mahnamahna

Well now Everest is gonna do something ridiculous like $500-600m WW Yeah Compton is probably their last big hit of the year

With a $7.5 million Monday and at least $7.5-8 million on Tuesday (probably closer to $8.5-9.5 million), I don't see how Compton does any less than $25 million this weekend. It's definitely locked for $20 million+ 2nd weekend now, since it's shown no real signs of major frontloading. Could go as high as $34-35 million for its 2nd weekend, assuming $28-29 million weekdays.

$6.6 million for Compton is great. TMNT had $6.5 million its first Monday, and that was partially inflated by the last summer Monday. But it also opened to $65 million. Compton was $5 million less, so to have a higher Monday, despite an R rating, lower OW, less theaters/showings, no summer boost and the expected frontloading is excellent. How high could Compton go this weekend? $25 million? Possibly $30 million? I guess it all depends on its Tuesday number.

Lincoln did $180 million, when it was only expected to do $70-80 million, and had a stellar performance from Day-Lewis, even if the film was just decent. Catch Me If You Can and Minority Report were both successful and interesting. Also, he didn't release a film in 1999 or 2000, so your 15 year date is off. Plus, A.I. definitely wasn't that much of a financial success. Spielberg has made some solid films in the last 15 yrs, even if they don't really come close to his earlier works. Regardless, I'm expecting The BFG to do Tintin/War Horse numbers due to the sheer amount of family-friendly competition for summer 2016 (Ratchet and Clank, Cap 3, Alice 2, Dory, Angry Birds, Pets, Ice Age 5, Pete's Dragon, Kubo).

it just had a 10% drop on Sunday. It won't have super-legs, but with a $60 million OW, missing $120 million and a 2x would mean mediocre WOM considering how empty the rest of this month is. Yes, it's frontloaded, but it's also the only thing worth seeing until September 18th. Notorious came out in an unusually strong Jan-Feb period, and didn't exactly have great reviews/WOM, so I wouldn't compare it to Compton. Even 8 Mile did more than a 2x. Compton should at least do $130 million from a $60 million OW. 3x is not happening. 2.5x is most likely not happening. But a 2x is most likely happening. $65-70 million more isn't that crazy, considering the lack of competition the next 4 weeks. Less than $20 million is certainly possible - but $18-19 million is about as low as I can see it going, unless something breaks out. I think it'll end up at least at $120-125 million DOM, even with a 65-70% 2nd weekend drop.

More like whoever has completed: IMDB top 250 Empire 500 Guardian 1000 1001 to See Before You Die (including the ones that have been removed) Rosenbaum's 1000 AFI Top 100 (1998 and 2007)

It will win even with that. MI5 would need at least a 5-7% increase to have a shot at beating Compton next weekend, since $18 million is the lowest I see it going.

8/21-8/23 Straight Outta Compton: $26 million ($103 million) Sinister 2: $15 million Mission Impossible 5: $12 million ($156 million) American Ultra: $9.5 million Hitman - Agent 47: $7 million The Man From UNCLE: $6.5 million ($23 million) Ant-Man: $4 million ($163 million) Minions: $3.5 million ($317 million) Vacation: $3.5 million ($51 million) Ricki and the Flash: $3 million ($19 million) 8/28-8/30 Straight Outta Compton: $17.5 million ($130 million) We Are Your Friends: $16 million War Room: $10.5 million Mission Impossible 5: $9.5 million ($170 million) Sinister 2: $6 million ($24 million) American Ultra: $5 million ($17 million) No Escape: $4 million ($6 million) The Man From UNCLE: $3.5 million ($28 million) Hitman - Agent 47: $3 million ($11 million) Ant-Man: $3 million ($167 million) 9/4-9/7 Straight Outta Compton: $12 million/$14.5 million ($151 million) We Are Your Friends: $11 million/$13 million ($34 million) War Room: $10 million/$12 million ($27 million) Mission Impossible 5: $8.5 million/$10 million ($184 million) The Transporter Refueled: $5 million/$6 million A Walk in the Woods: $4 million/$4.75 million ($7 million) Sinister 2: $3.5 million/$4.25 million ($30 million) American Ultra: $3 million/$3.5 million ($22 million) No Escape: $2.5 million/$3 million ($10 million) The Man From UNCLE: $2.5 million/$3 million ($32 million)

Why? Sinister 2 is looking at $13-15 million. American Ultra and Hitman should do sub-$10 million. MI5 will be below $15 million. As long as Compton is above $16 million, I'd say it wins the weekend.

$328 to 332 million is my guess for Minions with a 3.5x-4x from a $4.7 million weekend. $108 to 111 million is my guess for Trainwreck with a 3x-3.5x from a $3.8 million weekend.

Exactly. Hitman and American Ultra should do less than $50 million DOM total. We Are Your Friends, Sinister 2 and War Room aren't even its demo. F4 and UNCLE will lose their theaters before MI5 does, since MI5 will be ahead of both of them next weekend. With a $17 million 3rd weekend, a 4x would be $68 million. $207 million DOM. $13 million ($158 mlilion) $10 million ($173 million) $8 million/$9.5 million ($187 million) $4.5 million ($193 million) $2 million ($196 million) $1 million ($197 million) $200-202 million DOM It'll require solid holds, but I think it can just get across $200 million DOM. Especially if it holds even better than I'm thinking.

24.2 19.6 (43.8) 15.2 (59) a $58-59 million OW with a 95% audience RT rating, could mean a potential 3x with how barren the rest of August and early September is. $125 million+ DOM seems certain. MI5 should get $190-210 million as long as it holds decently the next three weeks. I see no reason why it wouldn't drop 25-30% the next two weeks when UNCLE/Compton was the biggest competition combo. And then it'll get a sub-25% drop over Labor Day, so its chance at $200 million are pretty likely if it continues to hold well. Ant-Man should continue to hold well, also. Might end up in the $175-180 million range, which would show audiences enjoyed it quite a bit, since that'd be more than a 3x

Top 20 Finding Dory: $550 million Batman vs. Superman: $435 million Captain America - Civil War: $395 million Rogue One: $330 million Moana: $325 million Suicide Squad: $300 million Independence Day - Resurgence: $275 million X-Men - Apocalypse: $255 million Passengers: $250 million Ghostbusters: $235 million Untitled Bourne Sequel: $220 million Fantasic Beasts and Where to Find Them: $215 million Zootopia: $210 million Star Trek Beyond: $200 million The Jungle Book: $185 million Alice Through the Looking Glass: $170 million The Secret Lives of Pets: $165 million Doctor Strange: $160 million Central Intelligence: $150 million Deadpool: $145 million

What's even crazier is that the rest of 2015 looks solid for them. They've got two mid-level tentpoles, and the rest are lower-budget dramas and comedies (The Visit is by its lonesome) Everest could be another solid hit for them - $70-80 million DOM and potentially 3x that OS (especially if it gets a China release). Steve Jobs ought to get $50-70 million DOM which is solid for a mid-level biopic. Crimson Peak should get at least $70-75 million as the 'big' horror film of Fall 2015. The Visit, By the Sea, Krampus and Jem should all get $25-45 million. Meanwhile, Sisters ought to be able to get $50-60 mlilion if it's decent enough. They could legtimately break the DOM/WW admissions record for a single studio in a single year.

Great for Straight Outta Compton. With a $24.2 million Fri, it should get between $55-60 million OW. MI5 is holding decently, considering Compton stole some of the BO thunder and UNCLE took its IMAX. With how meh UNCLE's OW is, MI5 might get IMAX back for 3 weeks until Maze Runner. UNCLE is meh. F4 is honestly going to have a best case scenario type hold, which shows how bad its legs will be The Gift could have had a shot at getting a 4x, if it weren't for Sinister 2 next weekend. Excellent holds for Ant-Man and Minions. Both should get 20-35% drops until Labor Day with minimal competition. Minions on its way to $325-330 million, Ant-Man on its way to $170-175 million. Vacation is having a best-case run. Should get to $60-65 million DOM with only American Ultra as competition until October. Ricki and Trainwreck both held solid. Ricki should get to $30-35 million, while Trainwreck should end up around $110 million. Shaun is holding as well as it possibly can. Anything over $20 million would be an excellent finish considering how muted its OW was. Overall, a solid mid-August weekend. The next four weekends will be rough, though. Calm before the storm of late September to December.

I'd guess $125-135 million. It'll be frontloaded, but the rest of August is empty enough, where it could hold semi-decently its 3rd and 4th weekends.

$5 million in previews, with how many sellouts there have been this weekend, should translate to at least $50-55 million OW, even if it is a little frontloaded towards Friday. Compton has come to redeem Summer 2015!

Regardless I think they all deserve PGs as well. Maybe there should be a new rating to differentiate between family-appropriate movies with some heavy themes and more violent or risque PG movies like Rango, but I also don't think they should be lumped in with films aimed at small children that are literally devoid of objectional content. But Bambi and Lion King are aimed primarily at kids under the age of 8 I agree that WALL-E and TS3 skew older, but they're still family-friendly. They don't have anything that would be legtimately unsuitable for a preschooler or kindergartener to see - unless they're a sheltered snowflake as many Millenials are And in today's day and age, a kid under the age of 13 can't imitate what Riley does in the third act anyways, so I don't know why you brought it up. Maybe I just actually expect some profanity, sexuality, drug references, and intense violence in a PG film (BTTF, Indiana Jones, Goonies, Gremlins, Roger Rabbit, Big, Home Alone, Star Wars OT, Rango, Into the Woods, Antz, the first Shrek, We Bought a Zoo, etc). I just think it's ridiculous how some kids movies get a PG, when they would've gotten a G 12-13 years ago. To me, if a film is generally acceptable for most people (except infants/toddlers), it should have a G rating. Anyone under the age of 4 shouldn't really be watching movies anyways, so they shouldn't be the barometer for what gets a G or not. A PG should be reserved for films that actually have inappropriate/intense material.

Well, with how little this August has to offer, it could pull off a 2.3x-2.5x in the end, even with a giant OW. Of course, anything $100 million+ DOM is a huge win for Universal - really just gravy

I'd say Boxtrolls and ParaNorman just get to a PG. But if they were rated G, I could understand. Coraline is definitely a PG though Shaun targets 5 year olds primarily, though. It defeats the purpose of being a kids movie if it requires parental guidance. Besides movies like Shaun and Minions, light-hearted and innocent comedies, getting the same rating as dark/mature films like Rango and Coraline is why you've got parents thinking those two films should be PG-13. Any 'risque' humor would fly over the heads of its target audience, and it looks about as innocuous as Chicken Run/Were-Rabbit. It should have a G rating for sure. 'Mild rude humor' doesn't cut it for me. Same for 'mild action' or 'mild thematic elements' - I think all of those are perfectly acceptable in a G-rated film. Bambi, Lion King, WALL-E and even Toy Story 3 are all far heavier than Inside Out. Just being 'heavy' shouldn't warrant a PG. There's nothing particularly inappropriate about IO - content wise it definitely deserves a G. I just find it ridiculous that a supposedly kid-friendly movie 'may have content that is unsuitable for children' still think that studios pay the MPAA for a PG rating for their kids movies these days. I just don't see how the G rating would almost completely disappear unless studios stopped wanting one.

I'd love to see Compton get a $60 million+ OW. August needs at least one major success story even though The Gift and MI5 will end up being quite successful and UNCLE should actually end up doing more than F4 if it opens to $20-25 million.

With the great reviews, I'll adjust my predict $45-50 million OW $125-130 million DOM (due to dying off after Halloween) I think this, The Martian, Bridge of Spies and possibly Crimson Peak could all hit $100 million+ DOM if they're well-marketed and get great reviews. Not to mention Steve Jobs, Pan and The Walk all potentially doing $60 million+ DOM. And Hotel Transylvania 2, Maze Runner 2, and possibly Everest doing $100 million+ DOM, also. Fall 2015 is looking ridiculously solid as far as box office. If Jungle Book and Vacation had stayed on October 9th, I just might start a Sep-Oct 2015 lineup over July-Aug 2015 lineup club keyword - might.

For Thurs, I'd guess: Compton: $2.8 million MI5: $2.6 million F4: $1.25 million UNCLE: $1 million Gift: $950k Minions: $850k Ant-Man: $800k

The Night Before looks solid and it's the first major comedy since July. If it's halfway decent, it could inch across $100 million DOM like This is the End. Not a lock, but Seth Rogen has done fairly well lately. I understand on Sisters. But I think Daddy's Home might be the film to go see if SW7 sells out since it seems like it'll be a PG (possibly PG-13). Joy, Revenant, Snowden and Sisters are R. Concussion and In the Heart of the Sea aren't exactly light-hearted/family-friendly despite the PG-13. Alvin 4 will be G most likely, but most people aren't going to turn towards it when there's a decent enough family comedy. I think either Daddy's Home or Alvin 4 should benefit from SW7's epic sellouts those first two weeks.

Got a G rating It's about time a kids movie got a kid-friendly rating lol