lilmac

@filmlover I did a boxoffice reaction video on TGS. 🙂

It will take months to disseminate a vaccine, assuming one comes by this winter. Even April/May 2021 is not looking good from a boxoffice perspective. Theaters will still see limited capacity IMO. Best for BW to push out even further or use the Mulan+ model if it works.

Other movies will follow suit as Tenet approaches and it looks like 2000+ theaters will be open by the Tenet release date. Expect a busy August at the theaters. This will be Nolan’s boldest move yet. There will either have a captive audience or the film will flail at the boxoffice. I think he’s going to nail this. Most states are planning phased reopenings for May. By July theaters will be part of the Phase 2-3s. I’m excited to see Tenet in theaters. Go Nolan!

Are we sure releasing another Purge movie is a good move right now? 😋

I’m certain we will see a number of smaller theaters reopen sooner than later. There are varying degrees of self-quarantining depending on where you are in the country. There’s a push I feel, in many parts, to get back to normal while taking precautions. I say this without passing any judgment. You are right, the major chains due to the lack of a major product will stay shuttered but by the end of May I predict we’ll see a number of smaller theaters operating. It might be only classics they’re playing.

Good point but that would apply to the big chains. We have individual theaters who are playing movies like Back to the Future.

83 million Americans live in states where movie theaters could theoretically reopen (likely with reduced seating). Could this mark a partial return of the US boxoffice?

Highlights from Netflix’s first quarter earnings call: 2020 projects (over 200 in number), spanning series and films, have already been shot and are in post-production All animated projects are in remote production and post production The pause in global physical production (except for Iceland and South Korea where filming is ongoing) won’t be felt until 2021 Netflix will make up for dips in content with acquired properties. The next season of The Crown already wrapped and is still scheduled for release this fall. Stranger Things will see delays (I wonder if the actors will have visibly aged when they return to the set) They are experimenting with staggered episode releases to stretch content out. Its reality dating show "Love is Blind" was viewed by 30 million member households, its docu-series "Tiger King" was viewed by 64 million member households and original film "Spenser Confidential" was viewed by 85 million member households. Netflix changed its viewing metric in January. A customer only has to watch a show for two minutes for Netflix to count it as a view

Lol yea

Ironic that this is within six months of MoviePass going bankrupt.

Whoa https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/amc-theatres-bankruptcy-appears-analyst-says-1289514

Fair point.

Yea if the lockdowns extend into early fall (which I doubt will happen), you can't just keep pushing these films into 2021.

I bet the actors have noticeably aged since this was filmed.

Which studio will ultimately win the 2020 boxoffice? Will Disney keep its streak going? Speculate!

Do we have enough new seasons/shows which have wrapped production to hold us over the next couple of months?

This will be like the 1971 boxoffice!

People have short memories and I think all will be back to the way it was...eventually. It's natural for people to want to go out and feature films have always been a good pastime. A 6-12 month shock to the way we've always done things won't change decades of behavior overnight (even if it was already trending in that direction). Many of us are still wired to love going out to the movies. We'll see lingering effects for awhile ($100m being the new $200m) but eventually the movie economy will rightsize. This of course depends on the timing of the vaccine and whether in the near term getting over the curve is not merely a preview to the next curve absent a cure. China and SK will be interesting to watch. Factories are reopening but are restaurants, movie theaters, and malls?

Even in these most challenging of times...WE DERBY!

Never thought I’d see something like this. End of the boxoffice (for now).

@baumer It’s been me and you, on these forums for 18 years....long enough to have seen the end of the boxoffice as we know it (for now at least).

After putting all their eggs in the 2019 basket, all expected a down year for Disney in 2020. It's no surprise that, despite it being still early, it's ringing true so far this year. Other studios came out the gate stronger than usual but still, there's a widely held sentiment that Disney will eventually be the #1 studio in 2020 in terms of boxoffice revenue. Are we sure Disney will win the year with Eternals, Soul, Artemis Fowl, Mulan, and Black Widow (and the untitled November animated release)? Can't speak for international but domestically, it's not guaranteed they'll beat Sony / Warner Brothers with that lineup. Also, even if the COVID-19 outbreak plateaus in the next few weeks, their theme parks will feel the aftershocks for months, and see depressed attendance. Not to mention the cruise line. Right now Disney+ is still more of a cost center due to the upfront costs. And besides Baby Yoda, there isn't much beyond their legacy product. ESPN is still dragging earnings. Right now their businesses are very much exposed to anything that limits going outside and they're not the unassailable behemoth that I grew accustomed to thinking of them as. They also have new leadership after very successful runs by Iger and Eisner so there's uncertainty there. Where do you see Disney going over the next 5 years?

yay!! Super early this time. @ChipDerby - Are you on WOKJ as well?

Black Widow Soul or Onward

LOL....this made me laugh out loud. Hilarious if it's an intentional gag.