MrPink

I think it was pretty funny to see the poster saying Climate Change is a made up world problem

I think the double feature might be a thing (...I may or may not be one of these people) but it'll be a mostly negligible thing. Free marketing and counter-programming is nice though.

Dead Reckoning pre-sales aren't like fantastic but that's just how it goes for Mission Impossible every time and the early access shows + Tuesday opening are making it worse. But taking a broader look at things, Tom Cruise hasn't been this popular in a long long while and the franchise is at its peak in terms of reception and it doesn't seem like Dead Reckoning is going to slip on that. So, I think matching Fallout is still a very realistic and I would edge towards likely goal. Saying it has no chance at 200m seems silly to me when this franchise has been hovering around this mark for the last 12 years consistently. The main downfalls are lack of premium screens and tougher competition, but with how weak June has been, I think that gives MI prime positioning to do well.

This seems....really really good.

Don't think Dune had any special IMAX 70mm prints like this one, it just skewed heavily towards IMAX in general. Which granted, Oppenheimer will also skew similarly in a way, but some locations are gonna do extra extra well because of the rare print and it being the recommended way of viewing.

This is how I keep myself sane from disappointment. Like my Astros

Main concern here is that the Metreon and AMC Universal both have it in 70mm IMAX, one of 30 locations in total, so they're way overindexing and having the lion's share of sales from your sample On the flip side, Grand Rapids looks low, but that's also because another theater in Grand Rapids has it in 70mm IMAX

In the context of the interview, the statement is a little more benign than the tweet suggests and the discussion is centered more towards the ending specifically, but we'll see in a month.

https://www.wired.com/story/christopher-nolan-oppenheimer-ai-apocalypse/ A very interesting interview that goes into AI and the parallels with Oppenheimer plus some interesting details on the film towards the end (which you may consider spoilerly, regarding tone and ending). It's more outwardly political of a discussion than I think I've seen directly from Nolan.

Think the guy is a fake. His Avatar review mentioned something that didn't happen, but also his scores from movies this year are all over the place.

All this next DiCaprio, gimme the next Brad Pitt

Take that damn logic outta here and roll with the 50m+ vibes

I don't see anything? How can you tell.

I think Universal has done a really good job of handling Oppenheimer so far. It hasn't lacked in marketing and promotion. I do suspect at some point down the line he'll at least do a movie with WB but I think he'll continue working with Universal until it's no longer convenient. We see that in terms of how he's operated with his crew, he's comfortable working with Jennifer Lame and Ludwig Goransson despite working with Lee Smith/Zimmer previously.

Have had a bad feeling about her tbh.

I think what people underestimate is Nolan's name doesn't just draw audiences, it affords movies (and in this case, a drama) things that they could not get otherwise. IMAX screens, a 100m marketing budget, trailers a whole year in advance, and numerous Twitter posts about the making of the film that tend to spread. In this case, it's also been partially helped out by the vicinity of Barbie. But this is why I've been feeling pretty good about it opening to 40m+. The premium screens and eyeballs it can draw through marketing can compensate for the the 3hr drama aspect. And even then, I don't think that people are necessarily against dramas. Plenty of people still like them. But what they want, is a reason to specifically see it in theaters as opposed to home. And they often face awareness issues, where people don't even realize the drama in question even exist. Nolan has wisely trained a lot of audiences to go see his movies in theaters, specifically IMAX, and basically draws way more awareness for a drama than pretty much any other film could dream of, erasing a lot of these problems. Don't want to get too ahead of myself here, but seeing how presales have started so far makes me feel like my initial thought is on the right track. I don't know if this can out-open Dunkirk but it does seem like the fanbase is still motivated so far despite any potential hiccups from Tenet.

Are they PLF showings or just regular showtimes?

Need Barbie and Oppy to do this later in July

Like I don't know if it'd be 'dominating' but two movies opening to over 50m on the same weekend would be a rather healthy performance for both. That's still a pretty infrequent occurrence. And probably have room to have good legs to challenge 200m if those OWs could happen.

A 50m opening for Oppy would make me pretty ecstatic tbh. What the hell are you expecting there lol.

On top of that, I noticed over 400k likes for the main Youtube trailer. This is good, right? Think it'll open to at least 40m though I'm not sold on 50m yet. That could take it to 150m with good reviews/WOM.

MI2 is good Gang

Definitely no bias here.

Like dawg, the movie filmed 2 years ago before they even had a hint of what Barbie would look like.