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It's not that incredible, when you consider there's nothing to see right now except Peanuts/Spectre. Two new releases won't remove many of Martian's screens when everything else except BoS and Goosebumps is sub-$5 million. It also has strong WOM and Oscar buzz. All three of those and HT2 to a lesser degree should benefit next weekend from everything underperforming the last two weekends of October. 19% is extremely impressive, but the lack of compelling October releases certainly helped in the face of Spectre/Peanuts. Bridge of Spies is a critically-acclaimed Oscar targeting drama, so Spectre/Peanuts were never going to hurt it much at all. Goosebumps is extremely impressive, though. Should hold great next weekend as well since there's zero major releases and other than Spectre/Peanuts, not much for audiences to go see. Martian should do $225-230 million, Bridge of Spies should do $80-85 million, while Goosebumps could leg its way to $85-90 million. Spectre and Peanuts should both do $175 million+ DOM. Maybe Nov-Dec will finish strong for 2015.

11/6-11/8 Spectre: $93 million The Peanuts Movie: $55.5 million The Martian: $7.5 million ($194 million) Bridge of Spies: $7 million ($55 million) Goosebumps: $6 million ($65 million) Hotel Transylvania 2: $2.5 million ($159 million) Burnt: $2 million ($7 million) The Last Witch Hunter: $1.5 million ($20 million) Steve Jobs: $1.5 million ($16 million) Woodlawn: $1.5 million ($12 million) 11/13-11/15 Spectre: $44 million ($167 million) The Peanuts Movie: $40.5 million ($125 million) The 33: $17 million Love the Coopers: $11 million The Martian: $6 million ($203 million) Bridge of Spies: $6 million ($65 million) Goosebumps: $4 million ($71 million) My All-American: $2.5 million Hotel Transylvania 2: $1.5 million ($161 million) Woodlawn: $1 million ($13 million) 11/20-11/22 Mockingjay Part 2: $162 million The Peanuts Movie: $22.5 million ($153 million) Spectre: $20 million ($197 million) The Night Before: $16 million The 33: $10 million ($32 million) Love the Coopers: $8 million ($23 million) The Secret in Their Eyes: $4 million Bridge of Spies: $4 million ($71 million) The Martian: $3 million ($207 million) Goosebumps: $1.5 million ($70 million) 11/25-11/29 The Good Dinosaur: $80.5 million/$126 million Mockingjay Part 2: $78 million/$117 million ($303 million) Creed: $27 million/$42 million The Peanuts Movie: $18 million/$26 million ($183 million) The Night Before: $14 million/$19 million ($38 million) Spectre: $13.5 million/$18 million ($218 million) Victor Frankenstein: $7 million/$11 million The 33: $6.5 million/$10 million ($44 million) Love the Coopers: $6 million/$9 million ($34 million) Bridge of Spies: $3.5 million/$5 million ($77 million)

It should at least do $30-35 million OW due to Goosebumps/HT2 winding down, Pan bombing, and everything else minus Spectre being sub-$10 million. HT2 benefited similarly its OW. Peanuts should do fine.

Ahh, well if anything I could see that weekend being strong enough to do $95 million+. Spectre: $44 million (from $93 million OW) The Peanuts Movie: $39 million (from $55 million OW) The 33: $16.5 million Love the Coopers: $10.5 million Bridge of Spies: $5.5 million The Martian: $5 million My All-American: $3.5 million Goosebumps: $3 million Burnt: $2.5 million Our Brand is Crisis: $1 million Yeah Nov 13 will be rough lol but Nov. 20, 27, 4th (due to GD and MJ2 and Krampus all potentially doing $20 million+), 18th and 25th should all be excellent. 11th will be slow because there's only one major wide release.

At least if they dumped it over October 30th, it probably could have gotten $13-18 million with how weak the frame is. Over Thanksgiving, GD/MJ2/Creed/Night Before/Spectre/Peanuts combine for potentially $275 million+ 5 day. There's really no room for Frankenstein when there's also By the Sea, Love the Coopers and The 33 vying for audiences. I think this weekend's epic bombage may help Spectre/Peanuts breakout beyond what's expected of them.

Black Mass? Everest? The Walk? Sicario? Bridge of Spies? Goosebumps? Steve Jobs? There's plenty of solid movies this fall... they just had a poorly conceived release date/pattern, or had poor marketing.

If WB can get Blind Side to $250 million+ DOM (in a similar release date to Creed) and American Sniper to $350 million+ DOM during January/February, I don't see how $120-125 million DOM for the only broadly appealing drama this holiday season is that ridiculous. In fact, it'd only be above Rocky Balboa and Rocky V in terms of admissions. Creed should benefit greatly from MJ2 + GD combining for potentially $200 million+ over the 5 day... the sellouts should cause some spillover for Creed, and also Peanuts/Spectre. Not to mention By the Sea, The 33 and Secret in Their Eyes should all do middling numbers - leaving plenty of room for an adult-skewing drama to breakout. This fall's adult dramas underperforming also helps Creed. The Night Before is the first major broad comedy since Vacation (Intern is a light-hearted dramedy), and with its Christmas theme, it should have sub-50% drops until Dec 25. Even against post-Thanksgiving and Star Wars/Sisters, it should hold well. With a high teens-low 20s OW, Night Before ought to be able to leg its way to $90-110 million DOM. I can see $60-70 million if it has a sub-$15 million OW, though. Should have at least a 3.5x because of its theme and release date. Daddy's Home is a longshot, but if SW7 has enough sellouts, it and Alvin 4 should get quite a bit of spillover, since every other movie will be an adult-skewing drama or comedy. Will Ferrell/Mark Wahlberg combined to $120 million DOM in their last effort, so $100 million DOM isn't that bad. I agree none of those three are locks, but they all have breakout potential. And if they miss, there's other $100 million DOM+ contenders waiting (Sisters, Alvin 4, The Big Short, Concussion, etc)

Star Wars Episode VII: $803 million Jurassic World: $652 million Avengers - Age of Ultron: $459 million Mockingjay Part 2: $442 million The Good Dinosaur: $376 million Inside Out: $355 million Furious 7: $352 million Minions: $335 million Spectre: $274 million The Peanuts Movie: $223 million The Martian: $216 million Cinderella: $201 million Mission Impossible - Rogue Nation: $195 million Pitch Perfect 2: $184 million Ant-Man: $179 million Home: $177 million Hotel Transylvania 2: $169 million 50 Shades of Grey: $166 million SpongeBob 2: $163 million Straight Outta Compton: $161 million San Andreas: $155 million Mad Max - Fury Road: $154 million Joy: $137 million Insurgent: $130 million Kingsman - The Secret Service: $128 million Creed: $124 million The Night Before: $113 million Spy: $111 million Trainwreck: $110 million The Hateful Eight: $108 million The Revenant: $103 million Daddy's Home: $100 million Should be able to do 30, since November looks strong (4 strong $100 million+ contenders and 2-3 sleepers) while December has Star Wars and Oscar bait (3-4)

Followed by Peanuts/Spectre combining for $140 million+ as a result of a sub-$80 million Oct 30th weekend. I really think both of those films picked the PERFECT weekend to debut. 2 straight weeks of nothing and Martian/HT2 near the end of their runs. Both should perform better than expected as the first major/must-see films in a month. I think November/December's broadly appealing films should benefit greatly from the underperformance of most October releases this year. However, I wouldn't be surprised if only 6-8 films do $100 million+ DOM with 5 of them doing $200 million+ DOM and 4 of them doing $300 million+ DOM (with Spectre obviously doing $300-320 million if it does make it)

Updated 10/30-11/1 The Martian: $13 million ($187 million) Goosebumps: $12 million ($59 million) Our Brand is Crisis: $10 million Bridge of Spies: $9.5 million ($46 million) Hotel Transylvania 2: $7 million ($156 million) Burnt: $5.5 million Steve Jobs: $5 million ($18 million) The Last Witch Hunter: $4.5 million ($18 million) Scouts Guide to Zombie Apocalypse: $4 million Paranormal Activity - The Ghost Dimension: $3 million ($13 million) 11/6-11/8 Spectre: $102.5 million The Peanuts Movie: $62,5 million Bridge of Spies: $8 million ($58 million) The Martian: $7.5 million ($198 million) Our Brand is Crisis: $6.5 million ($20 million) Goosebumps: $5.5 million ($66 million) The Outskirts: $4.5 million Burnt: $4 million ($11 million) Steve Jobs: $3.5 million ($23 million) Hotel Transylvania 2: $2.5 million ($160 million) 11/13-11/15 Spectre: $56 million ($197 million) The Peanuts Movie: $47 million ($140 million) The 33: $16.5 million Love the Coopers: $12 million By the Sea: $8.5 million Bridge of Spies: $6.5 million ($69 million) The Martian: $5.5 million ($207 million) My All-American: $3.5 million Goosebumps: $3 million ($70 million) Steve Jobs: $2.5 million ($27 million) 11/20-11/22 Mockingjay Part 2: $166 million The Peanuts Movie: $26 million ($175 million) Spectre: $23 million ($234 million) The Night Before: $18.5 million The 33: $9.5 million ($31 million) Love the Coopers: $7 million ($23 million) Bridge of Spies: $5 million ($76 million) By the Sea: $4.5 million ($15 million) The Secret in Their Eyes: $4 million The Martian: $2.5 million ($211 million) 11/25-11/29 Mockingjay Part 2: $79 million/$120 million ($315 million) The Good Dinosaur: $77 million/$111 million Creed: $30.5 million/$46 million The Peanuts Movie: $20.5 million/$29 million ($209 million) The Night Before: $16 million/$21.5 million ($43 million) Spectre: $15 million/$20 million ($257 million) The 33: $8 million/$11.5 million ($45 million) Victor Frankenstein: $6 million/$10 million Love the Coopers: $5.5 million/$8 million ($33 million) Bridge of Spies: $4 million/$6 million ($83 million)

These awful last two weekends of October should help out Spectre and Peanuts considerably.

10/30-11/1 Goosebumps: $14 million ($64 million) The Martian: $11.5 million ($180 million) Our Brand is Crisis: $9.5 million Bridge of Spies: $9 million ($44 million) PA5: $7 million ($24 million) Steve Jobs: $6.5 million ($22 million) Hotel Transylvania 2: $6 million ($155 million) The Last Witch Hunter: $5.5 million ($18 million) Scouts vs. Zombies: $5 million Crimson Peak: $3.5 million ($27 million) 11/6-11/8 Spectre: $102.5 million The Peanuts Movie: $62.5 million Bridge of Spies: $7 million ($54 million) The Martian: $6.5 million ($190 million) Goosebumps: $6 million ($71 million) The Outskirts: $5.5 million Our Brand is Crisis: $5 million ($17 million) Steve Jobs: $4.5 million ($29 million) The Last Witch Hunter: $2.5 million ($22 million) Hotel Transylvania 2: $2 million ($158 million)

Peanuts and Spectre both doing $75 million+ on the same weekend would be jaw dropping... Curious to see how that turns out

Mission Impossible 5 tracked at $35 million a week before opening lol and ended up at $55 million OW. Spectre will skew slightly older than the average tentpole, so it could still do $85-95 million OW. There's still two weeks for Sony to ramp up Spectre's marketing campaign

the upcoming Kong attraction at Islands of Adventure and Mystic Manor at Hong Kong Disneyland should probably be included as well

Steve Jobs easily. Should be able to at least do $21-23 million next weekend. Goosebumps and Martian will probably be 2nd and 3rd, too.

10/23 Steve Jobs: $30.5 million Last Witch Hunter: $11 million Paranormal Activity - The Ghost Dimension: $10 million Rock the Kasbah: $6.5 million Jem and the Holograms: $5.5 million 10/30 Our Brand is Crisis: $8 million Scouts Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse: $5 million 11/6 Spectre: $97 million The Peanuts Movie: $58 million The Outskirts: $5 million 11/13 The 33: $14.5 million By the Sea: $10.5 million Love the Coopers: $8 million My All American: $3.5 million 11/20 Mockingjay Part 2: $164 million The Night Before: $22 million The Secret in Their Eyes: $4 million 11/27 The Good Dinosaur: $76 million/$110 million Creed: $31 million/$48 million Victor Frankenstein: $10 million/$15 million 12/4 Krampus: $20.5 million 12/11 In the Heart of the Sea: $23 million Legend: $7 million 12/18 Star Wars Episode VII: $152.5 million Sisters: $24 million Alvin and the Chipmunks - The Road Chip: $18 million 12/25 Joy: $27 million Daddy's Home: $20.5 million Concussion: $17 million The Big Short: $8 million/$14 million Point Break: $7.5 million 1/8 The Hateful Eight: $27.5 million The Revenant: $23 million Blumhouse Horror: $12 million The Forest: $5 million 1/15 13 Hours: $39.5 million/$51 million Ride Along 2: $30.5 million/$38 million The 5th Wave: $21 million/$26 million Norm of the North: $8 million/$10 million The Nut Job 2: $6 million/$7.5 million 1/22 Risen: $22 million Dirty Grandpa: $13 million The Boy: $7 million 1/29 Kung Fu Panda 3: $43 million The Finest Hours: $16 million Lights Out: $11 million

This weekend has the most competition for October. 23rd: the openers should combine to $40-45 million (most of which is Steve Jobs) 30th: $10-15 million between the openers Martian is still heading for $175 million+ DOM, which is a excellent finish for it.

At least wait for Friday #s before determining Goosebumps' fate! Pan is a $150m fantasy tentpole dumped on a random October weekend, while Goosebumps is a $58m horror comedy released two weeks before Halloween. Goosebumps doesn't need a big OW as much as Pan did, since the budget is much smaller and it'll hold great over its second and third weekends Goosebumps also has positive reception and minimal comedic competition. It could still do $9-11 million on Friday even with $600k previews Bridge should be leggy so a $20-25 million OW would be excellent for it.

Lol at everyone thinking Bridge of Spies and Goosebumps are locks for sub-$20 million Goosebumps could easily do $25-30 million for the weekend since kids movies rarely do well in previews Bridge could do $20-25 million since older adults aren't usually ones to attend previews. Crimson is looking rough though

Not exactly the toughest call unless Good Dinosaur does more than TS3, I don't see it significantly increasing Dory's BO potential. Finding Dory already has a very small amount of $500 million+ potential if it becomes an acclaimed zeitgeist hit

With Goosebumps targeting older kids/nostalgic young adults, Pan flopping and HT2 being over a month into its run, I wouldn't be super surprised by a $50 million+ OW for Peanuts The weekend before looks pretty empty, so Spectre and Peanuts have plenty of room for a potential $125 million+ between the two. Plus Peanuts Movie has had a solid marketing campaign. Looking forward to Nov 6-8 to see how the two openers (with a third nonfactor) do.

Oct 16-18 1. Goosebumps: $38 million 2. Bridge of Spies: $27.5 million 3. The Martian: $24.5 million ($147 million) 4. Crimson Peak: $19.5 million 5. Hotel Transylvania 2: $13 million ($135 million) 6. Pan: $8 million ($30 million) 7. The Intern: $7 million ($61 million) 8. Sicario: $5 million ($34 million) 9. Maze Runner 2: $3.5 million ($75 million) 10. Steve Jobs: $2 million ($3 million) 10/23-10/25 1. Steve Jobs - $30.5 million ($34 million) 2. Goosebumps - $27 million ($74 million) 3. Paranormal Activity - The Ghost Dimension: $23 million 4. Bridge of Spies - $17 million ($53 million) 5. The Martian - $16 million ($171 million) 6. Hotel Transylvania 2 - $10.5 million ($148 million) 7. Last Witch Hunter - $8 million 8. Crimson Peak - $7 million ($30 million) 9. Jen and the Holograms - $6 million 10. The Intern - $5.5 million ($69 million) 10/30-11/1 Steve Jobs: $22.5 million ($68 million) Goosebumps: $21 million ($101 million) Scouts Guide: $17 million The Martian: $12 million ($189 million) Bridge of Spies: $11.5 million ($70 million) Hotel Transylvania 2: $9.5 million ($160 million) Paranormal Activity - The Ghost Dimension: $9 million ($39 million) Our Brand is Crisis" $7 million Crimson Peak: $4 million ($37 million) The Intern: $3.5 million ($74 million)

Pan should do low to high 20s - not awful considering it's been dumped into Fall 2015 lol and HT2/Goosebumps look to be more compelling family fare

Lol it still has a solid shot at doing better than Interstellar domestically Martian has minimal competition until Spectre. Crimson Peak and The Walk are minor since neither is a straight sci-fi tent pole. It could leg its way to $215-220 million. But anything over $150 million+ I'd excellent considering the budget and inevitable $200 million+ OS gross