mahnamahna

None of those were sold on that premise, specifically. Toy Story isn't pets Lady and the Tramp is a romantic dramedy that includes pets, but Disney's marketing never sold it as "what do your pets do when you're not around?" 101 Dalmatians has more of a case, but the tone is far more serious than SLoP and the movie isn't sold specifically on what the dalmatians do when Roger and Anita aren't around. The difference is that SLOP is being sold as a happy-go-lucky comedy. I don't see it having any real serious moments.

No, but "what do your pets do when you're not at home?" is (relatively speaking). They did mention it was Toy Story-esque in terms of plot, so it's not as if they're claiming it's completely original

Too bad Angry Birds couldn't hold better with how bad Alice 2 is doing this weekend. $30-35 million would have been solid.

That Monday drop for Angry Birds is ridiculously huge. Generally, $28 million for the 3-day on MD weekend means $33-35 million for the 4-day.

Not too bad of a predict. I'd bump Tarzan and Warcraft for Pete's Dragon and The Founder. Less competition in August, and I've got a feeling both will get decent WOM, going into Labor Day weekend. I also think Central Intelligence will be the breakout hit/comedy of Summer 2016 ($175 million+ DOM). Didn't play Summer Game, but my top 15 would go like this (based on Memorial Day Weekend): Finding Dory: $445 million Captain America - Civil War: $420 million Suicide Squad: $315 million The Secret Lives of Pets: $275 million Central Intelligence: $225 million Independence Day - Resurgence: $215 million Star Trek Beyond: $190 million X-Men - Apocalypse: $185 million Jason Bourne: $165 million The Angry Birds Movie: $135 million Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - Out of the Shadows: $125 million Pete's Dragon: $115 million Ghostbusters: $110 million The BFG: $105 million The Conjuring 2: $100 million

With how bad Alice 2 is looking to do over the 4-day, Angry Birds should hold much better than expected. I think Civil War and Jungle Book will be helped out slightly as well. Alice might barely skid past $80 million DOM. BFG and Pete's Dragon just might finish ahead of it X-Men - Apocalypse: $75 million/$91 million Alice Through the Looking Glass: $31 million/$38 million Angry Birds: $25.5 million/$32 million ($79 million) Captain America - Civil War: $20.5 million/$25 million ($382 million) Neighbors 2: $12.5 million/$15.5 million ($44 million) The Nice Guys: $7.5 million/$9 million ($24 million) The Jungle Book: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($341 million) Money Monster: $4.25 million/$5 million ($35 million)

I could see Angry Birds finishing within $5 million of Alice 2 over the 4 day it's not that crazy for a $30-35 million 4 day to happen Civil War, Neighbors 2, Nice Guys, JB, Money Monster and Zootopia all should hold well, too since Alice 2 is bombing hard and X-Men might only do 75-80 for the 4 day

Possibly Central Intelligence, too. If it ends up with a hefty OW and great WOM.

Well 3 months in wide release for a non-Oscar frontrunner is pretty excellent!

Yeah, $300 million+ for the 4-day won't happen. Neighbors 2, Nice Guys, Angry Birds and Civil War would all have needed to do better this last weekend for that to happen. Plus, Alice 2 would need to break out slightly and X-Men would have to equal DOFP. I could see this for the 4-day, though: X-Men: $95 million Alice 2: $65 million Angry Birds: $30 million Civil War: $23.5 million Neighbors 2: $12.5 million The Nice Guys: $9.5 million The Jungle Book: $8.5 million Money Monster: $5 million Zootopia: $1.5 million The Darkness: $1 million Still way below $300 million+

Angry Birds seems a bit weak for the 4-day... should do $27-30 million over the 4-day.. $23m fits for the 3-day, though.

Well considering Rogue One should do $400-500 million less than Episode VII, I'd expect all three of those (plus Office Christmas Party and Silence) to do moderately well. December 2016 is definitely well-balanced (my bullish predicts below) Rogue One: $470 million Passengers: $260 million Sing: $185 million Silence: $130 million Office Christmas Party: $115 million Assassin's Creed: $90 million Patriots Day: $80 million La La Land: $75 million Collateral Beauty: $40 million The Bye-Bye Man: $30 million Why Him?: $25 million Kidnap: $20 million

Star Wars Episode VIII: $720 million Beauty and the Beast: $475 million Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $440 million Spider-Man - Homecoming: $345 million Justice League Pt. 1: $315 million Fast 8: $310 million Despicable Me 3: $305 million LEGO Batman: $285 million Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole Christmas: $265 million Thor - Ragnorak: $255 million War of the Planet of the Apes: $230 million Wonder Woman: $225 million Transformers 5: $210 million Coco: $205 million MIB23: $200 million Dunkirk: $190 million Pirates 5: $175 million Alien - Covenant: $165 million Cars 3: $150 million Wolverine 3: $145 million Kong - Skull Island: $140 million The Mummy: $135 million The Croods 2: $135 million Ninjago: $130 million Barbie: $125 million World War Z 2: $120 million Pitch Perfect 3: $120 million Kingsman 2: $115 million Baywatch: $115 million Mother/Daughter: $110 million The House: $105 million Murder on the Orient Express: $105 million Jumanji: $100 million The Dark Tower: $100 million

5/27-5/30 1. X-Men - Apocalypse: $83 million/$99 million 2. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $58 million/$69 million 3. The Angry Birds Movie: $26.5 million/$33.5 million ($79 million) 4. Captain America - Civil War: $20.5 million/$26 million ($384 million) 5. Neighbors 2: $10.5 million/$13 million ($40 million) 6. The Jungle Book: $7 million/$8.5 million ($339 million) 7. The Nice Guys: $6 million/$7 million ($21 million) 8. Money Monster: $5 million/$5.75 million ($35 million) 9. Zootopia: $1.5 million/$2 million ($337 million) 10. The Darkness: $1.25 million/$1.5 million ($10 million) 6/3-6/5 1. TMNT 2: $41.5 million 2. X-Men - Apocalypse: $30.5 million ($145 million) 3. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $24 million ($103 million) 4. Me Before You: $18 million 5. The Angry Birds Movie: $14 million ($97 million) 6. Captain America - Civil War: $9 million ($396 million) 7. Popstar: $7.5 million 8. Neighbors 2: $4.5 million ($47 million) 9. The Jungle Book: $4 million ($344 million) 10. The Nice Guys: $3.5 million ($26 million) 6/10-6/12 1. The Conjuring 2: $48 million 2. Warcraft: $33 million 3. TMNT 2: $19 million ($75 million) 4. Now You See Me 2: $15.5 million 5. X-Men - Apocalypse: $13 million ($167 million) 6. Me Before You: $10.5 million ($35 million) 7. The Angry Birds Movie: $9 million ($110 million) 8. Captain America - Civil War: $5 million ($405 million) 9. Popstar: $3 million ($12 million) 10. Neighbors 2: $2.5 million ($51 million) 6/17-6/19 1. Finding Dory: $130.5 million 2. Central Intelligence: $57.5 million 3. The Conjuring 2: $17 million ($78 million) 4. Warcraft: $12 million ($54 million) 5. TMNT 2: $8 million ($89 million) 6. Now You See Me 2: $7 million ($28 million) 7. Me Before You: $6 million ($46 million) 8. X-Men - Apocalypse: $5 million ($175 million) 9. Captain America - Civil War: $3.5 million ($411 million) 10. The Angry Birds Movie: $2.5 million ($115 million) 6/24-6/26 1. Finding Dory: $81 million ($284 million) 2. Independence Day 2: $63.5 million 3. Central Intelligence: $35.5 million ($124 million) 4. The Conjuring 2: $9 million ($95 million) 5. Free State of Jones: $7 million 6. Warcraft: $5 million ($64 million) 7. Me Before You: $4 million ($54 million) 8. TMNT 2: $3.5 million ($96 million) 9. Now You See Me 2: $3 million ($34 million) 10. X-Men - Apocalypse: $2 million ($179 million) 7/1-7/4 1. Finding Dory: $44.5 million/$57 million ($383 million) 2. The BFG: $36.5 million/$45 million 3. Independence Day 2: $32 million/$46 million ($140 million) 4. Central Intelligence: $21 million/$26 million ($171 million) 5. The Purge - Election Year: $14 million/$17 million 6. The Shallows: $12 million/$14 million ($25 million) 7. The Legend of Tarzan: $10 million/$12 million 8. Free State of Jones: $4.5 million/$5.5 million ($17 million) 9. The Conjuring 2: $3 million/$3.5 million ($101 million) 10. Me Before You: $2.5 million/$3 million ($59 million) 7/8-7/10 1. The Secret Lives of Pets: $67 million 2. Finding Dory: $20.5 million ($417 million) 3. The BFG: $16.5 million ($69 million) 4. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $14 million 5. Independence Day 2: $13 million ($157 million) 6. Central Intelligence: $11 million ($188 million) 7. The Shallows: $7 million ($35 million) 8. The Purge - Election Year: $6 million ($26 million) 9. The Legend of Tarzan: $4 million ($18 million) 10. Free State of Jones: $3 million ($21 million) 7/15-7/17 1. The Secret Lives of Pets: $43.5 million ($154 million) 2. Ghostbusters: $35.5 million 3. Finding Dory: $13.5 million ($443 million) 4. The BFG: $10 million ($88 million) 5. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $7.5 million ($28 million) 6. Independence Day 2: $7 million ($171 million) 7. Central Intelligence: $6 million ($200 million) 8. The Shallows: $4 million ($43 million) 9. The Infiltrator: $3.5 million 10. The Purge - Election Year: $3 million ($32 million) 7/22-7/24 1. Star Trek Beyond: $76.5 million 2. Ice Age 5: $27.5 million 3. The Secret Lives of Pets: $24 million ($201 million) 4. Ghostbusters: $16 million ($67 million) 5. Lights Out: $10 million 6. Finding Dory: $7 million ($457 million) 7. The BFG: $6 million ($99 million) 8. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates: $4 million ($36 million) 9. Independence Day 2: $3 million ($177 million) 10. Central Intelligence: $3 million ($206 million)

Since it's more of a live-action tentpole than an animated kids movie (good WOM helps, too), I'm not too shocked. Most expected $10-11 million for the weekend. It'll hold well next weekend as well, because of double features w/ Alice 2 and Memorial Day. $350-360 million DOM is looking good. For the other films: Angry Birds is on its way to $120-150 million DOM Neighbors 2 might miss $50 million DOM (with a $17-18 million OW) Nice Guys should hopefully leg its way to $35-40 million DOM Civil War is finishing where everyone expected it to until a couple months ago

Things are looking good for Angry Birds, bad for Neighbors 2, and meh for The Nice Guys Angry Birds: $43-48 million OW Neighbors 2: $23-26 million OW The Nice Guys: $11-13 million OW Angry Birds should do $120-160 million DOM. Neighbors 2 should do $60-65 million DOM. The Nice Guys should do $35-55 million DOM. Hopefully, Alice 2 and X-Men both finish above $150 million+ DOM, and X-Men does $200 million+ DOM.

This seems like it doesn't have a demo. Too kid-friendly to draw in a lot of teens/adults, but too scary to draw in a lot of kids. Kids will have Storks, Miss Peregine and somewhat Middle School. Teens have Ouija 2 specifically for them and they cross over with a couple other films this fall. Adults will have Magnificent Seven, Deepwater Horizon, Girl on the Train, Birth of a Nation, Underworld 5, Jack Reacher 2 and Inferno (plus Sully and some more September entries). Hope this can find an audience.

Fast 8 will make more DOM than Wolverine 3, so that should be #3. I don't see Wolverine going from $135 million DOM to $250 million+ DOM just because it's R-rated and Hugh Jackman's last appearance as Wolverine. $160-180 million would be a reasonable range for it.

X-Men, Dory, ID42, Pets, Bourne 4 and Suicide Squad could all do $200 million+ DOM. With Alice 2, possibly Central Intelligence and Star Trek 3 doing $150 million+ DOM. And there's contenders for $100 million+ DOM. I think Summer 2016 will be fine and might surpass 2015 due to just how weak late July and all of August were last summer. (4-5 films might end up finishing past $67 million for August 2016, while only 1 did so last August) Doctor Strange: $210 million Fantastic Beasts: $245 million Moana: $310 million $610 million vs. $765 million. This November looks stronger for sure! Plus, Billy Lynn, Trolls, Bad Santa 2, Allied and the other wide releases should be enough to equal November 2015's other releases. And if anything December 2016 will just be more spread out Rogue One: $415 million Passengers + Sing + AC: $450 million Remaining releases (including Patriots Day and Silence): $400 million With a potential 3-5 to go. Dory and Rogue One seem very likely. Suicide Squad, Pets and Moana all have reasonable chances. ID42 and Fantastic Beasts have an outside shot. 7 $300 million+ DOM grossers is somehow a conservative expectation now

Disney wins no matter what... very well could touch $3.5 billion DOM this year if everything performs to expectations and some of their remaining films exceed expectations.

I'm just saying the Oscar voters' primary demographic is more inclined to support a well-done live-action musical over a well-done animated musical. 2007 is a great example. "Falling Slowly" beat the songs from Enchanted. Any other year, Enchanted would have won Best Original Song, but Once came out in 2007, also, and happened to receive critical acclaim.

Zootopia might stay in the top 10 for 13 weeks... that's just incredible. If Disney waited to release it on DVD/BR until late July/early August, its dollar theater run could have legged it to $340-345 million DOM.

I don't know why anyone is shocked. This isn't a bunch of critics for Criterion or AFI or some "prestigious" organization. It's average people saying what their favorite movies are. People tend to include recent films and blockbusters in their top 100... not that shocking tbh. You'll always have your own personal taste outside of this list. ...it's just a silly list. Your personal favorites of the 100 greatest films will always be in your personal list Plus, only TDK and a couple Pixar films have a decent chance at making the top 25. I don't see Avengers, Interstellar or any of the HG films making it if we don't see them after #70. I definitely don't see them making the top 50. It's not like any of the films so far are truly awful. Other than Civil War and Do the Right Thing, I can at least understand why they're included. Most of the entries are at least solid enough to where I don't mind seeing something that assuredly won't be included in 2017 (Civil War).

5/20-5/22 1. The Angry Birds Movie: $42 million 2. Captain America - Civil War: $39.5 million ($354 million) 3. Neighbors 2: $23.5 million 4. The Nice Guys: $22.5 million 5. The Jungle Book: $10 million ($325 million) 6. Money Monster: $9.5 million ($29 million) 7. The Darkness: $2.5 million ($9 million) 8. Mother's Day: $2 million ($31 million) 9. Zootopia: $1.5 million ($333 million) 10. The Huntsman - Winter's War: $1.5 million ($46 million) 5/27-5/30 1. X-Men - Apocalypse: $88.5 million/$106 million 2. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $69 million/$84 million 3. The Angry Birds Movie: $27 million/$33.5 million ($84 million) 4. Captain America - Civil War: $24 million/$28.5 million ($395 million) 5. The Nice Guys: $16 million/$19 million ($49 million) 6. Neighbors 2: $12.5 million/$15 million ($51 million) 7. Money Monster: $7 million/$8.5 million ($40 million) 8. The Jungle Book: $5.5 million/$7 million ($333 million) 9. The Darkness: $1.5 million/$2 million ($11 million) 10. Zootopia: $1 million/$1.5 million ($335 million) 6/3-6/5 1. TMNT 2: $51 million 2. X-Men - Apocalypse: $34 million ($159 million) 3. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $27 million ($126 million) 4. The Angry Birds Movie: $16 million ($105 million) 5. Me Before You: $14.5 million 6. Captain America - Civil War: $11.5 million ($411 million) 7. The Nice Guys: $9 million ($59 million) 8. Popstar: $6 million 9. Neighbors 2: $5 million ($59 million) 10. Money Monster: $4 million ($45 million) 6/10-6/12 1. The Conjuring 2: $44 million 2. Warcraft: $28 million 3. TMNT 2: $22 million ($89 million) 4. Now You See Me 2: $18.5 million 5. X-Men - Apocalypse: $15 million ($185 million) 6. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $13 million ($147 million) 7. The Angry Birds Movie: $10 million ($120 million) 8. Me Before You: $9 million ($30 million) 9. The Nice Guys: $6.5 million ($71 million) 10. Captain America - Civil War: $5.5 million ($421 million) 6/17-6/19 1. Finding Dory: $124.5 million 2. Central Intelligence: $45.5 million 3. The Conjuring 2: $16 million ($75 million) 4. Warcraft: $10.5 million ($48 million) 5. TMNT 2: $10 million ($108 million) 6. Now You See Me 2: $9 million ($35 million) 7. X-Men - Apocalypse: $7 million ($198 million) 8. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $6.5 million ($158 million) 9. Me Before You: $6 million ($40 million) 10. The Nice Guys: $4.5 million ($79 million) 6/24-6/26 1. Finding Dory: $80 million ($276 million) 2. Independence Day - Resurgence: $64.5 million 3. Central Intelligence: $30 million ($102 million) 4. The Conjuring 2: $9 million ($92 million) 5. Now You See Me 2: $5.5 million ($45 million) 6. Free State of Jones: $5 million 7. TMNT 2: $5 million ($117 million) 8. Warcraft: $4 million ($56 million) 9. Me Before You: $4 million ($47 million) 10. Alice Through the Looking Glass: $3.5 million ($165 million) 7/1-7/4 1. Finding Dory: $43 million/$54 million 2. The BFG: $32 million/$39 million 3. Independence Day - Resurgence: $29 million/$38 million 4. Central Intelligence: $19.5 million/$24 million ($143 million) 5. The Purge - Election Year: $17 million/$20 million 6. The Shallows: $12 million/$15 million ($25 million) 7. The Legend of Tarzan: $10 million/$12 million 8. The Conjuring 2: $4 million/$4.5 million ($100 million) 9. Now You See Me 2: $3.5 million/$4 million ($52 million) 10. Me Before You: $3 million/$3.3 million ($53 million)

No, there is no real lock this year. Dory, Civil War, Rogue One, and a few wildcards all have a chance for the 2016 crown.