pepsa

It's not gaining, it should do a bit more than 250k but not much I would think 255k. And dropping this much on sunday might be a sign of the movie slowing down, to me an increase next week seems unlikely now.

It should gain on saturday for 2 more hours (till max 4pm) after that it will lose ground.

The evening is also weaker in SK but movies tend to do a bit better during the midday. And that's why animation movies normaly hold quite well on sundays because they are bit more midday / early afternoon based than other movies.

Last week was only 1k difference in CGV, it's likely we see the first sunday drop. Anything below a 5% drop would be good though.

The second trend #1: Indiana Jones 5 - 350k (down 25k sadly) #2: Elemental - 175k - up 25k, would be a 5% increase week to week #3: No Hard Feelings - 90k an 19% increase #4: The little mermaid - 60k basicly flat #5 Spiderman ATSV - 50k (-28.5%)

1 INDIANA JONES ~ €431119 (+44.3%) 2 ELEMENTAL ~ €240187 (+41.9%) 3 THE FLASH ~ €53456 (+39.8%) Quite a good jump for Indiana jones, obviously it didn't have a great number to jump of so still not good. Elemental is down only 11.4% from last friday, if it can hold 10-15% on sat and sunday this is surely looking to beat TGD total. Also €6m seems very doable at this point no?

Going by the last few weeks the mid point has been close to 3:20 pm - presales. So the mid point of walkups is somewhere between 2:50pm and 3:20pm. I don't know the midpoint for the full day though So let's say it get to 85k by 3.20pm I would calculate 85-46 = 39 Then add maybe 36-37ish on top of the 85 to get 121-122k

No problem, I mean the real person putting work in this forum is obviously you, you keep so many threads alive!

CGV for saturday start at 46k vs 37k of last week. PS jump from friday to saturday are worse than last weeks. Walk ups have been better though, as for now a 125% jump might be safer to asume. That would be 300k up a massive 48%. And who know's what walkups might do. As very body knows by now friday has been amazing,133.2k a 80% jump compared to a 45% last week. Inflate friday probably leads to a lower sat jump. A good friday for Indiana Jones as well, amazing for ATSV hoping it manage a good sat jump as well.

Btw every movie (all relevant ones) had great jumps compared to last week, is there something special about this friday? I mean casualy jumping 80% on friday doesn't seem normal. Spidey is also looking to jump close 80% after only doing 25-30ish last week. It's not a holiday as far as I could check (also jumps aren't big enough for that) but if someone from korea and know something feel free to tell us!

Much better internal multi than last friday, even better walk ups than the past few days. Seems lik 3.20pm was the midpoint (had been a bit before that so far. 61k CGV should give us around 133k? So up over 80% on yesterday and over 60% on last friday?

Yeah, it's sitting at 51k CGV now, should atleast reach 58k today. CGV ratio has been 45.5% - 46% on average this week (last friday it was 44%). Using this weeks CGV ratio we get something like 126-127.4k, but even with a bad CGV ratio of 50% we still get 116k... With a good evening push it might get 60k.

This is why I love markets like China and South Korea. These markets usualy give you bad legs, maybe 1.8-2.5x your OW but if the movie clicks than all of sudden 8-10-20x multi runs become possible. It spices up boxoffice so much

It is completely breaking out in South Korea: last week we saw a measly weekend to weekend (FSS) increase of 18%, this friday will be up atleast 40% over last week, probably closer to 50%. Yeah it has a good shot at increasing more than 50% over it's 2nd weekend that itself increased 18% over OW. I have no clue what's happening..

I have no words for this movie, this run Last week friday it ended with a CGV of 35k for an 82k friday. At 2.20pm it already crossed 37k on CGV by 3.20pm it's at 41 CGV. Midday is somewhere between these so for the bare minimum it's doing 53k (so 112k), much more likely is a finish around 58k or 124k if CGV ratio doesn't change to much. So at worst we are looking at a jump of 52% (week to week of 32%), but 124k would mean a 68% jump over thursday and a jump of 51.3% week to week!! I mean if the saturday jump is higher than last week (very doable) we could be looking at close to a 60% week to week jump from its second weekend! It's madness.

Looking at friday it seems as 5m is much more likely than not making 5m at this point. Ofc we still have to see what happens when its first real competition enters the scene MI followed by oppenheimer the week after. If it survives those as it is counter programming we might see a completely insane run. Helped by schools being out in 2 weeks as well ^^

I will let @TalismanRing post his beautiful charts, much clearer than my top 3/4 movies ^^ As for today Elemental had another increase week over week, this time 26.6% to 73.6k. Down from cultures day but that was to be expected. Tomorrow's CGV starts at 21k vs 15k last week, it should easly match the 40% jump of last friday and might match the 50%+ jump of last week even 60% isn't off the table thought a bit crazy. So friday will probably be up more than 30%, I would guess a that we are looking at a 110k friday. PS are also looking great, already up 20% last weekend whilst at the same time becoming less PS dependant. Indi's 56.5k isn't bad, better than spideys first thursday but the PS for friday seem rather week it might not see a great bump unless walkups are very strong tomorrow. Spidey is looking at big drop (20.05k today, down 50% vs last week), but mostly because it lost so many showtimes, i loosing close to 50% of showtimes on wednesday cut it legs hard. Otherwise a 30% drop would have been in the cards, and thats why holding on to showtimes and good capacity numbers are important. Funfact: Elemental still has less showtimes than Roundup even though it's grossing 50% more daily, so there is room to grow.

Becarefull with this, yes wed is higher than WW's, but last week Spidey dropped 7% on thursday, this week it will have more competition (losing more showtimes) so a 10% drop on thursday isn't far fetched. That would mean 2.55 thursday vs 2.68 thursday of WW. WW weekend jumps have been better than Spideys, if spidey matches the jumps of last week that would lead to a weekend of $13.7m.

73.6k thursday, will we see an 25% increase this weekend?

School holidays are starting, next week another big region has schools out so it should do even better.

Tbh Tuesday numbers don't mean much if it comes to predicting weekends. The wednesday numbers will tell us a lot more (lets say Elemental drops to $2.4m today $15m weekend seems impossible, if it drops the same 28% as last week and it gets close to $2.9m then $15m would be more doable.. Also it's good to consider that last thursday Elemetal increased on thursday, this week we might see a small drop because of the new releases.

Looking like another insane day, CGV will end with 34k vs 31k on tuesday 1-1 that would give us 74k Thursday but CGV ratio might be a bit worse but everything is pointing at another increase. Expecting atleast 70k today with upper bound of 75k, at the lowest that means an 20% increase over last week. And like I said at the start of the week last week the friday and saturday jump came back to earth and it should be able to match it this week so yeah.... looks like 3rd weekend is increasing more than its second weekend.... Also other than last wednesday every day it has been increasing showing that it isn't slowing down yet. With next weeks competition doing even worse at PS than this weeks it should have another full week to it self and it's perfectly positioned to increase in its 4th weekend. (Obviously demand will burn off at some point but it isn't showing signs yet). My prediction: 2.15m by sunday 930k 4th week (but this could be higher, like I said it has no competition so it might increase) 3.08m by next sunday Point is 3m by its 4th weekend seems very likely, locking 4m and on it's way to 5-6-?...m. If it holds well vs MI the sky is the limit and that would probably mean that it has a good shot at beating it (in total admission).

Yes it's roughly 20% lower, it's a basicly a discount day once a month on the last wednesday of that month.

Wednesday 28/06/2023 Elemental: 110.215 (up 61.1% from yesterday, seeing as it's cultures day week to week doesn't mean anything) Indiana: 107.010 Roundup2: 61.270 (up 11.8%) Spiderverse: 34.996 (up 28%) The clear winner of today is Elemental had a good jump, bit less than expected. CGV ratio wasn't quite as good as yesterday, still an amazing day. PS are down to 88.6k still up a lot vs 73.8k last wednesday so yeah it's increase for sure this weekend! Edit: CGV starts at 12k today vs 10k on tuesday, depending on the walk ups and CGV ratio it's looking great for 70k+ thursday. (Anything over 65k would be amazing) Not bad for Indiana Jones had better walk up's than spidey but that wasn't hard. Should see a big drop tomorrow as today was inflated. Hopefully it gets to a 400k OW because the EGG score is very low Spidey lost a lot of screens /showtimes, that hurt its jump, still up 28% is good. If it drops well tomorrow it might do better than -60% on the weekend.

We should wait tomorrow to see if ps are skyrocketing because CGV for tomorrow is out and damm Elemental has 2.5 times as many ps for tomorrow than it had today. CGV starts at 25k (so 50k ps for tomorrow alone) compared to the 10k start yesterday. PS will probably go down tomorrow if they can stay flat that would be amazing but highly doubt it. That said a 25k start should atleast give us 115k, with some good walkups 130k is possible. After this weekend it will be 100% over 2m, so 3m is locked, biggest challenge will be MI OW in 2 weeks because the biggest danger to Elementals run is loosing screens, a big movie can take away a lot of screens and if you don't recover by the next week you might start bleeding screens to fast. However with these holds it looking to in to MI OW stronger than it was at it's own OW. So yeah 4m is looking extremely good if this weekend is up, next week no competition should manage another amazing hold and 700k week to get to 2.7m by weekend 4 and then we have MI opening depending on that your 5-6m could be possible. The question now is will it be an Aladin or more of an Inside out type of run (that did amazing but crashed after weekend 4). Indiana starts with 30k CGV, hoping it gets a bit over 100k tomorrow and isn't as PS dependant as spidey was last week. Curious to the WoM here.