I wouldn't say 1B is "very slim"
If most calculations have it at 950, it only needs a bit more from somewhere to cross the mark.
Domestic earnings should be more than 40 million, for instance. Japan could break out and earn more, too. Other markets could fluctuate.
I'd say 1B isn't likely, but it's not especially slim, either.
It's probably more a concern whether it tops DM2 both DOM and WW. That's what I'd like to see.