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pepsa

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Everything posted by pepsa

  1. So hyped to see it's LATAM preformance, I mean if this has great WOM it will have the market for itself for a few weeks, should be absolutely insane.
  2. I mean I actualy do think no competition helped that movie, switch it with the flash and AM3 probably wouldn't get to $200m domisticly. Same for the flash, it woudn't have dropped 65%+ in it's 3rd weekend if it didn't face any competion. Neither would have done good, but having no competion for the first 3 weeks will give almost every movie some extra money. If you have a movie with great WOM we are probably speaking about quite a bit of money. I do agree that you can't put every movie in the off season because then it loses it's advantage over the "crowded" months, a fine balance to thread.
  3. That means a much better CGV ratio again, makes the outlook on beating tuesday a lot better. We should be able to get back above 70k today then. (Unless MI7 steals some of its walkups during the day).
  4. Elemental continous to hold well here in Argentina, it's down 3.55% from last week and this again a decent opening of Insideous. And a not so good drop for Indiana Other animation movies Ruby Gillman and Spidey held well but still not nearly as good. The near flat hold is partly due to schools being out starting friday leading to a better sunday this weekend. Like @Grebacio said schools are starting to get out, we can already see this on monday where Elemental grossed 24.8k admission vs the 14.1k of last monday. Curious to see how it will hold the next 2 weekends, if it survives them Elemental is on its way to a 2m + total, 1.6m + seems quite certain now. # Título Thu-Sun Accumulated 1 La noche del demonio: la puerta roja 165.777 165.777 2 Elementos 153.502 1.075.388 3 Indiana Jones y el llamado del destino 80.950 251.864 4 Casi muerta 44.990 44.990 5 Transformers: el despertar de las Bestias 36.905 713.870 6 Kraken y Sirenas: Conoce a los Gillman 29.595 72.209 7 Flash 25.492 515.287 8 Spider Man: A traves del Spider Verso 24.630 803.361 9 La Sirenita 16.391 1.282.930 10 Rapiods y furiosos X 7.623 2.280.845
  5. Elemental should make up some ground % on walk ups I think. OFC is CGV ratio is down to much it won't matter much. I think it's important for Elemental to recover on thursday and not drop more. The good news is that after a bad day of PS yesterday it had a good day to day. Hoping it can stay (close to) flat from tuesday. 60.5k (+18k) vs 77.2k (+17.85k) last week. Meaning proportion wise it went from being down 28.4% monday to monday to 21.6% down tuesday to tuesday in presalles. If it can keep this up we should see a recovery over the weekend. MI7 starting with 44k, meaning 88kish presalles of those 304k are for OD much more backloaded than recent movies (other than Elemental). Should have great thursday hold, great friday and sat jumps with current PS patern.
  6. CGV went from 8k to 15k by 13:20. Meaning it's outpacing last monday in walkups. Last monday it managed to get 20k by 13:20 and made another 13k after that for a 33k finish. I am quite confident it will match the 20k by 15:20 figuer. So it shoudn't decrease in the CGV chain this week. However currently it is looking like it will need a higher CGV finish to get the same total because of a lower CGV ratio. PS sunday at midnight where 33.2k vs 43.2k last week, so down 10k or 23.1% vs last week. PS should be a good indication for the drop we are looking at this weekend. Though walk ups will probably make up a bit for that. Then again walk ups can be offset by a lower CGV ratio. To keep PS pase (%wise) with last week we should get to 45.7k by the end of the day, should be doable, hopefully it can gain a bit.
  7. Hmm strange CGV says 36k, but it doesn't show up in on KOBIZ 2 hourly track Does it not have showtimes this monday? If MI7 isn't having more previews today why would elemental not go over 80k?
  8. I am guessing that it will get 70k or bit more today. CGV ratio should go down with a new big opener I think. Also for MI7 it's doing weird things, because PS are only at 155k so it's a mix between previews and full OD/OW, cause it's getting much more showtimes then normal previews. My guess is that wednesday won't see the big drop you usualy expect because of this strange rolout of MI7. MI7 PS 'only' at 133k, so it probably won't have a 400k + OD.
  9. I had i noted down at 73k at 12:20. Currious to see if the next 3-4 hours can be big for it to stay flat today.
  10. Also alot of PS for MI are for the previews so it will need very good PS on monday and tuesday to get to a nice PS total before OD; Currently it isn't looking to good for 450k PS.
  11. I don't think anyone is comparing the gross or patern to IO, IO is more something to predict the impact of a big movie opening and what effects it can have. I mean if you look at what happened to IO it easy to imagine what an insane run that movie could have had if it didn't have have a 3.5m OD (12m movies) in it 3rd weekend, A 2.5m MI and 1m animation movie opening in 4th weekend (another 10m admission together) and a 3.2m opening in it's 5th weekend (another 10.5m movie). I mean that movie had 30m admission competition, that is insane to think about.
  12. I am not here tonight so if anyone wants to note down the CGV start for saturday that would be amazing Hopefully it's a very nice suprise and we something like a 55-60k start ^^ Today is looking like a 145k to me.
  13. Elemental dropping to 95k a drop way over 50%, not good though mostly because of the nice weather.
  14. I fully agree with this, sat ps should be higher than last weeks as well so will be fun to watch if it can suprise us.
  15. Elemental starting with 45.679 admission today and a cgv start of 19k vs the 27.992 start of yesterday, up 63.2%.
  16. School has been out starting early last week, more schools got out this week. This should be it's strongest week/weekend, weeks after some regions schools will be starting again. EDIT: And with this week I mean 3/07 - 09/07 (or 07/03 - 07/09 for Americans I guess), however weekdays should still be boosted 2 weeks more after this sunday only not at much.
  17. I mean both this thursday and last thursday started with 12k in CGV presalles at midnight, in the end this thursday was 28.8% higher than last one so I think it fair to asume a better PS multi this weekend as well.
  18. We are starting at 19k CGV vs 21k last week, jump won't be as big as last friday but I think it should beat it never the less. Last week it jumped 75% in CGV start from thursday to friday to get a 80% jump. This friday is 58% higher in CGV start than thursday, asuming the same patern we expect a 60% ish jump today? That would be 152k, it still has more PS so I am guessing we will see a bigger saturday jump, as presalles seem to be more back load this weekend.
  19. We are tracking it in here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mpf92NunqhPZOQkYsA3479cMmcBW80Dn0cK8HjlN0v8/edit#gid=238579431 So I will surely note it down Also had a great day today, gain alot of ground on thor, reviews seem to have given it a bumb! Edit: Made it to 131.1k today Yeah there is: https://www.kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/stat/boxs/findDailyShowTicketList.do
  20. Huh wait? It's looking like 133k PS for today, vs 119.3k last week (friday last week PS where 153.4k, so we are still 20k behind, will obviously beat that tomorrow).
  21. I think more important than screens is showtimes, cause you can lose 20% of your screens but 50% of your showtimes. Also the week after IO had antoher 3m+ lockal movie opening (that went on to make 10m+) so yeah having 3 weeks of 3m+ openings will kill your run I think 3 weeks from now it might have to face a strong MI7 and a big local movie but if barbie isn't to strong it should be fine. (Though I kind of want barbie to do well, I hate the duality)
  22. I just took a peek at what killed inside out in Korea, because that movie had a 38% jump on second weekend compared to it's opening weekend. IO had a 3.4m opener in its 3rd weekend, resulting in a 26% drop. Follow by a 51.5% drop in its 4th weekend facing MI5 with an opening of 2.5m and minions opening to 1m. So basicly 2 times rougly 3.5m admission in competition + a direct competator in minions. I would say this show how 1 big movie will hurt a movie a bit, I am expecting the same type of drop (25% - 30%) vs MI. Having 2 weeks of big competition is very bad for showtimes. The good news is I think Elemental will have 1 week to recover showtimes vs barbie (if that movie doesn't break out) before the DOM blockbuster arrives. Side note 27th of July was the start for the holidays in 2015, in that trend this years should start at 24th and this would make sense with the release of the DOM summer blockbuster. (Hopefully a week earlier though).
  23. Does that mean CGV ratio will be a bit weaker on thursday cause yesterday it needed 2 hours to get to 13k (at 02:20) vs (01:20) today. Also great PS increase once again. It managed to get 99k vs 88.6k last week. Will be hard to predict the weekend, don't know if friday can jump that crazy I again, I actualy doubt that. Then again a weaker friday jump should give room for a better saturday jump. What ever is does the weekend will definitly be up at min 10% matching the stronger ps. 20% + would be amazing.
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