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dxmatrixdt

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  1. Rampage should have coasted past 98m this weekend. Should have good weekdays up until Ant-Man 2 opens. 2018/06/15 - $73,135 +84% 288 $254 $96,237,999 64 2018/06/16 - $104,148 +42% 288 $362 $96,342,147 65 2018/06/17 - $90,882 -13% 288 $316 $96,433,029 66 2018/06/18 - $31,869 -65% 288 $111 $96,464,898 67 2018/06/19 - $41,667 +31% 288 $145 $96,506,565 68 2018/06/20 - $31,352 -25% 288 $109 $96,537,917 69 2018/06/21 15 $51,263 +64% 288 $178 $96,589,180 70 2018/06/22 11 $353,274 +589% 291 $1,214 $96,942,454 71 2018/06/23 11 $412,458 +17% 291 $1,417 $97,354,912 72 2018/06/24 - $157,451 -62% 291 $541 $97,512,363 73 2018/06/25 - $81,410 -48% 291 $280 $97,593,773 74 2018/06/26 - $78,813 -3% 291 $271 $97,672,586 75 2018/06/27 - $54,747 -31% 291 $188 $97,727,333 76 2018/06/28 15 $72,769 +33% 291 $250 $97,800,102 77
  2. revised the weekend to look like this, and then placed the upcoming dailies. Jurassic World - 59.69 Incredibles 2 - 45.56 Sicario 2 - 18.57 Uncle Drew - 15.50 Ocean's 8 - 8.02 TAG - 5.66 Deadpool - 3.49 Solo - 2.44 Hereditary - 2.23 Neighbor - 2.22 Avengers - 1.43 Superfly - 1.41 Book Club - 0.62 (Sun-Mon drop) M T W Th Jurassic World (-55%) 8.22 10.27 11.30 7.91 The First Purge x 2.88 7.62 6.00 Incredibles (-50%) 7.14 8.93 9.53 7.14 Sicario (-55%) 2.20 3.03 3.36 2.40 Uncle Drew (-53%) 1.97 2.71 2.71 2.10 Ocean's 8 (-51%) 1.14 1.63 1.73 1.15 TAG (-51%) 0.83 1.09 1.06 0.83 Deadpool (-50%) 0.53 0.66 0.72 0.53 Hereditary (-45%) 0.38 0.42 0.40 0.30 Solo (-48%) 0.37 0.49 0.54 0.38 Neighbor (-50%) 0.33 0.41 0.59 0.40 Avengers (-50%) 0.21 0.27 0.30 0.21 Superfly (-52%) 0.20 0.22 0.22 0.16 Book Club (-42%) 0.11 0.14 0.17 0.12 Full Weekdays (7/2 - 7/5) and Totals Jurassic World - 37.70 - 302.18 Incredibles 2 - 32.74 - 474.48 First Purge - 16.50 - 16.50 Sicario 2 - 10.99 - 29.56 Uncle Drew - 9.49 - 24.99 Ocean's 8 - 5.65 - 120.34 TAG - 3.81 - 44.72 Deadpool - 2.44 - 312.83 Neighbor - 1.73 - 9.15 Solo - 1.78 - 209.21 Hereditary - 1.50 - 40.85 Infinity War - 0.99 - 673.50 Superfly - 0.80 - 19.19 Book Club - 0.53 - 66.60
  3. here are some comparisons from 2007 and 2012 when Fourth of July was on Wednesday too. - Monday drop from Sunday - Wednesday % increase in $avg from Monday. (Holiday increase on Wednesday from lighter Monday drop) - Fri/Wed = % increase in $avg from Wednesday. (%increase of PTA over holiday Wednesday on weekend Friday) - Sat increase from this. Mon drop Wed/Mon Thurs/Mon Fri/Wed Sat% increase -48% Brave +25% 0.98 +0% +12% -45% Ratatouille +35% 0.85 -8% +15% -44% Madagascar 3 +19% 0.92 +30% +30% -47% Surf's Up +43% 1.2 +0% +20% -31% Nany Drew +16% 1.2 +20% +10% -49% Pirates 3 +30% 1.1 +13% +25% -45% Spider-Man 3 +69% 1.2 +7% +35% -45% Avengers +30% 0.92 +14% +35% -55% Prometheus +28% 0.95 +7% +35% -54% Lincoln Vampire +11% 0.91 +23% +22% -53% Snow White +43% 0.96 +23% +30% -50% Evan Almighty +32% 0.96 +6% +14% -56% Silver Surfer +57% 1.05 -6% +26% -60% Tyler Perry +32% 0.89 +11% +18% -54% Ocean's 13 +90% 1.20 +1% +30% -54% Moonrise Kingdom +93% 1.20 -4% +42% -47% Marigold Hotel +96% 1.13 -8% +56% -52% Rock of Ages +73% 1.24 +3% +29% -54% People Like Us +89% 1.04 -29% +30% -56% Knocked Up +54% 1.25 +22% +20% -58% Die Hard +39% 0.85 -9% +26% -48% 1408 +7% +0% +47% +12% This show that Incredibles, Solo, Deadpool, Infinity War will likely have Monday drops of 45-50%. Uncle Drew, Oceans 8, TAG, Neighbor, and Superfly should fall about 50% on Monday. Book Club, Adrift, and Hereditary could fall 40% Jurassic World and Sicario should fall about 55% Won't You Be My Neighbor?, Book Club, Gotti, and Oceans 8 look like they could increase 90 to 100% on July 4th. (PTA-wise) The rest should all go up around 1/3 to 2/3 on July 4th from Monday except Hereditary which will have to compete with Purge opening.
  4. listening to music on Spotify and this ad that keeps playing for Annie live musical "The sun will come out, TOMORROW" is making me not look forward to tomorrow at all! lol.
  5. a clip from deadline https://deadline.com/2018/07/jurassic-world-fallen-kingdom-uncle-drew-sicario-weekend-box-office-1202419558/ Breaking into the top 10 is Sanju, with $2.55M, which at 356 theaters is the widest Bollywood release ever stateside. The Fox International Productions biopic follows the controversial life of actor Sanjay Dutt who came from a family of cinema legends. As he rose, he fell hard, succumbing to addictions, a prison sentence and speculation that he may be a terrorist. Pic is directed by Rajkumar Hirani and is simultaneously being released in 66 countries at a global 5,5K runs.
  6. Advanced tickets sales likely favored IMAX + PLF. im ranking PLF sales assuming TFA the most, and then comparing some others relative to that. 1. The Force Awakens - 100% 2. The Last Jedi - 90% 3. Rogue One - 90% 4. Solo - 40% - Dunkirk - 50% - Interstellar - 40% - Ghost in the Shell - 10% - Fantastic Beasts - 60% - Justice League - 60%
  7. the movie people are probably going to work on another Charlies Angels movie sometime in the near future
  8. Jurassic World - 17.44 (+38%) 24.1 (-24%) 18.36 - 59.9 - 264.69 Incredibles 2 - 13.63 (+31%) 17.9 (-21%) 14.07 - 45.6 - 439.78 Sicario 2 - 5.49 (+13%) 6.2 (-22%) 4.81 - 16.5 - 18.5 Uncle Drew - 5.03 (+22%) 5.2 (-22%) 4.07 - 14.3 - 15.4 Ocean's 8 - 2.41 (+37%) 3.3 (-28%) 2.39 - 8.1 - 114.77 TAG - 1.70 (+35%) 2.30 (-26%) 1.70 - 5.70 - 40.95 Deadpool 2 - 0.99 (+43%) 1.42 (-27%) 1.04 - 3.45 - 310.35 Solo: Star Wars - 0.70 (+43%) 1.00 (-25%) 0.75 - 2.45 - 207.44 Sanju - 0.77 (+21%) 0.93 (-19%) 0.75 - 2.45 - 2.45 Neighbor - 0.65 (+38%) 0.90 (-22%) 0.70 - 2.25 - 7.45 Hereditary - 0.66 (+29%) 0.85 (-25%) 0.64 - 2.15 - 39.27 Infinity War - 0.42 (+45%) 0.61 (-25%) 0.47 - 1.50 - 672.58 Superfly - 0.41 (+44%) 0.59 (-24%) 0.45 - 1.45 - 18.43 Book Club - 0.18 (+50%) 0.27 (-26%) 0.20 - 0.65 - 66.10
  9. Going with Slender Man. It will probably hit well, and it is the one that looks like it will make me jump the most and probably get the most reaction out of me. The Meg should be fun, but if I get bored, I might find myself checking the clock more during The Meg then Slender Man.
  10. # of theaters 4,300 - Ant-Man and the Wasp - 89.00 - 89.00 4,285 - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 27.38 - 329.91 4,010 - The Incredibles 2 - 25.62 - 504.01 3,200 - The First Purge - 19.05 - 35.05 3,055 - Sicario: Day of the Soldado - 8.25 - 38.15 2,742 - Uncle Drew - 7.40 - 34.25 2,826 - Ocean's 8 - 5.09 - 125.66 2,226 - TAG - 3.01 - 48.10 1,394 - Deadpool 2 - 1.94 - 314.83 654 - Won't You Be My Neighbor - 1.71 - 10.65 954 - Solo: Star Wars - 1.29 - 210.61 500 - Avengers - Infinity War - 1.00 - 674.58 724 - Hereditary - 0.87 - 41.42 500 - Superfly - 0.52 - 19.76 255 - The Book Club - 0.31 - 66.95
  11. I find it odd that in the weekend box office articles, they will always say good weather = less crows, and rain etc. brings out the crowds. I thought it would be opposite... Getting drenched in the rain in line and sitting through the movie all wet and miserable.
  12. About the same time, one day later... Jurassic World - 34.6% Incredibles 2 - 28.7% Sicario - 9.3% Uncle Drew - 5.8% Ocean's 8 - 4.2%
  13. I feel like Transformers 3 did good though in its third act of hack and slash. But I agree, WW and BvS both had me rolling my eyes at the last 30 min. Up to that point, it felt original and exciting, then CGI overkill finale. Do you think Transformers 3 provides an exception for 30-45 minutes pure action/CGI?
  14. I think 400m could happen for JW as long as they spend a lot to keep it in theaters and get as many 10m+ days as possible. Then when it gets near 350m, they can turn it into a 'cooking show' and let the numbers slowly trickle towards 400m. Of course, 375m is the best bet for final domestic BO if your life depended on one final prediction.
  15. I have the top ten off this much from Deadline's estimate. Jurassic World (-1.00), Incredibles (+2.20), Ocean's 8 (+0.1), TAG (+0.1), Deadpool (+0.1), Solo (+0.09), Sanju (-0.2), Hereditary (+0.01), Jurassic World - 58.00 (-61%) - $12,932 (-56%) - 262.79 Incredibles 2 - 47.00 (-43%) - $10,306 (-43%) - 441.18 Sicario 2 - 17.35 (new) - $5,679 - 19.35 Uncle Drew - 15.60 (new) - $5,679 - 16.67 Ocean's 8 - 7.90 (-32%) - $2,306 (-27%) - 114.57 TAG - 5.60 (-32%) - $1,763 (-28%) - 40.85 Deadpool - 3.60 (-32%) - $1,719 (-21%) - 310.50 Solo: Star Wars - 2.59 (-43%) - $1,566 (-19%) - 207.58 Sanju - 2.50 (new) - $7,022 - 2.50 Hereditary - 2.20 (-39%) - $1,545 (-15%) - 39.32 Superfly - 1.51 (-56%) - $1,305 (-15%) - 18.49 Infinity War - 1.31 (-49%) - $1,472 (-17%) - 672.39 Book Club - 0.65 (-32%) - $1,287 (-9%) - 66.10 Gotti - 0.43 (-24%) - $1,299 (-24%) - 4.08 Adrift - 0.42 (-47%) - $827 (-9%) - 30.03 Show Dogs - $576 (+13%) $84,096 (+22%) - 17.440 Ready Player $585 (-------) $80,730 (-15%) - 136.968 Black Panther $585 (-11%) $46,800 (-38%) - 699.832 Wrinkle/Time $540 (-41%) $31,320 (-62%) - 100.461 Hotel Artemis $522 (+19%) $20,880 (-71%) - 6.641
  16. Taylor Sheridan - writer of Sicario 2 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taylor_Sheridan Selected filmography[edit] Year Title Writer Director Actor Producer Role Notes 2005–2007 Veronica Mars Yes Danny Boyd 2008–2010 Sons of Anarchy Yes David Hale 2011 Vile Yes 2015 Sicario Yes 2016 Hell or High Water Yes Yes Cowboy Cameo[24] 2017 Wind River Yes Yes 2018 12 Strong Yes Brian Yellowstone Yes Yes Yes Sicario: Day of the Soldado Yes
  17. Upgrade only lost 5 locations in its fifth weekend, going from 101 theaters to 96. Jun 1–3 6 $4,670,905 - 1,457 - $3,206 $4,670,905 1 Jun 8–10 9 $2,384,415 -49.0% 1,458 +1 $1,635 $9,346,020 2 Jun 15–17 16 $518,330 -78.3% 646 -812 $802 $11,078,295 3 Jun 22–24 28 $94,240 -81.8% 101 -545 $933 $11,482,640 4 It took an unfortunate tumble in its second weekend and I think that is the reason why they mercilessly cut it the weekend after. BH Tilt so far has had fair minimal advertising through social media and targeted/scouted theaters where they try to optimize the best results in the shortest amount of time. I bet in this scenario, with the way they are handling marketing, etc., they might have not seen much net gain if they invested in a big weekend #3. Upgrade could essentially stay flat in its 5th weekend in 96 theaters by increasing its PTA up five percent to $982. BH TILT Look for Unfriended: The Dark Web to be BH Tilts reigning champion in a few weeks. The first sequel after nine original films
  18. A Wrinkle in Time should loose another 41% of its attendance average this weekend and make $540. A Wrinkle in Time - $540 (-41%) $31,320 (-62%) - 100.461 I've got Black Panther bringing in the same attendance as Ready Player One which is looking to make par with last weekend. Black Panther - $585 (-11%) $46,800 (-38%) - 699.832 So far, Show Dogs - $576 (+13%) $84,096 (+22%) - 17.440 Ready Player $585 (-------) $80,730 (-15%) - 136.968 Black Panther $585 (-11%) $46,800 (-38%) - 699.832 Wrinkle/Time $540 (-41%) $31,320 (-62%) - 100.461 Hotel Artemis $522 (+19%) $20,880 (-71%) - 6.641
  19. Show Dogs also was up in the PTA over week to week weekdays, and I am predicting this weekends PTA to be up +13% over last weeks despite a theater count bump this week of +11 too. Show Dogs - $576 (+13%) $84,096 (+22%) - 17.440 Ready Player One looks on course to maintain last weekends PTA as it drops only 24 locations. Ready Player One - $585 (----) $80,730 (-15%) - 136.968
  20. Hotel Artemis has been out three weeks. It finally saw $/theater averages go up on the weekdays. 2018/06/15 15 $281,177 +15% 2,299 $122 $5,094,696 8 2018/06/16 14 $376,777 +34% 2,299 $164 $5,471,473 9 2018/06/17 13 $350,155 -7% 2,299 $152 $5,821,628 10 2018/06/18 12 $175,019 -50% 2,299 $76 $5,996,647 11 2018/06/19 12 $214,739 +23% 2,299 $93 $6,211,386 12 2018/06/20 12 $168,060 -22% 2,299 $73 $6,379,446 13 2018/06/21 14 $106,528 -37% 2,299 $46 $6,485,974 14 2018/06/22 - $18,974 -82% 163 $116 $6,504,948 15 2018/06/23 - $29,765 +57% 163 $183 $6,534,713 16 2018/06/24 - $22,815 -23% 163 $140 $6,557,528 17 2018/06/25 - $14,377 -37% 163 $88 $6,571,905 18 2018/06/26 - $18,533 +29% 163 $114 $6,590,438 19 2018/06/27 - $16,847 -9% 163 $103 $6,607,285 20 2018/06/28 - $12,498 -26% 163 $77 $6,619,783 21 I'm forecasting $522 3-day weekend avg., +19% over last week. That would put the weekend at $20,880, -70.8% last weekend, and $6,640,663. after that, it would only need $26,003 more to reach $6,666,666.
  21. any historical evidence to support the theory that Uncle Drew will play like a family film and have stronger Sat/Sun #s?
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