1. How to Train Your Dragon 2
2. Veronica Mars
3. Big Hero 6
4. Insterstellar
5. Captain America 2
6. Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit
7. The Lego Movie
8. X-Men: DoFP
9. Maleficent
10. The Boxtrolls
Yeah, that's probably not a bad guess. From this point on, AUJ added about 25 million, but DoS is running behind it, day-to-day. 260-265 is probably about right.
Avatar, Titanic, Jurassic Park, and Alice in Wonderland are the only films that weren't sequels or franchise follow-ups to do it. (Although Alice is sort of a remake, it's separate enough I don't think the Disney original had a huge effect on generating business.)
Was Tron: Legacy eligible that year? Because it not even being on the ballot was a travesty. (Inception, HTTYD, & The Social Network were all great. I don't think I've ever heard 127 Hours, but The King's Speech never struck me as anything particularly spectacular.)
What I meant is that there is no film that has grossed more in total that didn't open at #1. I know that it's opening weekend isn't the biggest non-#1 opening, which is entirely different. And, yes, that means wide-release opening. The fact that Frozen had a limited engagement for five days doesn't change that.
Other films had larger such weekends. It's mostly notable for Frozen due to the calendar.
However, I think it's now the largest movie that didn't open at #1. Unsure how to easily check that, though.
It's probably looking at something 13-14, but above 14 wouldn't be impossible. It would need a better than 100% jump for Saturday and then a drop of about 30% on Sunday.
Attack of the Clones had a four day estimate of 115 million and an actual of 110. I believe everyone knew that it was off deliberately, though, so they could claim to have beaten Spider-Man's opening in a press release.
What I love about Titanic most is the number of times people said a film was guaranteed to beat it.
Star Wars Episode 1 was guaranteed to beat it. Came up 170 million short.
Harry Potter 1 was guaranteed to beat it. Made a little more than half. (I fondly remember an argument with one guy who was a huge HP fan and insisted that it was unlike any film that had ever been made because of the size of the fanbase.)
Spider-Man was guaranteed to beat it. 200 million short.
The Dark Knight was guaranteed to beat it. And it was the first film to get within a hundred million.
600 million is hard, even with inflation on your side.
We are past the point where Frozen's daily numbers are especially interesting. But few movies have especially interesting daily numbers at the moment.
Now, the weekend/weekly numbers? Those are exciting.