dxmatrixdt

did you see Ridley Scott's The Counselor? I think it is a fan favorite here

I was going to see Annihilation for the first time today, but I am delayed.... Gotta see something else now.

I hope not. A theater can hold your attention span. Streaming, you can do other things... Theaters usually give people full experiences that are review worthy.

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Black Panther could do 18 next week.

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Annihilation will probably loose over half its screens next weekend and make about 600k. Will be lucky to hit 31M when actuals come in next week.

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THE WEEK AFTER Ready Player One - 28.00 - 35.00 Acrimony - 11.00 - 11.00 Pacific Rim 2 - 11.00 - 42.50 Black Panther - 10.33 - 650.11 God's Not Dead 3 - 10.00 - 10.00 Tomb Raider - 6.70 - 54.75 I Can Only Imagine - 5.50 - 42.00 Paul, The Apostle - 4.50 - 15.50 A Wrinkle in Time - 4.00 - 81.60 Love, Simon - 3.50 - 28.30 Game Night - 1.65 - 62.90 Unsane - 1.38 - 5.15 Midnight Sun - 1.28 - 4.90 Peter Rabbit - 1.00 - 108.50 Red Sparrow - 1.00 - 45.95 Strangers 2 - 1.00 - 24.45 Death Wish - 0.65 - 34.40 Jumanji - 0.30 - 402.00 7 Days in Entebbe - 0.30 - 3.61 Annhilation - 0.30 - 31.56 Greatest Showman - 0.26 - 171.19 Shape of Water - 0.15 - 64.63

ESTIMATES FOR NEXT WEEKEND, estimated 12,000 theater count losses, and 12,000+ new theater counts Pacific Rim 2 - 24.00 - 24.00 Black Panther - 18.00 - 634.28 Sherlock Gnomes - 15.00 - 15.00 Tomb Raider - 12.50 - 43.75 I Can Only Imagine - 10.00 - 33.40 Paul, The Apostle - 8.00 - 8.00 A Wrinkle in Time - 8.00 - 74.84 Love, Simon - 6.60 - 22.60 Game Night - 3.30 - 59.90 Unsane - 2.75 - 2.75 Peter Rabbit - 2.60 - 106.84 Midnight Sun - 2.50 - 2.50 Red Sparrow - 2.40 - 43.95 Strangers 2 - 2.20 - 22.65 Death Wish - 1.70 - 33.13 7 Days in Entebbe - 0.80 - 3.01 Jumanji - 0.70 - 401.51 Annihilation - 0.70 - 30.99 Greatest Showman - 0.52 - 170.76 Shape of Water - 0.32 - 63.35 Fifty Shades Freed - 0.24 - 100.17 Hurricane Heist - 0.20 - 6.03 Thoroughbreds - 0.18 - 2.70 Coco - 0.15 - 209.40 The Last Jedi - 0.14 - 620.01 Three Billboards - 0.12 - 54.13 Gringo - 0.10 - 4.99 The Post - 0.08 - 81.56 I, Tonya - 0.05 - 29.85

Here is another line of films with the predicted totals by Thursday Annihilation - 30.29 total Jumanji - 400.81 total 7 Days in Entebbe - 2.21 total Greatest Showman - 170.24 total Hurricane Heist - 5.83 total Shape of Water - 63.03 total Gringo - 4.89 total Fifty Shades Freed - 99.93 total Thoroughbreds - 2.52 Three Billboards - 54.01 Coco - 209.25 The Last Jedi - 619.87 The Post - 81.48 I, Tonya - 29.80

are you allowed to just copy and paste links to pirated films in HD that sit on a website, and post it on this particular forum?

Black Panther might do better on Sunday. +10% from Friday gives 29% Sat to Sun drop. 27.45 weekend. Tomb Raider makes 23.75 if it does 0.85 of Friday on Sunday. I Can Only Imagine has the best estimated Sunday hold. 0.90 of Friday gives it 16.66 weekend and a 25.75% drop from Saturday - 95% of Friday gives 16.90 weekend. Love, Simon at 11.81 with 0.80 of Friday. Game Night 0.9 Friday on Sunday = 5.67 weekend, up 0.1 from estimates. Peter Rabbit up a little over 10% from Friday gives 5.25 weekend. Strangers 2 already has an estimate that is close to 9/10ths of Friday. Red Sparrow could go better at 95% Fri/Sun = up 0.07 for 4.52 weekend edit* forgot Wrinkle in Time. 10% over Friday on Sunday gives it 16.65 weekend. with a top ten looking like this, here are some predicted weekday totals to go along Black Panther 27.45 + 10.45 = 616.28 total Tomb Raider 23.75 + 7.50 = 31.25 total I Can Only Imagine 16.90 + 6.50 = 23.40 total A Wrinkle in Time - 16.65 + 5.70 = 66.84 total Love, Simon - 11.81 + 4.19 = 16.00 total Game Night - 5.67 + 2.33 = 56.60 total Peter Rabbit - 5.25 + 1.75 = 104.24 total Strangers 2 - 4.81 + 1.84 = 20.45 total Red Sparrow - 4.52 + 1.90 = 41.55 total Death Wish - 3.40 + 1.45 = 31.43 total

I cannot believe I Can Only Imagine did that well. I took half of the God's Not Dead PTA and got 10M for the weekend.

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Page 1, Post 1 for this topic https://www.fandango.com/dataviz/index.html

Are all the free ticket sales that potentially pop up for ICOI on Fandango Pulse and MT still payed by someone, or do we discount those when predicting? Never figured that one out.

I Can Only Imagine

just wait until SW9 has a trailer. pre-expectations before trailer will be around 250 OW, but once that trailer hits and people see the flashy scenes, OMG 300M OW on the table!

AVG # OF PEOPLE PER THEATER….. AVG TICKET PRICE = $9.18 Friday Saturday Sunday Sum Mon Tues Weds Thurs TOTAL 3942 Black Panther 277 507 344 1128 112 143 112 101 578.61 3980 Wrinkle in Time 246 373 254 873 72 105 72 65 44.59 2464 Strangers 2 150 176 107 433 38 48 35 32 13.86 3064 Red Sparrow 83 136 83 302 31 42 31 28 35.2 3061 Game Night 78 126 75 279 30 40 30 27 48.57 2882 Death Wish 66 111 72 249 24 35 26 23 26.73 549 Thoroughbreds 87 91 65 243 30 34 25 25 1.8 3112 Peter Rabbit 52 109 76 237 30 41 30 30 97.16 952 Greatest Showman 55 105 58 218 27 34 27 24 168.59 1709 Annihilation 56 90 65 211 26 32 26 23 27.93 1552 Shape of Water 44 75 45 164 17 21 17 15 61.94 194 Coco 32 65 49 146 17 22 17 17 208.98 2157 Jumanji 34 65 40 139 16 21 17 16 398.65 184 Phantom Thread 34 65 40 139 14 15 15 13 20.81 2402 Hurricane Heist 43 56 38 137 14 20 14 12 4.36 552 Three Billboards 35 65 37 137 15 17 15 13 53.63 278 The Post 30 65 33 128 13 16 14 12 81.3 156 Lady Bird 30 58 33 121 13 15 14 12 48.78 245 Darkest Hour 30 56 32 118 13 16 14 12 56.21 243 I, Tonya 31 53 34 118 14 16 15 13 29.64 246 Star Wars 30 54 34 118 14 16 14 14 619.62 2404 Gringo 36 47 32 115 13 17 12 11 3.9 1357 Fifty Shades Freed 36 47 27 110 12 15 12 10 99 309 Call Me by Your Name 27 47 30 104 12 14 13 11 17.6 201 Ferdinand 26 47 29 102 23 29 23 23 83.54 214 Maze Runner 3 23 44 26 93 10 14 11 9 57.54 104 Den of Thieves 22 33 23 78 9 10 9 7 44.9 261 Winchester 20 32 18 70 6 9 7 5 24.94 420 15:17 to Paris 20 29 20 69 8 9 8 6 35.89 281 Paddington 2 16 27 20 63 10 11 11 10 40.44 111 12 Strong 18 27 18 63 6 7 6 5 45.33 186 Early Man 15 25 21 61 9 12 10 9 8.1 615 Every Day 13 19 12 44 5 7 6 4 6.08 40387

^^ obviously Tue-Thurs are guesses and the other numbers are not that great since they are all rounded up or down

AVG # OF PEOPLE PER THEATER….. AVG TICKET PRICE = $9.18 Friday Saturday Sunday Sum Mon Tues Weds Thurs TOTAL 3942 Black Panther 277 507 344 1128 112 138 101 101 578.04 3980 Wrinkle in Time 246 373 254 873 72 92 67 65 43.95 2464 Strangers 2 150 176 107 433 38 46 35 32 13.83 3064 Red Sparrow 83 136 83 302 31 40 31 28 35.13 3061 Game Night 78 126 75 279 30 37 30 28 48.52 2882 Death Wish 66 111 72 249 24 31 25 23 26.59 549 Thoroughbreds 87 91 65 243 30 36 27 27 1.83 3112 Peter Rabbit 52 109 76 237 30 36 30 30 97.03 952 Greatest Showman 55 105 58 218 27 33 27 25 168.59 1709 Annihilation 56 90 65 211 26 32 26 24 27.94 1552 Shape of Water 44 75 45 164 17 20 17 17 61.95 194 Coco 32 65 49 146 17 20 17 17 208.97 2157 Jumanji 34 65 40 139 16 20 16 16 398.6 184 Phantom Thread 34 65 40 139 14 16 15 14 20.81 2402 Hurricane Heist 43 56 38 137 14 19 14 12 4.33 552 Three Billboards 35 65 37 137 15 18 15 15 53.65 278 The Post 30 65 33 128 13 15 14 12 81.3 156 Lady Bird 30 58 33 121 13 15 14 12 48.78 245 Darkest Hour 30 56 32 118 13 15 14 12 56.21 243 I, Tonya 31 53 34 118 14 17 15 14 29.64 246 Star Wars 30 54 34 118 14 16 14 14 619.62 2404 Gringo 36 47 32 115 13 17 13 11 3.92 1357 Fifty Shades Freed 36 47 27 110 12 15 13 11 99.02 309 Call Me by Your Name 27 47 30 104 12 14 14 12 17.61 201 Ferdinand 26 47 29 102 23 23 23 23 83.53 214 Maze Runner 3 23 44 26 93 10 12 11 10 57.53 104 Den of Thieves 22 33 23 78 9 10 10 8 44.9 261 Winchester 20 32 18 70 6 7 7 5 24.93 420 15:17 to Paris 20 29 20 69 8 12 9 7 35.91 281 Paddington 2 16 27 20 63 10 11 11 11 40.45 111 12 Strong 18 27 18 63 6 7 6 6 45.33 186 Early Man 15 25 21 61 9 10 9 9 8.09 615 Every Day 13 19 12 44 5 7 6 4 6.08 40387

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