuster incoming for shoo. /s
  19. Sonic the Hedgedog(T-11) Sonic MTC1 Prev - overall 799 shows 5501/135581 86472.71 70316.30 Sonic MTC2 Prev - overall 1024 shows 3829/161668 47663.50 33845.37 Numbers are good considering we have over 11 days of PS left.
  20. Birds of Prey (T-4) MTC1 - overall 1423 shows 21771/303536 377776.26 +3213 MTC2 - overall 1291 shows 7853/226189 102404.62 +1366 I did not update yesterday night, so this is for day and half. No change in prediction. I think real action should happen in last 48 hours.
  21. Corpse did say that saturday boost(1st of month) was not as much as what he expected. So drops this weekend would be worse that what he predicted.
  22. 65% drop for Bad Boys would be awesome. That would mean 18.7m weekend. I think 200m is in play as February is not that strong.
  23. That saturday increase for Bad Boys is crazy. I guess bcos of SB people are coming in droves to see it today. Tomorrow it will drop 70-75%.
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